Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Looking at the Yankee roster as the season drew to a close, I didn't figure this to be a particularly active offseason. Sure, the Yankees needed to solve the Alex Rodriguez riddle, resign Posada, and Rivera, and hope Andy Pettitte would want to come back, but beyond that, first base and the bullpen were all Brian Cashman had to worry about. That was before the team half-assed a contract for Joe Torre and wound up having to change managers, told heir-apparent and favorite son Don Mattingly that he wouldn't be getting the job after all, and then had Rodriguez bolt town before even beginning negotiations with the team on a contract extension (and, by the way, that's a done deal, he's officially filed for free agency). And the latest? Pete Abe broke the story last night that the Dodgers are planning to can Grady Little and hire Joe Torre, and that Mattingly is expected to tag along as Torre's bench coach (remember that Donnie's son Preston was drafted by the Dodgers last June). Tyler Kepner and Murray Chass have more in the Times. Throw in the Red Sox's second championship in the last four years (which sounds like a bad punchline from Back to the Future II), and my head is spinning.
So now the Yankees have to rebuild their coaching staff (Ron Guidry and Joe Kerrigan are not expected to return, Larry Bowa still has an offer to coach third in Seattle, and who knows who else might want to follow Torre to L.A., by which I also mean Rivera and Rodriguez) and find not only a third baseman, but replace Alex Rodriguez's production (which is actually impossible, but they could compensate with gains on the other side of the ball, which brings it back to the bullpen and the promise in the starting rotation). That likely means a trade is going to happen, and not a small one. Who's expendable? Melky Cabrera? Ian Kennedy? Alan Horne? Austin Jackson? Perhaps. Who's not? Joba Chamberlain and Phil Hughes for sure.
Oh, and Joe Girardi, the man the Yankees have decided to hire as their new manager? He still doesn't have a deal. Jon Heyman (the man who broke the news about both Girardi's hire and Rodriguez's opting out) says the Yankees and Girardi are close to a three-year, $6 million deal, which is up from the $4.5 million/3-year deal initially rumored. Thing is, Girardi's got the Yankees by the tail. Torre's pissed, Mattingly issued a statement that reads like a concession speech, and both are likely headed for sunny L.A. The news is out that Girardi's been offered the job, so unless the Yankees want to burn a third bridge by reopening their search, they pretty much have to pony up and pay the man.
The length of the deal obviously isn't the issue here. The Yankees wouldn't offer Joe Torre a second year because they were obviously tentative about moving forward with him, which isn't an issue with Girardi, and there's no need to hide that fact. The money is interesting, however. The initially rumored $4.5 million would have been just less for three years than the base salary offered Torre for a single year. I don't think that's a coincidence. That Girardi has them up to $6 million total, thus $2 million per year, already makes him one of the six-best paid managers in baseball (tied for fourth with Willie Randolph and Bruce Bochy behind Lou Piniella, Bobby Cox, and Jim Leyland). It will be interesting to see if Girardi can break that tie and if he can push the total value of his contract closer to the $7.5 million Torre earned in 2007 alone.
Of course, what he gets paid won't affect Girardi's ability to manage the team, but the fact that the zoo is overtaking the Bronx once more could. Girardi played for the Yankees during their period of greatest calm and stability. He won World Series in his first year in New York and two more before leaving as a free agent after the 1999 season. As a coach, he was here only for 2005, when Alex Rodriguez was an MVP and the Yankees squeaked past the Red Sox to win the AL East. He hasn't seen the ugliness, but he did have some of his own down in Miami. Girardi claims to have learned from his negative experience with the Florida front office, but I still worry about how he'll handle even something as simple as another slow start like the ones the team has had in two of the last three seasons. Not because Girardi can't rally a team--he did a great job with the Marlins, who took time to coalesce like the Bad News Bears--but because of the heat he'll get from all comers if the team doesn't come out of the gate looking like the 1998 Yankees all over again. Under ideal conditions, I think Girardi would be the best man for the job, but right now the conditions are far from ideal. Here's hoping Brian Cashman can help restore order by the time pitchers and catchers report in mid-February. That's three and a half months and, contrary to what I expected, they're going to be wild ones.
leaving aside all the rhetoric and hurt feelings, and focusing on $ and team needs, do you guys really think there isn't still a significant chance the Yanks sign A-Rod?
I'd make them co-favorites myself....
What's the co-favorites thing?
I wonder if the best strategy would be to trade one of Damon/Matsui/Giambi (eating a thick slab of contract, of course). I would probably try to move Damon or Matsui, and hope to sign a 1B/DH to rotate with Giambi. As it stands, the two OFs are redundant and starting one at DH hamstrings the lineup.
The only other option, I guess, is that Damon actually works out some and convinces that he can actually play CF. Then (I guess) Melky becomes more expendable trade bait.
Also, is it precisely true that he did not try to negotiate? Or is the decision to opt out part of negotiation?
That said, I have a theory that Rodriguez refusal to negotiate is his giving back to the Yankees and their fans for 2006, and that the ultimate goal would be to go to Boston and rub it in the fans faces. I mean, really, could there be a more painful baseball image for Yankee fans than Alex Rodriguez hoisting the championship trophy wearing a Red Sox uniform?
I'm finding a hard time caring lately. I think my "fandom" is on its deathbed. I can't bring myself to care about all the egos and posturing involved in this.
Ha-ha..there is delicious albeit painful irony in that!
But that probably won't happen. My guess is he lands in SF. A football town with a toothless sports media, a club with Bonds* money to throw around, and an attendance ratio of maybe 70% there to 'experience' the ballpark, versus 30% hardcore fans. Perfect cover for such a stand up guy like A-Rod.
David Wells, however, is a free agent.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/
Trust me. You don't want to do go there.
But you will get to see the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks more!
See, out here, we put in extraneous auxiliary verbs.
The good news is that the Dodgers don't need a catcher.
My point is that, in your formulation, "all of the people" you liked to watch are going to the Dodgers. In your formulation, that would seem to include Torre, Mattingly, (possibly) A-Rod, and (possibly) Mo. I conclude, therefore, that you watched the Yankees only because of these two players and two coaches, and not to see Jeter, Cano, Melky, Joba, Hughes, Matsui, and so forth.
I find that a weird sort of fandom. Or, perhaps the rhetoric is just a bit overwrought as you work through your hatred of the management.
Of course it is. I'm pissed off and I'm making a point.
oh, and, again for what it's worth, I think your Red Sox in-your-face theory in 5 is pretty crazy--I mean go reread your last sentence: "I mean, really, could there be a more painful baseball image for Yankee fans than Alex Rodriguez hoisting the championship trophy wearing a Red Sox uniform?"
of course there couldn't be. & that's why you're imagining it. it's an entirely understandable Yankee fan doom fantasy; I've shared it once or twice--but c'mon, the players don't give a damn about this media Sox vs Yanks circlejerk....
https://bronxbanter.baseballtoaster.com/archives/840338.html
Consider how many hitters made big improvements as the season went on and mix in Alex Rodriguez having perhaps the best season in one of the greatest careers in baseball history and, yeah, I'd say Kevin Long was good at his job.
29 Ah, see I wrote "theory" when I should have written "conspiracy theory" or "nightmare." I fully acknowledge that it's crazy in terms of the motivation involved, but as far as the possibility of that scene actually occurring, I don't think it's all that far fetched.
TORRE
torre was not fired. he chose not to accept a $5 million contract because he wanted 2 years and the yankees were only willing to give him 1. perhaps eventually people can start thinking rationally about this and stop with the absurd "insult" rhetoric. if he goes on to the dodgers, good for him. we ended up with a younger and better manager. and give me a break about how important he was for the team's comeback since june. he wasn't out with prostate cancer at the beginning of this season. he was there, making crazy decisions all the way.
AROD
yes, this is a big blow. you can't say enough about what he did for our offense and defense (except for 2006). that said, he is still just one player. he can't be replaced by any one player, but the team can make better use of all that money than on him alone. and, honestly, aren't you happy to be rid of him? he's maybe the best player of all time, but i can't stand him. and i think a lot of the other players would agree. and the idea that he opted out because of how the team handled torre is absurd. torre who batted him 8th last year and then collaborated on the verducci article? yes, i'm sure arod got over that very quickly.
MO AND JORGE
if any of these 2 leave, particularly mo, i'll be very upset. but they haven't. the front office understandably decided to install a new manager before anything else. arod decided not to wait, for whatever reason. but mo and jorge are not "twisting in the wind" right now. this is the normal process that happens when players are free agents. bernie williams didn't re-sign until the day before thanksgiving in 1998, and that was right in the middle of his prime years. so everyone calm down a little bit about mo and jorge. in all likelihood, they will be back. just have a little patience.
PETTITTE
i believe he has said that he will either pitch for the yankees next year or retire. i don't see him breaking that promise. you could tell he loved to be back in ny last season, and i don't think he's going to leave again. is he suddenly so devoted to torre that he can't stay? that seems very unlikely.
His 2007 splits are interesting. He has the SAME # of XBHs both home and away, but his OPS is a whopping .226 higher in Fenway. One would have to think, as a relatively slow runner, that he pops a lot of singles of the Monster.
Year Home Away
2006 .763 .866 (+.103)
2007 .993 .767 (-.226)
Lowell's a good glove and a good guy, but if we bring him in, we will be deceived if we expect offense anywhere near his Red Sox production. To me, he looks like AT BEST, an .800 OPS guy in Yankee stadium.
Given that he should command both big dollars and years on the FA market, I think he looks to be the wrong guy for us, unless we are happy with above average D and a .780 OPS.
TORRE
Wow, I've never seen anyone do CPR on a horse!
AROD
"the team can make better use of all that money than on him alone."
Good. How? What/whom should we spend it on?
MO and JORGE
I'll be surprised if they don't sign. It's almost guaranteed that Cashman will offer more than the competition, right?
PETTITTE
I have no idea. It might depend on whether he thinks the team has a good chance to win.
Which, as it happens, describes Wilson Betemit's career to a T.
ARod was almost a Red Sox once. They still want him. 2008 is Manny's last year. Thats $20m. They can ditch Coco $3.8m +/-)... Ellsbury is the real deal. Schrill is probably done ($13m). The iimediate $$ is certainly not an issue for Boston.
I think the Sox are the favorites to get ARod. And ARod will NOT go for the highest bid. He will go where he WANTS to play, which will be a combo of chances for the PS and personal comfort for him and wifey.
And really... what better way to respond to the 'Ruth deal' then talking about the 'ARod deal'.
This could even be Boras' strategy. Crow, humble pie, shit... you name it. Cashman will have to eat it to keep ARod from going to the Sox. ARod could help keep Boston ahead of us for a decade.
as for arod, i don't know what to spend the money on, but the answer to "how?" is wisely.
If you think A-Rod will not go for the highest bid, you've got another thing coming. And if he couldn't hack NY, why in the hell would he decide Boston is the best environment for him? If he's hitting .250 in May, all he'd hear is that the Sox managed to win 2 WS without him, he's a bum, what's he doing here, etc.
I like your sentiment, but this refrain has to be put to sleep. Yes, they had Brosius at 3B...and Jeter, Williams, and Posada in their primes at SS, CF, and C...and some hired guns as pitchers...and a hired gun superstar at 2B. We need to stop romanticizing the dynasty teams as a bunch of lunchbox players and no superstars.
As far as A-Rod, I just can't get upset with the team for not wanting to offer more than they were prepared to. As great as he is, he wants way too much for way too long. And I don't think getting booed in 2006, losing Torre, or anything the Steinbrothers have done or said have anything to do with it.
The Red Sox disproved the old "crapshoot'' theory espoused by a lot of folks who keep losing in the playoffs.
tinyurl.com/2kkup8
Yes! The Sox disproved the "crapshoot" theory by winning! As it happens, I disproved the old "crapshoot" theory of craps last weekend. Finally that old myth has been laid to rest.
And then Alex would come back to the Yankees, and... live happily ever after... hmmmm.
Still, I don't really disagree with the spirit of what you're saying.
1) Torre
2) Donnie
3) ARod
4) Bowa
and counting. Its hard to see Pettitte coming back. This is a deeply spiritual man, and I don't think he likes the 'spirit' of DARY. If Mo or Po leaves, Andy is definitely gone.
There are Torre and now ARod 'haters' here, who are just so thrilled to see these guys gone, that they ignor all the points Marc makes, and the physical 'deconstruction' happening as we speak.
Cashman will try to build the 'physical' team back up to contention, but our spirit is deeply wounded, if not gone. The Yankees needed some change, but it would have been nice if the Yankees controlled the pace and magnitude of the change, as opposed to the change controlling the Yankees.
We are in pure Salvage mode. For some players, for many fans, for a place in the PS. While it is possible that Girardi may ultimate be as good or better then Torre... at what cost?
However... time heals all wounds. The real question is what impact the FO (DARY, or as Yankees Chick calls them: Stein and the Steinettes) will have on this team's future. Are they savy baseball people, or at least smart enough to hire and listen to savy baseball people? Do we have 2 spoiled kids who have both professed to have little interest in baseball now in control of Daddy's toy? Will corporate thinking of profit at all costs (the Yankees have 'lost' money the last 3 years) change how we compete?
How could ARod NOT have some concerns about the Yankees FO? How could anyone here not have serious concerns about the Yankees FO?
and i think calling knoblauch a superstar is a bit of a stretch. he was a star in minnesota, but not a superstar.
http://tinyurl.com/2axb5d
Who know what to make of this really.
47 If Alex signs with someone else on the 13th I think tampering will defenitely be a concern. But I wonder if there was in fact something go on - if Boras will be able to help himself and hold off on the announcement for a little while to guard against tampering accusations in light of the JD Drew accusations last year and the fact that the Yanks will be much more likely to look into tampering than the Dodgers were last year.
Two coaches. Two (maybe three) players, one of whom many fans never considered a "True Yankee (TM)" and therefore could not possibly have made up the spirit of the Yankees. That's what you're basing this whole deconstruction thing on?
Robinson Cano
Derek Jeter
Bobby Abreu
Hideki Matsui
Johnny Damon
Joba Chamberlain
Chien-Ming Wang
Phil Hughes
Ian Patrick Kennedy
Ross Ohlendorf
Coming Soon:
Austin Jackson
Jose Tabata
Brett Gardner
Humberto Sanchez
James Brent Cox
I think there's quite a bit of spirit to root for in those guys, no? Or are many fans just intent on running around screaming about how the sky is falling? In that case, Chicken Little, I'll return to the woodwork.
The main point is that when Showalter was fired and Torre, whom everyone saw as a nothing, was hired, I heard the same doom and gloom. But it din't work out that way--and it didn;t work out that way mainly because the organization put a lot of good young players on the field. Matbe Torre contributed a lot to the atmosphere, but I have an easier time evaluating Jeter's 1999 production than figuring out how many "Torre wins" or "Torre losses" there were. If Torre had this hold of the "spirit" of the team, then to honest, I would be pretty worried. Cult of personality is dangerous foundation for an organization--on the one hand it brings great loyalty, on the other hand it also brings conservatism, an adversion to change, and Bernie Williams' corpse getting hundreds of ABs.
Indded, you cite the wounded "spirit" of the team. Again, this is pretty much unverifiable. Frankly, I have no idea how to respond to the questions you post because they frame a mostly irrational discourse, in my opinion.
Call it Salvage Mode if you like. Call me a company man, too. But for the first time in a very long time I am excited by the prospect of young players on the roster and a new coaching staff (and perhaps some new approaches) to the game on the field.
How do we replace that production? Saving all that money is only, well, money saved for the Steinbrenners, unless something useful to the team can be done with it. And frankly I don't see a lot of free agents out there worth spending money on.
Eric Gagne, anyone?
ARod offered to take less pay already to be on the Sox. He gave up SS to be on the Yankees, and have a great shot at winning. If you want to focus on Tom Hicks OUTRAGEOUS offer, that was literally historical, and the fact that a 25 year old ARod was swayed by it, knock yourself out. But everything ARod has done since, show, like almost ALL players later in their careers, the winning is more important then $$.
When you consider ARods worth, going to the highest bidder as opposed to going where he WANTS, would be like you doing the same thing for an extra $100/yr.
Lastly, the Yankees are the team who would have paid ARod the most. They had Hicks paying almost $4m/yr of his contract. If ARod was purely about the money, they would be finalizing his contract with the Yankees right now.
Except when the Yankees got him from the Twins in a "salary dump," there was the typical hew and cry about "an all star at every position" and how the Yankees were "unfair."
They didn't have an A-Rod--how many teams ever do have the best player in the league? But they did have some of the very top players at their position at multiple positions.
Making the team worse (by having inferior players) makes the team worse. End of story.
The A-Rod thing is a big blow, production-wise, but I don't see the team stumbling out of the gate next year due to every pitcher & his brother going down with injuries. I think the team will be fine with a replacement level guy.
Jorgie & Mo will be back -- Yankees now have the cash to pay them. Pettitte? I'm not so sure, but he was healthy & now gets to play mentor. I doubt Roger's coming back -- he can't even pitch half a season anymore. So that's more money saved.
And without have to massage Alex's ego, the Yankees can get rid of Minky!!
Everything points to the fact that Cashman is in charge of strategy (note: Joba was not traded to the Rangers for Gagne, he was not abused down the stretch, IPK was shut down for the season when he felt some back pain despite a stellar debut, etc.). The front office is fine. And frankly, if Posada and Rivera are going to be miffed about Torre leaving then fine. They have to go sooner or later. Rivera is a 38 year old reliever and Posada is a 35 year old catcher coming off of an abnormal year. Take away the nostalgia and misty-eyes and try convincing yourself that the best money the Yankees can spend is on two guys at the end of their careers.
I would personally love to have Posada, Rivera, and Pettitte back, and I'm not against over-spending slightly, but I'm a Yankee fan first and I'm pretty damn excited about the future. I've been getting tired of watching a team crammed with superstars scuffling about hitting weak grounders to second (only to abuse some lowly AAA pitcher from Tampa Bay a week later).
So the Yankees are undergoing a change. Big deal, it happens.
Arod to Red Sox as a SS (Boston unloads Lugo and eats salary).
Mike Lowell stays in Boston.
Papi, Manny, Arod, Lowell in the lineup
This could be a really ugly year. Don't forget, Mrs. Arod is originally from Lowell, MA, and I doubt Alex's ego will let him admit to himself that he can't handle the pressure of Boston. Plus, Boston's on a bit of a title roll (2 in 4 years), he's got more consistent protection in front and behind him in the lineup, he gets back to SS, and he gets to stick it to the Yanks fans (if he's that kind of person).
62 I'd make that trade in a heartbeat, if I were the Yankees.
You are right. Cashman should heat up the wires, and make sure the press reports 'talks with the Yankees' on every above average 3rd baseman in the game.
Smart Dude. Now you are thinking Cashman style.
Its a tough call. I can't see anyone going 8/$240. But PS dollars IS a lot of money, and ARod could be the difference for some teams, especially the Angels. In some ways, no player is worth $30m... but the truth is they are, if they are the 'straw' that drives a team to a few Post Seasons.
Personally, I would love to see 1B/DH improved, rather than used as an infirmary for aging players. One would think that Cashman could find someone who can hit a little to stick at 1B.
63 Agreed. I hope Clemens calls it a career, the circus he brings with him isn't worth the mediocre pitching. It'll be a semi-interesting off-season, but I don't think it will be filled with blockbusters.
I'm far more concerned about players (Posada, Mo).
But I'm excited for next year. We have good, young pitching to watch!
73 He's probably more worried about Maddux catching him.
The teams that have been fielding Championship quality teams recently have been following this same pattern. Find young talented pitchers and build around them. The Yankee dynasty of 1996-2003 is basically over. I don't mind rebuilding for a couple of years, especially with Girardi managing since he has shown he can handle a young pitching staff, if not an insane owner. I'm not sure Hank can be put in the same category as Jeff Luria.
The Yankee brass are only concerned with championships. But do we (the fans) really need to see a championship every year, if it means all the s* we have to see in the course of the season?
If the Yanks don't make the playoffs next year, but that allows them to come back even stronger in '09, I'd be happy. But the Yankee brass think that's blasphemous (even if Cashman is trying to get them to have some patience).
I'd also like to see if the Yanks could make a move for Chris Iannetta.
It is impossible to project, but how Mo, Po and Pettitte feel (assuming they re-sign) and Jeter feels, will he hard to know. I believe they all saw they Yankees under Torre, as family. Will this effect their performance? Have you ever had a job where your 2 favorite and most influencial frineds/employees left? Did it change your feelings towards the company? Effect your energy? Change your attitude?
I am NOT making a statement. I am asking questions.
I don't know if there will be any fallout in that regard, but it's possible.
The idea of Torre pulling a Yogi is not fun.
The idea of Donnie (God forbid) pulling a Yogi is not fun. Will losing Bowa effect Cano? There are now many issues. They are might mean nothing. But they could also be significant.
I mean, if you lose 2 fingers, ya still got 8 left. But losing 2 fingers still sucks!
I may be wrong, but 1 thought:
2nd half 2007 Yankees + Joba/IPK/Hughes now with some experience + 1 winter of getting some BP help, 1 SP and maybe 1B issue + continued development of the farm = 2008 domination and beginning of next dynasty.
I'm NOT saying this is nuclear.
I'm NOT saying all is lost.
I am saying we took some steps backwards and may have damaged Torre's and Donnie's place in Yankee's history, and may have thrown away 2008.
And that if ARod does go to the Red Sox, that this MAY indeed br a very bad time.
BUT... as I said above... it is NOT only the specifics of what has happened recently, but the judgement of DARY I am concerned about. I just hope that all this is NOT the first signal of deeper problems coming.
I'd be completely happy with spending oodles of money on Santana. But we'll have to spend young talent, too, and I don't know if that will really make the team better in the long run.
And that Mike Harkey MIGHT be his pitching coach.
I was hoping that position would be internal, but okay.
Anyone know anything about him (as a coach)?
I don't believe we can replace A-Rod because he is in fact a top 5 position player if not the best in that category. We will however be able to substitute in some creative ways to make the loss less painful and perhaps come out the other end a better team.
This does however place Hank's comments about "giving the new manager a grace period because he wont be getting the '96 Yankees" in some perspective. I'm wondering if there isn't an aspect here of the Yankees attempting to clean house a little bit and move some guys along. I'm thinking about Mo and Jorge. I wonder now how serious the Yankees are about bring them both back. I have a sense that at least one of them may not be back, hence Hank's comment. I think we may indeed be looking at a down year in '08 with a planned resurgence in '09 for the new stadium. I hope not (best laid plans etc.) but that makes sense to me given the comments made and the actions taken this year to date.
This has been like watching paint peel in time lapse: I'm really hating this.
Posada plays 1B 2-3 days a week, catches 3-4 days a week. Molina catches on days when Posada plays 1B?
Wonder if the Jays would part with Overbay?
So if Giambi is full time DH, do you use 1B to get at bats for Matsui & Posada (Damon in LF, Melky CF).
Than all that is needed is finding a thirdbaseman. Someone who wants to play in New York.
the only one comfortable with the idea of doing it seems to be damon
These were both very well BALANCED teams.
Both strong up the middle. Both had excellent SP. They excelled, to some high degree, in the 3 areas of offense, defense and pitching. It is silly to say 'we won with Brosius' or 'didn't have a superstar' and comparisons of the like. We won because we had a total of high end performance in all aspects of the game... especially pitching.
Our teams of late have been MUCH, MUCH stronger on offense, weaker on defense and considerably weaker in both SP and BP pitching.
Losing ARod was a blow because we were built on offense, not balance.
However, Joba, Phil, IPK and other kids may change that dynamic. Losing ARod hurts. Hopefully we will make up some of the lost wins with better pitching.
My issue is the Cubs, Liriano, etc. Until we get a few years from our young studs, we can't absolutely count on them.
We pretty much KNOW what to expect from ARod, Mo, Po and Pettitte... or at least can take an educated guess. But pitching is more fragile. Until we get a year or 2 of 180+ innings from these kids, we are still in wait-n-see mode.
Someone suggested that Cashman didn't really want ARod. That, indeed, housecleaning was happening. If this is true, was Hank's comments about "giving the new manager a grace period because he wont be getting the '96 Yankees" a way to get ARod to leave on his own?
That statement, to me, was really stupid. Why PUBLICALLY set the bar low? Say that to Girardi in private? Fine. But to say that ALOUD at this time?
Does anyone else think saying that was INCREDIBLY STUPID? Or is it possibly there was a method to this madness.
If the Yankee's truly don't want ARod, they having him Opt-out is very smart. Makes the Yankees look good and ARod bad. Possible?
For that reason I don't buy the argument that the Yankees need to replace Arod's run production exactly. I need to take the time to do the stats but here's my feeling: The Yankees produced more runs than any other team, but that didn't result in the most wins. More consistent, healthier, more average pitching - 4.5 era - that consistently goes 7 innings would have a greater impact than scoring more runs. It would lighten the load on the relief corps, which would probably make them better too.
Of course, five healthy starters with a 4.5 era probably doesn't win too many playoff series, so maybe a couple 3.5 eras at the front of the rotation should be a goal. And the youngsters and Wang might be able to summon something like that as is.
I detested AROD for illogical reasons. I hated his success even though it was for my beloved Yankees. I can't wait to hate his extraordinary success somewhere else with a clearer conscience - and in Boston I could hate him the most freely. How can he not sign there as a SS? It's almost inconceivable.
This was in the top of the eighth inning of the last game of the World Series, and understandably led Joe Buck and Tim McCarver to discuss it. Major League Baseball was stunned."
Question: We all know this was a crappy stunt by Boras-Boras/ARod. No question.
But waht about Ken Rosenthal? Does he get a free pass? We know Boras is a media whore. But did someone threaten Ken, Joe and Buck's family, and tell them to announce this DURING that game? Could they have waited 2 hours?
Back in the day, reporters knew Kennedy was screwing Marilyn, but no one reported it. That was the standard of the time.
Did Ken, Joe and Buck/Fox play a role in 'upstaging the WS'?
Absolutely- and I don't see where the difference lies, other than A-Rod is out of the picture. I think it's pretty clear that A-Rod/Boras should not be taken at their word and the decision to opt-out was NOT due to the Joe Torre situation. And it's true that the lack of A-Rod will hurt the team for the next five years or so. It may make us feel a bit better around 2013 when some team is on the hook for $30M for a 40 year old in decline.
But still, the decisions to come will not affect the Yankees much beyond 2008. Posada is needed for next year, certainly, but beyond that he will fade into an advisory role to one of the catching prospects. Rivera is a face of the franchise but there's no reason to believe he will be a significant factor much beyond 2008. And while Pettitte will be a nice, stabilizing addition to a young pitching staff (many of whom will have an innings cap), he's not playing beyond 2008 either.
So I guess I would agree that, minus all FOUR players, would appear to be punting 2008. Is that really such a bad thing? Would you prefer the Yankees of old, who would no doubt throw heaps of money at Torii Hunter or Andruw Jones, just to make a splash?
If they all left, I would be happy if the Yankees took the money saved on A-Rod, Mo, Posada, and Pettitte and threw it exclusively at the 10 or so first round draft picks they'd be likely to get in 2008 if they all signed elsewhere.
Great SP is wasted unless you have at least a decent BP. WE NEED MO!
Tracy is 28 and coming off injury but might be a good fit. Arizona now has Mark Reynolds at 3B (if they don't move him to 2B and trade Hudson) so that might leave Tracy as trade bait. Quentin was horrible last year and injured but had a great minor league track record. Arizona already has their OF of the future and I don't think Quentin is part of those plans.
Arizona could use some young pitching as they have young position players everywhere. I'm not sure it is feasible or what young pitching it would take, but I think these are the types of deals Cashman should be exploring.
"I apologize to the Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies and their players, Major League Baseball and its players, and baseball fans everywhere for that interference," he said in a statement. "The teams and players involved deserved to be the focus of the evening and honored with the utmost respect. The unfortunate result was not my intent, but is solely my fault. I could have handled this situation better, and for that I am truly sorry."
Red Sox fans sure took notice fast. After their team won the title for the second time in four seasons, they stood behind the visitors' dugout at Coors Field and chanted: "Don't sign A-Rod!"
Also among the 57 players who filed for free agency on the first possible day were Yankees P Mariano Rivera, C Jorge Posada and 1B Doug Mientkiewicz; San Francisco OF Barry Bonds.
2008 Yankees + Bonds at DH = decent shot at PS = maybe nobody really misses ARod?
105 no - i don't want to see that
there's not much else out there to spend money on this year, so they should be able to make Mo a tremenendous offer
Posada and Rivera among 5 Yanks to file for FA.
But Ken et al do make their living off of MLB. They are part of the team. Should they not have a tiny bit of integrity for the sake of MLB? Cound they have at least waited until after the game? (a whole hour or so)
Call Boras an asshole. I call him smart. I don't think ARod would have had the balls to do this, but Boras certainly has.
It's true that "it's what the media DO." But little kids tend to tease other 'outcast' little kids. Happens all the time. Does this make it right?
It's funny. What ARod and Boras are doing is simply "it's what they DO", and yet we are outraged! Funny where we choose to give "it's what they do" a pass, and where we don't.
If Fox's primary concern was about the WS, they did not have to report on ARod - afterall, they were not breaking news they were just reporting it - there is a slight distinction.
However, with that said - Boras knew exactly what he was doing and so did ARod - they are free to do what they want - but they cannot turn around and not expect the reaction to be negative. There was absolutley no reason other than attention to opt-out and announce on Sunday rather than Monday - much less waiting to the deadline to negotiate with the Yanks (if he did/does in fact want to come back)
If Fox had withheld the story, THAT would hurt their integrity, professionally speaking. It's not their job to protect the sanctity of the game from people like Boras. It's their job to report the news. And if they didn't break it when they did, then ESPN or someone else would have, and then we'd all be scratching our heads as to why Fox felt the need to protect ARod's image or protect the moment for the Sox by pleading ignorance about the news. Reporting that story is Fox's job. It just so happens that Fox's job is less repugnant than Boras' "job."
Basically, what Boras "does" and what Fox "does" are very different, just like what Fox does is very different from what schoolyard bullies do.
The Sox will never sign him for 4 years, much less 3, not as long as they have the option of Youk at 3B and Carter/? at 1B.
For Fox to not report that story, really they would have to make the conscious conclusion that "our audience doesn't want to hear about this," which would frankly be silly.
Third baseman age pretty quickly (especially their backs). I'd expect Lowell's productivity to decline significantly, even if he HAS taken advantage of the Monster.
I'm sorry, I don't have the heart to read through the rest of yesterday's 800+ comment thread yet. So if I'm dredging up sore wounds (or dead horses), my bad.
If Torre goes to manage the Dodgers, fine. Great. Good for him. Hopefully the Dodgers will try to field an all-veteran team and decide to make Kemp, Loney, Ethier, LaRoche etc available - and if so, I'd hope the Yanks snatch them up likethat. (And, I'd feel really really bad for the poor Dodger fans over at Dodger Thoughts - you folks don't deserve that.)
But Mattingly . . .
The 8-year-old in me, who idolized Donnie Baseball, the Hit Man, the 1985 MVP, cannot, CANNOT accept him wearing Dodger Blue - or any other major league uniform. This is NOT happening. Even if it happens, it did NOT happen. Let's all agree to this now, and then never speak of it again. OK?
But I'm not 8, I'm 30. And while the 30-year-old adult me can rationalize it, can even understand it - its forcing a part of me that still wants to be a kid to grow up, and deal with the fact that even Donnie Baseball isn't going to be just a Yankee forever.
Damn you and your prescient "you root for the laundry" comment, Jerry Seinfeld. You were right, and it hurts.
1. "The Yankee offense will still be fine without Rodriguez." No, it doesn't just weaken them a little, it tears a hole in the middle of the lineup. All of a sudden there's no cleanup hitter, a lack of real power threats, and a huge imbalance towards lefty hitters. Using VORP, replacing Rodriguez with Betemit is a loss of almost 90 runs.
2. "They'll make up for it with pitching." 90 runs is over half a run a game. That's an awful lot for three rookies to make up.
3. "They can use the money to buy more pitching/improve the bullpen/get a couple of position players." I don't see why this is a zero-sum game; the Yankees won't stop being able to spend money by signing Rodriguez. Besides, spending more on the bullpen certainly hasn't worked in the past, and it's not like there are terribly useful free agents around.
4. "They don't need a superstar at every position. They won with Scott Brosius at 3B." Don't look now, but they don't have a superstar, or even a star, at every position. They have some players who used to be superstars but aren't anymore; and others who might be superstars someday; but who's actually a superstar today? Maybe Jeter, if you squint a little; Posada last year, but maybe not next; ummmm.... Brosius replaced Boggs and Hayes. If he'd replaced Bernie or O'Neill, the team might not have won so much.
Sadly, you are right across the board.
The FA market this year in the positions the Yanks needs is not plentiful.
I think the Yankees would be foolish not to pursue Rodriguez now. I know what they said, and they had good reason to say it; I'm just not sure they still have good reason to stick to it, now that conditions have changed.
As I see it, his decision to opt out, the Texas money and everything else that came before should be put aside for a second. Here are the essential facts:
1. The Yankees need a third baseman.
2. The Yankees need a cleanup hitter, a righty with legitimate power.
3. Alex Rodriguez is a free agent.
I think the rest is pride and hurt feelings. With Torre, they made it clear that business is just business, and they need to take that view here as well.
Maybe he really doesn't want to come back, in which case they can't sign him. But if they don't try, I think they're just cutting off their nose to spite their face.
I guess I am 'goofing' on the 'outrage' over this incident. It did not really detract from the Red Sox 'moment', and as Ms October points out... if it does upstage the WS, then there is something very wrong with the WS.
Olney wrote an (Insider) article about how 'boring' the WS has been, basically since 2001. My guess is the WC, and the fact that the 2 best teams often DON'T make it, is part of the problem. Selig et al are desparate to prove 'competative' balance, so we have 'crapshoot' playoff rounds to prove 'low budget' teams can win, which ultimately detracts from the WS. Fox is only lucky the Sox beat the Indians, or the WS ratings would really be in the toilet.
Remember when Selig said we have a 5 game DS series (instead of 7) because the season was too long, and we couldn't find 2 extra games without shortening the regular season?
And now somehow has added 2 or 3 extra 'days off' to the playoffs, which killed the continuity for both fans and players?
Selig is as good at gamesmanship as Boras.
The answer is debateable, but I think the point is there is life after Arod.
It was more of a case of Peter Gammons flipping out with his "you're taking away from my Precious!" thing, and then of course MLB weighing in. That said, Boras really is a dick for trying to yank the spotlight.
Not sure if I agree with your comments about the best teams not making it, though. Detroit, Houston and St. Louis (the last three WS losers before Colorado) all were looking like playoff beasts - maybe not the best teams, but still very good teams, and no one would have been surprised if they had won the Series. The '03 Yanks were clearly one of the best teams, and the '02 WS was in fact super-dramatic.
I think it has more to do with the losing teams spitting the bit than anything else. I mean, in the last 4 years, the losing team has only managed a single win - three sweeps! That's nuts. But I don't think it has to do with the caliber of the losing team - they simply didn't play well in that series (except for Colorado, which really did seem like ther were playing above their heads).
The loophole: maybe Boras expects huge offers from other teams that will in fact never materialize. That would change the situation.
I have great questions about DARY... which is an insulting acronym. But I can't put faceless beancounters on the same level as a great player who wore the Pinstripes for 4 years, brought in 2 MVPs, and really carried this team to the PS both those years.
I reacted to the arrogance of some, who are able to read minds and predict the future, and who are absolute in knowing ARods 'true' character and motivation, in or course, the worst possible light. I have never seen such pedantic and dogmatic behavior anywhere. I will apologize for my over reaction, but I was disgusted by not only ARods treatment, but the treatment of a Yankee.
There is NO doubt this team is much better with ARod, and he will be close to impossible to replace. The FA market is flat in 2008, and not the vehicle for 'reasonable priced' talent if was some years ago.
Furthermore... Santana and many other desirerable will cost us currency we can't afford, and that is youth and talent. In reality, cash currency we have. $18m for 3 months of Roger? If we can afford that in order to win, ARod is dirt cheap.
But I have faith in Cashman. I'll guess he was as surprised as us at the 'quickness' of ARods decision, but I'm sure the guy has many contingency plans. He's a smart guy. I don't think 'The Steinettes' together know as much about baseball as the average Banterer (and there is lots written to back this up), but I'm happy to let them play Bad Cop to Cashman's Good Cop.
IF ARod doesn't get HUGE money and
IF he's still willing to come back to the Yankees...
I expect Cashman will put the correct political spin on it (after all, it would be our FIRST shot at a negotiation) and bring ARod back on board. I don't know IF it will happen, but I think Cashman is still in the hunt.
Cashman understands that Boras is just playing the game. But Cashman can play too.
They need to go hard after Posada and Mo, and then get creative with 3B. There are options. None of those options are as good as ARod, granted, but all is not lost.
The main thing, for next year and beyond, is to continue the recent trend of investing in the farm.
I am sad to lose A-Rod's production. I am not sad to see him go. I never booed and I cheered and rooted for him like crazy, never more than at the start of this season. I would have been glad to have him back...but, there's just something about A-Rod...I don't know.
I hope there's no long playoff drought or return to dealing prospects for aged vets. If not, there's plenty to be excited about from AAA to the GCL. The future is bright.
I don't think I was the only one tired of wondering why this ensemble of all-stars just seemed to press so much. How did they lose 4 in a row to BOS in the ALCS? Where did the bats keep disappearing to? Why did they look so tense, so tight, so out of sorts? Maybe, it was just perception. Maybe, not. But, I have grown tired of watching the same thing replay year after year. Losing is hard. Losing the way the Yanks have over the last 4 feels harder.
I look forward to the opportunity for a new dynamic brought about by a new manager and a new mix of players. It could all go south. It could also blossom. I guess I'm just excited by the promise of something new, with greater potential outcomes, than the same old, same old.
It's just a sentiment. Because, logically, I understand that we were better off, statistically, with Alex (and Sheff) at the bat.
But as I commented earlier 33 , they presumably did have contingency plan(s) in case A-Rod left (and, for that matter, in case all of the FAs leave). Now we get to see just how prepared the FO is--now is Cashman really earns his pay check.. This, I will reserve judgement about their handling of the situation until we have enough historical data to make such a dertermination.
133 "They need to go hard after Posada and Mo, and then get creative with 3B. There are options. None of those options are as good as ARod, granted, but all is not lost.
The main thing, for next year and beyond, is to continue the recent trend of investing in the farm. "
Amen.
EVERYBODY knows the Big Stein is failing and the kids jumped in to the family business because they 'had to'. DARY does not carry much weight, just bluster. Cashman is the only one that really carries any weight.
Here's a very simply (Cashman) statement that puts it all right, if we do indeed sign ARod.
"I meant what I said at the time, and I felt it was in the best interest for the Yankees. However, in evaluating what has since happened... I CHANGED MY MIND. It is too important for a player of Alex's stature to retire and enter the HOF as anything but a Yankee. I can not let may past statements get in the way to doing what is now best for the team"
It's really, really easy. People say shit all the time. Apologize, change their mind. Whatever. And everyone one knows this is ONE HUGE GAME. Everything everyone says is bullshit. It's meaningless.
Hank will say "This tells me that Alex fully understands his legacy as a Yankee... yada yada yada..."
ARod will say how good it is to be 'Home'... yada yada yada
The REAL game is played between the lines.
You would be amazed at what you can get away with, if you are willing to say:
"Gee... I guess I was wrong... sorry"
And please, someone explain to me exactly how this would hurt them in future negotiations. Not just "they'll lose credibility" or "they'll be laughingstocks" - what will actually happen differently in future negotiations?
You are not thinking 'Game'. Because ARod did NOT talk to the Yankees, he did NOT turn down the Yankees. Cashman has yet to make his 'First' offer. BORAS: "Since Rod really considers himself a Yankee, we wanted to give the Yankees the last shot at ARod, so the Yankees could make the ultimate decision".
Don't you see how BRILLIANT this is?
He is allowing Cashman to save face.
ARod gets to field ALL offers..
AND....
He can go back to the Yankees and say
'What would you like to offer'
ARod is having his cake and eating it to.
Meanwhile, the Yankees might get the final offer.
Their FIRST offer.
And ARod NEVER turned them down.
Did you hear how polite Cashman's statement was. No anger or hate what-so-ever. Boras' first statement was he considers the Yankees a viable player.
Boras is brilliant!
Now... I am NOT saying this will happen...
Just that it's being set up so it could.
This is like watching 'The Day of the Jackal'
This is WAYYYYYY better then the WS.
But gnashing teeth and wringing hands over the supposed direction or tenor of this team is a 100% emotional response and not one focused on the actual state of the Yankees. We get it, you are bummed over Torre leaving, a man who we all respected. But he's gonna be the manager of the Dodgers now, so best to get over that heart ache now. Loyalty to the team only spreads so far for players, and loyalty to players only spreads so far for fans.
As I said yesterday, the Yankees trajectory is about one year behind the Sox, but with a far more loaded minor leagues. It wouldn't shock me to see the Yanks have a 2008 like the Sox 2006. I would most certainly expect a few trades of the excess minor league pitching for some young positional talent and the like. And so for the next year the Yankees might not be the best team out there, but I can guarantee you they will be fun to watch, with that rotation. And then by 2009, you have a few more kids ready (Gardner, who gets no love but really should have as much hype as the, I'm sorry, but overhyped Ellsbury; A-Jax, who has been a beast; Tabata etc). I just don't see the panic. Its only that everything has happened in such a short time
It's all a game... It's all a game... It's all a game... It's all a game... It's all a game... It's all a game...
"Get creative" at third base sounds nice. What does it actually mean? Wilson Betemit?
And I actually think that next year's team has a chance to be not only bad but kind of dull.
So which one is Carlos? Gotta be Boras, right?
True, but the kid is showing VERY disturbing things. If fame in FLORIDA has him scarfing Ring Dings, what will the lights of NY do?
Plus, what will he cost in terms of personel?
It would be nice to find at least a one year stop gap, who is cheap and still a great impact guy.
The name is Bonds. Barry Bonds.
(Almost the same OPS as ARod, against better pitching, in a stadium NOT well suited to his stroke. I know it is an UGLY UGLY UGLY solution, but look at the facts.)
A person can dream, right?
The other ifs, well, let me put it this way: surrounded by all the doom and gloom and heartache and name calling and blame game and chicken littleing and all the rest, I find it much more satisfying and fruitful to look past it all and notice that the Yankees have not done anything particularly wrong as of yet.
And I also laugh at the idea that Joe Torre and Don Mattingly bring something to the table that Grady Little doesn't in Chavez Ravine. The Dodgers are obviously singing up for the past instead of looking at the present.
And as for Cabrera's eating problems, well, Manny hasn't exactly stayed super thin, and with the proper motivation, who knows.
HIS #1 choice is the Yankees.
He can probably be had for $10m or less.
As DH in Yankee stadium, he could actually outproduce ARod. (They guy could headbutt a ball into our RF seats).
Yeah...go on... avoid it. But it WILL have to be discussed if ARod does not come back. (and maybe even if he does).
He MIGHT be great... but to have his talent and future and still let himself go at only 24? Idunnknow... doesn't bode well.
Meanwhile, big fat ARod lost 10 lbs last offseason and put his body fat percentage into negative numbers.
Idunnknow... he's gonna cost us a lot in talent.
ARod came back and said to Cashman:
"LA offered me 7/$200m. I'd prefer to be a Yankee"
Cashman should say...."Sorry"? "NoSpeakadeEnglish"? "YOU HAD YOUR CHANCE!"?
Just how many times in Cashmans career will a remotely equivilant situation arise?
POLL: Banterers... YOU are Cashman. ARod says:
"LA offered me 7/$200m. I'd prefer to be a Yankee"
What do YOU say?
Bonds. Does he really miss a lot of homeruns to right field by falling short? I haven't watched him very much, but he's seemed like a guy that either kills the ball, hits it to the opposite field with power, or when he misses, turns it over to short. I'm not sure how many homeruns the Stadium would actually give him over SFGiant stadium.
I'd love to watch him on a regular basis, however. He wasn't the only one abusing substances, but he abused them to the greatest effect. Man does he have a sweet swing. Million dollar swing, Bobby Bonilla type head.
If the Phils could have gotten another prospect for Abreu, they would have. If Damon could have gotten an extra year, ditto. Presumably both asked for it and were refused. So what if they kept insisting? If the Yankees think it's still a deal they want to make, they make it; if not, they don't. I don't see how this would force them to give more.
"You can have 6/100."
Derek Jeter-superstar
Mariano Rivera-Possibly the best relief pitcher of all time
Roger Clemens-Best pitcher of his era
Jorge Posada
David Cone-am I the only one who remembers how good Coney used to be?
Mussina-Borderline HOF candidate
If you mean they didn't have Bonds or Pujols, fine. But to pretend that the dynasty was built off of a bunch of scrappy guys who tried really hard is just not correct. Yes they had Brosius and O'Neill, this team has players like Abreu, Stinky (well not anymore) and Damon. Decent to very good players surrounded by superstars.
The main difference between this team and the dynasty years is starting pitching. Go look up the ERA+s. Remember when we had Wells, Cone, Pettite, etc. Its a clear delineation and began when Roger Clemens and Pettite left after 2003. We are finally getting back to that model with the kids. I for one remain optimistic.
And no offense to our 'small ball', 'contact','slap the ball' friends, but we need a HR guy.
I agree that the DH spot is over-crowded. But if you take away the UGLY UGLY UGLY ness of the situation, how can you pass?
PLUS... the guy will sell seats. The guy makes headlines. The guy would make us forget ARod. Doesn't this sound like the perfect 'Steinbrenner' player?
And for 1 year? How can you go wrong?
If the Phillies said "we ALSO want Hughes, and the deal's off without him," Cash says no, and then the Phillies say "You know what?..." then they do lose credibility.
I think the point is really that when you do draw a firm line, you can't back off it. And I think Cash has drawn such a line.
I think it is unlikely he would want to find a way around it, but if Boras did come back and say "we have 7/200," Cashman could lowball and still claim with a straight face that he did not engage in pursuing Alex as a free agent.
Sure. But what matters next time is whether you mean it then, not now.
If the Phillies said "we ALSO want Hughes, and the deal's off without him," Cash says no, and then the Phillies say "You know what?..." then they do lose credibility.
I'm sorry, I don't follow that.
If I say "I want four small marbles for my big marble, or else the deal is off!" and the other guy says "Okay, forget it." and I say "well, I guess I will take three small marbles" then I have lost credibility.
On the other hand if I said "This big marble is worth four small marbles" but then settle for three, it's part of negotiating. See what I mean?
So, to apply that to the A-Rod sitch, Cashman and the Steins have never said A-Rod will never be a Yankee again. I believe what Cashman has said repeatedly is that he will not pursue A-Rod in the free agent market (or something similar). So just maybe the door is open slightly, but I doubt it.
Does anyone even know what marbles are any more?
I hope I'm wrong.
I'd agree that the Yankees haven't actually made any bad moves. The managerial change was a matter of style, not substance; even making the best case for keeping Torre doesn't make this a bad move, just a debatable one at worst. And they didn't do a damn thing wrong with Rodriguez, obviously.
Which is why the Yankees should be lining him and Melky up as the centerpieces of all trades. There is also that possibility that someone actually gives into a package of Melky, Kennedy, Horne/whomever, in return for someone really good. Which would be an outstanding prospect for the Yankees...
All that being said, I still don't see Kennedy's step back being major in the long run. As I said, Having a #4 who is a league average pitcher and cheap is pretty tough these days...
Matsui NEEDS to play first: that gives us a very strong defensive outfield and prevents Giambi from getting hurt at the same time. I don't see any other good use of the roster talent.
without A-Rod, I hate to say it but signing Lowell makes sense: rotate him with Betemit (3b vs RP) and Duncan (1B vs LP) between 1st and 3rd; you end up with a pretty effect Betemit/Duncan platoon.
193 brosius hit .300 with 98 rbis and won the world series mvp in 1998. he's not arod, but he certainly helped the team in 98. not so much after that year, but he did continue to hit in the postseason until 2001, when he nonetheless had his most memorable hit.
And besides, it really wouldn't surprise me to see Melky moved this offseason...
My guess is that in a conference room in Jersey somewhere Cash and the boys have a wall plastered with targets to ameliorate the loss in production. They are moving on.
As for Brosius, yes his '98 year was a total fluke, and in a good way. Outside of that though he was a below average third basemen. In 2000, he OPS+ed to a 70, which is around Tony Womack's career number.
They really could move Matsui or Damon, however, provided they pick up a good bit of the salary (I am not sure about no trade clauses, though). Right now the two of them are redundant. If Damon's defense is really so much better than Matsui's (I think Matsui's poor defense is exaggerated, but I'll concede the point), and if second half Damon is the real thing (that is, he was simply hurt in the first half, not in full on Bernie decline mode), then I say dump Matsui.
Cashman calls the Phils, says: "I like Bobby Abreu and I understand you are hoping to move an outfielder. I will give you prospects F, G and H for Abreu."
Phils say: "We would like prospect A, or prospects B and C for Abreu. Also, have you heard of our other outfielder, Pat Burell? He is called 'Pat the Bat.' Think of how that will play in the Bronx! With the role call and whatnot. Interested?"
Cashman: "No thank you. Back to Abreu, I will give you prospects E, F and G and eat a percentage of $$$, but that is my final offer."
Phils: "OK just give us prospects C and D and $$ and we'll call it a day."
Cash: "No."
Phils: "D and E?"
Cash: "Nope."
Phils: "Come on, this is a good player we are talking about! He won the home run derby!"
Cash: "I'm sorry but my line is drawn here."
Now the clock is ticking. Cash wants--maybe NEEDS Abreu--and the Phils want--maybe NEED--to move him. They're at a standoff. One team has to acquiesce to the other's demands. Now here's the other thing: If it comes to it, Cash will give up prospect C--but he doesn't want to do that, because prospect C is, say, Ian Kennedy, and Cash thinks Ian Kennedy might have a future with the team. But, again, he kinda NEEDS Abreu. So the two sides sit at opposite ends of the conversation, wondering who is going to budge first.
If Cashman has a reputation for being a flake, the Phils might be more inclined to wait him out--never knowing for a fact that doing so will land them prospect C. BUT if Cashman has a reputation as a hard-line nut who won't budge (which is how he is viewed right now), well...maybe they will say:
Phils: [sigh] "OK, give us E, F and G...but we want that $$$!"
That sort of leverage means a great deal to a GM. Negotiating for A-Rod's services now would do real damage to Cash's credibility in that dept (unless CRAZY spin were applied, and A-Rod and Boras both offered weepy mea culpas to the FO, press, et al, which I suppose is a possibility).
I think, aha - he said that yesterday and I got it for three. So I say no way, I'm only offering three. You have exactly the same choice you had yesterday: make the deal for three, or insist on four and be willing to walk away. What you did yesterday - and what I think it meant - has no bearing.
CF Jeter
SS Cano
3B Miguel Cabrera
LF Matsui
RF Abreu
C Posada
DH Giambi/Duncan
CF Melky
3B Joe Crede
1B Minky
anyone hear a rumor that A-Rod opted out early so that he could sign a contract before the Mitchell Report got released?
My thought process for Miguel C. was Ian Kennedy, Tyler Clippard and Wilson Betemit.
Miggy Cabrera is so good, but I live in Miami and watching Marlins games you can see him get bigger every at bat, his weight is a MAJOR issue.
You know what sucks.. i go to law school here in boston and im in the library looking at tremont st. where the parade will go down .. thousands of people freaking out . yet the chant is still YANKEES SUCK . wonder why
Rob, NY. I have lived in this God forsaken town for a lot of years. Coincidentally, I did not make it to work today. I know you would agree that this is such a classy town with such classy people. Console yourself with this notion: it is actually hilarious that these mean-spirited, vitriolic people cannot enjoy such a wonderful moment without being filled with hatred and spite. It is a parochial, racist and small-minded place with an enormous inferiority complex. Bottom line: no matter the physical beauty, it can never be NY. And they know it.
Good stuff
"My thought process for Miguel C. was Ian Kennedy, Tyler Clippard and Wilson Betemit."
My thought process is to trade my three current girlfriends (hey, one's at least a 6.5, and one won "Miss Congeniality") for Jessica Alba.
Now Giambi was the best first baseman available, and his patience-with-power approach fit into the Yankee system nicely. The problem was "at any cost." The Yankees made a reckless offer that no other team could come close to. Fallout from the deal:
a) The Yankees are stuck overpaying Giambi in his decline years.
b) The Yankees built up a reputation for reckless spending, weakening their bargaining positions in trades and free agent signings.
c) The Yankees lost draft picks, starting a viscious cycle of needing to fill holes through free agency (and thus losing more draft picks ...).
And note that Cabrera is NOT represented by Scott Boras, but rather Fernando Cuza & Diego Bentz of SFX. Cuza also represents . . . Mo.
Its sort of interesting
I guess I'm just frustrated that it took this long for the idea of building a team from within the organization to set in. Using talent to make trades, rather than just signing the flavor of the year.
also, this espn article hints at paul o'neil potentially coaching under girardi:
http://tinyurl.com/yqmj6v
"here are the finer points on how to toss a water cooler... are you listening shelley? i'm talking to you..."
This is somewhat inaccurate. The Yanks did lose their 1st round pick in 2002 for signing Giambi . . . but otherwise, they had a first round pick every year. The real problem was, they drafted very poorly from 1997 to 2003. Here are the Yanks' 1st round picks (and the number of the pick) for those years:
2003 Eric Duncan 27
2001 John-Ford Griffin 23
2000 David Parrish 28
1999 David Walling 27
1998 Andrew Brown 24
1997 *Tyrell Godwin 24
Not a single one of these guys panned out. And only one brought back anything of value in trade - John-Ford Griffin was part of the deal that landed Jeff Weaver. Ouch.
(And the 2005 first pick, CJ Henry, is another bust - except he's the Phillies' problem now, and the Yanks got Abreu as a result, making that not so bad.)
"Listen, you moronic basement-dwellin LoHud posters, stop thinking you can trade a large enough supply of your crusty stained socks for an actual woman!"
For instance, Theo Epstein used (and then blew) his credibility when he told Bronson Arroyo that if Bronson signed for a lower salary to stay with the Sox, Theo wouldn't trade him. If Bronson hadn't believed that, he wouldn't have taken less money. Theo will never be able to make that move again, of course.
Another example: the Yankees could pull off a sign-and-trade deal for Santana. In negotiations, Santana might think about refusing to sign an extension so he could test the free agency market next year. Cashman could tell him, do that if you want but we won't be buying then and we're offering you this trunk full of money now. But it will make a big difference whether Santana believes Cashman.
has anyone figured out if we'll get draft picks for what's-his-name?
235 Man, that's more than just outside possibility with Paulie:
"According to Olney, one person Girardi would want on his staff would be former Cubs pitcher Mike Harkey, perhaps as pitching coach.
Paul O'Neill told 1050 ESPN New York's Andrew Marchand he "wouldn't rule out" joining Girardi's coaching staff. O'Neill said he and Girardi are longtime friends and they spoke a lot during the season; both worked for YES, the Yankees' television network.
"I will probably talk with him at some point [about a coaching position]," O'Neill said.
O'Neill said he will wait to call Girardi, because he doesn't want to be a nuisance during Girardi's decision-making process."
also, according to the daily news, ca$hman and mo are having a chit-chat in tampa today:
http://tinyurl.com/38nplp
cross your fingers, people.
i didn't want my comment to suggest paul coaching was more than speculation.
MLB Rumors has this as the order:
1. Devil Rays (66-96)
2. Pirates (68-94)
3. Royals (69-93)
4. Orioles (69-93)
5. Giants (71-91)
6. Marlins (71-91)
7. Reds (72-90)
8. White Sox (72-90)
9. Nationals (73-89)
10. Astros (73-89)
11. Rangers (75-87)
12. Athletics (76-86)
13. Cardinals (78-84)
14. Twins (79-83)
15. Dodgers (82-80)
I'd much rather have a first round pick, seeing those are so much more valuable.
an early-ish pick can still get you some quality... sometimes...
interesting. i need to look at that list again.
But in general, the drop-off in talent from the first round to even the supplemental round is huge. I'd prefer the Yanks need not get lucky again, like they did with Joba.
thanks.
i guess that means now.
Or to put it differently: On the one hand, you've got the possible loss of some credibility. On the other, you've got the sure loss of the entire third baseman. The former is much more easily recouped.
That's especially so because, again, there aren't any situations analogous to this. Santana? They're not trading for him without extension in hand.
Everyone understands negotiating tactics. Everyone understands that sometimes things that are written in stone, aren't. People have been dealing with Brian Cashman for many years and know what his word is worth. Changing his mind in one exceptional, never-to-be-repeated circumstance, won't undo all of that.
I agree that the loss of cred is not a huge cost. It's a cost, but I believe players and agents are always at least mildly skeptical when dealing with a GM anyway, no matter what his rep.
I agree that they aren't trading for Santana without an extension in hand. My point was that Santana might prefer not to sign an extension. Then Cashman might want to have this leverage: we'll be delighted to add you to the team with an extension; we will not be in the open market for your services next year. And it would be nice if that were a credible threat.
If I thought there were a realistic chance of signing A-Rod, I'd agree with you that the cost is worth paying. Practically any cost is worth paying to land the best player in baseball. But I think it's pretty clear that A-Rod is not interested i signing with the Yankees, because if he were interested then he would have sat down to negotiate a contract extension. He would at least have sat down.
As I've said before, if the market for A-Rod turns out to be surprisingly bad, that changes the circumstances and might change Alex's mind. But I don't expect that to happen, so I think it's extremely unlikely that A-Rod would sign up again. For that reason, I think Cashman shoudn't approach him. There's a cost, and though the potential gain is great it's very unlikely.
Don being very gracious for the opportunity, praising Girardi, not committing on working for another organization...
Says George never guaranteed him a manager's job when he came back in '04
Shaun, don't do it! Let the Red Sox pay for him this time.
And remember, "Bubba Crosby is out center fielder" turned out to be...not true, but no one thinks of Cash as being full of shit...just a good negotiator.
I still do NOT think the Yankees will pursue Rodriguez, though.
They don't even have to do any public backing off from their stance. Boras already doesn't believe them, so there's no reason he would start now. He sees it as a ploy, so if he's interested he probably will come to them. One way or another, he wants to get the Yankees into the mix, even if it's just to drive the price up.
So keep saying the same thing, don't run after him - but I hope that, behind closed doors, they're ready to deal if possible.
Excellent. But hey, if they can swing a deal for Miguel Cabrera, that might be just as good...
261 Thanks, pete.
267 Sadly, Wells was the first pick of the second round in 1982. I'm not sure if there was a "sandwich" round back then - it seems like there was, as the first round had 29 picks by b-r.com - but if so, he just missed it.
I'm guessing that's the last sandwich he ever missed! (bah-dum-dum)
Cashman did say that he was prepared to go into the season with Crosby as the CF, I believe. That was an outright lie, but everyone knew it so it didn't matter that much.
Sox fans just love Lowell. I have a friend who's a Sox fan who says he will switch to the Cubs if the Sox sign A-Rod. And he just loves Lowell. (Lowell is a great dude, so he's easy to love.)
Must be a glutton for punishment... ;)
My head is still spinning.
Might not stop for a year or so; I'm not too good with change.
If they could cash out Matsuzaka, I think they'd take a run at him anyway. But the Henry bank account, though large, is not like the Steins'. I think that kind of commitment is too scary for them, too risky.
here is my favorite lowell story of the season:
http://tinyurl.com/2scxuy
i try not to buy into this sappy human interest stuff, but this was pretty alright.
she's killed in a car crash. the family goes to the game, because that's what she'd have wanted. lowell comes up, her dad closes his eyes and hopes that lowell will hit a HR for his daughter. he does. the ball is caught by a family member.
lowell hears the story from a reporter, sends them an autographed jersey and a letter promising to hit another one for her.
they bury her with the jersey, and that night he hits another HR.
that's the basic story.
http://tinyurl.com/2uaa8d
That was nice.
my only hope is that they do.
If Torre goes to the Dodgers, however, the DT crew might want to get ready for the Miguel Cairo era. I also hear that Tanyon Sturtze is an available free agent . . .
I hope he teaches them all to bunt, make contact and take the motherfucker up the middle!
Yeeee-haw!!!
if Mo signs today or soon, won't that make A-Rod look even more of the clown? And if Mo signs soon, you can bet your ass Posada will sign soon as well...
Speaking of can't miss prospects...
We could move Eric Duncan back to third now that he is no longer "blocked" by Mr. Optober.
I'm kind of enjoying thinking about a season where ability and results, not BFOG+, dictates who plays all year. As far as we know, there are no "Joe's guys" for this Joe. This could be a lot of fun.
hopefully Mo signs today and Po soon thereafter. then, pettitte can re-up and we'll pick up boBBy. when's the deadline on picking up abreu's option?
hopefully Mo signs today and Po soon thereafter. then, pettitte can re-up and we'll pick up boBBy. when's the deadline on picking up abreu's option?
I'd love to see him swagger in and clean up the town, starting with getting Derek to take one for the team.
I know, I know, it'll never happen. But it should.
And Jesus, I wish Derek would just step up and volunteer to switch before he embarrasses himself even more than he already is.
I'd love a Darling and Hernandez type tandem, though there probably isn't one out there.
That doesn't sound like a good idea at all. His range to the first base side is bad, which is death for a 3B. And we'd then have to replace him with the AG. That sounds like a very serious OPS hit to me.
"I'd like to recommend the secondary coaching positions:
Paul O'Neil Atitude Coach
Scott Brosius Over acheiving coach
Bernie Williams Clutch Coach
Micky Rivers Media Relations Coach"
Yes, the contract was too long and the money too high, but that was what it took to get the deal done. And for that matter, he hasn't really been a bust with the Yankees - two bad years, but four pretty darn good ones. This is a guy who hits .253 and still puts up an OPS+ of 148.
Even then, Nick Johnson's injuries were a concern. He was actually a bigger risk than Giambi, albeit a cheaper one.
Pete Abe posted something about the nation's phone system crashing because Cashman was talking so much - my mom said she was trying to call me several times before she got through and it kept saying there was no phoneline available. Cashman get off the phone!!!
or could it be that he is trying to offer me a position as bench coach? What a day for these dang phones to go on the fritz...
At the time I had bad feeling about signing Giambi, but could have worked out well. I was uninterested in huge free agent signings coming back to bite the Yankees in the ass. I saw a 30 year old guy coming off of two incredible years getting a 7 year deal and thinking that those last two years could be ugly.
If you say so.
So you're telling me I gotta suck it up, eh?
Bah, I say again.
vr, Xei
Let the good times roll.
324 I would like to see footage of that again to make sure we were not all hallucinating :)
325 Maybe we will just have to suck it up for another year or two or three (okay maybe forever)
More like up the middle, but point taken.
I think you're right. The time will come when Derek is just too old (ie too slow) to play SS, but he'll probably play it at least some of the time until he retires. The rest of the time, he'll be at DH. I can't see him at 1B - how many balls will go down the line?
There just isn't anywhere else for an aging, slow, poor ranging Jeter to play.
C'est la vie. =) (I think we'll live.)
333 If Girardi is creative enough, and I believe he is, he could squeeze plenty of PAs out of a Duncan/Giambi/Bonds/Matsui/Damon/LIDR? 1B/LF/DH platoon. That could be a monster.
He is what he is.
He did hit those two very big dingers off of Pedro in Game 7, for which I'll always remember him.
But I'm just not a fan of grabbing the big free agents generally. I tend to find it boring.
I like the David Justice, Bobby Abreu-level pick-ups when we really need to plug a hole.
Otherwise, I'd rather have seen us try to go with Johnson.
I also hate the DH, so there you have it.
Jetes in CF might still preserve his ego . . .
Which current Yankees would you like to see wearing anything but Pinstripes in '08?
BTW, I'm not a fan of the DH either (intellectually), but I sure hate watching pitchers bat. I guess I'm never satisfied...
but i don't see them moving him next year for sure and 2009 is a maybe when we would be rid of a few of those dhs
349 what are you asking - who we want to get rid of?
It's about the aforementioned Dodger love for vets. They may be looking to move Kemp or Ethier for a proven vet. So, of course, my mind went quickly to Abreu for Kemp. Seems I wasn't the only one as it was discussed on the thread back in September.
Man, would I love to have Kemp on the roster. Power, speed and lots of years left. This has got to be on Cash's radar, right?
and going back to discussions of trying to trade giambi/matsui/damon et al - i have read a lot of people state they have complete or partial no trade clauses and thus will be untradeable - if any one of them is told he will basically be a bench player next year, don't you think they would waive their no trade clause?
Is he still on the team?
What year is this?
And who was Danny Heap?
Anyone remember Danny Heap?
365 http://tinyurl.com/29jgl6
Please, Don't anybody bring Barry Bonds into this. There is still a good chance the guy ends up in jail for lying to the grand jury.
Second, Joe Torre is gone and the Front Office handled it badly. So what else is new? Joe Girardi is the manager for the next 3 years. I say "The King is dead, long live the King". Girardi was a clearly a better pick than Mattingly, hands down. Both have terrific work ethic but Girardi handles people better, will be smooth with the NY press and he's smart (B.S in Engineering from Northwestern). As for moves, let's see if Cashman can walk the walk or he goes too. I hope he can figure out a way to get rid of a couple of older, expensive guys (Giambi in particular) and land us some pitching for the bullpen. I'm looking forward to next season. 2007 sucked.
Jeter at 3B? Fortunately, a 3B doesn't have to cover the same ground to his left that a SS does. As long as he can react quickly and dive for the ball...oh, wait. Never mind.
A good 5 years ago, as Bernie started to slip defensively, I was touting the idea of Jeter in CF. I still think it would have been a great fit. Too late now, I'm afraid.
If you want to look at a Tennis player with great Serve stats, and a great backhand, but diss him because he doesn't win tornaments, thats fine. But baseball is a team sport.
A team of 25 players. 25. 25 players. 25. One guy, like ARod this year, CAN carry a team... it does happen... but that is not a requirement for a great year.
'I just don't think we have much to show for them.'
Remember Donnie Mattingly
'I just don't think we have much to show for them.'
Remember Donnie Mattingly
'I just don't think we have much to show for them.'
Remember Donnie Mattingly
What evidence is this based on? Girardi's one year as manager when he clashed with the crazy owners? Or Mattingly's no years as manager? Or both of their uneventful tenures as bench coaches?
But I agree...
"The King is dead, long live the King".
I'm ready to move on.
(but these muthas better be in the PS in 2008)
Is this a bad sign?
Isn't it about time for that man to have one of his flukey, outlier, unexpectedly good seasons?
You figure one of these years he'll put up numbers like 2001 and 2005. Right? He's given us two shitty seasons, how about a good one huh?
Just focus on pitching and ONE right handed bat.
Score: ARod related: 1193, Girardi and Donnie 7.
Once again, ARod insists on being the center of attention. He simply will not allow any of us to talk about anything but him. It's still all about ARod.
So I say this, maybe for the last time, for I don't know if Banter decorum will allow this much longer.
It's ARods fault! :-)
http://www.metsblog.com/2007/10/30/watch-torre-fired-as-mets-manager/
If you only vaguely remember the 80s like I do, it's a weird thing to watch.
"If this is accurate, then McCourt has officially become George Steinbrenner West.
I always laughed at those Yankees soap operas: "Not my team," I said. "My Dodgers would never be that stupid."
Hey... do ya think if we give them some insights into Torre, they will SEND DONNIE BACK?
Lowell in a landslide. In the WEEI poll he got 98% of the votes. In the Herald poll it was a mere 95%.
Chowderheads. You gotta love 'em.
I can't remember if they were 1 hour, 2 or even 3, but I remember they were unbearably long and consisted of replaying the season highlights interspliced with Torre sitting in his office explaining a losing streak (or bad Bullpen decision) to Ted Turner...
I started to write this post with an actual point, but I can't find one now. Perhaps it's that I ate at Big Bob Gibson's BBQ in Decatur today, and was thinking of Gibson the pitcher, who was Torre's pitching coach in Atlanta. It's apropos of nothing.
Actually, it reminded me of that Weird Al song where he gets lost in the middle and tries to remember what his point was. And then it turns out that the point is that he hates sauerkraut.
Now write an entry about "Bang the Drum Slowly" only make sure that your comment turns out to be really maudlin, so all the Banterers feel very sad but at the same time manipulated.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yW0DQvsEii0
What happened to that fiery guy? ;-)
I like how Torre walks from the mound without an arm swing, just like Joe Friday.
388 i think there is a branch of bob gibson's in huntsville - what did you get from there?
394 396 even looking at 07 torre compared to 96 torre is different but 82 torre is really something else
And, to make this pertinent to the blog, I thought about Bob Gibson and subsequently thought about Joe Torre.
405 nice
406 yeah - i haven't been there in years, but it was always really good
407 If I was Joe Torre, the only thing I'd be worried about is getting canned next year. The McCourts seem to have no plan at all, and no aversion to firing people willy-nilly. Today's flavor of the day could quickly become tomorrow's trash - just ask Grady Little.
As long as they pay him though, I'm guessing Torre won't really give a damn.
The best moment I heard was when Hank was asked if hiring Girardi meant that George - a known Mattingly lover - had less influence and was in the background now. Hank hemmed and hawed a bit, talked about how important Mattingly is to the Steinbrenner family, stammered a bit more, said that this was really the time to ask Brian and Joe questions, and ended up by saying that he fully supported Cashman's decision. Still hemming and hawing.
2) I think LA is the perfect fit for Torre. He get's the guaranteed money he was looking for and also a town where he can still enjoy his celebrity. Even better, he moves into a much more laid back organization and less demanding media. Something tells me that Torre will be happier in LA. I am glad that both he and the Yankees are better off. Also, by joining LA, I am sure Joe will be selected as an All Star Game coach, meaning he'll get to make a farewell appearance at Yankee Stadium after all. I am sure the applause will be thunderous. I have a feeling Arod will be received much less warmly.
3)The best news from today was the following statement from Mattingly. It made me feel much better about having Donnie say goodbye.
""I don't feel any ill will. I'm not sitting here -- vengeance is not running through me at all," Mattingly said. "Trust me, I'm not all of a sudden going to start rooting for the Red Sox."
I was happy about MAttingly's statement as well. Now, if he still wants to manage the Yankees some day, what do you think his next move will be? Stay with the team in some capacity (or at least return next year)? Take a MiL managing position? Or follow Torre to LA and get more experience as a bench coach?
"This is not yet official, but it appears the coaching staff will shake out this way:
Pitching: Dave Eiland
Hitting: Kevin Long
Bench: Rob Thomson
Third base: Bobby Meacham
First base/catching: Tony Pena
Bullpen: Mike Harkey"
It's really not that important, but boy has the star power of the Yankee coaches diminished. In 12 years, we've gone from Randolph, Chambliss, Mel, Roy White, Mattingly and Guidry to...Bobby Meacham? If Meach gets a runner thrown out at the plate, will Hank demote him to Trenton? :)
Meacham was the Yankees regular shortstop in 1985 playing in 156 out of 162 games. However, injuries and generally inconsistent play relegated him to a utility role and time in the minors. Yankees owner George Steinbrenner was particularly frustrated with Meacham's lackluster play and often lambasted him in the New York press.
For those who don't remember old #20, Meacham's two biggest claims to fame with the Yankees were:
1) Making two key errors during the 1984 season (I believe) and then being demoted two levels down to AA.
2) Being thrown out along with Dale Berra at a rare double play at home plate as Rickey Henderson stood on second base with both hands on top of his head in disbelief.
Just a hunch, but I get the feeling that both Girardi and Thomson are more inclined to favor stats than Torre was. Absolutely no proof for this.
I know they like Quest. Igawa + Clippard? Betemit/Duncan would be a decent to good 1B platoon.
Actually, looking at these numbers: Kouzmanoff OPS'd .972 vs. lefties (awesome) but .706 vs. righties (garbage). But most importantly, does SD have anyone else for 3B, because we certainly can't give them anything.
Good, his bat is incredibly valuable at second, and his defense is outstanding.
I really like that coaching lineup, except for maybe Meachum, but as I said with the Bowa deal, 3B coaches don't really make THAT much of an impact
"Earlier in the season, he threw Marlins pitcher Scott Olsen against the dugout wall after Olsen complained about not being given enough time to warm up on the mound by the umpire. This episode was also seen on TV."
I'm scared.
"According to eyewitnesses and footage captured, the Marlins owner began heckling the homeplate umpire during a game. When the umpire warned Girardi about the harassment, Girardi and his bench coach Gary Tuck then turned to Loria and told him to "shut the f* up.""
Would Hank ever heckle in a game??? I don't think so...but I guess you never know.
As for Torre smelling like roses, well, Torre sure should advocate the fans cheer A-rod too, since without what he did for Joe, despite his treatment, Joe wouldn't have made the playoffs and gotten that "insulting" offer at all...
Wow... From old and traditional to young and smart almost overnight. Maybe this will be an interesting year... especially if we win any ballgames.
Please do not bother with Torii Hunter and his 33 year old, .325 OBP.
Love,
Schteeve
Yankees West...
I remember a game in what...1985?...when we were playing Toronto I think it was in like September.
We are three or four games back, playing at home needing a big series to make a move.
Meacham, attempting to throw a runner out at home threw the ball up onto the backstop.
At least, that's how I remember it.
The whole series was a disaster.
I don't suppose anyone recalls that?
Speaking of which, I had three autographs as a kid. The first two were of Reggie Jackson and Bucky Dent. My dad managed to procure them through work (he was a reporter).
Ah, but the third I got at the Stadium, hanging out by the dugout before the game.
The guy signed the bill of my Yankee cap which turned out to be a bad idea because it faded before long from the perspiration.
The player?
Andre Robertson.
Man, I hated that guy as a kid. I can't believe he is back. I guess it is better than Randy Velarde...
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