Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Since the Yankees and Indians split a four-game series in Cleveland a week ago, the Yankees split a pair of three-game sweeps and the Tribe went 2-3. All five wins, by both teams, came against the hapless Mariners, who are now nursing a five-game losing streak. The rain erased a sixth Cleveland contest, conveniently pushing C.C. Sabathia out of this week's three-game set in the Bronx by pushing his last start up a day.
Still, things won't be easy for the Yankees this week. Lefty Cliff Lee, who starts tomorrow, is off to a literally unbelievable start, going 5-0 with a 0.96 ERA and a 0.56 WHIP. Tonight, the Yanks will have to face Fausto Carmona. Carmona's an interesting case. He's 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA, but an alarming 1.73 WHIP and a backwards 1:2 K/BB ratio. Carmona's allowed less than a hit per inning, has given up just one home run in six starts, and he's still getting his groundballs, so it seems his only real problem is those darn walks. Since he's been able to win while wild, odds are he'll settle down and return to his overall dominance before too long. The Yankees certainly hope that doesn't start tonight. The Yankees found Carmona unhittable in the ALDS last year, but won both of his starts against them in the regular season.
On the other side of the ball, the Indians have responded to their inconsistent and generally underperforming offense by rejiggering their lineup in the last week, dropping Travis Hafner and his Perdue pop-up timer to sixth and moving right fielder Franklin Gutierrez up to second on the heels of a hot start to last week. That puts David Dellucci, still the team's hottest hitter, in the third spot and pushes the slumping Ryan Garko down to seventh. Finally, today they designated Dellucci's platoon partner Jason Michaels for assignment in favor of 26-year-old rookie right-handed outfielder Ben Francisco despite the fact that Francisco is hitting a mere .228/.308/.315 with triple-A Buffalo. I guess folks are desperate all over.
As for the Yankees, they have a decision to make this week. With nine men in the bullpen, but just four in the rotation and three on the bench, the Yankees will have to regulate that imbalance no later than Saturday, when they'll need a fifth starter. That fifth starter is all but officially going to be Kei Igawa, and Igawa's arrival on the roster will force the Yankees to pair the pen down.
Looking over the bullpen nine, three are veterans on multi-million-dollar contracts (Mariano Rivera, Kyle Farnsworth, LaTroy Hawkins) and six are twenty-somethings with options remaining (Joba Chamberlain, Ross Ohlendorf, Jonathan Albaladejo, Edwar Ramirez, Chris Britton, and Jose Veras). Taking the last six first, Ramirez, Britton, and Veras have yet to give up a run in the majors this year. Of course, Britton and Veras have only had one appearance each, but Britton didn't allow a hit and Veras didn't allow a baserunner. All three were somewhere between very good (Britton) and dominant (Ramirez, Veras) in Scranton and deserve a chance to pitch themselves off the roster. To that end, Joe Girardi should make an effort to get all three into more games this week. If they continue to throw up zeros, they should stay put.
Chamberlain is dominating in the primary set-up role (1.46 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 12 1/3 IP, 14 K, 3 BB), and thus won't be anywhere until the team's secret plan to convert him back to starting takes effect, which won't be soon. That just leaves Ohlendorf and Albaladejo.
Both have been used as long relievers. Both have been solid save for one ugly outing. Albaladejo's was his last (four runs vs. five outs against the Tigers). Ohlendorf's came back in Chicago (five runs vs. six outs against the White Sox). Ohlendorf's been strong since then, including an excellent 3 1/3-inning outing in which he struck out five Tigers, but he's on a 103-inning pace, which is by far the heaviest workload among the Yankee relievers. Then again, Ohlendorf was just converted from starting last year and threw 89 2/3 innings between the minors, majors and postseason last year and 183 innings in the minors the year before that, so that 103-inning pace may be something he could handle. Both Ohlendorf and Alabaladejo are striking out at least one man per inning, and Albaladejo had a 2.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP before that one bad outing, but if the decision had to be made to day, it would come down to them, as Ohlendorf could do with a breather, and Albaladejo has been the only other pitcher with options who has struggled at all.
As for the veterans, Mariano Rivera wouldn't be going anywhere, even if he hadn't held the competition scoreless to this point. Don't look now, but Kyle Farnsworth has pulled out of his nosedive. All of Farnsworth's peripherals had declined in each of his first two seasons with the Yankees, but this year his walks are way down and his strikeouts are back up over one per inning. In his last nine appearances, each exactly one inning in length, he's struck out ten and allowed just eight baserunners (five hits, three walks) while posting a 2.00 ERA. The only problem is that those two runs were both home runs and Kyle's HR/9 this year is off the charts (2.35). Still, of the four homers he's allowed this year, three of them were solo shots because he's simply not putting anyone else on base. That makes a two-run lead Farnsworth-proof and makes Farns worth keeping around to see if he can solve the one remaining flaw in his game.
That leaves LaTroy Hawkins. Hawk has the worst ERA, WHIP, K/9 and K/BB among all Yankee relievers, and it's not even close. Still, he has pitched five scoreless innings in his last four outings, allowing just three singles in that span. His walk rate is still a problem and he doesn't strike anyone out, but he's not hurting the team right now. Still, his signing was something of a hedge against betting everything on the team's younger arms, and with nearly all of those kids coming through, Hawkins could simply find himself in the way, particularly as he can't be shuttled on and off the roster the way everyone else save Rivera and Farnsworth can be.
Right now the Yankee bullpen is fourth in the AL in WHIP and both lowest batting average and lowest OPS against and fourth in the majors in K/BB. If the team is smart about who they remove from the pen this weekend and the shuffle at the back of the rotation allows them to recede from their place atop the AL in relief innings per game, the Yankees could find themselves with the best bullpen in baseball.
In other roster news, Wilson Betemit was just activated from his rehab assignment and Alberto Gonzalez was sent down. Betemit will start at third base tonight and could cut into Morgan Ensberg's playing time significantly as Betemit was getting in a groove in Scranton and Ensberg has been struggling. Morgan has been playing almost daily since April 19 and has hit a mere .174 with just two walks and no extra base hits in those 13 games. Alex Rodriguez could be back in about a week, so this is Betemit's big chance to solidify his spot on the roster. Remember, before Rodriguez mended his fences, Betemit was the leading candidate to be the Yankees starter at the hot corner.
Cleveland Indians
2008 Record: 14-17 (.452)
2008 Pythagorean Record: 16-15 (.515)
Manager: Eric Wedge
General Manager: Mark Shapiro
Home Ballpark (multi-year Park Factors): Jacobs Field (103/102)
25-man Roster:
1B - Ryan Garko (R)
2B - Asdrubal Cabrera (S)
SS - Jhonny Peralta (R)
3B - Casey Blake (R)
C - Victor Martinez (S)
RF - Franklin Gutierrez (R)
CF - Grady Sizemore (L)
LF - David Dellucci (L)
DH - Travis Hafner (L)
Bench:
R - Jamey Carroll (IF)
R - Kelly Shoppach (C)
R - Andy Marte (3B)
R - Ben Francisco (OF)
Rotation:
L - C.C. Sabathia
L - Aaron Laffey
R - Fausto Carmona
L - Cliff Lee
R - Paul Byrd
Bullpen:
R - Rafael Betancourt
L - Rafael Perez
R - Jensen Lewis
R - Masahide Kobayashi
R - Jorge Julio
L - Craig Breslow
R - Tom Mastny
15-day DL: R - Jake Westbrook, R - Joe Borowski, L - Shin-Soo Choo (OF)
Typical Lineup:
L - Grady Sizemore (CF)
R - Franklin Gutierrez (RF)
L - David Dellucci (LF)
S - Victor Martinez (C)
R - Jhonny Peralta (SS)
L - Travis Hafner (DH)
R - Ryan Garko (1B)
R - Casey Blake (3B)
S - Asdrubal Cabrera (2B)
While I think obviously that is a rather optimistic statement, isn't it great to even be able to discuss that, and do so in the context of a ton of young guys with options?
Almost spoke too soon.
Way to show some hustle Giambi (thanks Ump!).
If that doesn't just sum up the Yankee offense, I don't what does.
While I cringe watching Giambi on both ends of the baseball and around the bases (in fact, anywhere near a baseball field), credit where it's due: Good hustle, Jason!
I hope they'll learn.
Cano will have a harder time, I'd imagine, since he's a see-the-ball-hit-the-ball hitter, which of course is his great strength.
Such a compact, efficient throwing motion.
No wasted movement.
Beautiful form.
a) Indians over Hafner
b) Giants over Zito
c) Dodgers over A. Jones
d) Yankees over Giambi
e) Other
Good on him.
Nice AB, Derek.
The slugging White Sox w/a team OPS of .710
Vlad, OPS of .730
Carl Crawford, .707
Delgato, .682
IRod, .652
Garret Anderson, 607
Troy Tulowitzki, out till the ASB, .464
A bad day for Cano at .467 will make him worst in MLB.
I go outside to have a cigarette (yes, I fell off the wagon after nearly three months--I'm writing) and I think, "Gee, I hope I don't come back to marvel that "something's happened" in the time it took to have a cigarette.
Homerun, I presume?
That was some dealing.
http://tinyurl.com/6dt7ts
should be the 4th game down.
Andy seems to have rebounded.
But, Matsui would have been meat had the throw been halfway decent.
That sequence brought me to my feet, applauding like a madman.
Now that's baseball, all around.
Nice walk by Hideki, nice hit, Jason, nice running, Hideki.
We're playing baseball here, Team!
I'm so happy.
Goes the other way!
Damn, he's good.
What a beautiful inning of baseball, all around.
Meanwhile, never make the second out at third you retard.
Silly you... it's never make the 1st or last out at 3rd.
The calls in the field had seemed to be going in the Yanks' favor for the first few weeks of the year, not so much lately. Mecham should've been getting Bobby hauling ass & sliding hard. Damnit.
This is one crisp baseball game.
86 Seems a bit early to do that? Maybe.
THIS IS JOMO TIME!
Matpat, how do you feel?
Can Farnsworth actually be turned around?
Is this real?
(all those drugs in the 70's... can never figure things out myself)
I apologize for disparaging Farnsworth. Looks like he was dealing it there!
First Bedard and King Felix. Now Carmona? With our ragtag lineup? Pretty impressive.
And the hitting star of the game?
Jason Giiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiammmmmmmmmmmbi!
Anyway, his inconsistency has been somewhat well established in his numbers and maybe he's just DUE:
2002 7.33 era lousy
2003 3.30 era good
2004 4.73 era not good
2005 2.19 era great
2006 4.36 era not good
2007 4.80 era not good
Anyway, backing up to where we signed him he'd been lousy, good, not good and great. So maybe he's just due for a good year. He was at 3.52 coming into tonight.
With some big guns gone and some tohers under performing, he really has done a job for us!
Vote him for DH!
.157
.283
.158
.125
.233
Yikes!
And I'm glad we didn't trade him to Atlanta last year for Bob Fatman.
That's a devestating blow...the Yankees simply can't afford to give away games and this is going that route. This is going to be a long season.
I like how he's trying to be all coy while simultaneously blaming that HR on Joba working his curveball in.
Yes Mikey, we know you think that it would be stupid to put Joba in the Chamberlain in the rotation. Just man up and don't try to insult the viewers' intelligence.
Kay sees a 98 mph fastball and assumes that OMG NO ONE CAN HIT IT, so there is no reason to be any good with any other pitch.
Jogging up the god damned line like your Manny Ramirez.
Now I have to go out a get some ice cream.
But I won't enjoy it.
i don't think your comparison really works there
Kay doesn't lie or obscure the truth very well.
BECAUSE HE'S WALKING PEOPLE ALL OVER THE PARK!
RIMSHOT
BTW, anybody see that USA Today article about Ken Griffey, Jr.? Sounds like he doesn't like A-Rod, either.
this game is depressing now...time for an early lunch..
That said, I can deal with it if he hits like A-Rod.
187 he said that Arod never spoke to him and said that he wasn't enamored.
Just awful yet telling stat though
Pitcher A:
13.3 IP, 1 HR, 5 BB, 15 K, 3.38 ERA, 10.15 K/9, 3 K:BB
Pitcher B:
16 IP, 4 HR, 5 BB, 17 K, 3.38 ERA, 9.56 K/9, 3.4 K:BB
Small sample size warnings apply, but that's pretty damn close, except in the one thing that gives away who is who.
Wise ass solution - Pitcher B should be moved to rotation!
I don't expect the Red Sox to slow down, and can't see how the Yankees will be able to sustain a winning streak. That's an ugly combination.
No reason to swing or anything.
Their offense has some real problems and their BP is pretty bad outside of their big 2. Their starting pitching can go either way, but Dice-K, Lester, and Wake have proven themselves to be consistently inconsistent with stretches of awful. Buchholz will also have his stretches. I hardly see them winning as any sure thing.
Step off the ledge and stop trying to make sure we all see things your way. Its okay to feel depressed about the Yanks, but at least try and maintain some perspective
Compare that to the last series against Cleveland, with an average (over the 4 games) of 3.66 pitches/PA and 1.25 BB/game.
Can't win 'em all.
We played crisp baseball, Sizemore made an outstanding play to save a couple of runs and Delucci turned around a really tough pitch from Joba.
Good game, all in all.
Nothing to be ashamed of on this day.
Matsui's performance of late alone should hearten us.
He's looking to be his old, line-drive hitting self lately, which is good news.
Long-term prospects are looking pretty good to me.
238 Yeah, but they're better than losses! Wait, they didn't come out right.
First in runs scored, first in rbi, first in hits, first in total bases, first in batting average, first in OBP, first in slugging percentage, first in OPS...
What the hell are you smoking zack?
And they play half their games at home. If they played all their games on the road you might have a point. If the WS was played on neutral ground you might have a point.
And please, for the love of god, learn what a troll is.
Well, even if they keep this up, they'd still be on pace for but 90 wins, so perhaps, just maybe, you should admit that the Sox offense does have some major issues to address if they are going to go anywhere...But naaah, thats not the troll way
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