Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
It happens every year, just like the groundhog looking for his shadow, but it doesn't always happen on the same date. Sometimes it comes and then goes away again for days or weeks. I look forward to it because I know it will always surprise me. One morning, usually in late February or early March, I'll walk out of my apartment building and there it is, even in the heart of New York City--vague, ellusive, a mere hint, but it is there all the same: the smell of spring. I can't exactly describe this smell, but mostly, it is the smell of dirt, of fresh soil, which brings with it the promise of the buds and flowers and all that good stuff coming back to life. I love the spring, it is my favorite season of the year. It means that green is coming back in our grey lives, it means the bountiful produce of summer is coming, it means that women shed their overcoats and we can see some flesh again (legs, legs, New York women have the best legs, and man, do they know how to use them).
But more than anything this smell means one vital thing: baseball.
I caught a hint of the smell this morning, a relatively mild, overcast day in Manhattan. I was half-asleep. Was I still dreaming? Maybe it was the rain from last night. Whatever, it makes the baseball season seem that much closer. For a wonderful look at the boys of spring, check out this picture gallery at the New York Times' website. It features 16, evocative, very strong line-drawings by Robert Weaver, who kept a sketchbook for Sports Illustrated during a 1962 spring training visit.
Cool link to the photogallery. Considering, MLB's new media policies, news organizations may need to start lining up such artists in order to fill their online content.
Even after yesterday's rain my lawn's still snow-covered, 1000 feet up in the great northwest of NJ -- but down here in Times Square, what's left of the snow is as gray as a Hell's Kitchen pigeon.
Here, today, is an extract from Heyman at si.com. I admit I did register his point about OTHER steroid-linked names out on the field. Should Barry be uniquely a no-touch-zone? He isn't even the only one linked to a perjury case (Tejada).
"Baseball scouts say Bonds has slowed considerably in the outfield. Yet one baseball person who's surprised by the lack of interest said, "Could it be that all 14 American League teams have a better DH than Barry Bonds?"
Cardinals manager Tony La Russa publicly revealed that he recommended a run at Bonds to ownership and was turned down. One American League GM told me he'd have taken Bonds, but his owner told him to stay away.
Beyond those three small brushes with employment, there appears to be nothing. Nothing for the hitter who posted a .480 on-base percentage and .565 slugging percentage last season, the hitter who hit 28 home runs in 340 at-bats.
It's not his performance. It's something else. It has to be.
There's supposedly an anti-steroid sentiment in baseball. Yet the Astros traded five prospects for Miguel Tejada, the Cardinals traded for Troy Glaus and the Cubs have been negotiating to trade for Brian Roberts. Roger Clemens is throwing BP in Astros camp, and Mark McGwire may be heading to Cardinals camp to conjure up the past.
...
One American League executive said he isn't surprised at all that Bonds has not been signed, that there are considerations of image and practicality that weight against such a move. "What happens if he's hauled away June 1?" that executive posed, referring to the indictment hanging over Bonds' head.
While that would appear to be a long shot, a more immediate concern may be clubhouse considerations. Specifically, teams fear the distraction his presence may cause. It's a common perception that Bonds will bring negative attention, a charge Borris vehemently disputed.
1 The NY Daily News has a couple of decent cartoonists in Ed Murawinski & Bill Gallo
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ed_Murawinski
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Gallo
6 I doubt it, as it was mentioned before that McGwire, Clemens, Tejada, etc are doing their thing this spring... As for the PR backlash, it'll last until he blasts a few HR's. I guess this is similar to when no one took a flyer on Kingman after the 86 season, which I also found surprising.
I do agree that any contract could be structured to cover a lot of variables, including court time and jail time.
I also don't think Bonds would be that much of a distraction. After all, wouldn't he draw attention away from everyone else? I am sure Arod would love that.
Signing Barry Bonds makes all the sense in the world for the Yankees. Could you imagine having to face a lineup with Arod and Bonds hitting back to back? Sure, the Yankees already have Giambi and Matsui clogging up the DH role, but I am sure they could work Bonds into a rotation, especially if you try to give Damon (andeven Abreu) more rest for their aching bodies. Heck, with Bonds bat, the Yankees could even afford to give Jeter a few extra days off without worrying about giving away offense.
Unfortunately, it seems as if Cashman would rather avoid the criticism that pull the trigger. Still, if Bonds beats the Yankees in a few games against Tampa, I think he could regret that decision. At least the Red Sox hands are tied with Papi and Manny though. They already have two DHs as their two best hitters, so adding a third might be too much.
But like I said in an earlier discussion here, there should be a way to work out a trade of one of the three (Matsui, probably, though to me he's the most useful of the three) while signing Bonds. Keep Bonds as a DH and you don't hurt the defense, and you do wonderful things for the offense, as so:
(vs RHP)
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
ARod
Bonds
Posada
Cano
Giambi/Betemit (1B)
Melky
(vs LHP)
Damon
Jeter
Bonds
ARod
Posada
Ensberg/Giambi (1B)
Cano
Duncan (RF)
Melky
Nasty. Evil, even. :)
9 I agree, still, take this FWIW:
PECOTA-projected playing time and VORP:
Damon, 526 PAs (431 in LF, 95 in CF) - 16.6
Matsui, 601 PAs (353 in LF, 248 at DH) - 24.6
Giambi, 480 PAs (284 at DH, 196 at 1B) - 17.1
That leaves ~150 PAs at DH and ~400 at 1B, so about 550 PAs total. PECOTA is as down on Bonds as it is on Giambi, but (for Bonds) that has to be because no one has ever hit like he has at his age. His last two seasons, Bonds had VORPs of 46.6 and 55.2 - in less than 500 PAs.
I think Giambi will beat that VORP projection soundly - though probably in 480 PAs as projected - but I think Matsui's is close and Damon's is right on. It would take some mixing and matching on Girardi's part to get those 500 PAs to Bonds (Matsui/Damon at 1B sometimes?), but a 2-3-4-5-6 of
Jeter
Abreu
A-Rod
Bonds
Posada/Giambi*
*only over Cano/Matsui because of their better OBPs
would destroy starters, if only by making them throw so many pitches to try to get those guys out.
If the Yanks' strategy is (to a degree) to bludgeon teams to death - and it might have to be, because the pitching staff is a huge ? - why not employ one of the greatest offensive players of all-time?
25 man roster w/Bonds and w/o trading away any of the DH-rotation trio:
12 pitchers +
Posada, Molina
ARod, Jeter, Cano, Giambi, Betemit
Damon, Melky, Abreu, Matsui, Bonds
+
either Ensberg or Duncan.
He's also wrong to talk about a ton of other steroid guys on the Mariners maybe 'looking at jail time' ... NO one is looking at jail time for steroid or hgh use in MLB. Jail is only at-issue for perjury. Bonds. Tejada. Maybe Clemens by week's end.
Having disagreed with these, it is certainly true the Mariners have room (and need) for a good DH. Jose Vidro is not much of a roadblock!
I wonder if Barry could start a lawsuit against Selig and MLB owners with union support (!) for interference and collusion.
I felt the same thing this morning here in New Haven, but had to remind myself not to jump the gun, that it is, in fact, still February.
And yet, one way or another, whatever the weather, we're only--what--less than five weeks from Opening Day?
Agreed on the jail part, which was also covered in the comments section (#50).
I wondered about the collusion part as well. He may actually have a case.
Boston. No.
Rays. Yes, if the quest for .500 is deemed a worthy goal.
Baltimore. Ok, no. They suck so bad not even he can help.
Yankees. Yes, as discussed.
Toronto. Yes. This team played Matt Stairs in the OF last year. It would be a roster logjam as bad or worse than the Yankees, though, and Bonds on turf could be bad.
Detroit. Yes, actually. They'd have to play him or Sheff in the field, but my oh my. Their lineup presently has two holes (LF, C). It's already impressive. With Bonds it would be an unholy terror.
Indians. Who is their LFer again?
White Sox... yes, but like Baltimore they're probably too awful to really gain anything.
Royals... see White Sox.
Twins... yes. Their offense would be decent if they added Bonds. They have some young pitching. It would take pressure off of those pitchers, dontcha think?
Imagine, for a moment, a world in which they kept Johan and signed Bonds and went for it. That woulda been ballsy.
Angels. Yeah, if they're willing to play Vlad in the field.
Seattle. Clearly.
A's. Why not? But the "they will suck anyway" argument probably applies.
Rangers. Hey, they gave Sammy Sosa how many ABs last year?
If so, it urgently raises the professional question: why would you put a client in that position? It is clear that Congress was ready NOT to have that public testimony. (I know his deposition is also under oath.)
Like, did Hardin know there was or might be a Canseco party photo (or the tacky tacky story now out about the two wives comparing breast augmentation - which corroborates McNamee). And what about the nanny - Hardin put his client in a position to be hammered over that Sunday visit? (Or was the alternative worse - no prepping her? She hurts him ANYHOW!)
Barry's looking better by the day.
Meanwhile BP's Pecota has the Rays improving 22 games for this year. Lots of offense, pitching uptick, and a major D upgrade at ss and 2b.
I am beyond liberal, but the bipartisan nature of the whole thing (not to mention most issues) is riduculous.
I think Roger's lawyers have not done a good job of representing him and giving him good advice.
And yes, BB is looking better by the day.
The DEVIL Rays can't be slept on. They seem to be finally putting together a baseball team instead of just a 4x100 team. Someone, it might have been Olney, suggested back when SF said they would not re-sign BB that he would be a great fit in Tampa and the young hitters could learn some plate discipline from him. And it seems things are getting more serious.
Anyway, I know the Rays don't have the resources the Red Sox or Yanks do, but I don't think they can be slept on.
Anyway, you guys don't want Bonds, trust me. Even if it's true that he'd be less of a distraction in NY than in most other places, he's suck a negative, life-sucking presence in the clubhouse. Reports from the Giants this year seem to make it sound like, even though they'll be even worse offensively than they were last year, without Bonds, they are all much happier and looser without him around. I really don't think the Yankees need Bonds.
They really don't lose much of anything signing him.
I think Bonds makes an appearance sometime during the summer for a team that desires a LH power bat.
First, I believe Bonds would LOVE to play for the Yankees. ARod likes him and his odds of winning a WS, which is his BIGGEST DESIRE, might be best achieved here.
Second, between the lack of demand and the fact that Bonds knows we are NOT SF, I believe he would be willing to give up all his 'percs', and it should be a condition of signing him. He is an old guy, so I don't mind the recliner, but he would have to agree that he is 'not' special, and like ARod, Jeter, Mo, Giambi and the rest, that he would just be one of the boys on the team.
I think Cashman would make this deal ONLY if Bonds understands the attitude he must have in order to wear Pinstripes.
Third, even with all the bad PR, I would have to think Melky, Cano and all the kids would be THRILLED to be around him. Who knows, maybe he might even mentor some of the kids. This is a great baseball player who has been 'in the game' since he is a small child. He knows a LOT. He could be a valuable teammate, as opposed to a cancer.
Forth, I believe he would be beholden to the Yanks. Playing for the Yankees is probably the absolute best he could do, especially since at this movement, he is looking at not playing at all.
I believe rotating players to give everyone appropriate ABs is not rocket science. Girardi will have to be creative, but it is not that big a task. And if we do have an injury or 2, this will have been a very important move.
Fifth, it's a one year contract. We lived through Pavano and RJ. How bad could this really be.
Sixth, for the first time in a long time, we may actually sign a vet who is UNDERvalued, He will actually be a GREAT financial move. My guess is he can be had for $10m or maybe less with incentives. What does $10m buy you these days? DJ and Mats make $13m
And saving the best for last...
THINK OF THE RED SOX MESSAGE BOARDS!
Imagine when Bonds hits a game winner at Fenway! Red Sox Nation will be pissing and moaning like never before. It will be non-stop. We will not only own the 'back page' in NY, but in Boston too. Larry and Theo will make statements about how 'unfair' it is. They have 'healed' from not signing ARod. This is make their wound raw again!
And we will beat Boston. Hopefully Detroit and Cleveland will keep Boston out of the PS completely.
Remember when we were worried about:
Yankees vs Boston + Santana
Instead it can be
Boston vs Yankees + Bonds.
It gives me a hardon just thinking about it.
http://tinyurl.com/3xqabl
---------------------------------------------
This was said about Nomar his last year with the Sox. They were near desparate to move him. And they were happier and better without him.
The question is, was Nomar the same in LA? Or was Nomar partially a situation of circumstance?
Barry was with the Giants, and WAS the Giants, for years. No doubt he had a sense of entitlement.
Would he be the same with a ONE year contract for the Yankees?
Yeah, I'm a bleeding heart liberal. But even Barry is human. Maybe it's silly to think he might actually be a positive force for us.
We are all hoping/assuming that we will have the 2nd half JD/Matsui/Melky/Cano. But the first half of 2007 did show us we can be vulnerable.
I myself am NOT sure that we DON'T need Bonds. Have we ever entered a season recently feeling that we would not win the division?
/rant off
Could this really be our old friend? From today's Goldman chat over at BP:
"Rob Gee (Philly): When and where do the Yanks move Jeter? 2009 to 1B? 2010 to LF?
Steven Goldman: First, he needs to be pressed by someone who is going to field better (anyone) and give them at least something like above-average production there (not anyone). The more interesting question will be whether his bat still supports a move by the time they get around to it."
For all Hank's bluster, I think the Steinbrenners were embarrassed, and humbled by the Clemens-Pettitte-Mitchell fiasco and do not want to advance the Yankees/roids-r-us meme. Mark my words: Bonds will not be signed by the Yanks.
Great line. They add Barry and it is CLEAR they are out of the track and field biz! I suppose if one notes that the Rays are seen as a lot better and the Blue Jays almost have to be healthier and better this year, the AL East is a beast again. (As an answer/agreement with 34 .)
33 37 I doubt any sane person puts athletes using PEDs (in a culture where some unknown but large percentage did) as worse than drunk drivers. But a word like 'villain' complete with twirly moustache images loads the deck. The issue, remember, is lying under oath not the use of steroids.
We may all find farcical elements in the hearings, but we make it worse if we trivialize outright ram-it-through perjury. Once you get there, it is no longer about baseball.
On an unelated note, I feel Bonds in pinstripes would be somehow like signing a deal with the devil. Bleh. But that's just me.
Chris ( S,I, N.Y. ): Jim, I hate when the press does this but there was an article in the N.Y. Post 2 days ago with the headlines "The Next Joba" speaking in reference to Mark Melancon. I read up on him in the Handbook and the handbook has him as a potential replacement for Mariano down the road. I know those headlines are not fair to anyone but what's your thoughts on Melancon?
John Manuel: Thanks everyone for coming, sorry to disappoint you but I'm having to pinch-hit for Jim today. He's all good, just couldn't make it today. Chris, I'm a huge Melancon fan, and frankly I haven't found anyone who doesn't really like him since writing about him for our 2006 draft coverage. At his best, he's got closer stuff, two plus pitches with good velo and a good, hard breaking ball, plus closer mentality. But he did have Tommy John surgery and he's pitched seven pro innings. I think the Yanks are going to try to be careful with him, but he was throwing well in November in instructs in the Dominican Republic, and it sounds like he's ready for the start of the year. I think they'll let him get his feet wet in the minors and see if the likes of Ross Ohlendorf, Edwar Ramirez, Scott Patterson, Brian Bruney, etc., can hold down the middle relief spots first. They have plenty of middle relief options and don't need to rush him. I do think he's the best future closer they've had around in a while, not including Joba, who I think should be a starter.
I'd think that Bonds would be very useful to us throughout the season as an offensive force. How do you discount that kind of left handed production? Unfortunately that production comes at the cost of having Bonds around. The problems are pretty obvious from his asshat personality, to the media and legal circus atmosphere his presence will engender. I'm not sure I want the children exposed to his way of dealing with the press and teammates. Girardi is starting a fresh regime and moving things in a new direction; I'm not sure that Bonds is the kind of help he needs with that.
The Yankees I think will be portrayed as steroid central if they bring BB in and his presence is coupled with the Mitchel fall out (Clemens, Pettitte, etc). That's not to say that is why it shouldn't happen but it is why I think it won't happen.
What bugs me with the Bond's treatment is the shrillness with which his detractors seem to bring their arguments (not here). The apparent dislike/disdain/hatred he's treated with seems to be a mix of reaction to his behavior/personality traits and the steroid scandal including the perjury charge coupled with the fact that he broke Aaron's (and other) career mark and the belief that he did so with the aid of Juice.
He appears to be a class A ass, a liar and a cheater. I'm not sure however that appearing to be an ass, liar and cheater is in and of itself a reason not to hire a guy to play baseball. The roid thing will work itself out. If he's tested positive during the appropriate period the league will discipline him if he's still around.
Bonds is also viewed by many as a fraud; essentially stealing the HR record through his use of juice. He engenders lots of ill will because of this that will probably remain in place longer than the other causes.
This leaves the issue of his perjury trial. He's under indictment and he's facing trial. He's entitled to a presumption of innocence at trial not necessarily from a potential employer although not necessarily not either.
Does race have anything to do with this? Well I'm sure at some level it does. I think BB has made enough comments to fuel that stuff and there are still enough morons out there who think that crap has anything to do with "the content of a man's character".
He seems to have captured the public's rage in a way few that I can remember have. It seems to me a sense of rage that is disproportionate to the sins he has committed. One would almost think that he single handedly set out to introduce roids to the game and to destroy the value of time honored statistical marks. These mass hate fests always leave me a little ncold and hesitant.
At this point he's a lightning rod and still in many ways the face of the steroid scandal. I don't think there is any doubt the powers that be at MLB would just like BB to go away. My hope is that somebody hires him, just not us.
This post basically offers my answer to Shaun (which is agreement, mostly). I spent a long time (years) before the Mitchell thing blew arguing that it was lunatic and distorted to overfocus on Bonds, as if he was a unique, er, villain. (Ahem.)
He became the 'face' of steroids and cheating for a variety of reasons (wsporter has many), but the main one was being the best in the game and going after Hank. At this point, in an odd way, Roger takes some of the heat OFF Bonds. Just as famed/excellent and part of a wider noting (Mitchell) that it is imbecilic to treat Bonds as at all distinctive in his cheating now.
Perjury's another matter, still. Having said that, I can see an 'unfairness' argument here too, because I wonder if these three (are there others?) would stand out so much if 50 players had had to testify under oath!
On the race thing, there are MANY Blacks who agree with Bond's take on the treatment of Blacks in MLB. The others are just too smart to talk about it. Also, some of Bonds animosity come from his father's day as well as recent times.
Bonds are Sheff will always be viewed by whites as 'uppity'. Most won't SAY that, but many think it. White folk will never fully understand what Black people have to deal with.
OYF, you don't want to get me started on Sheff. I don't see him as "uppity," just as an arrogant, self-important, loudmouth prick. And that's on a good day. In light of the shock and outrage over PEDs, I still can't believe that Sheffield was never disciplined after Milwaukee.
Meanwhile, this from Clemens: http://tinyurl.com/2e99do. Sorry, Roger. You went turned this from a story into a circus by going to the press, loud and long. You've got no business being pissed with them about it now.
Anyway, checking his fielding numbers @ baseball-reference, it looks that he was a butcher with the glove in SD & FLA (where he was presumably happy). Thank goodness he was moved to the OF.
Some BS, but also some very damming evidence. Roger looks quite guilty. Too many BIG lies and inconsistancies.
In addition, no one in the media that I saw put together the blatant lie exposed here about 'never talked to McNamee ever about hgh' with the Debbie Clemens hgh story when he had 'heated' exchanges with McNamee about it.
"As a legal matter, this may affect whether the statements meet the legal definition of perjury or false
statement. They are evidence, however, that Mr. Clemens affirmatively sought to mislead the Committee. If the Committee staff had not asked Mr. Clemens whether a family member had used HGH, the Committee would never have known about Mr. Clemens's conversations with
Mr. McNamee."
And then there is the section where he blames his agents for not telling him Mitchell wanted to speak with him (the contradiction with what he said on 60 Minutes, where he says they told him NOT to talk to Mitchell is absolute).
Finger pointing elsewhere, anyone?
Section VI is ALL about the Canseco party, and they enumerate a LONG list of times Roger said 'never there': "I never was at the party." "I know I wasn't at a Toronto Blue Jay party." "I wasn't here at ... a party that he had. . ." "I was not at this party." "I wasn't at the party. I know I wasn't at the party." "I just know for a fact I wasn't at the party." "I don't remember any party but if there was one, I wasn't there ... " "I have records that I was not at the party. . . . I was on the golf course ." "I just know that I wasn't at the party."
And good ol' Rusty Hardin said: "We were able to establish, and we will be able to establish categorically, without question, that our client wasn't there."
ONLY after this blew sky high (and that was after he tried to suborn the Nanny Sunday night: "According to his nanny, he told her: "[T]he reason you don't remember thatparty is because I wasn't there.") did Roger backdoor towards MAYBE he 'dropped his wife and kids and nanny off' and maybe he wandered in. That, of course, follows the emergence of photos, and precedes the breast surgery story swap.
Know what? This looks like perjury AND witness tampering. It is ugly and contemptuous.
Either Mr. Clemens has a lousy lawyer or Mr. Hardin has a lousy client. Something is very wrong here.
Now, if he's going to play again, yes, the AL is the place, since he is now a liability in the outfield. And it seemed evident last year that when healthy - a big if - he can still mash. But seriously, be careful what you wish for. I just don't see him as a championship presence.
If I were a manager, anyone averaging 255 OPS+ over a four year period would get their cleats cleaned by my tongue after every half inning. They'd have their own wing in the locker room. They'd have their own international airport.
Still holding our hope that Bonds will come over here and sign with Bobby V and the Chiba Lotte Marines. He could hit 60 dingers here I think...
And yes, I'd rather continue our 7 year streak without a WS win than win one next year with Bonds.
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