Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
I sometimes refer to the Baseball Writers Association of America (BBWAA) as "masters of the obvious" when it comes to the Hall of Fame elections. Last year, the BBWAA voted in automatic, slam-dunk selections like Cal Ripken and Tony Gwynn, even with misguided writers submitting blank ballots for self-righteous reasons. Yet, when it comes to subtler selections, players who weren’t iconic figures but were still dominant stars for extended periods of time, the Baseball Writers haven’t shown a similar aptitude.
The writers have a chance to rectify that situation this Tuesday, when the results of the 2008 election will be announced in New York City. (Alex Belth and Cliff Corcoran, will you be attending the press conference at the Waldorf-Astoria?) The litmus test will be provided by Rich "Goose" Gossage (as seen in this odd 1978 Topps card), who has been on the ballot for eight years and has never received more than the 71 per cent of the vote he picked up in 2007. The Goose was the most egregious omission on the 2007 ballot—an omission that serves as a black mark against the writers’ voting patterns in recent years. To me, it’s patently obvious that Gossage, who led the league in saves three times and finished second two other times, belongs in the Hall of Fame. Here are a few reasons why:
*For nine straight years, Gossage posted ERA’s of 2.90 or less. That’s right, from 1977 to 1985, Gossage didn’t have even one season with an ERA as high as 3.00. That’s a pretty long level of peak performances, without any bleak seasons to break up the string. Some of his ERAs were eye-popping during that stretch: 1.62, 2.01, and an unfathomable 0.77 in the strike year of 1981. And it’s not like he did that pitching as a situational reliever or in a one-inning, ninth inning, comfort role; he logged large numbers of innings during that time, far more than typical closers do in the current-day game.
*In recent years, Sabermetric research has shown the value of pitchers who can strike out large numbers of batters, thereby putting less pressure on the fielders behind them, reducing the element of bad luck base hits, and preventing baserunners from coming home on sacrifice flies. Well, Gossage was a Sabermetric dream in this respect, reaching 100-strikeout totals five different times as a reliever and matching Rollie Fingers’ career total. Bruce Sutter achieved that only three times. When it came to the pure power of the fastball, no relief ace of the 1970s could match The Goose.
*Gossage was an absolute workhorse. Unlike the fashionable pitching trends of today, which require one inning per night from a closer, Gossage often pitched the seventh, eighth, and ninth innings in recording saves. Four times in his career, he accumulated 100 or more innings while pitching out of the bullpen. Pitching for the 1978 World Champion Yankees, Gossage pitched more innings than either Jim "Catfish" Hunter or Jim Beattie, the team’s fourth and fifth starters. How many closers in today’s game log more innings than their teams’ No. 4 starters?
*Except for his legendary tangles with George Brett, Gossage was a superior reliever in the postseason. He generally excelled with the Yankees, but did struggle in his lone postseason showing with San Diego. Still, even with the problems he had facing Kirk Gibson, Goose put up terrific October numbers. Over a span of eight postseason series, he posted a 2.87 ERA with 29 strikeouts in 31 innings. He did his best postseason pitching in the World Series, with an ERA of 2.63 in 13 innings.
*One could make an argument that Gossage was the best reliever of the 1970s. Only Hall of Famers Fingers and Sutter can really take their rightful places in that argument. Is there not room in the Hall for a third reliever from the decade that introduced a spectacular level of relief pitching, a decade that included standouts like Bill Campbell, Gene Garber, John Hiller, Dave LaRoche, Sparky Lyle, Mike Marshall, Tug McGraw, and Kent Tekulve?
In my mind, Gossage was at least the second-best reliever of that era, just behind Fingers and perhaps the equal of Fingers. Gossage enjoyed a longer peak than Sutter, and also had the longer career. It’s still not clear to me why Sutter is in the Hall of Fame—and Gossage is not.
Hopefully the writers will rectify this inconsistency in 2008. History favors Gossage; any player who has received as much as 71 per cent of the vote from the writers has eventually breached the 75 per cent barrier. It will be very close, with Gossage likely to finish somewhere in the 73 to 77 per cent range, but I have a feeling that it will happen this time around. And the Hall will be a better place with The Goose nesting in Cooperstown during the final weekend in July.
Bruce Markusen is the author of "Cooperstown Confidential" at MLB.com and has written seven books on baseball.
Do you know how much, if any "campaigning" Goose has been doing to sway the writers?
Here's hoping Goose gets that feather in his cap. He's earned it.
Came back for a cup of coffee late in '89, might have stayed here longer if George had been suspended, but that didn't happen until the following summer.
Torre makes a note of that, and passes it on to Scott Proctor.
On top of that, the way relievers are used has changed so often, and so radically, that comparison from one era to another are well nigh impossible. Gossage's stats reflect a pattern that only existed for 15 years or so; you really can't compare him with Hoyt Wilhelm before or Dennis Eckersley.
Serious Consideration... Catch The Fever! >;)
I have Gossage at around 91% (including some partial ballots).
Keith Law has him at 88% after 100 full ballots.
The only downside here is a lot of the remaining voters are older voters who are no longer really active and might have a long standing anti-reliever bias.
I still think he makes it tho.
I personally think Goose has the right mix of dominant seasons and longevity to pass the test, but can definitely see an argument that excludes him (as well all relievers not named Mariano Rivera).
1 Dan Quisenberry 163 764.2
2 Rich Gossage 156 1198.2
3 Bruce Sutter 142 978.1
4 Kent Tekulve 139 1080.1
5 Tom Burgmeier 134 818.1
6 Gary Lavelle 128 1036.1
7 Rollie Fingers 125 946.2 1
8 Jim Kern 122 750.2
9 Gene Garber 122 1053.1
10 Willie Hernandez 121 808
I have no idea how Sutter makes it, but not Quisenberry.
Lyle was vexed throughout the 1978 season, and it's easy to see why. However, the Goose earned his stripes so to speak in that moment that he got Yaz to pop out to Nettles to end the playoff game. As usual, he pitched more than two innings. He wasn't lights out, but when it came down to it, 9th inning, tying and winning runs on base, and Yaz, the ultimate clutch hitter, at the plate, on a day when the great Guidry was gassed, Goose came with the gas and beat the old man.
I know he was burned by Brett several years later in the same situation, but hey, sometimes you eat the bear...
Still, I think that out in Fenway Park has to be the defining moment of his career. After the game, Thurman asked Goose, "Where did that extra foot come from?" And as Glenn Stout aptly wrote in Yankee Century, it was that extra foot that beat Yaz and the Sox.
Plenty of people have nightmares about facing Ortiz. That doesn't necessarily mean you want to face Manny. Hell, I'm more scared of Manny, but I'm in the minority.
Rice vs. Goose: .235/.235/.412
Yaz vs. Goose: .375/.488/.469
I didn't mean to make a serious issue of this, but I think it points out how silly it is to annoint Jim Rice the most feared hitter of his era when there were probably 10 other equally scary hitters in the league and at least one other on his own team.
24 Damn...knowing that split makes nervous 30 years after the fact. I probably would have been screaming...WALK HIM.
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