Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
I want to let you know that I've made mistakes in many columns I've written, for which I'm sorry. I've apologized to those editors, my family (my harshest editors), and when warranted, you, the reader. Like everyone, I have flaws. I make poor word choices at times, have typos and write grammatically incorrect sentences. I maintain, however, that I've never used steroids or Human Growth Hormone to write a Yankee Panky column for this Web site.
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Phew. Now that that's out of the way, what did we do before the Internet? While away in Italy, with no game highlights to speak of aside from the UEFA Cup and ATP Tennis on CNN International, the only way to get any info on the Yankees was via cyberspace. Since my last post, top stories have ranged from Joe Girardi banning candy from the clubhouse to the extremes of a near automatic win when Chien-Ming Wang starts and a near automatic loss when the now defunct 4-5 combination of Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy take the mound.
Now, it appears all the mainstreamers, for on-field matters anyway, are focusing on three key things:
• How is Melky Cabrera leading the team in home runs? Joel Sherman's Hardball blog addresses this question by comparing Cabrera's statistics to those of Bernie Williams at the same stages of their careers. The offensive numbers are strikingly similar. The greatest difference is that at Age 23, Cabrera is a much better all-around ballplayer than Williams was.
• Why is Robinson Cano in the bottom three among qualified batters in average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage? Will he emerge from his slump? Tyler Kepner of the New York Times had a thorough take on the slump, and analysis from teammates, including Derek Jeter. The only thing missing was that Cano, after being called up in 2005, went 2-for his first 23 at-bats.
• The timer is on for Jason Giambi's release. The Giambino is in a worse funk than Cano, except he doesn't have youth on his side or an optimistic band of media types rooting for him in print. I noticed an interesting contradiction in reporting, most notably from the same paper. Sherman and George King, in the Post, had different takes. Sherman called Giambi's continued presence in the lineup a "liability," while King showed the Yankees' continued faith in the former MVP.
• Perusing YESNetwork.com, David Justice says the Yankees do not appear to be built for a championship. Also, Steven Goldman provides insight on the Hughes-Kennedy demotions as only he can.
OFF-DAY RECAP
Off-days are fun to devour as much information as possible from as many different outlets. You can tell which papers, TV and radio types are on the pulse of things and are dedicated to providing the most information possible. The Times had only one Yankees story, on Cano, while the Daily News had not only the continuing saga of Roger Clemens, but a great bit from former beat man Anthony McCarron on how the Yankees could approach transitioning Joba Chamberlain to the starting rotation. After another subpar eighth–inning performance against the Indians, it would not be surprising to see Big Stein the Younger issue a media manifesto calling for a Chamberlain change. The Post had a wide variety, including a feature on Derek Jeter's captaincy and climb up the all-time Yankee ranks.
Newsday had an interesting recap of Joe Girardi's week, which included a contentious Q&A with reporters. Is anyone else waiting for the rash of stories comparing the situation Girardi walked into here in New York to the one he left in Florida?
This week marked Round 1 of Torre vs. Randolph, the all-National League version. What were the odds of features being written about their prior stints with the Yankees, or Torre's reactions to the rampant booing at Shea recently? Stay tuned for more of the same in three weeks, when the Dodgers come to Shea, with a smattering of Torre praise for Girardi.
YES, IT'S BOBBY MURCER
Friday night was a great night, not only for the Yankees' victory, but to see and hear Bobby Murcer back in the broadcast booth. The man has endured several bouts of poor health in recent years and rebounded well. Five years ago, he had an emergency appendectomy that kept him out for the last couple of months of the season. Now, he's back after recovering from a brain tumor and continued rounds of chemotherapy. You would be hard-pressed to find someone in the Yankee organization who is as respected and universally considered with such class and grace as Mr. Murcer.
And David Cone, after the sting of his failed comeback with the Mets wore off, has been a welcome addition to the YES broadcast team.
Until next week …
By the way, Murcer has his autobiography coming out, on his 62nd birthday no less ...
http://tinyurl.com/4zdmtq
and he'll be appearing at the B&N at 5th Ave. and 46th Street on Wednesday, May 28, 2008 at 12:30 PM.
(I'm gonna try and take a long lunch to make it there)
Jose Molina: 64 OPS+
Cano: 31 OPS+
Giambi: 97 OPS+
Jeter: 103 OPS+
Or, if you prefer VORP:
Jose Molina: -2.2
Giambi: -0.5
Jeter: 5.6 (thanks to the .310 AVG)
Cano: -10.2
Or EqA (same scale as batting average, so .260 is average, over .280 good, over .300 great):
Molina: .198
Giambi: .253
Jeter: .254
Cano: .144
Unless they have a contract with Barry L. Bonds's signature on it, the Yanks aren't going to release Giambi. Even with the blah numbers he's putting up, who is available for nothing (only $$$) that could take his place and provide an improvement? Except for Bonds, no one I see on the Yanks' roster, or at AA or AAA.
To add to Shaun's analysis here are Cano and Giambi by BRAA
Giambi: -5.9
Cano: -16.4
So by no meaningful metric is Giambi in a worse funk than Robbie. Does Robbie likely have more upside? Maybe. But he is killing the team almost 3x as badly as Giambi is.
Oh gosh, watching Bobby flail on that AB makes me worry he's gonna get all messed up for awhile as he seems to against lefties
"... past a diving Jeter"
But wait, Cliff Lee isn't throwing over 90, how can he possibly be any good?
What the hell is going on?
Pessimism: "the tendency to see, anticipate, or emphasize only bad or undesirable outcomes, results, conditions, problems, etc." I would say that is pretty much ALL you do...
I am quite concerned about this team, but I get no pleasure from constantly focusing on the negatives and pronouncing their demise already...
Like or not, there are many negatives about this team now. A realistic discussion can't avoid them. I have no problem with those who prefer to cheerlead, but that doesn't mean other conversation is taking pleasure in failure.
It would be nice if Morgan got a hit here.
Oh well, no matter,
on the other hand, I do agree with you on Lee, which is a stance that seems to contradict your normal pessimism! Lee clearly is doing something right this season, and while I highly doubt it lasts, the Yankees are clearly running into him at the wrong time, which combined with their struggles, is not a good thing...
And mlb.tv is pissing me off.
Outside of moving Matsui up one slot, I don't see what else could be done, except maybe Melky in the clean-up slot.
The bottom line is this isn't a very good offense against lefties. The Yankees are not going to win many games when they face a southpaw.
90 All hail Molina. Geez.
Fortunately, Hafner is more dead then Giambi, Cano, and the Yanks vs LHP. Speaking of that . . .
87 As a team, vs LHP, the Yanks are hitting .230/.311/.310 in 313 ABs (not including tonight). Damn, that sucks. The troublesome part of that is the near total lack of power. Maybe its just small sample size. But its bound to improve.
If this thing reaches Ensberg, Girardi has got to call on Betemit to pinch hit vs the RHP, no?
Admittedly,
Optimism to me is the fact that no other teams seems capable of running away with the wild card.
I don't think he should hit in front of the BA and OBP leader of the AL because Duncan is righthanded and Matsui is only hitting lefties at a .340 clip this year.
DUDE, ITS ONLY MAY 7TH!
The Sox are not almighty and unstoppable. In fact, on the pitching side, they've been a bit lucky so far. Maybe more than that. Dice-K's ERA is 2.43, but based on his peripherals, should be 4.44. Wakefield's ERA is 3.33, but based on his peripherals, should be 4.85. Lester's ERA is 3.94, but based on his peripherals, should be 5.28. That's 3/5ths of their rotation right there. Stuff like that tends to even out over time. (Numbers are FIP from THT's stats page.)
96 A-Rod will be back next week. Its not like he's out for 2 months.
IMHO, what's really killing this offense right now is that 2 of the 3 guys at the top are not taking pitches, and are not walking: Jeter and Abreu. Jeter has walked 4 times this year; 2 times in April. Abreu walked only 8 times all April (he's got 5 so far in May in 6 games now, a good sign).
Jeter has never, ever, had a month in his career where he didn't miss time due to injury (or the "month" was a day in March or October) and he only walked twice. Even in his horrible slump in 2004 he managed to coax 3 walks that May. The Captain has been a singles hitter, and nothing else, this year, and that to me is very troubling.
Nonetheless, I think he and the rest of the offense will come around.
Yes, Arod will be back, but how long will he need before he gets his swing down? Also, is he going to be the 170 OPS+ MVP or the 130-140 even year Alex. If the latter, he still may not be able to make up for the longer-term loss of Posada. If the Yankees keep dropping games, before you know it, we'll be scoreboard watching for the A's.
As for Jeter, well, I have to admit I am a little concerned about him. At age-34, we simply can't write in a 120 OPS+ as a given.
I'm just getting the impression that Girardi has decided Matsui can't hit lefthanders, and that annoys me.
Man, I wish it mattered!
A homer adds nothing, especially after you're heard them once. You can get the same commentary from a drunk guy in the bleachers. I could go on air right now and be a homer, easily. Anyone could. I could not go on air and be Vin Scully (or Jon Miller, or Ernie Harwell, or whoever will have the most impact on your brother). Who would your brother rather listen to?
And, given how personally annoyed I've been, listening to guys like Hawk, I wouldn't wish that on anyone. It sucks. Ask your brother how much he'd enjoy listening to the biggest homer of the team he dislikes most, calling all of the game between his favorite team and that disliked team. A homer gets really old, really fast, in that situation.
Of course the Yankees are scuffling and look like crap. But the Sox also recently got swept by the Rays, and have major BP issues and are not nearly as good away as home.
Tigers blow four-run lead but rally behind Polanco to beat Red Sox. Placido Polanco hit a broken-bat, tiebreaking single with two outs in the ninth off Jonathan Papelbon to lift the Detroit Tigers to a 10-9 win over the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday night.
I think team announcers shouldn't repress homerism if that's how they feel. If they don't feel it, then don't. Artificial objectivity is just as annoying as Hawk Harrelson's rooting for the team he's covering-if not moreso.
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