Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
When the Red Sox came to the Bronx for a three-game series two and a half weeks ago I wrote that "the Yankees still only have one route to the postseason, and that's the Wild Card." The Yankees were eight games behind Boston coming into that series. After sweeping the Sox, they were five behind. In the two weeks since, the Yankees have actually lost a game in the standings another improbable sweep would still leave them 2.5 games behind with just 14 games remaining in the season. Boston will have just 12 games left after this weekend, none of them against a team that enters today's action with a winning record. Baseball Prospectus's Postseason Odds give the Yankees a 2 percent chance of winning the division (but an 87 percent chance of winning the Wild Card). As hard as it might be to remember, this weekend's series in Boston is far more about holding off the Tigers (who are a solid 3.5 games back in the Wild Card race, but have won seven of their last nine), than it is about catching the Red Sox.
If that dilutes the rooting a bit, here's something else to root for: the Cleveland Indians. The Indians currently trail the Angels by one game in the overall AL standings. If the the Indians can pass the Angels, then the Tribe, not the Halos, would be the team the Wild Card winning Yankees would face in the ALDS. That's a far more favorable matchup for the Bombers given that they went 3-6 against the Angels this year, but swept the Tribe in their six giames against Cleveland. The bad news is that the Angels, who are the better team to begin with, have the easier schedule remaining with only a four-game set against the finally free-falling Mariners of much concern, while Cleveland has three against the M's and three against those surging Tigers.
Back to Boston, this series features the same three pitchers for each team as the last series in New York, only with Roger Clemens and Chien-Ming Wang switching places in the final two games. Tonight we get a rematch of Andy Pettitte and Daisuke Matsuzaka. Matsuzaka, who leads the AL in pitcher abuse points, has been a mess recently, going 1-4 with a 9.57 ERA in his last five starts, including his last outing against the Yankees in which allowed five runs in 6 1/3 innings thanks in part to his putting four players on base for free (three walks and a hit batsman).
Pettitte, meanwhile, is the Stopper (since the All-Star break: 9-2, 3.14 ERA, 9 of 12 quality starts falling just one out short in two others). He countered Matsuzaka with a gem in which he allowed only the leadoff batters to reach base and held the Sox to three runs over seven innings, striking out six. With last night's loss, he's even got a potential losing streak to stop.
More good news for Pettitte: Manny Ramirez, who hit one of two homers off Pettitte in that last matchup between these two teams, is still out with the strained oblique that took him out of that game. His replacement, rookie prospect Jacoby Ellsbury (hitting .400/.419/.750 on the month), missed Wednesday night's game with a injury to his wright wrist. Bobby Kielty gets the start in left tonight hitting from his stronger right side against the lefty Pettitte. As for the Yanks, their lineup looks like it did the first two days in Toronto, with Matsui getting the start in the field over DH Johnny Damon.
Boston Red Sox
2007 Record: 89-58 (.605)
2007 Pythagorean Record: 94-53 (.638)
Manager: Terry Francona
General Manager: Theo Epstein
Home Ballpark (2007 Park Factors): Fenway Park (102/101)
Changes:
Doug Mirabelli was activated from the DL
The following players were called-up after rosters expanded:
25-man Roster:
1B Kevin Youkilis (R)
2B Dustin Pedroia (R)
SS Julio Lugo (R)
3B Mike Lowell (R)
C Jason Varitek (S)
RF J. D. Drew (L)
CF Coco Crisp (S)
LF Manny Ramirez (R)*
DH David Ortiz (L)
Bench:
L - Jacoby Ellsbury (OF)
S Bobby Kielty (OF)
L - Brandon Moss (OF)
L Eric Hinske (UT)
L Alex Cora (IF)
R - Royce Clayton (IF)
R Doug Mirabelli (C)
R - Kevin Cash (C)
Rotation:
R Josh Beckett
R Curt Schilling
R Tim Wakefield
L - Jon Lester
R Daisuke Matsuzaka
Bullpen:
R Jonathan Papelbon
L Hideki Okajima
R - Eric Gagne
R Mike Timlin
R Julian Tavarez
R Kyle Snyder
R - Manny Delcarmen
L - Javier Lopez
R - Bryan Corey
R - Devern Hansack
R - Clay Buchhholz
60-day DL: R Brendan Donnelly, R Matt Clement
Lineup:
R Julio Lugo (SS)
R Dustin Pedroia (2B)
L David Ortiz (DH)
R Mike Lowell (3B)
R Kevin Youkilis (1B)
L J. D. Drew (RF)
S Jason Varitek (C)
S - Bobby Kielty*
S Coco Crisp (CF)
*Manny Ramirez is still out with the back injury he suffered in the opener in the Bronx. He had a good batting practice session on Wednesday, but will not start tonight's opener. Kielty will only start against the lefty Pettitte with either Eric Hinske or Brandon Moss starting against the righties if Ramirez is still unable to play.
With that out of the way, does anybody else think that strikeouts shouldn't really be a criteria for winning the award? If someone's better at getting outs without giving up runs, who gives a rat's ass how he does it? Sure, strikeout rates might be a good predictor of future success, but the award isn't about the future. I don't know, I just think that it's possible to be a better pitcher, for one year, while having substantially less strikeouts.
On a completely different note, I hope that Joe's mis-usage of Joba doesn't come back to bite us in the ass this game.
I HATE THE RED SOX
Also, I bet if Andy comes inside, he'll get chucked.
Times he's allowed to throw at Yankees without being ejected and suspended.
DiceK had looked pretty good, and he beans Arod of all people on the first pitch? Too coincidental for me.
The annoying thing about that inning is Dice didn't make one good pitch the whole inning and yet they still couldn't score a run.
I feel that they are more worried about the Yanks than the other way around. Of course the big exception is Ortiz. But one guy does not make a lineup.
Not a very good start for what's supposed to be an important game.
He does this every game.
Gosh- I never thought I would say that.
TV announcers really are dreadful....
HIS...
ASS...
DOWN!!!!!!!!
Teammates all like him
Pesky
Gritty
Gutty
Uniform always dirty
Knows how to play baseball
Does all the little things.
All from the YES announcers, in one at-bat. OK, OK, we get it. He's Scrappy McGritstein all over again.
What is the point of playing him? Right now, he's about the worst player on the team.
Regardless of intent, after the Jeter pitch, he should have been ejected immediately. And suspended.
I can't believe how poorly they've played in the very first inning of what is supposed to be a big series. How does that happen?
I'M CHURNING!
We need to beat the crap out of these guys!
Was Alvaro Espinoza also spunky?
Eject and Suspend him.
Rollins is a below-average player offensively for his career.
Chase Utley OPS+ = 150
Rollins = 121
That's a fucking gigantic difference.
Rollins, in his career year, doesn't come all that close to Utley.
BTW, Rollins has nearly 200 more AB than Utley this year, which explains the difference in their XBH.
He's a much, much better player.
As for extra base hits, Rollins full season average this season is 85 XBH. Utley's is 90. the only reason he's not there is a broken hand.
144 How many times have you declared the season over? I'm just trying to say that you have a tendency to overreact.
That run should be charged to the homeplate ump.
This feels like a game thread from May.
The horror, the horror.
I'm trying to get my mind off this and not fly into a rage, but its not really working.
180 There is shrine to Bobby V outside the Chiba Lotte Marines stadium over here..he took an awful team and franchise and won the title..impressive
IAN KENNEDY TOSSES PERFECT GAME, YANKS ROLL 8-0
BantererX post 1245 : "Pfff. He threw 81 pitches. Talk to me when someone throws 27 pitches. Then we'll talk about a 'perfect game'. This team won't see the postseason, anyway. They're 3.5 back already."
And the beat goes on...
But why would they send him??
Ring a bell.
C'MON YANKS! Get it together!
Thank you Andy.
Carry on.
Does anyone else get this claustrophobic feeling when watching a game at Fenway? It's so small, I feel like I can't breath. I can't imagine what's it like actually being there.
Ha aha ahaha hah! Aha!
In all serious. DJ has always made his own luck and found ways to stay out of slumps. As said earlier, I hope he breaks out NOW! I love the guy but I think he would be the first to agree with my assesment. He doesn't make excuses.
He owns The Fens.
Speaking of fine...looks like our offense finally arrived to the game.
246 heh.
251 should read than* be you. I am way off today- guess I gotta get my focus back!
254 pantsing will get me every time
Quick contest: who/what does Bucholz look like?
Runner on third, 0 outs and he doesn't score?
Have you ever played baseball, william?
Am I the only one here who wouldn't either kill myself or shut myself in my room and cry for a week if they didn't make the playoffs? I'd be fucking sad as hell, but I'm not going to stress over Melky GIDP or Jeter swinging at a pitch that was questionable. Sorry I lighten the mood on this MayThread by poking fun at your ridiculous demands? I'm pretty sure you're in the minority on the Dark Side, William.
I'm the biggest Yankee/baseball fan I know, but I don't define myself that way. Am I a bad fan or something? Not being sarcastic.
280 As long as it isn't for the entire season.
Cliff quickly put me in my place. He pointed out that the Yanks had just been playing great ball, and that one game in no way reflects some systemic problem with the team. I then came back to the Jedis and decided to abandon the Sith way.
Cliff, where for art thou?
That was an RBI Baseball 3 play.
Also, you have a shitty sense of humor. Let the autograph joke die.
There's a reason baseball lasts as long as it does.
306 I will gladly let you know when you say something I consider funny. Gladly. I'm still waiting.
Yankz/Williams: personal attacks are just boring.
And, I might add, fuck.
heading out early as got tickets to the Sumo today. Let`s go Yanks!
Um, I know this makes it look like an extension of the beef we just went through, but it is a sincere apology (coughKencough).
Back to the Jedis...
This Boston team reminds me of the Yanks, circa 99. And that makes me nauseous. Gonna have to turn this off very soon.
Ummm... at least we still have a shot at the divis.... no, wait
we are playing at home where we're more likely to come back...no, no
their uniforms look silver?
333 We still lead the wild card?
I just can't look at their 2nd half record and think that this game is somehow indicative of a lack of skill/focus/etc.
I would like to see Dane Cook struck by a foul ball.
I'm logging off for the night.
Hell, I played baseball for... I don't know, 10 years maybe. I dropped one pop-up at short stop, at least I can't remember any others. It was such a horrible feeling that I remember it very clearly. I also remember trying to catch that ball with all my might. But to the outsiders, it was just a lazy pop-up and it probably looked like I wasn't focused. Oh, but I was. I just screwed up.
Oh yeah, I pitched in important championship games (albeit as a kid), even got dog-piled on when I struck out the last batter to win the championship game. Not that's it's anything close to professional, but as a kid, the emotions are still the same. I guess what I'm trying to say, is that I know a little about what it's like to fuck up, and to not actually lose concentration while doing it. I'm sure they go through the same things.
When A-rod strikes out twice, maybe the pitcher's just on?
But I will take a cold streak if it means he's hot come the playoffs.
I can touch-type...if I don't think about it. If someone asks me "how can you do that" or "what finger do you hit the Z with" I lose the ability and have to look at the keyboard.
Guess most Sox fans never stop being obnoxious.
http://www.gladwell.com/2000/2000_08_21_a_choking.htm
Also, BB conducted a great interview with Gladwell, over at the right.
"If the Tigers tie this up I'm going to go out and nail this chick."
I've been hosting a barbecue.
Just saw Robby fly out and Melky walk.
What happened to Andy?
But he's not as good as back in 2004, right?
It's a hit!
Come the fuck on, Derek!
Do it, please!
Oh shit, Captain Patella is up :(
Nice little cut by Derek.
That was his pitch!
So hittable!
That was so fucking close.
That's a tough pitch to take.
Derek's not comfortable swinging the bat, I think.
Maybe they'll score 4 off Gagne? That would please me.
2-5-2 looks pretty bad.
Have we blown it? It looked like we have Dice-K's number. What happened?
Amazing.
He dropped the baseball!!
Fuckfuckfuckfuckfuckfuck!!!
Nooooooooo!!
Fucking bleeding fall-in fucking blooper.
...and with that hit, I'm out. Good evening all. Maybe with my presence gone, the tides will turn.
" Quick Small-Sample-Sized Update
September OPS:
Choke-Rod: 1.553
Calm-Eyed Jeter: .442"
Feel.
Ill.
How lovely.
What about your dog?
Sean Henn didn't even warrant a September call-up, why is he here?
558 We think she was poisoned.
I'm really sorry to hear that. I love animals and my gf is a vet. We get really upset whenever something like that happens.
Didn't these teams set a record for the longest game last year?
Is she all right?
Too little, too late.
But nice enough, Jason.
Even in an outstanding season, the team is going lose (sometimes ugly) 62 friggin' times. That's a lot of days and nights to be hatin' life.
Peaks and valleys, hot and cold, yadda, yadda. It's a long haul and anyone who writes off a deep, talented, resourceful team in June, well, I don't know how to address that other than they haven't been around the game that long, maybe...
* Of course, someone will post "Yeah, NOW Giambi hits one..."
Robby hit that one a long way.
Not good.
Nice fucking hit, Johnny!!
Nice fucking hit.
You look to walk, right?
If so, maybe Derek should just look first-pitch fastball and take his chances.
At the very least.
Fucking Yaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyy!!!!!!!!!!!
Nice hitting, Derek!
Yaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!!!!!!!!!!!!!111
Fucking A!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
He's available, right?
Get his funky ass the fuck up!
Funny thing, I actually did go away, flipping around on EI, but checking the Yahoo scores and schedule page. Tuned in after Robby's HR.
ha hah ahaha hah ah ah!!11
Yaaaaaayyyyyyy!
HA!
Team. Of. Destiny.
God, it makes me so happy!
570 ,575 I know what you guys mean. It's a bit upsetting sometimes knowing how cheerful Banter used to be almost at all times.
Nice.
Nice and easy, pal, up the gut.
Nice and easy.
Damn.
162 times 9+ is a lot of innings, you know?
Ok, how are we going to hold these guys down?
Nice that Ortiz leads off. I guess that's something.
Still, one run is very precarious, especially with a weary Viz starting the next inning. Torre needs to have Mo ready for double duty. Losing this now would be like losing two games.
Mo should really pitch the 8th. but we all know that'll never happen. he really should though. our best pitcher vs. their best hitter. keep the 'momentum' shift in our favor. etc. etc. if we give it up in the 8th, i'll be mortified...
I'm concerned, though.
Hey, I love this shift thing!
i wonder if sut and bake hear about all the posts that go against them. there's a good one up at firejoemorgan.
oh, fuk on the passed ball/strikeout. boo. how bout a quick DP. please, oh please...
If he's going to come in in the eighth, shouldn't he have been warming already?
NO MERCY!!!
Fucking A yessssssss!
Jorgie!!
and nancy will lead off next inning!
let's get an insurance run...or three.
PUT THEM IN THE GRAVE!!!
Why why why are Yankees v. Red Sox games always so long?
Yeah, except baseball is far more compelling than porno flicks.
:)
Nice look, jerk-off.
What are you talking about? This game is gonna come in at a very manageable 4:45...
Let's light this fuck up.
Why is DeSalvo warming up?
A guy on first, all you need is a double and then it's too late to bring in Mo, so why get him up?
Either be ready to bring him in if someone reaches or live and die with Viz.
That kind of half-way thing doesn't make sense to me.
One bad inning or what?
Torre, take note!!!
I was hoping Melky or Cano would have done the same thing. Gagne is rolling changes up there.
Damn it.
Andy kinda melted down, he didn't have great command and there were a couple cheap hits--
Flying out to right a lot.
Sometimes hit fairly well, but he's barely lining anything these days.
Dear Mo...
These bozos behind the plate...
Just a easy double play then a strike out.
2 to go!
2 mo Mo.
That was hittable, though, it looked.
But whatever, one out.
Nice effort.
Oh Cano!!!
C'mon Mo!
Mincemeat.
wowwowwowwowwowwowwowwowwow.
What a GAME!
Theeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee Yankees WIN!
NICE win!
HA!
I LOVE YOU ALL!!!!
YEAH BABY!!!!
WHAT A COMEBACK!!!!
G-NIGHT!!
HA!
FUCKIN' BEAUTIFUL!
:)
Man, what a great win, the team really has to be pumped after one. I am!
HA!
HA!
David Justice explaining the message the Yankees have sent to Boston.
They're having a lot of these big, really big late innings, no?
I like this team, they aren't quitters.
What a game.
Eighth inning resurgence, like in the old days.
Out of nowhere.
Red Sox Nation must be feeling kind of snakebit right about now, eh?
Heh heh heh.
Hot damn.
Giambi should never ever ever ever play first base again.
He was an absolute butcher tonight.
That's the type of performance that loses a playoff series if it happens in October.
Thankfully, the shot of Torre in the dugout wincing means we probably won't see G-man play the field again.
a 6-1 road trip!!! PINCH ME I'M GIDDY!
Solid win.
Indians also won tonight, which is a very good thing. Wait... if we overtake Boston for the division, and the Indians turn out to have a better record then the Angels, we have to play the Angels in the division?
So what do we root for then? What if our options were:
a) division title/Angels in 1st round. -OR-
b) Wildcard/Indians 1st round.
What would we rather want?
844 It's not that I want a certain matchup. It's just that I don't want a certain matchup (LAA).
thelarmis, I wasn't watching on ESPN, can you explain this "they read a comment and passed it on" thing?
yeah. like 30 seconds after william posted the funny quote about joba pitching since it was after midnight, Sut said something like this: (and i paraphrase...) and i just got word that someone online asked if they could use Joba since it's after midnight.
i was beside myself! it totally kicked ass. they didn't say anything like 'bronx banter' or 'yankee blog' or anything like that. Sut was just fed william's post by, most likely, an espn intern, or something.
pretty cool stuff! : )
That is awesome. And it is a great question: do they know that we absolutely bash them on this board? It's great that we now know they're reading.
Hey ESPN: Fire Joe Morgan. (Dot com.)
Shit, gotta wake up early, so I'll read a few more recaps and then it's off to bed.
watching highlights on bbtn: fucking beautiful!
"I don't always say that but I felt that way," he said. "We had missed a lot of opportunities before."---
What a fucking great captain we have.
Sorry I missed it, but wow, great comeback! You guys seem to have had a heart attack or two in there. My favorite comment was: "Oh, Giambi hits a homer NOW, that's useless." :)
Great game! Now Wang solidifies the Cy Young tomorrow.
Don't forget strange things happen in a 5 or 7 game series, like Brian Doyle and Bucky Dent both hitting .400 in the same world series.
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