Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
I spent almost the entire day yesterday travelling from Vermont back down to the Bronx via Amtrak. The less said about the trip home the better. The same could be said for the Yankees unsightly performance this weekend against the Devil Rays. I got home last night and called a friend who was livid with the Yankees. Not only that but he simply does not believe they have any heart, any business being considered a post-season threat. "They have no killer instinct, they think they can just show up and be good enough. After beating the Sox they get ripped twice by mediocre pitchers on the Devil Rays? What is that?" I didn't have an answer. "Joe Torre," he continued, "has to be the worst manager in the game when it comes to pitching moves." He proceeded to describe yesterday's events, when Pettitte stayed in the game too long (why didn't Joba Chamberlain start the seventh?), and by the time Torre made a move it was "four batters too late." This reminded me of the comparison Met players used to make between Yogi Berra and Gil Hodges. In the third inning, the thinking went, Hodges was thinking about what to do in the sixth inning. In the sixth inning, Yogi was thinking about what he should have done in the third.
My friend believes that since 2001, Joe Torre's teams have been seriously lacking, and a lot of it can be traced back to the skipper. "Just look at their combined playoff record after they were tied or had a lead in the playoffs." I said, "Yeah, but look at the Mariners. They've lost nine straight. And look at the Tigers." He wasn't having it. Whether the Yankees make the playoffs or not, he doesn't think they'll make it out of the first round. So I bet him a dinner that when the Yankees make the playoffs they'll win the first round.
Call it a sucker's bet or blind faith, but what the heck?
Cliff is away on vacation, so there won't be a Mariners Preview as per usual. I'm not even going to try and replicate what Cliff does so well. What I do know is that Seattle has lost nine in a row but they also have their ace, Felix Hernandez, going today. That isn't a good sign for the Yanks, who'll counter with Rocket Clemens. Something's got to give. Will we see the same uninspired effort that we saw this past weekend, or something closer to what we saw last week against the Red Sox? If the Yankees have any killer instinct in them, they'll win two of three here, even sweep. But if they lose this series--and I don't think anyone would be surprised either way--the book will still be open on this team. Are they pretenders or contenders?
That is the $64,000 question.
It is absolutely gorgeous in New York today, cool and overcast.
Let's Go Yan-Kees!
If they don't respond to Seattle coming to town, it could be a very difficult September.
Moreover, this series was going to be tougher than advertised anyway, with Hughes and Kennedy going back to back. Expectations were raised when Kennedy won. I suspect that if the team dropped the first two games bu Andy came back as the stopper in game three, the perception of the series would be much higher. At least that's my thinking.
I've always felt this team was flawed and have hoped all along that they could sneak into the playoffs, get lucky with a young arm and get hot, and then pull off a run.
But this last weekend was really, really disappointing. There have been whispers all season about "attitude" and "heart", which I have mostly ignored, but the most recent 3 games have really made me wonder. You know it's bad when I actually found myself missing Proctor, because our bullpen is full of holes and pitchers with "rules", and overhyped "gems" brought up from the minors like Edwar.
I wonder if they can put away Seattle at this point. I really have my doubts.
As for the Yanks chronic boughts of "lifelessness," I can't pin that on Joe. This is still a mostly veteran team. They don't need a manager screaming at them to wake up. Jeter, A-Rod, Posada, Damon, Hideki, Abreu... down the line, they're awake, they know what they have to do to get to October. Some days they just don't have what it takes. Not Joe's fault, not always.
The main reason I'm for sticking with Joe no matter what happens down the stretch is this is still going to be very much a veteran team next year. Keep the old guard happy and comfortable for another year or so.
bottomline: great pitching made Joe look like a genius in the 90's, and since then, shitty pitching has made him look like an ass. Like most managers, he's something in between, but I think he still has more good days than bad.
I have long since given up trying to predict the playoffs, but if nothing else last year should have taught us that you don't have to actually be a very good team to win the World Series. The Cardinals were two games over .500 and relied on aces Jeff Suppan and JEFF WEAVER, who pitched like frigging Christy Matthewson throughout October. All things are possible.
Good heavans, we're looking at the team with one of the best few records in the entire league. So, they stumbled into a bunch of wins despite their lack of character, waiting until a really bad team showed up (like TB) just so they could really loaf it?
They may "hold off" Seattle (an interesting choice of words for a teams whose hard charge seems to be a nine game free fall), or they may not. I'm pretty sure that will have more to do with teh talent and performance on the field from this point out than it does to who's got more 'fire in the belly' or who knows how to "grind it' or 'cowboy up' or whatever.
It seems to me that since the team won so much more often in 1998, we ascribe to that team greater heart and focus and so on. What about the 2000 team, that "slumbered" through much of teh beginning season then totally fell asleep at the end. Did they lack focus, or was it simply a more flawed team than the 1998 juggernaut, or (since they won it all) must we assume that they "knew how to win" in way that the current team makes us question?
Let's concede that the Yankees are not good, and that their record against TB and Baltimore reflects their true ability. That suggests in my mind that they have tremendous heard and hutzpuh and guts and grittiness and veteranness--because they have willed themsleves to a very good record overall and a winning record against the vaunted Sox, clearly outplaying their skill level.
If so, then the problem with the 2007 Yankees is exactly not one of intangibles, but rather skill and ability, and at some point they will simply be unable to keep overcome their lack of skill with their heart and grit.
Bad ABs, bad baserunning, Abreu jogging to first two times in the same game on long fly balls-none of these are indicative of a team fighting for its playoff life.
I do wonder, though, if it's a little harder for teams with a microscope on them like the Yankees to "slip under the radar". The Cardinals have a very avid and rabid fan base, but the national writers didn't seem to pay too much attention to them until very late in the game. There seems to be a morality play hinging on every possible outcome of the current Yankees' team.
But it's true that you could apply the same questions of character and heart (incorrectly) to the Mariners and Tigers. A nine game losing streak and losing 2 of 3 to KC (as well as blowing a 7 run lead to Oakland) would definitely get the Yankees roasted if it happened to them.
I just wish I had more confidence in this year's team, but I guess it's the theme of the season that they'll keep us guessing about how good they really are until the bitter end.
Now, if there was only time to get Jeter a day or three off.
But I don't think expectations have anything to do with any team's successes or failures.
To me, it always comes down to pitching, and the 2007 Yanks are textbook mediocre in that department.
Not saying they can't win it all, the bats can still take them all the way, and the pitchers can be as good as anybody's when they're on -- but I wouldn't bet a dollar or a dinner on them. Not enough consistently good starting pitching for me to invest in.
Anything can happen...but I think the old saw is correct. Pitching and defense wins championships.
Someone posted a link to a statistical analysis here last year. They found that postseason success is most likely if you have an excellent closer, good defense, and power pitching. Presumably because those factors are less dependent on luck.
Makes sense to me, and made even more sense after last year's postseason flameout. Even the best hitters can go cold at the wrong time. All at once. :-P
Q: Who won the WS in 2006? Anyone know?
Q: How many games did they 'blow' that season?
Q: How many times did their big bat go 'Ofer'?
Q: How many 'manager' loses did they have?
Q: How many games did they look like shit?
A: The st. Louis Cardinals... who cares... whos counting.... what's it matter... who gives a shit.
This is a 162 game season and EVERY team has all these great and terrible moments and games. This is what makes baseball so fascinating and unpredictable.
The Sox, Angels, Tigers, Seattle and Indians have all had their share. Detroit blew a 7 run lead yesterday. Do they 'NOT DESERVE' to play in the PS? Gagne blew 2 easy wins in a row. Do the Sox 'NOT DESERVE' to play in the PS?
We are Yankee fans so we obsess with their every game, every AB, every swing. It's a great hobby made far better, and far more fun and interesting, because of Alex and Cliff.
But lets not take ourselves to seriously and think we know what is in the hearts, minds and bodies of Cashman, Torre and some 40 odd other baseball players.
Everyone here, and in baseball, knows the Yankees have an excellent team. Flawed? Sure? Capable of missing the PS? Sure. Capable of making the PS? Sure. Capable of winning it all?
You betcha!
GO YANKEES!
I take your broader point that media scrutiny shouldn't be used as a primary point of analysis when considering performance (or lack thereof) -- and I wasn't positing it as such, just contributing something else to think about.
But professional athletes are definitely not created equal in terms of their ability to manage the expectations of baseball markets like New York or Boston. I realize this may entail stepping into another qualitative quagmire along the same discussions of "heart", but I think it's reasonable to say that some players manage media scrutiny a lot better than others.
A-Rod is actually an excellent example -- as yankz pointed out, it's some pretty lofty expectations that lead people to consider him a "failure" for his numbers prior to this year as a Yankee.
But I would argue that until he learned to handle the media and fans properly -- which meant playing a certain game, such as not giving the press anything juicy to hang him with, and shrugging off leading questions and attempts to blow up minor incidents into major catastrophes -- until he did these things, he didn't really relax and allowed these distractions to impact performance.
He's still had to deal with crap this year -- "Ha!" the strip clubs, etc -- but he's shown an amazing ability to shrug them off and even dealt with certain incidents (the bat confiscation) with a level of humor and lightness that's unprecedented in his public life.
All subjective, of course, but I think it's reasonable to say that his improved ability to manage these things has led to better overall performance and the kind of year he's having. He himself has made the claim. But this ia a very squishy argument, I know. More interesting than discussions of "heart", though. :-)
Again, it's how he reacted to their reactions... not their expectations that made the difference.
I'ma shut up now, and enjoy the game.
I know he hit it fairly well and it took a great play to turn two, but the Yankees flundered over the weekend because of impatience and it has started already today.
Absolutely NO sign that we'll win this one. 1 game up in the WC - maybe we'll actually wake up the bats tomorrow.
I know Joe really wants to get Moose another start at the expense of one of the kids and all, but come on
Fakers was a perfect title for this thread because the last three losses has made that term very relevant.
Brilliant!
So far he's thrown 8 pitches, all outerhalf/outside.
Oops, 9th pitch was inside off the plate. Hooray.
Moose is in now? Due to injury or ineffectiveness?
What's with the rants in the booth about the September call-ups? Nothing else to talk about, guys?
Chris Britton warming in the Yankees bullpen.
(i used to have a fusion group of that name)
It's as easy as affixing a Yankee cap to an invisible skull.
Britton has been with the Yankees organization all season. It's now September and they still have it wrong. It shows ESPN has no process to change and check the photos. It's half-assed, like everything ESPN does these days. Well not everything...ESPN does cross-promotion with all the thoroughness of a prostate exam. I even think they use rubber gloves their cross-promotion is so deep.
http://tinyurl.com/29megf
The Britton picture in the Yankee hat was not that hard to find by the way...
I have neighbors over : kids in the pool, parents working on beers, burgers and dogs, grill working overtime, me on the deck grillin' and sneakin' peeks at the TV - Yanks sleepwalking through another important game...what gives ?
Clemens
For Toronto
ERA+
226!
176
For Houston
ERA+
145
221!
197
For Yanks
ERA+
97
137
128-CYA(Moose 142 CYA-5th??)
101
112
104-This year
For Boston(1996) When he was supposedly done!
ERA+
142
So the Yanks never got even a DONE version of Rocket in any of the years that they have him, and the Astros and Blue Jays always got a better version of the Rocket.
Again, I am not a Clemens fan and didn't really like the signing at the time. Hopefully it will work out to make the playoffs and I will cheer him to do well.
As for the Yankees, I am bleeding pinstripes. Petit falls. Clemmens falls. Moose in relief gives up two runs. It is funereal. The bats are slow. I wish I knew more. Still fatally flawed.
Are there any more callups expected, now that Scranton's season is over?
Answer: 7.2 IP, 15 H, 7 R 7 ER 1 BB 1 Hr.
Otherwise, we are obviously up shits creak. That would leave only two viable starters in the rotation. We don't know what if anything we can get from Moose, Hughes is either not quite ready for prime time, or hurt, or simply a bust. Kennedy is our last best hope for the rotation. Let's hope that one start wasn't an aberation. From what I see, only Chamberlain has what it will take to be a front end starter in the bigs, notwithstanding all the hype and projections surrounding the others. Face it, Hughes and Kennedy may turn out just fine, but if you look around the league, they aren't even close to being what many other young pitchers are who made their debut this year or last. They are just the best that the Yankees have, but not near the best out there.
Yeah, like Homer Bailey (ERA+ of 67), or Tim Lincecum (111, but after being abysmal for many starts), or Yovani Gallardo (94). Verlander was 23 last year.
Some people had (and apparently still have) absurd expectations for these kids. Hughes is 21, younger than anybody else on this list, and missed several months. He wasn't even supposed to get called up this year. Kennedy was freaking drafted in 2006. Good grief.
That has been Homer Bailey's problem as well. Despite having a reputation for being less injury-prone than Hughes, he missed a big chunk of the season with groin strains. He dominated at Triple-A, but since his injury, has struggled at A-ball. He's not even being called up with the expanded rosters.
I am giving up on even commenting on the absurd posts claiming that Hughes is a bust or should be doing better. Its just stupid, short sighted, and irrational. Feel fine to give up on Hughes, but when he comes back and regains his control, you are not allowed to jump on the bandwagon. I am bookmarking these posts for future reference...
In fact, what I was really trying to get at is that we have serious pitching issues going down the stretch this year, not that our pitching will be bad next year. I also see a lot more potential elsewhere, but that doesn't mean that I'm right. What are you FOX News? You pick a few words and focus on only those?
As for Bailey and Lincecum: I don't care what the scouts say, I care how pitchers perform. Lest we forget that Roger Clemens was once cut.
Because we've smashed our heads against that particular brick wall twice already?
If we had a win for every loss ridiculously dubbed a "Torre loss" on this board, we would be what, 100-36 now? Pitchers have to pitch and hitters have to hit, right? I don't agree with all the moves, but come on. That's a whole lot more absurd that stating my opinion that Hughes may not be as advertised, and might actually be injured. And no one has left a Yankee game telling the press that Hughes stuff is as good as they had seen all season, as is true of Lincecum, and also true of Hamels last year. Have we become Cubs fans? Stick by your guy no matter what? I am a fan of the Yankees, not just specific players, and expect scouts and the General Manager to do their jobs. Again, I hope Hughes becomes a hall of fame pitcher, but all I was really saying was that without Clemens, we are in deep doo doo, especially considering we cannot seem to hit any pitcher with less than ten years experience.
126 I think you missed the point of all the posts responding to you. Nobody denies that he's sucked for a few starts now. Not what you said originally.
Amid all the "Who was the scout who recommended Igawa?" outrage being directed at Cashman, Pagliarulo, who heads up the international scouting service Turf Dirt, has been at the forefront. A recent blog on Pagliarulo's Web site contained this scathing indictment of Cashman's job performance: "Igawa could potentially be one of the worst free-agent signings ever - in Mike Hampton territory. Dare we say another Pavano? At least Hampton did have stretches of decent production after he left Colorado. Igawa, on the other hand, might never be better than what he is now - a Triple-A pitcher with an attitude who is at best a back-end starter on a second division team. The Yankees chose not to use (Cashman's) Japan consultants, who told him to walk away from Igawa. The consultants knew about the Igawa holdout in spring training 2005 in Japan and how Igawa then laid down that year and wasn't productive at all. Important information that is interpreted through consulting and difficult to put in scouting reports."
In other words, Cashman, in signing Igawa (who was sent to the minors on Friday), ignored the advice of Pagliarulo's company, whose services the Yankees have employed the last couple of years. The only problem is, Cashman didn't ignore Pagliarulo's report. Here's what it really said: "(Igawa) is considered one of the best starters in Japan and is having a good season. He is doing a good job of moving the ball around the zone and seems to be conserving himself throughout the game ... He showed a good split and was adding on to his fastball in tough situations. He has enough to be a fourth or fifth starter in the U.S."
The report goes on to list Igawa as one of the top 10 pitchers in Japan. Nothing about any holdout or attitude problems.
So unless we've missed something here, a scout who recommended Igawa to Cashman is the same person bashing him for signing Igawa: Mike Pagliarulo. Didn't he know there was a paper trail? Shame on you, Pags.'
what does this have to do with hughes? not a damn thing. key difference between clay buccholz and phillip hughes: former was a fill-in for his last start because tim wakefield still couldn't go. latter is supposed to save the yankees now. so this isn't about clay and phillip at all when you think about it, really. if I need hint any further, I'd rather just be misunderstood.
what does this have to do with hughes? not a damn thing. key difference between clay buccholz and phillip hughes: former was a fill-in for his last start because tim wakefield still couldn't go. latter is supposed to save the yankees now. so this isn't about clay and phillip at all when you think about it, really. if I need hint any further, I'd rather just be misunderstood.
Some dude's first few start went like this.
7GS 39IP 57H 29ER 6.64 ERA.
Trade him! Bust! This Roger Clemens kid is da shit!
How about Curt Schilling's first 4 start.
[b]9.82 ERA 2.5 K/9 6.1BB/9[/b]
seriously, NO one that put up great number in the minor is a bust until at least 2+ years in the bigs and they still show nothing.
seriously, everyone though Jose Contreras and Jeff Weaver were major busts. they both have rings after they left.
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