Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Robinson Cano, Alex Rodriguez, and Bobby Abreu each hit late-inning home runs last night, but none of them came with men on base, and the three runs were not enough to dig the Yankees out of the early hole in which Chien-Ming Wang put them. Thus the Yankees' plan of winning one game at a time to salvage their season came up two wins short, ending their thrilling season with the franchise's third consecutive first-round playoff exit.
As much as I hate to see any one player take abuse for a team's collective failings, Chein-Ming Wang has to be the goat of this series. After giving up eight runs in 4 2/3 innings and taking the loss in an ugly Game One, Wang put the Yankees in another early hole last night. Grady Sizemore homered on Wang's third pitch to start things off, and singles by Travis Hafner and Jhonny Peralta made it 2-0 before the Yankees even got their first turn at bat. Still, Hafner's single was a ground ball (albeit a hard hit one) that found a hole near third base with Alex Rodriguez playing the lefty slugger to pull, and the three outs Wang recorded in that inning also came on the ground, so it seemed as if he was settling down.
He wasn't. The first two batters in the top of the second singled. Eric Wedge then signaled for Kelly Shoppach, his ninth-place hitter (and Paul Byrd's personal catcher), to bunt, but Wang's 1-0 pitch, which Jorge Posada wanted over the plate at the knee, sailed up and in sending Shoppach spinning to the ground. The ball appeared to ricochet of the barrel of Shoppach's bat, but, after conferencing, the umpires agreed that it had grazed his right hand, thus loading the bases with no outs for Sizemore, who had already homered of Wang in this game.
Again operating with the quick hook with his team facing elimination, Joe Torre called original Game Four starter Mike Mussina out of the pen (the arguments and umpire conferencing over the hit-by-pitch gave Mussina enough extra time to get warm). Mussina did what Wang couldn't by getting Sizemore to hit into a double play, trading a third Cleveland run for the two outs, but then gave up an RBI single to Asdrubal Cabrera and walked Hafner before getting out of the inning with the Yankees trailing 4-0.
The Yankees slow climb back into the game began in the bottom of the second when Derek Jeter beat out an infield single with the bases loaded and two outs to drive in the first Yankee run, but the Bombers would never reach the apex. Paul Byrd kept the Yanks off balance all night, stranding two men in the first, three in the second, and one each in the third, fourth, and fifth. Meanwhile, Mussina allowed two more runs in the fourth when Victor Martinez singled to plate Shoppach and Sizemore, who had started the inning with a ground-rule double and a walk. Before the night was over, every man in the Yankee lineup would leave at least one man on base, with each of the top eight hitters stranding at least two.
Robinson Cano's home run, his second of the series, came leading off the sixth and drove Byrd from the game in favor of lefty Rafael Perez. After singles by pinch-hitter Shelley Duncan and Johnny Damon, Derek Jeter hit into his third double play in the last two games to end the inning.
Rodriguez's homer came off Perez with one out and none on in the seventh (Rodriguez had singled in his previous at-bat and hit .267 on the series after going 4 for 9 in the final two games). Hideki Matsui would draw a two-out walk later in the inning only to be stranded by a Cano groundout.
Trailing by three, the Yankees went down 1-2-3 against Rafael Betancourt in the eighth. That set up Jeter, Abreu, and Rodriguez for the ninth against Joe Borowski. Jeter, who hit .176 on the series, popped out on a 1-1 pitch. Abreu homered into the upper deck in right to make it 6-4. Rodriguez flied out to the warning track in right on a 1-2 pitch up and away. Posada, who hit .133 on the series, struck out on three pitches: a called high strike, a would-be home run that curved just a few feet foul down the right field line, and a slider in the dirt that he flailed at hopelessly to end the Yankees' season.
The end.
The end of what, I don't know. And right now I'm not going to speculate. I can tell you that Joe Torre's post-game press conference saw him refer to the Yankees' future and his 12 years with the team with a peaceful detachment that seemed very telling, though he amicably refused to answer any questions about his future with the team (as did Alex Rodriguez, Jorge Posada, and Andy Pettitte, some less amicably than others) and did suggest that he wasn't ready to retire. About that I'll only remind you all that his contract is up. Even if he doesn't come back, he won't have been fired. He's a free agent.
As for the rest, I'll do my usual player-by-player postmortems and suggestions and analysis of offseason moves and needs in the coming weeks. As for the just-completed series, here are my heroes and goats:
Goats:
Chien-Ming Wang gave up 12 runs in less than six innings in two starts taking two of the team's three loses and posting a 19.06 ERA. If any one player shoulders this loss, it's Wang.
Roger Clemens repeatedly insisted that he would be ready to start Game Three, but he tweaked his hamstring in the second inning and didn't make it out of the third, forcing Joe Torre to use Phil Hughes in Game Three, making him unavailable in Game Four, a game they lost by just two runs, which is exactly how many runs fellow goat Mike Mussina allowed in addition to the two inherited runners he allowed to score.
In his only appearance, Luiz Vizcaino came into Game Two in the eleventh inning and walked the first man he faced on four pitches. Five batters later the Indians were celebrating a win and Vizcaino was walking off the field having gotten just two outs, one of them on a sac bunt.
This is tough to do, but Joba Chamberlain did allow the tying run to score in the eighth inning of Game Two. Yes, he was the victim of the worst of the midge infestation, and, yes, the game probably should have been stopped at that point, but Fausto Carmona had to pitch through the midges as well and retired six of seven batters in the two innings sandwiching Joba's meltdown. And that's why Joba's here, because it really was a meltdown. He walked Sizemore on four pitches to start the inning, moved him to second on a wild pitch and, after Sizemore was bunted to third, scored him on another wild pitch. Perhaps this judgment speaks to the unrealistic expectations that Chamberlain has created for himself. He was, after all, a 21-year-old rookie making his first postseason appearance in a 1-0 game after just 24 big league innings (which, incidentally, saw him uncork just one wild pitch) and doing so amid an insect infestation. Still, if Joba had given up that run via a couple of hits or even a homer, I might have understood, but the way it happened, I have no choice but to add him to this list.
That said, it seemed Joba was getting his fastball over for strikes, so Jorge Posada can share some of the blame for going to his slider too much during that inning despite the fact that Joba couldn't control it (or for not resisting Joba's insistence on throwing it). Really, though, Jorge's on this list because he went 2 for 15 and didn't drive in a single run, leaving 11 men on base. A disappointing end to an incredible season.
Derek Jeter went 3 for 17, all singles, didn't draw a walk, didn't score a run, hit into three double plays, and left eight men on base, driving in only one other via an infield single. He also made an error early in Game Three that was erroneously ruled a hit.
Heroes:
I'm hoping Andy Pettitte will pick up his player option for next year, but if he doesn't and his final game as a Yankee was Game Two of this series, it will have been a fitting finale. Simply put, he was nails, stranding seven men on base, erasing a ninth via a double play, and picking off a tenth who was in scoring position to give the Yankees 6 1/3 scoreless innings following their loss in Game One. The bullpen blew the win, but Pettitte will forever be the Stopper.
Had the Yankees come back to win the series, Johnny Damon's three-run home run in Game Three to turn a 2-3 deficit into a 5-3 lead would have ranked among the biggest home runs in Yankee postseason history. Overall, Damon went 5 for 18 with a walk, two home runs, and five RBIs. The only Yankee with a better series was Robinson Cano, who went 5 for 15 with a double, two homers, and a walk.
Finally, Phil Hughes provided hope for the future by pitching 3 2/3 scoreless innings in relief of Roger Clemens to earn the only Yankee win of the series. In two relief apperances, Hughes pitched 5 2/3 innings allowing just one run on a Ryan Garko solo homer. He allowed just two other hits in those two appearances, walked none, and struck out six.
So, a month or two in Hawaii then back to business, right?
Thanks Cliff and Alex and Emma and Will. The Banter got tons better this year. I look forward to what's next.
I'm here hoping that Andy will pick his option, Jorge and Mo will sign new contracts (enabling them to end their careers in pinstripes), maybe even that the team will pick Abreu's option.
I don't know what to think of A-Rod and his expected request for more money, maybe I'm a little bit outraged...
I think this is it for Joe and I'll miss him, even with his tactical errors. This year he made a wonderful job, never wavering, never surrendering, with a team that started 21-29 and easily could have gone south without his calming influence.
But now is time to start again, we have many young talents and they must play, they must learn... And Joe Girardi did a great job with youngsters down in Florida.
An enormous THANK YOU to all of you people of The Banter.
I'm a new member but you've been magnificent all year and I'm eagerly awaiting next season.
As every Yankee fan will do.
Now let us hibernate for a few months.
I really need some baseball "down time". I expect I'll come back when the A-Rod clock starts ticking and hot stove gets red hot. Or if there's a decisive announcement about Torre's future.
Thanks, Banterers. August and September were fantastic, and the other months, well I'm glad I didn't have to make it through them alone!
Thanks Cliff and Alex and Emma and Will!
The Indians were the better team, at least for the playoffs. They had the pitching the Yankees did not.
Peacefully detatched, Cliff, that's exactly how Joe seemed at the end last night. Gave a touching eulogy at his own wake. The soul had already left the Yankee body.
We'll pay our respects to good ol' Joe Torre. There will be formal occasions to celebrate and thank him, and I will always.
But now is not a time for despair around the Yankees. Now is a time of bright promise. There's plenty of talent to rebuild around. They'll be competitive again next year.
To that end, so much for peaceful detachment. Now begins a winter of vigorous engagement at the Bronx Banter. Yankee problems? We'll work 'em out.
Whatever happens this winter, I'm ready for the first pitch of 2008. Phil "Big Shoes" Hughes on the mound...
6 i was saying it last night: if we can't beat paul byrd with our backs against the wall, we don't deserve to play on.
7 the future is promising. let's hope that cool heads prevail and no unnecessarily desperate measures are taken.
As much as I wanted to believe otherwise, I didn't have a good feeling about last night. For some reason the Yankees of this century seems to fold under the pressure that their predecessors thrived on.
Maybe I should be happy that they just seem to go to the post season every year. After all I could be a Mets fan. But, damn, it's getting hard to enjoy October anymore.
Yanks were betrayed by their pitching. Young and old. Could have gone either way, but who didn't see this coming?
Second-hand smoke.
When the opposing pitcher is on his game,
would it kill these guys to ease off the throttle at the plate? Maybe choke up a bit, shorten the swing, and, you know, get on base?
Home run. Home run. Home run. Nice, nice, very nice, but do they all have to be solo acts? Duos. Trios. Quartets. The E-Street Band! More baserunners next time, please.
I think the Yankees reaching the post-season was amazing given their horrific beginning so I still give them props for fighting back when they could have laid down and died.
I enjoyed the blog posts this season by Cliff, Alex, Will, Emma and anyone else that I didn't name.
As for the comment section, well, the fact that I rarely commented in the game threads as the season progressed says it all.
(BTW, my wife is due to give birth any day now, to our first child, a son. She asked me "Are you going to teach him to act like a maniac when watching the Yankees? Not sure I can take two of you.." "Of course I am".
Sayonara till Spring
By the 4th inning I was flipping channels & went to bed at 11. Tired and it just didn't seem like the team had it this year. Still, an amazing comeback just to be able to get into the playoffs, unlike a certain other team. At least the Yankees won one game, something none of the other losers did.
Resign Mo & Jorge, extend A-Rod. Make sure Andy picks up his option.
Pettitte, Wang, Joba, Phil, Ian/Moose? The rotation looks good for next year and the kids now have some playoff experience.
The big question is Girardi or Mattingly.
Cliff: I would have put Mariano as a hero of the series. He went 4.2 innings with 6 Ks, 2 H, 1 B, 0 Earned Runs
That's pretty good.
thanks.
I would also like to thank everyone for a great year on the Banter. This is the first place I go every morning for my Yankee fix, because the write ups and comments are top notch.
This feels a bit like '95 when the old gaurd was ready to pass the team along to the young guys. Not to mention disappointing playoff loss and probable managerial change.
I hope we take Abreu's option and resign Molina and Vizcaino. I wish we could dump Giambi but we're stuck with him for one more year. I hope he is ok being a DH/bench player because that is what he is now. If he is healthy he could be real effective in that role fo rus.
Obviously, it is sad and scary to see Torre go. If not for any other reason than that we don't know what to expect. Of course, once we hire someone I'll be optimistic about what they'lll bring.
rock on y'all. Thanks banterites for all your contributions (main posters and commenters). Onward and Upwards!
Hopefully one or more of Hughes, Chamberlain and Kennedy can step up and take that mantle, because otherwise we will keep losing to the likes of Sabathia/Carmona, Bonderman/Verlander/Rogers, Lackey/Colon, Shilling/Martinez/Lowe, etc. The parade of dominant pitchers who shut us down every year is getting long, and we haven't had enough firepower to match them.
With Hughes & Chamberlain (Kennedy is good too, but I don't think anyone projects him to be a #1 - he slots into Wang territory, hopefully) that may finally change.
If ARod, Posada, Mo and Pettitte come back, I will be optimistic for 2008. If one or more leave... things could get worse before they get better.
Next year probably no Torre or A-Rod to kick around. Maybe no Mo, no Posada, no Abreau, maybe no Pettite............ definitely no Clemons. No Minky either. He finally earned my respect the last few weeks (the play at first base in game two line drive was amazing. I don't know that anyone could have made that play and make it look easy-better than Mattingly and Tino with the glove).
I won't watch another inning of baseball this season. But I will check in here from time to time.
Thanks Alex. Thanks Cliff. Thanks Emma. Thanks Will. And thank you to all the poster's on Bronxbanter. May you have all be healthy and happy the rest of this year.
Thank you, fellow Banterers, for your devotion, wit, passion and intellect.
isn't living in cleveland punishment enough? i mean... you're entering ichiro territory here.
He should have pulled his team off the field citing possible injury (ex. Jeter goes to field ball, midge flies into his eye, and ball bounces into said eye).
They've stopped games for bees and hornets .... why not midges?
This was my first Banter season and I thoroughly enjoyed the writings, and even shared pain.
And, if this was Joe's last managed game, thanks for so much for 1996 and 1998-2000. We are realizing how truly fortunate we were.
No place I'd rather commiserate than with you folks.
No place I'd rather get my news and analysis than from Alex, Cliff, Emma, Will and Bruce.
Anyone want to join me over at Bad Altitude to cheer on the Rockies? Go NL! =)
Actually, I'm not sure it does. I would love to hear your feelings that led you to make that statement. Alex and Cliff have made this blog 'self regulating' so I think your opinion on the comments IS a necessary comment.
23 - 25 It's amazing that we don't have the greatest SP.... after all, our #3 won 38 games over the last 2 years, was in contention for a CY, and has a career ERA of 3.74! Man, our other 2 guys must be REALLY good.
30 Unfortunately, the runs Jeter's defense is allowing is beginning to catch up to the runs his offense is adding. While he is still a big plus, I can no longer consider him an elite SS. I wonder how differently we would look/play next year with Jetes at 1B and ARod at SS next year.
That the Yanks pitchers could not get out of the inning when they got 2 outs seems to speak to the lack of a shut-down ace. IMO Mo might be the most important of the FAs (and though you can't put too much stock in post-game comments after last night's loss -his comments seem to suggest - rightfully so - he is not that pleased that his contract was not addressed earlier) just because without him the inclination might be to Paplebon Joba and make him the closer rather than groom him to be the ace.
There are just so many question marks heading into the off-season - probably SS and 2B are the only givens with all the FA/options and the remote possibility that if Stein or one of his minions wants to make a splash he brings in one of the FA CF.
What to do with the Giambi/Matsui/Damon situation also has to get resolved somehow.
I am excited about the possibilities but am also a little apprehensive about how all these ?s will be resolved.
Do I have a better option for SS? No, but I don't think that means the Yanks should stick with Jeter playing there. I think Jeter has to go to the OF or 1b.
I'm also inclined to say the Yanks should pass on Posada. He's poised to fall off of a cliff. Off a cliff Posada might be better than anything available, though.
Sigh. Its like those two years were the Super Bowl was Cowboys-Bills. A lose-lose situation for any Giants fan.
41 But the only place Jeter's bat would play in the OF is CF, and displacing Melky would be, I think, a mistake. I think Posada's value could be maximized by making him at least a part-time 1B going forward (I presume he stays) - so no room there either.
Given the young guns are going to be strikeout guys - both the starters AND the relievers - SS defense does not worry me so much over the next couple of years.
Postmortem? Can't say I was surprised -- I felt all along that this team would bow out in the first round due to lack of pitching (rotation and bullpen). I cheered for them just the same because, well, you never know do you?
End of an era? I thought it ended back in 2004...someone forgot to tell the era though.
I wish Joe Torre the best in everything -- he's a good man. I hope that was really goodbye though, because I hate it when people say goodbye and then come back...repeatedly.
As for players with bitter comments, and players who won't return if Joe's gone -- to you I say very simply: "Grow up."
And for everyone here at BB including Cliff, Alex, Will and Emma, thanks for another great season of...well...you know...banter. ^_^
Here's a good skewering of that idiot Chip:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/09/sports/baseball/09sandomir.html?ref=baseball
As for me, Tribe over Rockies in 7 would be ideal.
"Then there is Chip Caray, TBS's lead baseball announcer, who . . . will work deeper into the postseason on the National League Championship Series."
I may not watch much of the NLCS then.
41 yes, I think that Arod leaving could really wind up showing up Jeter's declining skills. So, lets hope that won't happen.
You guys think the Yankees will perform better for Tony La Russa then they did for Torre?
Oh thank god, seriously dodged a bullet there.
48 LaRussa would be maddening, but at least he seems to have a sense of strategy and a more well thought out approach. He also comes with Dave Duncan, which is nice. Having said that, I'd like to see them look for a younger, more statistically inclined manager.
One thing is that I believe that Torre has had something to do with the slow starts the last couple of years, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. Not because of his limitations as a technician, but because of how he motivates. I think someone like Girardi would do a good job of getting this team started quicker. I think a lot of how we have struggled in April and in the ALDS is rooted in how we have approached them. It hasn't worked motivation wise.
What a silly notion. TLR had an awful time dealing with the St Louis media (no offense to the St Louis media, but its a world of difference between the Post-Dispatch and the Post). Thinking of him in front of the NY media sends shivers down my spine.
Even the most strident "Fire Torre" advocates (those who go back to 2004) agree that he was excellent at insulating his players from the media pressure (chop jobs on A-Rod by Tom Verducci aside).
TLR, frankly, would suck at that.
Seriously, I don't mind losing Torre for Donnie, but would prefer that we get Girardi. Also, I'd like to see Cano batting 3rd in front of Arod where he'll see more pitches, and putting Abreu 5th. That's a potent 3-4-5 combo.
I don't want to lose Arod, despite my frustrated comments last night. But my main reason for saying keep him is simply because there aren't any good replacements on the horizon.
I am looking forward to a rotation of Joba, IPK, Hughes, Wang and Andy. The Yanks just need to get some shutdown relievers and they'll be fine.
Damn I am depressed.
The Yankees lineup has a glaring weakness. They struggle against pitchers who throw strikes. But even that seems too easy. They had Sabathia where they wanted him and couldn't come up with the knockout punch.
A lame effort and I don't even have a faint idea of how to fix it.
By no means is it all Alex' fault, but frankly, he had enough pitches to hit in big spots that he didn't do anything with. They challenged him and they beat him.
Hard to watch.
We hit a few, but also struck out and popped up a lot in those big spots.
I'll miss Torre but it's not a sad thing to see him do something now besides manage the Yankees. He's become rich while managing in NY and he was rich already in the things that matter - family, friends, respect. I could see Torre becoming Zimmer and sticking around forever in the bigs as a bench coach, maybe even across town for Willie Randolph.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3055382
As I say, it's not all his fault, but he disappointed me and he's the big guy. And he really had pitches to hit.
I wasn't expecting much from Melky or Hideki.
Derek let me down, too.
And as to the strikeouts, that may be. All I know is I'm tired of seeing the other team slap and dunk the ball around to plate runs while we strike out and pop up.
Maybe I'm delusional, I don't know.
Just telling you how I feel.
in how many respective at-bats?
My only point is that if there were one guy who might have put the team on his back, it was Alex. He failed to do that. I was just hoping he'd finally bust out and be a monster. He wasn't. Especially against Byrd, I expected a lot from him.
Indians: 143 AB, 24 BB, 30 K = 1 K/5.67 PA
Yankees: 136 AB, 14 BB, 28 K = 1 k/5.34 PA
I'm not sure that marginal difference in strikeouts mattered much. Maybe the Indians outhit the Yankees because they had the magic formula for turning pop ups into bloop hits. Or maybe it's because the walked 10 more times and they had 17 XBH (6 HR, 1 3B, 10 2B) to the Yankees' 10 (7 HR, 3 2B).
Indeed, if the expectation for A-Rod is that he disappoints if he is not " a monster" and does not "put the team on his back." We'll have to agree to disagree on this one.
So, having made a short story long, you misread my post.
Damon LF
Jeter SS
Abreu RF
Giambi 1B
Matsui DH
Cano 2B
Betemit 3B
Molina C
Melky CF
Bench:
Duncan
Phillips
Gonzalez
Sardinha
BUC of the month club
Starters:
Wang
Pettitte
Hughes
Mussina
Kennedy
Pen:
Joba
Farns
Edwar
Veras
Ohlendorf
Igawa
(Granted, the sticky point with Posada will be not dollars but years.)
Besides, what else is out there? Molina is a BUC only.
Seeing Torre a free man, Manaya fires Willie and hires Joe for a 2nd tour in Queens.
Out of spite, Mo, Jorgie, Andy and Abreu decide to follow him.
The Sox sign A-Rod to play SS and resign Lowell.
And the Yanks . . . rebuild.
As you point out, that roster is not even the worst case (Pettitte could also walk). Also, you're probably right, we would certainly sign someone... Bonds is looking for work ;-)
I'm not saying that we'll end up with all those guys leaving, but when I saw the updated sidebar I thought how bad it could be if they did...
(SHUDDER)
Is Matt Nokes still around?
Like many have said, the Yankees weren't as good as the Indians. They were a infuriatingly streaky team all year that could look amazing for three games and then look terrible for 3. Remember, this team was coming up just short all season long. They went up against a team that was tied for the best record in the majors that was particularly suited for the stupid 5 game series. In theory, it should be a great ALCS, but I have visions of the Indians chocking and Borowski sucking (shocker!)
It was a fun season, and what was most enjoyable for me was having some more kids on the team that were easy to root for.
And all that being said, its going to be an interesting offseason for sure. I can't say I will be sorry if Torre goes, mostly for the fact that I just think a manager can only manage for so long. They have shelf-lives, and Torre's, I think, has expired. I don't really think another manager, especially if it is Mattingly, will particularly change anything, but who knows. Eiland as pitching coach would be intriguing with all the kids around.
I would put $$ on Posada resigning. I just don't see him leaving. I would be shocked if Mo doesn't come back--Cashman will offer him a bunch of $ to soothe his ego, which is clearly slightly bruised.
I think Andy will come back too, especially if it is Girardi or Mattingly. Remember, all three of those guys played with both of them, so its not like they would be playing for some random manager or even betraying Joe, who isn't going to be fired but merely not renewed.
All of his quotes of late really hint at wanting to stay.
(shhhhh, don't spoil it for him. Let's just let him dream for a while... )
Even Koufax could only be Koufax for so long. The list of guys who throw that hard and pitch that well for that long is very, very small.
I think trading for Santana is a mistake. Too much uncertainly + way too much money in an extension + way too many prospects given up.
Besides, that's the bad old days. We're in the good new days, the build from within.
96 That's way too much for my liking.... Alright, I just made a huge list of players I wanted to keep and a list of players I thought would be good to trade in a deal for Santana, then I realized... it's Santana we're talking about. Although, I really, really would like to hang on to Hughes and Joba if we could.
So much sweeter that way...
I don't want to see the kids go either, but Santana is entering his prime and is the best pitcher in baseball and has done it in the AL
I for one will watch more baseball this season. I grew up on the game. I love the game. And I'll be happy to watch more of it before the cold sets in and my attention turns to the Skins, U of MD hoops and FC Barcelona. Plus, the DBacks, Rockies and Indians play exciting, energized baseball. Sign me up.
As for the changes, I'm not sure which ones we need or don't. It's tough to watch stars and superstars grow tight and underachieve year after year. It's easier to watch good, solid players overachieve. It doesn't mean I know which is better, just that the former is more painful.
Torre has been great in many ways, most of which I will probably never know. Still, there may be someone else out there ready to lead and to bring in a new dynamic more suited to this current team. I just don't know.
I do think some change could be good. I keep thinking how I wouldn't mind replacing Abreu. Yes, I know his numbers and the success he had after the brutal start. Still, I'm concerned he won't get any better. And, honestly, I'm tired of his intermittent hustling particularly in RF. If you're going to hustle, then hustle. No eyewash, please. I do like him. I'm just not opposed to finding someone else if there's anyone to be found. That goes for JD too (not the hustle part, maybe the lazy off-season part, though).
I think if we come back with the same team we'll have similar results. Yet, if we lose Andy, Alex, Bobby, Mo and JoPo we're sure to have worse ones. I'm optimistic about the future, but not '08. I hope it's just the sadness talking, but, I wouldn't be shocked to see us miss the playoffs.
Torre could conceivably go down as a HOF manager but even Casey Stengal got the boot after a period of not achieving. While this year may have been one of his best jobs managing, I think it's time for a change. Hire Girardi! Not LaRussa (god forbid) or Mattingly (no experience, not very smart either).
Re-sign A-rod. That's a no-brainer. He's the best player in baseball and he finally felt comfortable here. You got a new stadium in one year-We'll end up calling it the house that A-rod built.
All the outfield should be up for sale or trade. Matsui is injured a lot now, Melky is young but wouldn't you rather have Tori Hunter? Damon, he wants to go somewhere and play every day. Good. Trade him and his salary. Pick up the option on Abreau and trade him, too. Get young and fast in the outfield.
The infield in pretty solid. Re-sign Posada and Molina and platoon Jorge at First base with Minky. Bite the bullet and let Giambi die. I've hated him since day one and not just because he came in after Tino but because he can't field and he's too stupid to lay down a bunt down the third baseline when the third baseman is playing behind the bag at second base. He's Barely a one dimensional player. The rest of the infield is solid but not spectacular. Maybe A-rod should be playing SS but Jeter just keeps getting 200 hits and scoring 100+ runs year after boring year. Cano is solid and untouchable, nothing but upside for that kid.
Get Santana. Young gifted and lefty. Don't let anyone else get him. Start Hughes, IPK, Pettite, Joba and the Wanger (if you can't use him to get Santana). Get rid of the bullpen except for Mo. Mussina should be left for long relief. Maybe Villone could stay but the rest of those losers suck starting with he who should not be named (initials KF).
Its a start anyway.
http://tinyurl.com/2swq63
I wonder if I could trouble you all with a baseball question. In a game with the entire season on the line and the bases loaded and nobody out, why not bring in Mariano at that point, even if it's the 2nd or 3rd inning? I mean, what are we saving him for? I suppose this question could be asked about the use of closers generally--why not in the direst situation rather than merely (and exclusively) at the end? But especially when everything is at stake, as vs Cleveland. Many thanks for any guidance on this.
Alright, I took it a bit far, and I agree with you on a lot, but thats an awful lot of change to make.
Also, correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't Sanatna under contract next year? So how, precisely, will the Yankees prevent the Twins from trading him where they want to? Unless, of course, they trade away some of your proposed starting rotation (and that means more than just Wang).
Also, Pettitte may retire--he has a player option, so not much your plan can do about that.
However, I do like the part about Mattingly being "not very smart." That's good to know, and hopefully the new brass (which will replace Cashman, in your scenario) recognizes his intellectual limitations.
I don't mean to be offensive, but how could anyone in their right mind come to that deduction? When people make statements like this, or that 'Torre doen't care' or 'playing with house money', I feel it's EXTREMELY insulting to Joe. He is being paid $7m/yr, and is there everyday to account to the FO, media, players abd fans. You think YOU care more about how the Yankees do then Joe Torre???? This man cries when accounting the accomplishments of his 'boys'. You think he EVER doesn't care???
LF - Jackson
CF - Melky
RF - Tabata
3B - ARod
SS - Jeter
2B - Cano
1B - Miranda, Jorgie
C - Montero, Molina
SP - Wang
SP - Hughes
SP - Joba
SP - Kennedy
SP - Horne/Brackman/Dellin/whoever (just 1)
CL - Mo (Sanchez?)
RP - Ohlendorf
RP - Melancon
RP - J.B Cox
RP - Whelan
RP - Garcia
B - Betemit
B - Sardinha
B - Gardner
B - Battle
Not exact but is it even possible to get something close to this? This is a straight up home grown team, and 25 home grown guys probably isn't possible but I wonder how close the Yankees could/ will ever come to it.
Does it mean that we have to miss the playoffs periodically in order to be "built to win" in the years that we do make it, because we would have the opportunity to build pitching depth through the draft? The White Sox looked great two years ago, the Tigers looked pretty good last year, yet what was it about them that made them "built to win"? Presumably it was the pitching, but it doesn't seem they've experienced any sustained success. Is this the price of parity these days?
Just thinking out loud -- because I'm baffled that for 3 years running, we've had a terrific second half of the season, only to see it all come undone within a week each year. And now Joe is being blamed for not adequately motivating the team to start each season, rather than being credited for getting them to the playoffs under adverse circumstances (most notably thin pitching for about 3 years running, which is Cashman's beat).
In the meantime, the Red Sox, who floundered after building their big lead this year and played just OK ball for most of the second half, are now being hailed as smart and "built to win". There's a lot of hindsight analysis going on right now that's making it difficult for me to understand what really needs to be done, apart from purely reactionary moves ("Dump Farns!" "Trade Melky!" "Get Damon's Ass out of Town!")
this is my no trade list: joba, hughes, cano, wang (remember how bad pettitte's 1997 postseason was? not quite this bad, but let's not completely overreact), derek.
this is my bring back list: mariano, posada.
this is my please trade even if we have to pay almost the entire salary list: giambi, damon.
as for arod, there's no question his value cannot be replaced at third base. but that doesn't mean that his overall value can't be compensated with better pitching and maybe even more consistent contact hitting. i for one don't forget that we had no players even approaching his stardom 10 years ago, yet still got better offensive production against great playoff pitchers. it's not necessarily true that we would be better off without him, but if he's going to opt out, i say fuck him.
Wang is NOT dominant. Of 14 AL teams, he was tied for 13th in ERA. Baltimore, Cleveland and LA has 2 pitches each that were better. 7 other teams has 1 pitcher better. 3 teams had no pitchers better.
So, maybe (depending of how you define an 'ace' or a '#1 starter'), Wang is near/at the bottom of the #1 barrel. So maybe he's a 1-1.5. How team defense enters into this may alter this slightly. But a #3? Are you sure this isn't just his bad PS talking?
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/writers/tom_verducci/10/09/monday.cuts/index.html
5. Here's all you need to know about why the Yankees are 4-13 in their past 17 postseason games: In that stretch their starting pitchers are 2-8 with a 6.36 ERA while averaging 4 2/3 innings per start. Two wins from starting pitchers in 17 games, none in which they completed seven innings. The lack of pitchers who can give them length or the ability to strike out batters -- they averaged 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings -- has killed New York more than anything else.
I think the team has the mentality of "don't panic, of course we'll be in the post season." While it's good to have that confidence, the negative side of it is that you can get complacent and wait for your opportunities rather than make things happen. That leads to quick exits in the post season.
I think ARod will stay. I hope he does. If he does not, with 2008 being Manny's last year, the Sox will out bid everyone.
I think ARod would post huge numbers at Fenway. I think it would tip the balance of power towards the Sox for a number of years. SS has been their most problematic position since Garciapara.
ARod on the Red Sox would be an unfathomable nightmare. Just typing this is making me sick! Keeping ARod from the Sox is almost as good a reason to resign him as just resigning him because he is great and irreplaceable.
That's it. Oh, and Joe T., thanks for the memories. You were the best. But I think you should go out a Yankee and enjoy retirement.
Bring on Joe G.
I'm mostly ambivalent, but if they were to trade an OFer, I'd rather it be Matsui, whose penchent for weak groundballs to 2nd is getting tiresome, as his poor defense. I know that I would never think that previous to this year, but Matsui might command a bit more in the trade. I don't think either should be DHing. But, I'm not really concerned with the OF.
Next year's staff will be nice, maybe some rough patches, but I think with such a young projected staff, it would be nice to promote Dave Eiland to pitching coach if/when Giradi comes on board. Resign Mo and Po, keep Andy & A-rod if possible, and I'm pretty happy. There's no reason to go selling the farm for Santana or Torii Hunter for godsakes.
Thanks to Alex, Cliff, Emma, and Will for posting great reading and keeping the banter bantering. Although, if OldYanksFan had his way we should all just sit down and stop posting, unless it's a compliment to Joe Torre. It'll be interesting to see how the silly season plays out nonetheless.
I know this is like Javier Vasquez banishment, but I wouldnt mind letting go of Wang at this point. Don't get me wrong, the guy really put alot on himself to carry this rotation, but I just dont see him being part of this staff in the long term the way he cracks when he can't get a ball down in the zone. That's not something a #1 start should be about. That's more like #5 stuff.
bite the bullet (and the cash), trade giambi to the angels for something ... probably won't get much, but we've got a logjam of people who need the DH slot and the Big G is the least versatile.
put damon in LF and spell him on occasion with Matsui. Damon and Cabrera give us a above-average 2/3rds of a defensive outfield. Matsui is NOT a viable starting outfielder anymore, being well below average in every defensive metric i've seen. young pitchers need the all the help they can get, fielding a team that can field well is important next year.
of course, the biggest thing we could do to that end is move jeter, but i think that will take another year as defensively bad as this one before the whispers get loud enough to make it even a slight possibility
anyways ... matsui is the primary DH, coming out to spell damon on occasion ... Spelling Bee gets the door, replaced at first with betemit to start the season ... if betemit proves he can't hit lefties (as has been the case in limited exposure) ... 1st becomes a platoon with duncan ...
bring abreu back on the 1 year option ... what happens in RF in 2009 depends a lot on how tabata and jackson and duncan look and develop in 2008
the biggest changes have to occur in the pitching staff, especially the bullpen ...
Besides, the Twins will probably be demanding a young center fielder and a young pitcher. While the Yankees have the latter, they have no one to fill Melky's shoes. And please don't suggest any more long-term free agent contracts to over-30 center fielders.
remember, in the years to come, he will not have to be our ace.
I'm not liking those odds.
110 The devil you can control - Hughes' injury risk going forward - versus the devil you can't - damage Santana might already have done.
106 Don't forget the cost dimension to this.
Cost of Hughes over the next 3 years:
$1.5M
Cost of Santana over the next 3 years (assuming Yanks trade for him this offseason, assume last year of his current deal and sign him to an extension at $20M/year):
$53.25M
And that doesn't even factor in the money needed to replace the valuable guys traded away. Or the 40% luxury tax payment.
You know how the Yanks can definitely afford to pay A-Rod (and Mo and Posada) this offseason? This year, the Yanks spent over $60M on the rotation (including Pavano, Igawa, and change to all the kids who came up). By 2009, the Yanks starting rotation could cost them less than TEN MILLION DOLLARS. Joba, Hughes, Kennedy, and ____ (Horne?) will all cost around $500K each, and Wang is probably going to be around $7M or so.
Can you imagine what Cashman (or anyone with good sense) could do if he had $140M to spend JUST ON HITTERS?
But I just peaked at baseballprospectus.com, and saw a new metric, SNLVAR-adjusted quality starts: http://tinyurl.com/yp5a9f
Surprisingly, no one in the majors hits the 80% threshold. Smoltz is tops at 78.1%. Wang is at 70.0% (21 of 30), tied for 6th in the AL (with Escobar, behind Bedard, Sabathia, Beckett and Meche). So while Wang's high points were not as high Santana, Carmona, Lackey or Verlander, he demonstrated ace-like consistency more than any of the above.
157 wow ... i had forgotten how well flaherty actually hit those 1st 2 seasons
We're talking about Barry Bonds here?
Please tell me you're joking.
(I'm figuring out baseball-refernece.com so I'll be coming up with interesting/stupid facts)
I remember a game against Boston where he was able to negotiate the lineup by going to his slider when his sinker wasn't working, or maybe because they'd hit his sinker before.
I've seen him adapt and have tremendous faith that he'll continue to improve.
He's learning, give him time.
He may never be lights-out, but he doesn't need to be. He needs to be solid, capable of dominating, but able to gut it out. I've seen him gut it out enough times to believe it would be madness to trade him.
Aren't we pleased enough that he's very good and (imo) will likely get better with age and experience?
pass the scotch, please.
Statement from Howard J. Rubenstein, Spokesman for George M. Steinbrenner:
"George Steinbrenner is traveling back to his home in Tampa and will have no statement at this time."
so... i lost my decoder ring... is that "donnie" or "girardi"?
Or not.
Don't get me wrong, though, he's a valuable pitcher. He's just not, say, Brandon Webb.
.... with Marion Jones as his new mistress ...
Having all these young pitchers (and a few young hitters) will allow the Yanks to pay top dollar for the top hitting talent they'll need to get from somewhere over the next few years. Because the far system is not exactly filled with hitting prospects, and the ones it has are at least two years away.
It's a crime that he only got 4 flipping PAs. Let him go. Keeping him is stupid.
Joba
Hughes
Wang
Pettitte
Kennedy??
we have no bullpen, 'specially if Mo goes. he can't go. he just...can't.
It was a very, very impressive Plan B.
Maybe he can't do it consistently, but he clearly has a lot of tools to work with, so I wouldn't put it past him.
That said, I would take Barry Bonds, Stephon Marbury and Marion Jones if they could bring us another WS title. I'm sick of the feeling I had this morning after another early postseason exit...
I know, I know, I'm just bitter. We don't need to panic and sign someone like Bonds. We are on the right track with the young guys... Right? We are on the right track aren't we? Uh, Cashman? Anybody? Bueller, Bueller? Is this thing on?
167 I didn't want your excellent Doors reference to pass by without being noted. Well played.
Fans are funny. A talent evaluator you are not. I understand we all like to overestimate our own talent, but FAR superior? Even being a homer you must be high to make such a statement.
I can say without a shadow of a doubt that I'd rather be a Yankee fan and not make the playoffs than be a Red Sox fan and watch them threepeat. You people are ridiculous.
That's the quote of the day in my book, yankz.
So I suppose you aren't the talent evaluator. Buccholz and Hughes might be close, but Tabata blows Ellsbury out of the water as a prospect, and you would have to be blind AND so overly biased to not see that...
Just because a guy has been a stud doesn't mean they are doomed to injury/regress. There are lots and lots of pitchers to log 200 innings for years and years. Injuries are unpredictable, heck look at Hughes. Just b/c a pitcher is young doesn't mean they will avoid injuries, again, look at Hughes, look at Prior. Santana is fundamentally sound, his 3 pitches are all +++ (and his best pitch is his changeup, which doesn't stress the arm at all), and he hasn't shown a history of injury...
Look, like I said, Santana is the pitcher I think Hughes could be, if all goes well and in a perfect world. But Santana already IS that pitcher. I know we are all in love with the kids, I am too, but we have a lot of talent down there and not enough spots, and a 1-2 of Joba and Santana would be the best in the game, period.
I don't think there are any trades to be made. What can they do? Pick up Abreu and trade him? I doubt that. They won't trade Hughes or Kennedy, or any other pitcher for that matter. This post-season proved why we need more young guys in the rotation, not less.
That being said, I don't think any hitter should be safe if pitching is available on the market. Not Jeter, not Damon, not Cano, not anyone.
192 If he can average seven Ks a game, then he's a legit ace. I'm just dubious that it'll happen.
The problem with plugging Joba in as the number one coming out of camp is that he's going to pitch twice as many innings as he ever has before. I'm not terribly interested in seeing one of our top prospects wither on the vine with a series of crippling shoulder and arm surgeries.
209 i don't think so. he's got the stuff to really dominate. let's see how he does in the rotation before assuming he sticks in the bullpen.
I actually thought it would have been a very good idea to start Joba in Game four, but knew that would never ever happen.
214 i actually was thinking the same thing, but after seeing him obviously tire in the 8th inning of game 3, i don't think he was ready at the end of this season to all of the sudden start again. but i can't wait to see him start games next year.
I wish there was an easy answer on the FA market, but there isn't.
I think doing steroids is wrong, and Bonds has skewed the record books. It's a shame that he tarnished himself because he was one of the greatest players in modern baseball... but because of the steroids, I dont quite know how to rate him. He is a surly bastard, but with a bat in his hands, he is the most exciting baseplayer on earth.
If you took our team as it stands now, but had a healthy Hughes, Joba and IPK from day 1, we would have won over 100 games.
I can see getting an arm or 2 for the BP, but we may even have some kids for that. I think we should keep our team basically intact except for maybe the BP.
Also, as we saw in the PS, DougOut is not a bad option at 1st. His numbers don't stack up to other 1Bman's, but man is it great to see someone on our team taking away hits... as Jeter gives them up.
Also... the greatest thing about our winning in 1996-2000 was doing it with our own homegrown talent. Should we have traded Jetes, or Mo, or Po, or Bernie back in 1996 for some big name, slightly aged talent? Lets give our kids a crack and see what they can do. I think as is, with another arm or 2 in the BP, we have a great team next year.
If it wasn't for Wang, the Yankees might not have entered the playoffs, then he almost (a big almost since the batters picked the wrong time yet again to get cold) single-handedly ended Yankees' postseason. A tough end to his third year but he has more chances to prove himself and erase his mistakes this year in the future.
Man, next year the Yankees might be the most different team compared to the past 5 years.
Alex and Cliff and rest of the newly added bloggers, thanks so much for this year. Fellow Banterers, surely we all agree Yankees and baseball wouldn't be the same anymore without this wonderful community! I will definitely stick around over the long winter!
"Scott Boras, meanwhile, is saying A-Rod wants to play until he's 45 and that he is worth billions (that's with a b) to a regional cable network. If he's staying, the Yankees are really going to have to pay."
Boras makes the snake in the Garden of eden look like a teddy bear.
'King of Gotham?'
http://tinyurl.com/253z9s
There are tons and tons of pitchers to log more innings than Santana has and been fine. And there are tons and tons of pitchers to log far less and get injured. What in the world would make you say that Santana is headed for an injury?
The dude is a stud. He's a #1. He is entering his PRIME. He will be an ace for 6-7 more years. You don't pass that up, period. I'm sorry, but a rotation that stars with Santana and moves on is better than one that doesn't, period.
And as for 213 , I don't see how the Giants fit into that conversation. Trading a prospect for a once in a generation pitcher in his prime is a no brainer, no matter the kid's potential. Hughes has shown that he might be good to great, Santana has PROVED that he is, in the AL, in a hitters park.
This is why projection systems do so much better projecting hitters than pitchers.
PS - The Metrodome has actually played as a slight pitchers park the last 2 years, a slight hitters park the 3 years before that, then slight pitchers again, then slight hitters park again. The last time the Dome was an extreme hitters park was 2000.
PPS - I love Santana, but I'd rather risk losing out on him and keep Hughes/the other prospects/and save the money.
But I'm done - I think this is approaching "dead horse" status.
"a go-to Number 1 starter that we had every year from 1998-2001 whether it was Andy Pettite or Roger Clemons."
This is a joke, right? Pettitte was a top 10 ERA pitcher only three times (1996, 1997, and 2005 for Houston); Clemens (not Clemons) was #2 in 2000 and # 9 in 2001. The closest thing the Yankees had to a shutdown #1 might have been Mussina in 200 and 2001.
No, the dynasty did not in because they had an "ace," but rather because they had a deep staff and BP, and scored a mountain of runs.
it'd take a lot of work to check this, but my sense is Yankee fans would agree--no?
As far as trading Hughes or any other prospect, well everyone should be available. For the right price. Everyone. Make the trades that make the team better. Don't hold onto guys just because they were brought up through the system. Hold onto them if they stand the best chance of making the team better. WHo cares what people think about the Yankees taking other teams stars? It all about the rings, and whatever collection of talent stands to brings the rings home is the talent that should be put on the field.
And finally, a question: why all the concern about spending money? People are acting like the Yankees need to save it in pitching so they can go after great hitters. Well, has anyone noticed that they already have great hitters? So what if they would have to spend to get Santana (not saying they should). I think that the last reason the Yanks should go with an all homegrown staff is because it's cheap. They are not the A's. They should go with the best they can get. Besides, the free agent pool has really sucked of late.
a B to B+ SP
a B+ to A- RP
a B to B+ offense
a slightly above average defense
We didn't have the BEST in any one category, but had excellent in 3. Can you remember how many '6 inning games' we won because of Stanton / Nelson / Rivera?
I think our BP was a crucial key to it.
Cheers.
That's not a slight or anything, it just literally would never occur to me.
That said, I don't want him on my team. Alex, whom I've developed affection for, was too much of a circus act for me. No more of that.
I want high-quality players who fly under the radar.
Arizona, obviously, but also that Game 5 against Oakland. We scored something like 6 in the first inning, I thought we were home free, and Andy managed to make it interesting. We had like 6 or 8 runs early and Andy had to leave around the fifth having given back like 4. The pen (I remember Stanton, in particular) kept them at bay and we hung on.
But Andy was very vulnerable and it was scary.
Personally, I still don't want Hughes to be traded for anyone, but that Sox trade does make me pause a bit. After the last 7 years, I wonder if I have a gut reaction against FA signings. Sox were going through the same thing as the Yanks for the past 3 or 4 years (buy now, ignore the farm, etc.) but they've turned that philosophy around, brought up a bunch of youngsters, and yet they still made that trade.
In that run, they had one year with four 20 game winners... lead by Jim Palmer. The offense was lead by Frank Robinson and the Boog, and incredible defense with Andy Etchebarren, Davey Johnson, Mark Belanger, and 2 guys who may have been the best ever at their position, Brooks and Paul Blair in CF.
This team was strong everywhere. I could simply not believe they lost to the Mets in '69... although you don't see too many pitching staffs with the likes of Seaver, Koosman, Tug McGraw and a kid named Nolan Ryan. They had 6 pitchers with ERA+s of 122 and above, and Seaver, Koosman and McGraw were at 166, 161 and 164 respectively.
So absolute dominant pitching in the top 3 spots might win everytime, but dynasties seem to be built on overall balance.
Because we favor offense so, I don't know if we will ever have a very strong defense. Next year we should have excellent pitching, and if there is not much attrition (ARod), a top offensive lineup. If we can find 2 more BP arms to go with Mo and Viz, 2008 should be our strongest team this century.
If they go all the way this year, its hard to argue with results. Add in that they also have big dollars for payroll, they may be OK with what they did. But I don't think you want to do that too many years in a row.
The only 2 real impact guys I can think of who we lost were Sori and Nick the Stick. Sori turned into ARod (who costs us less now then Sori costs the Cubs) and Nick can't seem to stay healthy for a full season... although I'd love to have him. Juan Rivera? Decent, but no star. Navarro? Claussen (remember him)? Going back to Lowell and McGriff, who have we traded that turned out to be a real loss?
Where I will agree with you is that the Sox don't have much in reserve. Their lineup next year is pretty much all of their talent, the rest being far away. So it works both ways...
here are mo's overall postseason numbers:
76 games, 117.1 innings pitched, 438 batters faced, 34 saves, 5 blown saves, 12 runs, 10 earned runs, 72 hits (2 hrs, 3 triples, 12 doubles, 55 singles), 16 bbs (3 intentional), 3 hit by pitch, 3 sac flies, 93 strikeouts, 3 wild pitches, 6 reached on errors
(that's a 0.77 era, 0.75 whip, 5.81 k/bb, .173 baa, .208 obpa, .231 slga)
and here are his numbers since his worst and most memorable appearance in 2001 game 7:
24 games, 38.1 innings pitched, 139 batters faced, 10 saves, 3 blown saves (all in 2004, and one (game 5 of alcs) was really gordon's), 3 runs, 3 earned runs, 20 hits (0hr, 1 triple, 3 doubles, 16 singles), 4 walks (1 intentional), 1 hit by pitch, 2 sac flies, 30 strikeouts, 0 wild pitches, 2 reached on errors
(that's a 0.70 era, 0.63 whip, 7.5 k/bb, .152 baa, .180 obpa, .189 slga)
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