Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Joe Girardi was introduced as the new Yankee manager yesterday while reports have it that Joe Torre has agreed to a three-year deal with the Dodgers. Presumably, Torre would bring Don Mattingly and Larry Bowa to L.A. with him. Lee Maz might jern them too.
Here's what's what around the web:
Joe Girardi: Tyler Kepner, Ed Price, and Mark Kriegel.
Joe Torre: Roger Angell, Murray Chass, Mike Vaccaro, T.J. Simers, Bill Shaikin, Bill Plaschke, and Jay Jaffe.
Don Mattingly: Joel Sherman, Filip Bondy, and Kat O'Brien.
Alex Rodriguez: John Harper, Adam Rubin, Ken Rosenthal, Steven Goldman, Nate Silver, and Hank Waddles.
Behind the pay wall at ESPN, Keith Law addresses Girardi's handling of young arms:
By turning the club over to a much younger manager in Joe Girardi and giving him a three-year deal, the Yankees have created a situation in which the manager's incentives more closely reflect the long-term goals of the club, which revolve around young pitchers.If Joe Torre had agreed to stay, would he have been willing to balance the long-term needs of the club against his own desire to win in the current year? The Yankees apparently didn't think so. There's a bit of concern when you're trying to rebuild your roster around young players and your manager has a one- or two-year window until retirement.
Girardi didn't want to fill his 2006 Florida Marlins rotation with rookies but was overruled by the front office, a move that worked to his benefit. He coaxed excellent years out of Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez, a good (and well-behaved) year out of Scott Olsen, and a little value out of Ricky Nolasco before he wore down in the second half.
In 2007, however, Johnson, Sanchez, and Nolasco combined for 37 innings because of arm injuries. Although that's not enough to label Girardi as an abuser of young arms, it's not an indicator in his favor, either.
Rob Neyer gushes:
I got the impression this year that Girardi, after leaving the Marlins, simply decided that when he managed again, he would manage the Yankees. He could have managed some other team in 2007, but instead he took a part-time job as a TV broadcaster for the Yankees. This accomplished two things. It kept him mostly unemployed, and it exposed his acumen to anybody in New York -- or Tampa, Fla. -- who happened to be watching the Yankees on TV.While all this talk about the three managerial candidates was going on, I kept asking myself, "How could they even think of hiring anybody but Girardi? He's clearly the best man for the job. He's the smartest, he's the youngest, and he's been the most successful."
My guess is that general manager Brian Cashman agreed with me all the while, and that the entire "process" was mostly for show.
Depending on what the Yankees do this winter, next season might be sort of a down year for the organization as they try to sort out their young pitchers. But if the Steinbrothers are patient with Girardi, I believe he'll be the franchise's greatest manager since Casey Stengel.
Lot's to chat about today. Fire away.
I wish Torre well....
I wish Girardi well....
I wish Mattingly well....
I wish ARod gets ebola....
Go Yanks....in '08!!!!
Me too - Everywhere I turned yesterday I saw the parade on tv - and there was just so much else going in it didn't seem to really concern me (though Paplebon is definitely certifiable)
I found Keith Law's article interesting. There are so many variables invloved with young pitchers and getting injured and what not, so who knows what role if any Girardi played - but though I'm sorry for the Marlins pitchers to be hurt - because of that situation, Girardi and the org will have to be even more careful with the Yanks young pitchers that this could actually be a good thing for the Yanks.
Never mind if you agree with the sentiment or not. Roger Angell is far and away the best damn baseball writer around.
And while it was hardly the Yankees intent, allowing him to see free agency is going to put more money in his pocket then signing him in the spring would have.
Trying to look to 2008.
But damn, YankeesWest is gonna be surreal.
the posada yankeeography paints a different picture, for what little that is worth.
"If We Had $200 Million To Burn . . . We'd Still Probably Lose A Few"
I expect to be hearing a lot of Posada to the Mets and anyone else that might be looking for a catcher until he signs somewhere (or hopefully re-signs)- the Mets and the NY media have been dropping Posada hints for months.
In any event, I am sure Willie Randolph is relieved that Joe hooked up with someone. Otherwise, the rumor mill would have started churning after every Mets three-game losing streak.
" Remote - check
chips - check
soda - check
Laptop logged onto the Banter - check "
PO is an emotional guy. He feels dissed. The F/O stance put him off. Now it's going to cost significantly more and he's going to listen to offers. He is however married to NY in a lot of ways financially and through his charities. But make no mistake he'll seriously consider Wilpon cash
21 22 There has to be a 134 slogan
How about "Talking Yankees baseball from Abbott to Zuvella".
That's kind of like not ever taking sides with anyone against the family again, ever.
... beating dead horses daily
... Where is Karim Garcia? (nod to 18 )
... Alex and Cliff's House
... Best thing with Sliced Bread (where is he this morning?)
... No Issue Left Uncovered
... Yacking on the Yankees since 2002
this could be fun
brilliant, knuckles.
of course you should really use BFOG+ (since it is adjusted for different size bellies)
OK, seriously now . . . shouldn't there be some kind of hip hop reference? Alex's best post titles always seem to have a hip hop reference. I'm the last person to come up with one of those, though. But I bet one of you could!
At least that's what I told the Dodger Thoughts crowd last night.
Then we could collect them all!
"It Takes A Nation Of Millions . . . "
apologies to Mos Def and Scritti Politti
Glad to see that Joe in Boston is back!
I can't believe nobody has commented on the end of that Neyer quote. That's a mighty big claim for someone with Neyer's knowhow. Not that there is any possible way to know, but I like ot hear stuff like that!
36 Awesome
Until two or so days ago I would have just said Bronx Banter on the front and "HA!" on the back. I'd also recommend "[Wacky Dance!] on the back, but that is perhaps a bit too obscure...
Rhode Islanders in Solidarity with Dimelo!
Shirt slogan:
So far I like Knuckles' (or the "+" version), but let's take this slow and not be too hasty, make sure all the options have been fully discussed...
Torre's could be - Goin back to Cali
Since the front reads: Bronx Banter,
The back is: Step into a World
And if the Yanks don't ever give out any Giambi/Pavano-style contracts again (I don't think they will) . . .
And the Yanks bring their financial resources to bear on the draft fulltime . . .
then I think Girardi could win 5 Seriouses - which is all it would take to be "the franchise's greatest manager since Casey Stengel."
A lot of ifs, but I think that's where Neyer is coming from.
Yeah, Neyer's quote was a little extravagant. Girardi's got electric stuff, no doubt. But with one whole year under his belt, I'm happy if he's merely a very good manager this year. History will take care of itself.
I'm starting to worry now that Joe2 will bend over backward not to over-use the younguns, and in so doing under-use them. I'm assuming he knows exactly what the rap on his managerial skills is, and that he's not so convinced of the wisdom of his former ways that he'd plow ahead irrespective of what everyone else in the world thinks his mistake was.
Put it this way: he must know that if he burns out Chamberlain, he's finished as a manager, forever. No GM would be crazy enough to take a chance on something like that happening again. He must know that.
Right??
"Come hang out at our zoo"
?
It is high... it is far... it is FREE!
Sheppard's got the voice, we've got the Banter.
Putting pinstripes into words since 2002
More Yankee nuts than a Reggie Bar
In any event, it's very hard to predict how long Girardi will be around - in addition to the patience or lake thereof from the Steimbrenners and the front office - will he be a manager that wears on teams - I don't think he will be in the range of Showalter - but only time will tell.
( http://tinyurl.com/3ym5gq )
...of course, these talks took place in july, but who's concerned with such minor details?
This is Alex's second ever post (according to the archives):
http://tinyurl.com/2eb293
How about:
"Passionate Yankee Fans"
Back: The House That Belth Built
43 How about:
"Rappin' about the Yanks since 2002"
That or "Talking Yankees from Abbott to Zuvella" -- that was a great idea.
"Bronx Banter...
where everybody knows your name... unless you're Karim Garcia"
or maybe it should just be:
"Bronx Banter...
where everybody knows your screen name"
'We don't freeze our Hall of Famers'
1) Not that Omar's above giving FA's more years than they're worth (see: just about everyone he's signed to the Mets), but I think every AL club, Yanks included, has a contract-length advantage over the Mets and every NL team simply b/c the AL teams - Yanks included - could shift Posada to full-time DH 3 years out should the years eventually catch up (sorry...) to his skills behind the plate. The last thing the Mets want is another Piazza on their hands with nowhere to put him.
2) We'll ALWAYS outspend the Mets to re-sign him.
Predition: Yanks, 3 years, $42 million, with a 4th year option at $15 million against a $ 3 million buyout.
I like 64 , but is it a little unfair to Cliff?
girardi seemed the only move for the yanks.
so is mattingly definitely following joe to LA or is that all unconfirmed? he'll have to wait awhile if he wants to coach son preston there.
...wait, that was not a nomination was it?
My bad...
Next year you could do "Corcoran", "Span", etc.
No, I like the, um, prosidy of "The House that Belth Built", and also the symbolism, and so on. And he's the founder, so yeah, I withdraw my 'fairness' criticism.
(I had to Google Dwayne Schneider.)
(checking Wikipedia)
oh yeah, Pat Harrington, Jr.
Back: World Serious
also like 92
any other "Clifford's Big Red Blog" fans? holla back.
How about these variations:
"getting Serious news about the Yanks since 2002"
"where Serious fans get their Yankee news"
"a World of Serious Yankee fans"
http://www.cartalk.com/
Back: "Showing more range than Jeter ..."
(OK, perhaps not)
Serious Yankee Talk
'Talk' may not be quite right for a blog.
;-)
For the shirts, I'll weigh in and vote with World Serious on the back.
BTW, LONG time lurker, recent poster. After A-rod et-al I couldn't hold out any longer...
. . .Everything
. . . YANKEES
Red Sox fans define themselves relative to the Yankees. We do not return the compliment.
102 Ouch! But funny. ^_^
Now there's a mensch.
Back: "#27 by 2011...(possibly.)"
On Pettitte, if you're the Yanks do you offer him yet another player option, for 2009, as enticement to re-up for 2008?
In other news, Mike Cameron will start the 2008 season with a 25 game suspension for using a banned substance. That can't help his free agency candidacy.
/pointless rant, off
ps: do we have to take larry bowa too?
"Where dead horses go to live,
Karim Garcia will never die and
Serious fans follow the Yanks"
Just remind Torre to leave Jeter's bat on his way out the door... ;-)
Front: Bronx Banter (in a graffitti font)
Back: Step Into a World
All the Way Live since 2002
World Serious
No Base Left Unturned
Debating Da Bombers since 2002
The Blog that Belth Built
Talking Yankees baseball from Abbott to Zuvella
A Family Affair
It Takes a Nation of Millions
Putting Pinstripes into Words since 2002
Zoo Keepers since 2002
More nuts than a Reggie Bar
World Serious
Where dead horses go to live, Karim Garcia will never die and Serious fans follow the Yanks
The problem with Mr. Torre is more that he will inexplicably use the top bullpen guys with 8 and 9 runs leads. And if Meloan starts next year the way he finished last year (9 ER in 7 IP, very un-Joba like) you won't see him for a month.
"the way things are going we'll probably end up with rivera too."
Not likely.
Posada is almost a lock to be significantly worse next season if he comes back.
Jeter's slugging is feeble.
Giambi is a total question mark.
Abreu is what he is, might be a touch better next year.
Cabrera might pick up a bit more power but I'm not holding my breath.
Cano might pick up a bit more power and I'm sorta holding my breath.
Matsui is probably going to be a hair worse next season.
All that means, that the pitching is going to have to be a LOT better next season. With full years from Joba, Hughes and Kennedy as well as Wang and hopefully Pettitte, maybe it gets better, but maybe not.
At this point, 85 wins wouldn't shock me.
Me, here. You, there. Steve ___ on the other side of the glass. Schmoooozing...
and please don't mention sturtze while i'm eating..
and re: meloan, you may be right that torre could be impatient about using him much early if he struggles, but don't let his numbers late last season fool you. he has fab stuff. may have higher learning curve than joba.
ah well, guess we'll see. I still think its the dodgers' gm and owner who need to figure out what they want.
Oh, don't get me wrong, I didn't mean to disparage Meloan. I took a look at his milb numbers too; the K-rate is ridiculous, and he barely gave up a hit every two innings. My point was more that Joe was only comfortable with Joba because he had no other options, and because Joba was so was clearly dominant right away. Had he struggled even a little bit, I'm not sure Joe would have used him much either. That is his biggest weakness, he has a tendency to prefer veteran mediocrity over unproven upside. He should be great in the clubhouse though, which seems to be especially important for the Dodgers.
Maybe we should plan on a six-man rotation (with the innings limits) and make sure we have someone reliable to make spot starts if necessary (easier said than done, I know).
Donovan Osborne
I expect Cano, Abreu and Melky to all have better (complete) seasons.
I expect the starting pitching to be improved.
I expect a little more innovation on offense and a little better bullpen managment.
Do I expect too much??
I suppose you're right that they don't have to replace all of his production, though - because they can't.
Replace Melky with Torii Hunter or Andruw Jones
Replace Minky with Giambi
Put Bonds at DH
Put Betemit at third
I'm not saying that I would do this, but if someone wanted to replace the offensive production...would these guys get close?
Andruw was a worse hitter than Melky last year. Probably an abberation, but I'm worried that it signals his decline. Torii is 32, which is not a good age for a CF. (We don't have to look very far to notice that fact.) Both of those guys will be paid much, much more than Melky, will be untradeable if we suddenly need to deal someone, and of course Melky is likely to improve over the next few years. Not just likely -- it's a near certainty.
The other moves do have something to be said for them, though.
Midges be damned!
Matsui - who knows. He was off-the-charts for one month, and entirely mediocre/bad for the rest of the season. Residual wrist problems? Bad knees? Hard to say. The optimist in me says he gets healthy and has a consistently decent Matsui year, not the yo-yo we saw last year. Decent being .290/25/100.
Cano had a crappy first couple months then came on strong. There is nothing to say he doesn't start off strong this year.
Giambi was a non-entity for most of the year. Who knows what to expect from him. The potential remains for him to be a .400 OBP guy with slugging power, but it's a crapshoot.
There is still potential for a lot of runs on this team, even without the third baseman.
As for the bullpen, I understand about Proctor and Joba. But in the past, that wouldn't have stopped Torre from continuing to brutalize Vizcaino, or from letting Edwar gather dust (his second time up).
Cano: it wasn't just last year. He was very weak in the spring in '06, too. Here's hoping he's about to grow out of that problem. If so, he's an All-Star (a 2B with top defensive skills and a .900 OPS!).
I'd add Melky to the list of Likely to Produce More. He's 23. Decent hitters almost always improve from seasonal age 22 to 23. So, yeah, maybe we pick up some extra runs from improvements in the April and May performances of our current players.
My own guess would have been that Andruw blew a lot of his future salary with this past terrible year. But he seems to be listed as the top CF FA, and among the very top FAs in baseball (though obviously not close to the top FA), so I guess he'll command a $17M sort of salary or a long contract or both. I've always liked Andruw. Two years ago I was hoping that the Yanks could stopgap at CF until he was a free agent. Now it just looks like a baaaad move.
OPS Pre ASB/ Post ASB
2005 772 / 782
2006 792 / 1015
2007 741 / 953
Career 767 / 906
188 yeah - it think melky can improve some - i'm really hoping to see melky draw more walks, hit more doubles, and steal more bases
192 yes, seems to be an actual pattern
It's true he didn't improve this year as expected. But I don't think that's a good reason to doubt he'll improve this year.
BP's 'most similar' player for him is Sixto Lezcano. That would be awesome -- his OPS+ jumped to 133 in his age 23 year.
2006 2007 Career
---- ---- ------
Apr xxxx .451 .451
May .786 .762 .774
June .609 .811 .708
July .833 .939 .850
Aug .850 .818 .834
Sept .679 .456 .564
Can we just keep his calendar pinned to July?
Back: "#Tough All Day for #27"
We need to KEEP our young guys (particularly those few who have shown they can play in the bigs).
The LAST thing we need to do is get older in the outfield.
I still think that beyond third base (and Andy Phillips might help there), the only major need is for the Yanks to help their middle relief (assuming Mo stays).
With NO new additions, with our young pitching, I think we have a fair chance at the playoffs again, AND to win the East. Boston has yet to prove that its pitching in '07 was less than a fluke than the White Sox, St. Louis, and Detroit years)
I'm optimistic.
also ... from MLBtraderumors:
The Padres will pass on available third basemen Alex Rodriguez and Miguel Cabrera. It sounds like a Padres team source is indicating the Marlins plan to shop Cabrera aggressively. As if this offseason wasn't going to be crazy enough, here's another marquee player on the market.
I like the high draft pick compensation, but read recently that won't apply if he signs with the Dodgers, whose picks are "protected". Not sure what that means...
Melky age 21: .280/.360/.391 OPS+ = 95
Age 22: .273/.327/.391 OPS+ =89
Bernie age 22: .238/.336/.350 OPS+ = 91
Age 23: .280/.354/.406 OPS+ = 113
The scary thing about Melky is that he didn't improve, at all. Exact same slugging and a much lower OBP. He's got to jump a very long way to be as good as Bernie was age 23.
226 ha - beat me to it - i was going to say it must not have been a carmona slider in the dirt
Yanks don't sniff the playoffs without him. No way around that fact.
if we had brought him back for $30 million/year, i would have been happy to have his production back in the middle of our lineup. but part of me would have been very uneasy thinking about the hitter he turns into in october.
No, of course it isn't disingenuous. I'm talking about results. I'm talking about how well the guy produces. You're talking about aesthetics, which don't really interest me.
Do you understand how OPS works? And do you understand that Jeter and A-Rod have equal career postseason batting?
Man I was out of it over the whole Torre affair, but a lot of sitting in a personal minivan waiting for Trump to do his thing gives you a lot of time to think. Trying to drive that minivan in midtown Manhattan traffic in broad daylight, well that forces you to think about what's really important. Here's what I've come up with:
- People are self-centered.
- People are stupid.
- If you hit a selfish, stupid person on Sixth Ave. crossing against the light, will anyone notice?
- I hate sports radio.
- Reality TV is not nearly as interesting as it may look.
- No one else will complain if A-Rod is on their team's roster in April.
- I need more money too.
Sleep on that, my friends. G'nite >;)
Fine, take away the home run, which accounts for the bulk of the slugging %. He still got on base 35% of the time, which is a lot more than practically everybody else.
I can't believe I'm defending him. I don't even like him. I feel like Ken Tremendous.
More importantly- he was the biggest reason the Yankees even got the chance to play in those postseasons. I'd rather make the tournament and lose than not make it at all.
I do think the sample size is much too small when you look at one postseason. That's why I gave his career number. And Jeter's. I'm not drawing any conclusions based on a single postseason. I think that's a foolish thing to do.
By the time Bernie was entering his second full year in the bigs (1994, age 25) - when his OPS+ began its ascent for the next 8 years - he'd averaged 153 G and 606 ABs the three previous seasons. In other words, Bernie was already used to playing a typical big league season.
I don't think Melky is used to a 162 game, 600AB year yet. Entering this year (his second full season in the bigs), he averaged just 142 G and 544 AB over the last 3 years.
I think by mid-August, he was tired, and that's why he slumped so badly at the end. He'll get used to a full season soon, and when he does, the improvement will come and stay.
Melky in 2006: .280/.360/.391
Melky through 8/15/07: .297/.350/.444
Melky after 8/15/07: .212/.267/.252
I hope you're right. I think Melky can be a bit above league average for many years to come. But I'm definitely not expecting him to be the next Bernie (offensively), who was a borderline HOF player for a long time.
I'm not saying the Yanks should demote Melky - and I don't think he'll be the next Bernie either. But I think there's a reasonable explanation for why his numbers regressed - he was tired - so I wouldn't give up on him just yet.
Wow, I sound like the Anti-Melk. I just don't think he'll ever be a 130 OPS+ guy. I hope to come back to this thread in a year and eat my words.
http://www.minorleagues.com/media/933138.jpg
"But if Arod stays in NY, it'll ruin my dream scenario, in which . . .
Torre's Dodgers, with A-Rod playing 3b, face off against Girardi's Yankees in the World Series. Despite A-Rod's valiant, clutch, post-season heroics, the Yankees prevail, as Series MVP Wilson Betemit hits a three-run HR in the 8th inning off an obviously exhausted Scott Proctor. "
Still, that's a damn decent revenge scenario, if that's your kind of thing.
Random flashback - 6 years ago, not much later than it is right now (maybe even a little before the time I'm typing this), Mr. November was born.
I will never forget that moment as long as I live.
i had to deal with some crap tonight wearing a long-sleeved Yankees shirt, but i took care of it without having to get into sabermetrics. i fear saturday night might be a tad more difficult...
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.