Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
What better way to wrap up a fantastic stretch of the season than with a great pitching matchup. That's exactly what the Yankees will do tonight as they look to win their sixth straight by sending Chien-Ming Wang to the mound to face Toronto ace Roy Halladay. Halladay's had more than his usual share of struggles this season, but held the Yankees to just one run over seven innings when these teams last met in mid-July. He followed that by shuting out the Mariners and losing a complete game to the White Sox 2-0. His last start, which game at home against the Rangers, was less impressive, but did see him strike out nine in six innings. Altogether he's posted a 2.10 ERA over those last four starts while allowing just 25 hits and 8 walks in 30 innings while striking out 25. Wang, meanwhile, has a 2.76 ERA and a 6-1 record over his last seven starts, the one defeat being a 3-2 loss to Toronto.
Alex Rodriguez will sit tonight while nursing the calf that was hit by a Josh Towers pitch last night. Wilson Betemit starts at third base, while Jason Giambi gets the start at DH. Enjoy tonight, tomorrow the Yanks arrive in Cleveland, and things get serious.
Uh oh. WHERE'S MIGGY???
1 game vs Halladay at Toronto
3 at Cleveland
3 versus Baltimore (not so tough but still no cakewalk)
4 vs Detroit
3 at LA
4 at Detroit
3 vs Boston
The Yanks can't just tread water since the sox will be playing the likes of Tampa, Chi Sox and Baltimore with one series with LA. Cleveland gets to play a few series with Tampa and KC.
The only team that has a tougher schedule for this month is Detroit: oakland, at Cleveland, at NY, cleveland, Yankees and finally at KC. Zoiks!
1 Poor weeping. I wonder how's he reacting to the loss of Miggy?
I agree that .500 (or even 11-10) isn't satisfactory. I'd take 12-9, if we can go 5-3 against Detroit. That plus their tough schedule should put us in front with a relatively easy September to come. (I just can't get worried about Seattle!)
In all seriousness - say the Yanks keep up their post-ASG .740 pace. Maybe not likely, maybe not even possible, but it could happen. Who thought they'd ever close the gap to 5 games in the division?
That .740 pace is 16-6 over the next 22 - or, not surprising, losing just 1 game/series (and winning tonight). Sound good to me!
Off topic - seems like Wells's days in SD are over: http://tinyurl.com/2llpbm
And just so we know it's not just our manager, how's this for in-game tactics: Gallardo gave up 7 runs in the bottom of the second (plus one in the first), and Yost let him bat in the top of the third.
No fair checking Retrosheet, that's too easy. He's not an obscure player - everyone here knows who he is. Answer in the bottom of the fourth, or sooner.
I don't get the obsessive love for closers in the media and belief that they are somehow so incredibly valuable. Sure, Mo is incredibly valuable, but an ace starter is STILL more valuable than your average to above average closer any day. Joba giving the Yanks 200+ innings of dominant starting is far better than 60 innings of relief work, no?
I don't see the differences being that big. With the runscoring offense on the Yankees, even 5+ ERA starters have produced 10+ win seasons. But we haven't seen many 20 game winners.
In essence, the differential in terms of success is pretty balanced in my opinion. Now, what I feel really matters in looking at a guy like Joba is need. If we have a closer, that is one thing. If we have an ace, but need a closer, or vice versa, I think that should be informative in making these decisions.
But mostly, I think it should be based on what players are best at. I have no idea what Joba is best at.
If you don't buy VORP as a stand-in for impact, you'll be harder to convince.
I did think Roger did the right thing last night. It's about time someone took the nipple out of the Yankee pitching staff's mouth and finally stood tall for our guys. The greatest part was watching him arguing. I had it on DVR and watched it several times. It was clear that before leaving the mound, he turned to Hernandez and said "I did mean it, I did mean it." he also made clear that he wasn't going to just sit by even though the precipitating events occured before he joined the team. The game will miss Roger when he's gone. He stood up for what baseball has always been, and will not simply lie down and take the new rules implimented by MLB, which favor the team which intentionally hits a batter, and punishes those who only want to retaliate and end it.
25 So does that suggest that starters are more valuable, and even non-savers? But does VORP account for differences in IP etc?
I'm sure there is a more eloquent way to describe the value of pitching more innings.
You could take (totally random):
Mo
Papelbon
Hoffman
and compare to:
Santana
Wang
etc.
and see what you get.
(And the new mac spreadsheet is pretty cool but I think it will take a while to get used to where certain functions are. Been using excel for soooooooo long!)
I agree. What about a pitcher starting a game of the series after the team dumped the first two, when a loss would push you further back in the playoff hunt? A closer isn't in any higher leverage position than any starter whose job is to get the team into a position to win based on percieved skill. It is the closer's job to get three outs before the opposition ties or wins the game, while the starter is expected to give up as few runs as possible to allow the team to score and win the game.
My gut of course is the starter. But I dunno if my BFOG is right or not.
40 I have no idea what you are saying. A pitcher can only control the game he is in, not whether or not the team has lost or won a few before he comes in. That's sort of the pitching equivalent of using RBIs, as in: What if Alex comes up and hits a HR with no one on base, when later on in the game he strikes out with 2 on. He failed to do his job.
The answer to that would be no. The vast majority of games are decided in the first seven innings. Starters will always be more valuable than relievers. The idea that the team performs better when they know the lights out closer will finish the game for them flies on the face of what many here believe, that hitters will try to get a hit every AB in the same way, no matter the situation. The game has changed for the worse, putting mediocre pitchers in positions where their performance will affect the outcome of games to too large a degree.
After watching Barry use his children and godfather to try and gain sympathy, and read about how he treats everyone else in his life, and I really supposed to believe that Barry Lamar Bonds gives a flying fuck about anyone not named Barry Lamar Bonds?
Shouldn't the difference between a true ace starter and an average starter be far greater than between an elite closer and an average one?
Gotcha. Well, I always believe in conquering one hill at a time. The closer has no value if the starter cannot effectively keep the game in reach to get to the closer. A starter can affect the outcome of more than 30 games a year, whether by pitching lights out, or keeping the game close. The closer would only effect a small number of games, perhaps those led by one run in the ninth, but even then, just about any mediocre pitcher will convert eighty to ninety percent of those save chances, when the game has already been decided. How often do teams come back and win in the ninth inning when trailing by three runs? Not very often, no matter who is pitching. Even when leading by one run, I would think the perentage of games won would be pretty darn high, regardless of who is pitching.
For example. if Papelbon was able to pitch as effectively or damn near as a starter, I would bet the Red Sox lead would be 10 or 12 games right now, with Okajima or even Timlin as the closer.
Did you notice how he basically ignored his son at the plate? He grabbed him slightly and then pointed to the sky, never actually hugging him. I don't know any father worth a damn that would have done that, and reacted that way to his son. I actually don't care one way or the other. The HR record is utterly meaningless so long as PED's are around, the mound is lowered and fences are so close you can spit on them. Wasn't the HR record 128 when Ruth broke it on his way to 714? Now that my friends is a record. I actually find Barry's 500 SB's, 3000 (soon to be) Hits, and 2000 RBI a lot more impressive than the HR's.
You know what? I think that if there was a way to show it, teams wouldn't be putting so many games in the balance behind mediocre to bad relievers, while paying starters gazillions of dollars to pitch six innings. By protecting their investment with a meaningless pitch count, they self fulfill not retrieving the most of that investment, giving far too much power in deciding the outcome to guys making league minimum. It is like buying a great car and driving twice a week, when you could be driving it every day. Looking around both leagues the past five years, there is not one piece of eccicacious scientific evidence to show that pitch counts are preventing injury. All this while overusing relievers, and sometimes causing serious long-term injury that science can actually quantify in many cases, where muscles and connective tissue are actually damaged when repeadedly not given forty-eight to seventy-two hours to rebuild and heal.
I've read them. Although at first glance they seem to explain some injuries, they do not. The issue is both one of an individual nature and one of conditioning and excercise. The issue is rarely the number of pitches thrown, but rather the rest period between the stress on the muscles and tissue, the excercise that follows, and the time between starts. While every pitcher is different, an arbitrary process is applied, and that is more responsible than any number or pitches. An individual program should be developed for every pitcher, using both medicine and physical therapy to determine each pitchers "breaking point." They should be studies closely to determine a maximum velocity, arm angle etc. Using the system in place makes little or no sense and amounts to a wait and see approach, rather than a proactive one, and most every team is getting less than it could from its investment. Clearly certain pitchers break down sooner than others. This is the only way to help ensure that you are able to minimize damage to certain pitchers, while getting the most out of pitchers for whom a 100 pitch count is far too low. Roger Clemens is a perfect example. He understands his body, while most pitchers have no clue. He knows how hard to push it, while many pitchers would rather throw as hard as they possibly can for as long as they can. Just as batters need to keep within themselves, pitchers must as well. The Cone injury was more due to his overthrowing for too long a period than it was the number of pitches. He could have thrown 160 pitches with no injury had he had a real understanding of how hard he should be throwing, and from what angle those pitches should be thrown given his physiology.
Oh, not necessarily today. Bt it needs to be done. Damon is having a bad year, but without him, we have no speed to distract pitchers, and Giambi will make up for the offense if he's at 1B.
It's from Seinfeld. George uses this name for several schemes and lies. His full name is Arthur Vandelay.
Okay, I have now met my twice-monthly Banter comment allowance.
Keep the faith. Boston is showing its vulnerability to teams which keep pressure on, and start it early.
He's in a three way sandwich with Overbay and "One of the best players in MLB," Vernon "Mr. .250" Wells. But he already quoted McCain's campiagn manager from Florida. He only gave fellated Overbay because he was afraid of the black man.
You had to see it coming though. He has had no command for over a month.
He's had nothing for quite a while now. They better figure it out.
They're an organization that has accomplished jackshit, with players that have done jackshit, a manager that has done jackshit, and a general manager who's reign, if you were generous, you could call a massive failure.
Yet they carry themselves like they're the Casey Stengel Yankees. From Ricciardi to Gibbons to Overbay and Reed Johnson and John effing McDonald, you'd never realize they have been a total non entity for over a decade.
122 They just don't get it. Maybe a minimum age requirement for the bigs should be 50. When they have a little maturity....
Wang at home, 2007: 78.0 IP, 67 H, 24 ER, 4 HR, 19 BB, 42 K, 2.77 ERA, .234 BAA
And (small sample size) Wang on turf, 2007: 12.1 IP, 16 H, 7 ER, 0 HR, 0 BB, 9 K, 5.11 ERA, .308 BAA (2 games at Tropicana Field) - add in tonight's numbers and it gets much, much worse.
He relies on his defense as much as any other Yankee. Maybe the team doesn't field so well on turf?
Think about that.
Good news: Detroit is losing.
Bad news: Cleveland is winning.
Why is Duncan in for Abreu? Just wanted a bigger bat, or is Abreu injured?
Just kidding honey :) !!
I'll take it. You can't win them all. I just hope Wang is okay. Maybe an issue with his fingernail...
(I also apologize if this has been mentioned before. I did a quick scan of the comments and didn't see it.)
In fact, let's see him get two innings tonight.
Cleveland down one to the White Sox going into the 6th.
172 He got to pitch two innings again! EDSP must be so happy.
Let's go Rays, ChiSox and HALOS!!!!
The Trolleydodgers are pretty happy with the trade right now.
If we don't see Farns here, he's officially on the milk carton...
The big difference between Villone and Karstens is that Villone isn't being sent down tomorrow.
Of course, it's still real early. I thought we got the better end of the deal with the Pirates last year, but Chacon is still on their roster, while Craig Wilson didn't help us much and is no longer in the big leagues.
(He had season-ending shoulder surgery. It was a chronic problem, so the bad shoulder might be why his hitting fell off so steeply.)
WOO!
176 Didn't Cliff say that same thing earlier in the year, and the same thing happened as happened tonight? (Sorry Cliff.)
Bad news: Cleveland now leading the White Sox, 3-2.
Retire in Tribetown, Pinstripers, to your tents and to your dreams
Friday the gauntlet begins
I want the Bronx Bombers to be ready
It has nothing to do with numbers. He settled down later in the game during his last start, but one could see a game like this coming from his previous three starts. He had little control. I am just saying that what happened today didn't surprise me at all. I am not down on Wang, its just that he hasn't had control or presence out there for a while now.
Tied at 3!
And its bases juiced and one out in Anaheim. Sox down 2-0.
So much for the feel good story of Lester.
208 3-zip now, but should have been worse for the Sawx. They're slappin' Lester around pretty good, though. I'm encouraged...
209 "Stay fair. Stay fair. Stay fair. Dad-gummit!" Hawk at his best just now...
I also love that he's a part of the team. "We're looking to score a few runs here."
Last time I had to listen to his drivel, I was nearly convinced that Jermaine Dye was a short hot streak away from passing A-rod as the best hitter in the game.
Too bad the Sawx have an off day tomorrow, last night's game. combined with a potentially short outing by Lester tonight, could really weaken some arms in their pen going into the weekend -- tho they are only playing Bal-more.
Other good news for us is that the Sawx threw a "C" lineup out there -- Lugo leading off, outfield of Whiffy-Mo, Nancy, and the rookie Moss.
Let's go Halos.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rD1dqGU4PYA
If I had the ability to take major league at bats, I would approach the batter's box to this song.
Dude. It would take a locomotive to weaken the arms in that bullpen.
- D. Pedroia singled to center
- K. Youkilis singled to left, D. Pedroia to second
- M. Ramirez doubled to deep center, K. Youkilis and D. Pedroia scored
- J.D. Drew doubled to deep left center, M. Ramirez scored
- M. Lowell doubled to deep left center, J.D. Drew scored
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7507
{Holdin' down the corner for East Coast nightowls and Left Coasters...}
(Owens singles)
This game is starting to favor the Indians.
7-6 Sawx. Perdroia goes deep...
Effin Angels and their effin manager. Bottom 6, 9 hitter singles. Sciosa then has their leadoff hitter, 2 for 2 in the game, hitting .300, with a .400 obp, sac bunt. Figgins proceeds to popup, and Cabrera strikes out.
And of course the midget 2ndbaseman then comes up for Boston and homers.
Ridiculous. Three attempts to hit Arod, and Clemens gets suspended. I know the rule is black and white, but all it has accomplished is to force players to develop more craetive ways to even the score. Way to go Bud! Steroids, ridiculous rules, almost nothing to do with getting new stadiums built, the Devil Rays and Marlins, a tied All-Star Game, an All-Star game for home field in the WS. What a bang up job he's done. Why did Vincent retire again?
Holy COW! Willits made a great play. I suppose its Gagne and Papelbon, and game over then.
SportsCenter is always looking for copy writers. Don't give it away here for free.
I'm sorry dude, but the knee!!! Not only does Towers not have the control to be doing that, he did it for his own selfish reason in trying to stay up with the club now that Burnett is off the DL. It should have been finished when they threw at him in NY. It should have been over when they threw behind him last night. Towers could have taken Arod out for the season. I hope he spends the next 10 years playing in some podunk town somewhere in Canada. Oh, and if he has a dog, I hope its dead when he gets home tonight. I hope his wife screws his best friend and puts the tape on xtube for all to see. I'm sorry, but what he did is inexusable, especially for a young kid with no control over his pitches. You don't put a man's job and mobility at risk so you can play another day. Stairs is just an ass, and that I can deal with. I don't wish any ill will upon him.
Looks to me like Tito rides Okajima as far as he can into the 8th, and then bring in Paps for 4,5,6 outs, whatever it takes. This is a big game for the Sawx to steal.
Thanks Sciosa, for the sac bunt and for bringin your starter out again even tho he'd given up a 4 spot the previous inning.
Wait! SportsCenter has writers? Can you back that up?
I have to say, with the level of talent that the Angels have, and the success they have had, it is hard to argue with the moves that Mike Scioscia makes.
Were you in SF last night? How was the scene? I don't care much about the record, but rather the event. I would have liked to have been there. At least a Mets fan gobbled up the ball.
279 Not at the park, but it's a strange thing here in SF. Giant fans I talk to seem to be about 50-50 with Bond's place in history. While you could not tell that from the crowd reaction, it's a completely different vibe around town. Most seem glad it's over and want this to just go away. The hardcore will support this guy if he axe murders 10 people. But they have little else to root for, and are looking at a rebuilding stretch that I'm not sure this fan base will understand...
I'll tell you. Tonight was an ass whoopin, which in some ways was more important to them than it was to us. Only two games in the loss column behind Seattle with plenty of time left. I know many have written Seattle off but think they have a talented club, and with some miraculous pitching could be right there near the top of the Wild Card battle until the end. They do have Putz to shut the door and for other guys to feed from. I worry more about them than I do Cleveland, especially if Hafner goes down for any period of time.
Well, for you guys in beautiful NorCal, it is over, and now the Mayor can back to the business at hand, keeping poor people out of San Francisco.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/2007-08-08-1156559795_x.htm
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