Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Funny thing happened on my way home last night. As I was walking across 6th avenue my ankle gave in. It's the same foot I broke years ago and it remains prone to twisting. I got a cab home and then Emily took me to the emergency room. Fortunately, nothing's broken--there might be a minor fracture, otherwise just some torn ligaments, a bad sprain. I got suited up with crutches and returned home to watch Mariano's two innings. Then I went to bed. I didn't even hear about Derek Jeter's tough night until this morning.
Back in December, writing the Jeter comment for this year's Baseball Prospectus annual, I said, "For years, Jeter's offense has made him a net positive at shortstop despite his defense. The second half of 2007, taken together with his age, suggests that the day of reckoning may finally have arrived." Emphasis on "may" added-if you have the book, you will note that the qualifier isn't there. Cliff Corcoran, who reviewed the text in his sagacious way, and an experienced follower of the Yankees in his own right, argued that we should strike it, making the statement more definitive: "The day of reckoning has finally arrived.""Argue" is probably too strong a word for what Cliff did, as I didn't argue with him. I noted the change and mentally shrugged, saying, "He's right. By all available evidence, the time has come." Yet, in the back of my mind, I was still hedging. "This is Derek Jeter! He's got an edge, baby!" (Of course he does; he's the only one who can afford the gas.) As time has gone by, I've become more convinced that that change was the right one, and become grateful for it, as Jeter's performance has borne out the more emphatic prediction.
Tough times for Jeter and the Yanks right about now.
Do you think a good relay throw would have gotten Mora at the plate? And how far off second was Huff if he made it to third so quickly?
You? Yah young. You'll heal up in a jiff. Just take is ease and be a good patient.
May 23 Bill Chastain, of Rays.MLB.com, reports Tampa Bay Rays OF Carl Crawford said he is in favor of using instant replay to determine if a home run is fair or foul.
Well, then that settles it! Carl Crawford for baseball commish!
And to compound it, there will be the thorny issue of his contract as he approaches 3,000 hits and beyond...
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA199505290.shtml
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/u6H5
Any chance Jeter settles for being a utility infielder? Has there ever been a UIF who's on a team for his bat instead of his glove?
Donie Bush declined precipitously after age 33 and was done at 35.
The Ghost of Cal Ripken is probably the best comparison, and that's a problem. At least Ripken moved to third.
dianagramr (NYC): Do you see ANY way ANYONE in the organization pulls him aside in the near future and says "your days as a shortstop are over"? If so, what position could he possibly play and still make his bat worthwhile?
Steven Goldman: I don't see it. I admire the man who has the guts to do it, but you know they're going to have to have the whole College of Cardinals in to approve the decision. In any case, someone has to be pushing him. There has to be an alternative, and right now that guy isn't in the organization, or if he his (um, Carmen Angelini?) he hasn't identified himself as the heir... Anyway, I don't see his bat carrying another position now. Maybe second base, but I don't know if the could hack it defensively, and the Yankees are set there, assuming Robinson Cano wakes up from his nightmare.
Somehow, I don't see Jeter giving SS to Rodriguez.
He's still one of the best hitting shortstops in the AL, no?
Among AL shortstops who have had at least 75 AB Jeter ranks:
- 1st in batting avg.
- 2nd in RBI
- 2nd in OPS
- 3rd in hits
- 3rd in OBP
- 4th in SLG
- 4th in runs
- 5th in AB
I'd say reports of Jeter's death at the plate are premature.
In contrast, last year the average AL SS hit .269/.322/.391. Jeter's current .286/.342/.390 is basically a few singles better than that.
Compare Jeter to Jeter, and you find he's on pace for his worst
OPS (.732)
SLB (.390)
OBP (.342)
Doubles (24)
Home runs (7)
Walks (38)
and AVG (.286)
ever since he became a regular. And the only reason he isn't on pace to have the fewest hits he's ever had as a regular is because he missed 40 games in 2003.
Would Derek listen to Yogi if Yogi told him it was time to move?
In happier news (if he gets to stick), Britton is back in the bigs.
The issue with Jeter is that his already poor defense is eroding faster than his offense, and thus a natural decline at the plate could result in a huge swing in his value as a shortstop and make him virtually useless at any other position on the diamond, unless he makes an unprecedented conversion to catching.
The Cal Ripken example is informative here. As much as Ripken was barely more than an average hitter for the second half of his career, he was never worse than average in the field until the end had truly come. Jeter's starting his decline with a much weaker foundation. If he declines to become an average offensive performer, his defense will render him a huge liability.
Also, the fact that Derek was hitting well before his hand was injured suggests that that there is a link to his current struggles and the hand. I suspect that his power is gone, but that he will rebound quite nicely offensively as the season goes along.
Eventually, the Yankees will have to make some hard decisions about how long Derek can play SS.
I don't think anyone, including the proud captain himself, would dispute that he's played better games, and seen better days -- but relative to every other man who currently plays his position, he's still one of the best hitters, even if he's at his worst.
In other words, he remains a valuable asset, even if he's a ghost of what he was in his prime.
At some point, his defense will negate his offense, but with all due respect to Cliff and Goldman and those who agree with them, I don't think that day has come. I think he's better than acceptable at short for now, and is among the least of the 2008 Yankees' problems.
I'm trying to think of which is worse .... Jeter going to his left, or Luis Castillo going to his right.
How many times do we have to hear "pastadivingJeter" .... it can't all be about positioning.
Sure those "jump throws" are snazzy and iconic, and he's made some heady plays over the years, but for a pitching staff that DOESN'T have a lot of strikeout pitchers, Jeter's defense is a glaring weakness.
27] And Cliff, you (and Steven) are right about league-wide offense levels, of course. And Jeter's defense.
So the question becomes, when its 2010 and the Yanks re-sign Jeter, for a heck of a lot less then he's being paid now, who tells him that his days as a regular SS are over, and where do the Yanks play him?
What's personally sad is that Jeter and I very nearly share a birthday - we were born just about a week apart. So when I hear how old Jetes is getting, it acts as a reminder to my own aging.
Does anyone think he'd do well in one of the corner OF spots?
Maybe a good timetable would be for when Damon's done...?
Comparing any athlete to what he was in his prime is unfair and silly. Steve Nash and Allen Iverson ain't what they useta be, either.
Yes, if the bat disappears the below-average fielding hurts. The bat has not disappeared, and power was never his game. We have, as someone else said, other larger issues for next year than shortstop. 2010 will sort itself out somewhere in the latter part of 2009, I'll guess.
I do see a complication there, akin to Ripken's streak, as Jeter approaches 3000 and beyond but we aren't there this spring. Call it a bad game, a minor injury at work, too, see what happens next little while. I'm more concerned with the bullpen, and Pettitte's last few very so-so starts.
So, I'll play along, and say that happens for 2009. But 2009 isn't the problem. 2011 (and beyond) are. I can't see Jeter having the speed, or the bat (power), to play LF then. Where does he go?
And I'm the guy who may have been first to query him looking sluggish in week one! Others (it may even have been you?) said he seemed to be moving well!
I'm just trying to distinguish between a post hand injury mini-slump and GODJ talk. As for 34 the only thing I can see you might mean is signing a shortstop next year? Or the year after ... which is what I was implying in my last.
It seems wrong to me to move Alex BACK to short as he ages ... this is when he'd be going to 3rd base 'normally'.
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