Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
When the Tigers completed their sweep of the Yankees in the Bronx last week, it completed a 12-5 stretch that made Detroit's 2-10 start seem like nothing but an injury-plagued fluke. Since then, the Tigers have gone 1-6 against the Twins and Red Sox, throwing things into doubt once again. Since leaving New York, the Tigers have scored just 3.14 runs per game, with 10 of the 22 runs they've scored over that stretch coming in their lone win on Wednesday. In the other six games, they've averaged just two runs per game.
Much like the Indians, who reacted to an offense not living up to expectations by punting a veteran platoon outfielder in favor of a rookie and dropping their aging DH to sixth in the order, the Tigers have responded to their own offense's underperformance by releasing Jacque Jones, calling up 23-year-old lefty-hitting rookie outfielder Matthew Joyce (.299/.367/.536 with five homers at triple-A Toledo before his promotion), and dropping Gary Sheffield (.202/.366/.315 thus far) to sixth in the order (though, curiously, they've also made Sheffield their left fielder).
It won't do them any good. Even if the Tigers got their offense up to last year's level, it wouldn't be enough to out-slug the performance of their pitching staff, which is allowing 5.53 runs per game, the second highest mark in the majors. Taking the season as a whole, the Tigers have actually had the third-best offense in the AL, but they've still been outscored by 27 runs.
Of course, in three games last week, the Tigers outscored the Yankees 20-10. The Yanks will face the same three Tiger starters this weekend in Detroit that they faced last year in the Bronx. What's different is who the Tigers will face, starting with Kei Igawa tonight and Darrell Rasner tomorrow.
Assuming Ian Kennedy's second triple-A start goes even half as well as his first, Kennedy will likely return to reclaim one of those two rotation spots when his subsequent turn comes due. That means Igawa and Rasner are competing to be the man who occupies Phil Hughes' spot in the rotation until Hughes is able to return from his fractured rib. Rasner already has the lead in that race as he was sharp in his season debut against the Mariners last Sunday.
In parts of four seasons now, Rasner has never posted a major league ERA worse than league average and has a solid 4.01 mark (110 ERA+) in 58 1/3 career innings along with a respectable 1.23 WHIP and 2:1 K/BB ratio.
Igawa's another story entirely. In 67 2/3 innings last year, Igawa posted a 6.25 ERA (72 ERA+), 1.67 WHIP, and a limp 1.43 K/BB while allowing a Farnsworthy two homers per nine innings. Worse yet, there were no encouraging streaks during his season. Igawa posted a 7.63 ERA in six outings (five starts plus his six innings of relief following Jeff Karstens' broken leg) before being demoted in early May. After working with organizational pitching guru Nardi Contreras, Igawa returned to the major league rotation in late June and put up a 5.97 ERA over six more starts. After being banished to the minors a second time he reappeared at the end of September to pitch 5 1/3 scoreless innings, but walked five against just two strikeouts along the way.
Here are Igawa's triple-A rates from amid those ugly major league stints along with his triple-A line thus far this year:
2007: 3.69 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 9.35 K/9, 1.98 BB/9, 4.73 K/BB, 1.32 HR/9
2008: 3.86 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 9.08 K/9, 2.72 BB/9, 3.33 K/BB, 0.68 HR/9
Igawa's triple-A homers are down, but his walks are up. Otherwise, there's very little meaningful change between those two lines, and thus, it would seem, very little reason to expect Igawa's major league performance to differ from what he did last year. To lower expectations even further, Igawa gave up eight runs and walked six in his last 12 innings for Scranton. Igawa is a Three True Outcome pitcher in that he clutters his pitching line with walks, homers, and strikeouts. The heavily right-handed Tigers, whom the left-handed Igawa did not face last year, tend to do those things a lot as well.
Come back Ian Kennedy, all is forgiven!
In other news, Chris Britton (surprise!) was optioned to Scranton to make room for Igawa and Sean Henn was claimed off waivers by the Padres. Alex Rodriguez is working out in Tampa, will have his MRI on Monday and could play in an extended spring training game on Monday. Also rehabbing in Tampa: Jorge Posada and Jeff Karstens. Kyle Farnsworth got his suspension for throwing behind Manny Ramirez's head (cripes, was that this season?) reduced to one game and will serve it tonight.
Johnny Damon gets the night off against the lefty Kenny Rogers tonight, though interestingly Wilson Betemit remains at third base. Shelley Duncan starts at first base, pushing Jason Giambi to DH and Hideki Matsui into Damon's vacated left field position. Melky leads off, Duncan hits fifth. Chad Moeller will catch as Jose Molina played yesterday's day game after Wednesday's night game.
Damon doubled and homered yesterday and is a career .302/.373/.434 hitter in 69 plate appearances against Rogers. He went 1 for 4 with a single and two strikeouts against Rogers last week. Hideki Matsui went 1 for 3 with a single and Jason Giambi went 0 for 2 with a walk against Rogers in that game. Giambi is a career .400/.545/.920 hitter in 33 PAs against Rogers. Matsui is 3 for 6 with a homer against Rogers on his career.
Detroit Tigers
2008 Record: 15-21 (.417)
2008 Pythagorean Record: 15-21 (.428)
Manager: Jim Leyland
General Manager: Dave Dombrowski
Home Ballpark (multi-year Park Factors): Comerica Park (101/101)
Who's Replaced Whom:
Matthew Joyce replaced Jacque Jones
Francisco Cruceta replaced Jason Grilli
Freddy Dolsi is replacing Denny Bautista (DL)
25-man Roster:
1B - Miguel Cabrera (R)
2B - Placido Polanco (R)
SS - Edgar Renteria (R)
3B - Carlos Guillen (S)
C - Ivan Rodriguez (R)
RF - Magglio Ordoñez (R)
CF - Curtis Granderson (L)
LF - Gary Sheffield (R)
DH - Matthew Joyce (L)
Bench:
UT - Brandon Inge (R)
OF - Marcus Thames (R)
OF - Ryan Raburn (R)
IF - Ramon Santiago (R)
Rotation:
R - Justin Verlander
L - Kenny Rogers
R - Jeremy Bonderman
L - Nate Robertson
R - Armando Galarraga
Bullpen
R - Todd Jones
L - Bobby Seay
R - Aquilino Lopez
R - Zach Miner
L - Clay Rapada
R - Francisco Cruceta
R - Freddy Dolsi
15-day DL: L - Dontrelle Willis, R - Joel Zumaya, R - Fernando Rodney, R - Denny Bautista, R - Vance Wilson (C)
Typical Lineup:
L - Curtis Granderson (CF)
R - Placido Polanco (2B)
S - Carlos Guillen (3B)
R - Magglio Ordoñez (RF)
R - Miguel Cabrera (1B)
R - Gary Sheffield (LF)
L - Matthew Joyce (DH)
R - Edgar Renteria (SS)
R - Ivan Rodriguez (C)
"Below" is "above" I take it, ignoring "above average".
Can no one be counted on anymore? Do I have to bring up ... Roger again?
Did anyone check his hand, making sure he washed it?
That's the difference between a good offense (theirs) and a bad offense (ours). When they get the chance, they score, we don't. They are probably gonna score 3 more runs this inning and pull away for good.
The runner-up prize sucks.
I can't even explain why it annoys me so much. It just comes off as smug and obnoxious.
In short, he sucks.
We having fun yet?
Ra-rah-rah!
Can we get Proctor back?
The 194 represented Igawa's K total the year before.
It just annoys me for reasons I can't fully explain.
Anyone remember?
That curve, I guess?
And maybe he hit spots at one point?
(Help me out here 'cause I really don't get it.)
Focusing on Igawa obscures the really reasons the Yankees have stumbled through the first 40 games.
Matsuzaka was (apparently) unbelievable in Japan, and while he's good here, he's not at that same level. Igawa was very good over there, and horrible here. Amazing the difference in talent levels between Japan and MLB.
And I think the very fact that Kei Igawa is still in the organization is a troubling symptom of an issue that the team has.
As Cliff so nicely summarized, this is someone who has NEVER shown us much of an ability to get big league hitters out.
Betemit needs to go.
80 Jeter's throw wasn't bad. He was off-balance and deep in the hole. It was as good as throw as one could make. Duncan's D on the other hand, was horrible. As is Betemit's.
Igawa is way down the list of reasons the Yankees are going to lose yet another game. If you want to assign blame to Igawa, that's fine, but it misses the point and ignores the Yankees much deeper problems.
He was a bad signing at the time. He was a bad signing all of last year. And this team just stubbornly holds on to him and keeps bringing him back so they can prove some kind of fucking point that totally eludes me.
We should leave Igawa there to throw 200 pitches tonight. It's not like we are coming back on this one. And even with 200 pitches I don't think he can go more than 5 innings.
But we don't still owe Igawa $100 million or so.
think i'll head out to the park for the Thai Festival, too depressing to follow this on GameDay...
By the way, if you think I am breaking ground by stating Jeter is a below average defender, you're mistaken.
Tell me. What did the Yankees hope to accomplish by calling Igawa up?
Igawa has turned out to be a bad signing. A reaction to the stellar Matsuzaka signing by Boston. Igawa isn't the first and won't be the last.
I really think that it is time to work Joba into the starting rotation. I wouldn't mind these losses if they were by young starting pitchers learning their trade.
And almost more than anything, the idea that you think he pitched decently and if if not for Wilson Betemit he'd be in goo shape baffles me.
As for what they hoped to accomplish: get 5 innings out of Igawa and hope to score runs off Rogers.
The defense apparently is only adequate when Wang, Mussina, and everyone else pitches. These guys aren't going win gold gloves, but they're not horrid. Especially since we have no 1b, a slow SS, and sub at 3B and C.
The offense is down two key hitters and, still, I wouldn't count them out yet (line drive by Cano!).
Kei Igawa's line 3.0 IP 11 hits.
Line drive by Melky!
Don't give him more starts.
Now, mister voice of rational thought and brilliance, fix the offense and defense.
Obviously, he would have had a chance to win this thing if the Yankees had AG at SS tonight.
Why then, would you call up a pitcher known for his hard smashes down the line and deep fly balls?
I'm not sure what your point is, or if you even have one.
Wow, that sub par defense just had a 1-2-3 inning.
Albaladejo has given up 1 hit in 2 IP with the same defense Igawa had. Weird.
Doesn't that suggest that the starting pitcher sucks and shouldn't be on the team?
After all, Rogers hasn't pitched much better than Igawa this season and he is about to shut the Yankees down twice in 10 days!
Both sides of the argument are correct. Our D is below average, but not enough to kill our chances of winning. Todays pitching was very poor, and as is usually the case, exaserbated by the bad D. I believe both Phil and IPK were victumized by our D on a number of plays. And unfortunately, our O continues to hybernate.
I disagree. He gave me no indication that he was going to stop giving up hard smashes.
I see absolutely no point in embarrassing Ian Kennedy for the sake of this.
I believe Iggy is gone, or maybe gets one more chance to put the final nail in his coffin. Iggy will suck again next week, and they will bring IPK up.
TWO.
Igawa would have lost tonight regardless of which team he started on.
If your point is that he gave the Yankees a chance to win, it's not supportable by any metric.
Sure I'd like better glove work on the left side of the infield, but Betemit is only a fill in,
Oy, as is our catcher, the third stringer. These guys necessarily are not going to be as good.
And again. You bitch about the defense in the third, but overlook how lucky Igawa was in the first to get out of it with one run. By all rights Carlos Guillen should have had a three run homerun in the first.
williamnyy23's blog:
8 May 2008 - The Yankees suck on offense and defense.
9 May 2008 - The Yankees suck on offense and defense. I can't figure out why they won't start their injured players.
10 May 2008 - The Yankees suck on offense and defense.
11 May 2008 - The Yankees suck on offense and defense. How am I the only noticing this?
12 May 2008 - The Yankees suck on offense and defense.
As I assess this team and try to figure out why it is struggling, the poor defense and offense stand out much more than Igawa. If you want to heep scorn on Igawa, have at him.
Is that how you were defending Hughes?
If it was up to me, Igawa would be shipped to SD for a bag of balls.
Really, the decision was made that a lesser defense at certain positions (LF, 1B) would be offset by increased offense. The other positions (C, 3b) tonight, are due to injuries. Nothing to be done about that. Just don't throw out a horrible pitcher with a lesser defense.
Shelly MIGHT have better range, but as he demonstrated on Jeter's ball, he can't scoop... which with our infield in very important. I'm not really sure if Shelly is a better bet then Jason at 1B (and isn't that a really sad thing to say about Shelly!)
I'm not so worried about the defense. I am worried about the offense. But again that's due in part to injuries.
Bobby with an .800 OPS is weak, and Jetes is around .700.
It's kind of interesting in that the Yankees are looking at 1B traditionally, with the bopper who doesn't have range or mobility anymore. Nowadays everyone wants an athletic guy there.
"Where have you gone, Mattingly, a fan base turns its lonely eyes to you"
As for the offense, the Yankees had a few questions marks coming into the year, unfortunately one of their easiest bets to be successful has been injured. Giambi isn't easily dealt with (he's old, slow, immobile, and expensive). Abreu was the best of a bad situation (it could be Melky in right with Andruw Jones in CF). Swapping Damon with Matsui in LF was a good move. Cano is a slow starter. Posada got hurt. I'm not sure what harping on the offense every night will do to fix that.
And I think they should send Suzyn Waldman to SD with Igawa. Seriously, they can't find someone better? Sterling opens the inning by pointing out that Matt Joyce replaced Sheff in LF. Two batters later Waldman pipes up with "Oh, Matt Joyce has replaced Sheffield in left".
At some point the pitcher has to stop the other team from hitting the ball hard.
I kinda hold my breath when Edwar pitches. It can be brilliant or a trainwreck.
"UPDATE, 9:46 p.m.: Albaladejo has "discomfort in the medial right elbow" according to the Yankees.
That doesn't sound good."
He had almost no shot whatsoever of beating it out. But come on, try
Wow.
He hit it hard, though.
Nice little rally, boys.
Still, day late, dollar short.
Too bad we had to punt the game before it started. Five runs could have been enough to win.
And since Brian Cashman signed him, refuses to trade him and keeps bringing him back to the team, it stands to reason that Brian Cashman enjoys these performances.
The only thing I can reason is you don't think he was getting smashed around all game and the defense is to blame for most of this.
I mean, this was a bad start even for Iggy.
Headline: Shields' one-hitter helps Rays shut out Angels.
We clearly saw different games. You saw a pitcher with a rough first inning that settled down. I saw a pitcher that lucked out of the first inning and was continuing to get smashed afterwards.
I continue to believe that the most underrated aspect of pitching is command, its much, much more important than velocity. The difference between Joba and Farnsworth is all command. Its also the reason Moose can still be effective and why Cliff Lee can be dominant with a 90mph fastball. The point is, if you can hit your spots, change planes and keep it off the middle of the plate you will be a successful pitcher. If you can't a 100mph fastball won't help you. Igawa just seems to completely lack command. He needs to be sent back down, and sent back down now. This is not a promising rookie who needs another shot, this is a pitcher who has been bad to awful in nearly every single major league inning he has pitched. There is no upside to giving him another start, even if he lucks into a good one from small sample size. I would much rather watch IPK struggle and learn something than this garbage.
But his K/BB ratio is 4:1 and he's sixth in the AL in that category because he doesn't walk anyone (5 in 44 innings).
I totally agree with tommy that control is very underrated by baseball teams, fans and announcers. I'll take a Mike Mussina 2008 or Curt Schilling 2007 over Daniel Cabrera any day.
Following up on Igawa, the reason I want him sent down is not because he pitched a bad game tonight. Its instead because he has shown exactly zero improvement at both this and the AAA level. I'm coming around to believe that this is just what Igawa is, and as good as he'll ever be. If we're gonna lose a game because of a poor pitching performance, I'd much rather it be done productively, so that IPK or someone else can learn something.
Also, I have to ask this, why was Igawa brought up and not Steven White? White's better, younger and has significantly more upside. Igawa needs to be sent to the NL West where he can pitch against the Giants and the Padres in Petco. Though far more entertaining would be to send him to the Rockies and see how many HRs he could give up.
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