Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Where does Alex Rodriguez's season rank amongst the greatest single seasons ever by a Yankee hitter? Well, according to OPS+, if the season ended today, he'd rank #25. Rodriguez currently sports an OPS+ of 183 (he had an OPS+ of 167 in his last MVP season, 2005). If he drops to 180, he'll be in 30th place. Nothing but a bunch of guys name Ruth, Gehrig, Mantle and DiMaggio ahead of him on the list. But check out Bobby Murcer's 1971 season, and Paulio O's strike-shortened 1994 season, making to top 30.
* Okay, I know the headline is random as hell. It comes from Albert Brooks' first record, co-prodcued by Harry Shearer, "A Star is Bought." It's a concept-record. Albert wants to have a hit record, so he designed an album with cuts that could be played on every kind of radio station--he does a blues duet with Albert King, has a talk-show segment, even sings Bolero. Because of a falling out between Albert and Shearer the album has never been released on cd. Hopefully, it will be someday as it is a must for Albert fans, and, in some ways, is a radio version of the mockumentary "This is Spinal Tap."
here's the link:
http://www.mediafire.com/?egd6blywlvo
thanks for the tip, alex.
Reminds me of a segment on This American Life I heard years back. They took a poll as to which kind of music people hated and then made a song to spec. Turns out, people really hate rap and they really hate opera, so the song featured a soprano rapping. It actually sounded pretty good, in an experimental, Yoko Ono sort of way.
:)
Also, nomass has a nice write up on Andrew Brackman that puts his signing in perspective.
It really tells you something about the Yankee legacy when as good of a season as A-Rod is having, he doesn't break the top 20 in great seasons for the franchise. Wow!
Finally, Lou Gehrig must be the most underrated hitter of all time. If not for Ruth's shadow, Gehrig would have probably gone down as the preeminent hitter of his era. Instead, he hardly gets mentioned in best hitter discussions.
But whereas most fans are more or less knowledgeable about Ruth's career, Gehrig's is actually a mystery.
Whenever people bring up his stats here, I still marvel that they were as good as they were.
He's actually not just insanely great, but epic.
Aside from pre-minority, the era of Ruth/Gehrig also featured pitching and fielding that I have to believe were not comparable to todays athletes.
When did RP come into play? I have read stories of pitchers who threw a DH. Can ARod get 10 ABs in 18 innings against the same guy? There are many, many differences in the quality at attitude of players from 60 years ago, as well as ballparks and other factors. I just think in comparing these 2 groups, we are comparing apples to oranges.
With that said, it warms my heart to see that Mickey had the 5 best years (post 1947) and ARod would be 6th. Further, it's been 45 years between Mantle and ARod.
I would love to see those number, post 1947 for all players in both leagues and see where both Mickey and ARod stand compared to all of MLB. Mays? Williams? Stan the Man? How does ARod compare to the best of MLB?
Lou Gehrig is definitly a top 5 all-time hitter IMHO. I may only put Ruth, Williams and Cobb ahead of him in offense alone.
The Yanks have had the best player in history (Ruth), the best 1st baseman (Gehrig), arguably the best catcher (Yogi) and the best closer (Mo). Not to mention 2 of the best centerfielders ever. And if A-Rod stays long-term maybe we can say the Yanks had the best 3rd baseman ever.
Its such a rich history that is loads of fun to read about.
He's one of my comedic heroes, right up there with Woody, Pryor, & Bugs.
I initially thought the title was a Coen Bros. reference, knowing your connection to "the Dudes," Alex.
re: the list - wasn't it after Murcer's '71 season that Ted Williams predicted he'd be the next player to hit the Triple Crown?
No easy feat that Triple Crown, but if anybody could do it again, I guess it would be our third baseman -- but it would have to be on a down year for batting average I suppose.
The Third Baseman.
One AL executive says he's starting to feel sorry for Phil Hughes -- because he may never be able to match all the hype that was laid on him before he arrived in New York.
"I think he's going to wind up being a No. 3 starter, and that's not bad," the exec says. "But people were led to believe he'd be more than that. It's going to be really hard for him to ever live up to all his expectations."
Poor kid. I can't figure out the need to tear him down.
People weren't led to believe anything, the facts speak for themselves:
Minors:
276 IP / 311 K / 66 BB / 2.09 ERA / 0.86 WHIP
He only gave up 6 homeruns in 276 innings in the minors. Six!
And just for FYI, Clay Bucholz (minors):
288 IP / 356 K / 77 BB / 2.45 ERA / 1.00 WHIP
and 21 HRs.
But Clay threw a no-no, dontchaknow.
I know, all things considered, a pitching prospect can light up the minors and then lose it (Rick Ankiel), but Phil's minor league numbers are phenomenal, and adjusted for his age, even better. It's hard to base an opinion, like that of the unnamed AL executive, and lend it credence, by basing it on Phil's first few starts following multiple injuries to the same leg (while discounting his exceptional minor league numbers).
If Phil doesn't turn into a staff ace overnight or even next season, it's not the end of the world. But there's no reason for people to start running around saying, "well, he's not that good anyway."
This year, his two big "controversial" moments have been strippergate, which Yankee fans largely don't care about, and Howie Clarke, where he is almost universally supported.
2007 A-Rod has no "I played brilliantly" I"m working out while everyone else is taking their kids to school" "Maybe they hate me because I'm biracial"
He's a far more likable guy that he has been in any of his three previous years here, and I think fan reaction has shown that, which in turn has helped him react.
Watch what happens after Joba gives up a run. They'll dog him like Michael Vick.
ESPN is as dead to me as communism. Won't touch their site with a ten foot pole, and when I have to watch, I do so with the sound down.
http://tinyurl.com/2q887r
I highly suggest reading it. Its phenomenal.
As for ESPN, I think they aren't so much as evil as they just pander to the lowest common denominator, which is, most people outside of NYC hate the Yankees. So they give them what they want. Whatever, any show that has "Who's Now?" on it I can't get upset about. They're too stupid to take seriously.
I also just looked at Phil's ML numbers on the season - and how they project for a 162 game season - and outside of his ERA (though his WHIP is kinda high, but it is lower than that of Pettitte, Felix Hernanadez, and similar to Matsuzaka and CMW) the peripherals all point to a solid young pitcher: hits=IP.
I think he'll adapt to ML hitters faster than some people think.
And, if not for a pulled hammy, Phil could have beaten Clay to getting a no-no in his second career start by about 4 months.
I hate to be the resident downer about A-Rod, but I really think he's outta here, and this is all just his magical history tour.
We shall see. But I'll be very surprised, and very happy if he stays.
Johnny Damon is great and all, but really? One of the 2 best? I would at least put Giuseppe Paolo DiMaggio Jr. and Mickey Charles Mantle in front of him. That would at least make him one of the 3 best. And that's just for the Yankees. Plus I think you're forgetting that Terrence Long played 2 games in center last year. Seriously guys, brush up on your history. I'm not around as much as I used to be so I can't babysit.
he just has to.
...doesn't he?
i think they will find a way to give him all that he wants.
the notion of auctioning off every last piece of the current stadium popped into my head yesterday. that would fund his contract and then some. they'd just need to take a financial hit next year.
http://tinyurl.com/3cg3cw
- I think he belongs here.
- but I don't think his wife agrees with me.
- I don't think it's going to come down to money.
- but I don't think Scott Boras agrees with me.
- I see Anaheim offering him enough money, a kinder, gentler press corps, a So. Cal. lifestyle including house on a cliff in Laguna Nigel, where wifey poo can shop in Newport, and play queen of the O.C.
- I see the Cubs offering him something like part ownership in the club to end his career there.
but again, we shall see. The Yanks certainly have a ton to offer, I just hope he wants to stay.
Saw him and wifey poo on TV the other night, at their luncheon the other day. All he would say is "We're here now... we'll see." He's still saying all the right things, but he definitely seemed less commital than ever about staying in NY.
....uh, WHAT???
For what it's worth, I think he stays, but I won't be angry (at him) if he goes.
my sympathies. ugh.
As for the 3B evaluations. Cliff seemed to be very conservative in projecting where A-Rod will place historically. He labeled A-Rod's peak season at age 24. By watching this year I think we can all see A-Rod has re-established his "peak". But I think A-Rod will easily rank above Santo and Baker. Cliff put a lot of emphasis on quantity of time spent as a 3B, but he did predict A-Rod wil play 13 years at 3rd. Thats not too shabby. Gehirg only played 14 full seasons and no one has a problem calling him the best 1B. I think 13 good years at 3rd for A-Rod will put him ahead of all except Schmidt. But still I think he has a chance to challenge Schmidt if he sticks around that long. Lets not forget that George Brett played over 900 games as a 1B and DH. So if A-Rod does play 13 seasons he will have played more games at 3rd than Brett and I think most believe he is a better player than Brett was. Including George Brett himself.
The article was very well researched and supported by solid facts, but I think it was also very conservative with A-Rod's ability and did not consider seasons like he is having this year or even his 2005 season.
0 Yep, for two or three glorious seasons Mucer was one hell of a player. His overall career was not too shabby either. Sort of an OF version of Mattingly.
I think he has 5 this year.
Just in case anyone forgot.
Even better, it's much subjective, but backed up with more statistical data than other sports can usually generate. Like the discipline of history, baseball analysis walks the line between literature/aesthetics/rhetoric and a stricter empiricism...and I love talking about it and debating it.
thanks for the chuckle ....
Also, while Law was harsh with Hughes (I think he was accurate in his assessment for that one game), he has been a big booster of both him and Chamberlain, the latter even more so.
Hughes is pitching off of two significant injuries...no one should be surprised that he isn't throwing nearly a well as he has and will in the future. You don't have to be anti-Yankee to point that out.
Totally agree that they pander to the lowest common denominator (e.g., Peyton Manning was a total loser until the Colts won a Super Bowl).
And my skin's thick enough for ESPN, it's my bowels that can't handle their noise. Sorry, can't watch, read, or listen. Doctor's orders.
Subscribe to Law et al all you wish, but their expert opinions ain't worth a thin dime to me.
While Hughes was struggling in the 3rd(?) the other night, I expressed my hope here that he could make it through 5, hoping Joe would give both Joba and Mo 2 innings. But Hughes stuck it out for 6, contained their bats, and gave the Yanks enough time to break out the bats. That's all any reasonable fan or baseball analyst should expect from a kid. He's going to get better. Keep watching him Keith Law.
http://tinyurl.com/2btd3a
As for your disenchantment with Phil's performance "Had he faced..." "could have been..." whatever. He contained the Yankees closest rival for the wild card, did a better job than Clemens and Mussina combined. Mission accomplished. Get over "had he faced... could have been." You might enjoy yourself a little more.
Oh, and results don't always equate to stuff. Yes, just as stuff doesn't always equate to wins. I'll take wins (even though it was Joba's) over stuff any day.
http://i15.tinypic.com/502ugr6.jpg
But Law never really takes the next step, which is to say, this is a fixable issue (probably the offseason) that mostly comes with starting to trust his legs again. Remember, it was a curve, not a FB, that caused him to pop the hammy, and the curve hasn't been nearly as sharp (though better last game). Until Hughes feels comfortable taking his full stride and pushing off and planting hard again, this is the Hughes we will see.
The ridiculous thing is, even clearly not 100%, Hughes throws as hard as Buchholz and has been using only 2 pitches with a tiny k zone, whereas Buchholz has been using all his pitches, had the benefit of a ginormous k zone, is 2 years older, and still only throws 90-93. But yet he has "#1 stuff." Thats where Law goes wrong (though he doesn't bring up Buchholz there)
ric, did you read that, I mentioned a Sox?
;-P
I'm seeing exactly the same things in Phil through my fanboy rose-colored shades (here's lookin' at you, William!). Good job pointing out where Law went astray, as opposed to me crudely dusting him off as a "smug-ass dick."
Through my fanboy rose-colored microscope (Outta my way, Keith!) I see a kid who had zip on his fastball, a better than servicable curve despite our knowledge that it has been sharper. I see a kid that is poised, intelligent, competitive, improving, and despite his recovery from a serious injury, showing flashes of brilliance to come.
That doesn't pass for compelling reading at ESPN, now does it? Better to be smug and skeptical about the Yankee young gun.
As for what Phil should be doing now, he's doing it. He's improving. What more can we ask of him?
Am I only interested in enjoying myself? No, I'm also interested in discovering the cure to all that ails mankind, but it looks as though young Buchholz has beaten me to the punch.
How objective of me to have noticed, don'cha think?
My feeling is the + stats are basically comparisons to comtemporaries, with 'adjustments' for time, stadium and other factors. Did you know Managers were initially hired to do bed checks and try to keep their players sober enough to play the next day?
There were sone 'great' players then, but many average guys, able to scratch out a living by playing baseball. Either that, or work in the mines or on the farm.
These adjustments are best/educated guesses that could be close or way off. Ruth was 3 times greater then his comtemporaries, but many of his comtemporaries sucked.
Many games were played in rectangular fields, where LF and RF were less then 250' and CF was 500'. Ever see an outfielders glove from 1930? 15 hour bus and train trips? MASSIVE alchohol consumption? All white players? How do you adjust for that? Which way?
I like to see Ruth stand toe-to-toe with Mantle, Mays, Williams, Aaron, Bonds and many others. It's just my feeling that the amazing numbers that Ruth (and Gehrig) amassed were misleading in comparison to todays atheletes.
How many sports have records held by people who played in the 1930's? What are the oldest Olympic records? Most people agree that training, money, support and other factors make todays athletes better then those in the past.
Like I said, it's a personal feeling. But just saying that stats are 'adjusted' and accept them as gospel is silly. There is still argument from people today, about stats for people playing today, that many stats are not accurate portrayals. You want to 'adjust' for factors of 70 years ago by people who had no idea was the real issues were 70 years ago?
Adjustments aren't facts. They are simply the agreed upon 'best guess'.
As you can see, qualifications can be placed on any era. That's why adjusted stats are a valuable tool for making comparisons across eras. I think you are dismissing them too flippantly.
Batter up!
...so thank you!
93 I knew a guy named Dick Smugass . . . though we pronounced it Smooogahs
Has ESPN decided to cast the Yankees as the "Bad Guy" and the Sox (and the rest of baseball) as the "Good Guys?" Yes, I think so to some extent. But that's understandable. Sports journalism isn't journalism, it's entertainment. It needs to have a story line, it needs to have drama between the games or else, there is no need for ESPN. So I understand why ESPN does the stupid unwatchable crap they do. Because to a LOT of people, it's not crap and it's not unwatchable.
To sports purists, it's a bastardization, but the majority of the sports watching public are far from purists, and are not particularly enlightened. Which is why guys like Joe Morgan are paid ridiculously well to talk about manufacturing runs, and momentum, and clogging the bases, and being gritty and have never heard of EQA or WARP3. It's just the way it is.
2) As for A-Rod. Not one of us here has any idea whether or not he's going to stay, or what factors will really influence his decisions, materially.
What we are doing, is specualting in an effort to manage our own expectations. I suspect the people who say "He's gone" are doing that so if it happens they will have already come to terms with it, and if it doesn't they'll be pleasantly surprised.
The others who say, "he's going to stay," are cockeyed optimists who are projecting what they believe should happen to become what they believe will happen.
Nobody knows, so as far as I'm concerned, I'm going to sit back and watch what happens over a couple of cold ones. And hope that he stays.
I apologize for getting under your skin, and bringing down our Banter being a smug-ass dick myself.
Got home a little while ago, and had to drag a deer carcass off my lawn. I think it was one of the young bucks I watched locking antlers with his buddy, cuz, or brother a few days ago. In summation, life's too short for bickering. The evidence of that is all around us, and never-ending. Whut up, Jim Dean!
I actually enjoy your company here, even if we don't see eye to eye. Or maybe we do and don't admit it.
We're both here for the same reason. To banter about our favorite team, and our favorite game with our gentlemen hosts, and other bright, spirited, and civilized baseball fans.
At the risk of you over-analyzing my motives (objectively, of course) I'd offer to metaphorically "hug it out" but hopefully that's not necessary, and my simple apology will suffice.
Now, let's go Yankees!
Really? OK. Tell me just HOW they adjust across eras. What numbers get adjusted , and by how much because of what factors. Then we can discuss it. OK? Convince me.
If a player has a 1.000 OPS and the rest of the league is at .800, he has approx. a 1.250 OPS+. However, if the rest of the league is at .900, he has approx. a 1.111 OPS + (for the same 1.000 OPS). Therefore, for the EXACT same performance, OPS+ is dependent on the competition. Lesser competition makes for better OPS+. I think many players in the old days were mailing it in. I think the competition was much less.
Take away Mays, Aaron, Clemente, Stan the Man, Killebrew and a number of others, and Mantle's OPS+ are now higher.
ARod plays against a LOT of well trained, well motivated players. There are many more PLUS players now then 70 years ago.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.