Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The 1995 season was shortened to 144 games because of the previous year's strike. After 73 games, one game past the season's half-way point, the Yankees were seven games under .500 (33-40), in fourth place in the AL East 7.5 games behind the division-leading Red Sox and ten games out of the Wild Card behind eight other teams.
At the end of this week's four-game series against the Twins the Yankees will have played 82 games, one game more than half of the season. They are currently four games under .500 (37-41), in third place in the AL East 11 games behind the division-leading Red Sox and nine games out of the Wild Card behind five other teams.
In 1995 the Yankees won the Wild Card after signing Darryl Strawberry in late-June, swapping Danny Tartabull out for Ruben Sierra, and acquiring David Cone for a trio of minor leaguers at the trading deadline. Sierra represented only a modest improvement over Tartabull, but Strawberry, who joined the major league team in early August, represented a significant improvement over Luis Polonia, whom the Yankees promptly dumped on the Braves. Meanwhile Cone and Scott Kamieniecki completed a rotation that had been only three deep since Jimmy Key and Melido Perez went down to injury in May and June respectively.
Still, it took a nearly miraculous 25-6 stretch run combined with a similarly staggering collapse by the AL West-leading Angels (who lost 28 of 37 before rallying to force a one-game playoff with Seattle) and an otherwise weak league (just one other non-division winner finished with a winning record) for the Yankees to sneak into the postseason in 1995. This year will not be 1995 all over again. There's only one spot to fill in the rotation and the Yankees won't fill it with the defending Cy Young Award winner. There are no superstar reclamation projects toiling in the independent leagues (the closest the Yankees could come would be Clemens, who is already here). Meanwhile, the teams they're trying to chase are not only good, but should get better.
Take the Twins, for example. Everyone and their mother knew that Sidney Ponson and Ramon Ortiz would be replaced in the rotation two of the organization's four strong triple-A starters by now and indeed they have. Meanwhile, Johan Santana is a notoriously dominant second-half pitcher. Meanwhile, last year's batting champ, Joe Mauer, is back after missing most of May due to injury and hitting .267/.380/.517 since June 16, and there's still room for improvement at third base, designated hitter, and in Ron Gardenhire's lineup construction.
The improvements in the rotation are the most dangerous however, as the Big Three in the Minnesota bullpen, Joe Nathan, Sideshow Pat Neshek, and Matt Guerrier, have been flat out dominant, combining for a 1.82 ERA, 8.9 K/9 and a 0.93 WHIP in 123 1/3 innings. That means opponents have six innings get a lead, which is a tougher trick without Ponson and Ortiz to kick around.
Tonight the Yankees try to get ahead against Boof Bonser, who hasn't turned in a quality start in his last five tries, posting a 6.91 ERA over that span as opposing batters have hit .328/.362/.529 against him. The Yanks gave Boof his worst going over of the season back on April 10 when they plated seven runs off him, knocking him out in the fifth. Ah, remember that series? The Yankees had opened with a disappointing 2-3 showing on their opening home stand, but we all blamed it on the cold and were convinced we were right when they beat the Twins 18-3 in their first two games indoors in Minnesota behind strong outings by Andy Pettitte and . . . Carl Pavano? Seems like a lifetime ago now.
Rocket Clemens takes the hill for the Yanks looking to rebound from the 7.15 ERA he's posted in his last three outings (two starts, one relief inning). The Yankees, who trail the Twins by four games in the Wild Card hunt, could really use a sweep this week, as unlikely as that may be. If nothing else they need to win the three games not started by Johan Santana, who was a 16-year-old free agent signee by the Houston Astros in 1995. Times have changed folks.
Minnesota Twins
2007 Record: 42-38 (.525)
2007 Pythagorean Record: 43-37 (.544)
Manager: Ron Gardenhire
General Manager: Terry Ryan
Home Ballpark (2007 Park Factors): Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome (98/98)
Who's Replacing Whom?
Lew Ford (DL) replaces Josh Rabe (DL)
Jeff Cirillo (DL) replaces Alexi Casilla (minors)
Scott Baker (minors) replaces Sidney Ponson
Kevin Slowey (minors) replaces Ramon Ortiz in the rotation, who replaces Jesse Crain (DL) in the bullpen
Matt Garza (minors) replaces Chris Heintz (minors)
25-man Roster
1B - Justin Morneau (L)
2B - Luis Castillo (S)
SS - Jason Bartlett (S)
3B - Nick Punto (S)
C - Joe Mauer (L)
RF - Michael Cuddyer (R)
CF - Torii Hunter (R)
LF - Jason Kubel (L)
DH - (bench)*
Bench:
R - Jeff Cirillo (IF)
R - Lew Ford (OF)
L - Jason Tyner (OF)
R - Mike Redmond (C)
S - Luis Rodriguez (IF)
Rotation:
L - Johan Santana
R - Kevin Slowey
R - Scott Baker
R - Boof Bonser
R - Carlos Silva
Bullpen:
R - Joe Nathan
R - Pat Neshek
R - Matt Guerrier
R - Juan Rincon
L - Dennys Reyes
R - Ramon Ortiz
R - Matt Garza
15-day DL: R - Rondell White (LF), R - Josh Rabe (OF), L - Glen Perkins
60-day DL: L - Francisco Liriano, R - Jesse Crain, S - Alejandro Machado (IF)
Lineup:
S - Luis Castillo (2B)
S - Jason Bartlett (SS)
L - Joe Mauer (C)
R - Michael Cuddyer (RF)
L - Justin Morneau (1B)
R - Torii Hunter (CF)
L - Jason Kubel (LF)
* Designated Hitter
S - Nick Punto (3B)
*The Twins use the DH slot as a rotating position to rest Mauer, Kubel, and Morneau, but also to distribute playing time to Redmond, Tyner, and Cirillo. Luis Rodriguez is the only member of the Twins bench who doesn't start semi-regularly as a result of this rotation.
I think these guys could pull it off.
Damon DH
Cabrera CF
Jeter SS
Rodriguez 3B
Posada C
Matsui LF
Abreu RF
Phillips 1B
Cano 2B
Clemens RHP (1-3, 5.32)
In general I heartily approve of Jeter batting #3, but going by the last few lineup changes, does Torre see #3 as the spot for slumping players to "break out of it"?
Why isn't A-Rod batting #3, not that it really matters all that much.
It was tough to watch the early-90s Yankees, but we all still did watch, right?
2005 was enough. If I got to pick, I'd watch a good team flatten the opposition.
Very good, you're right, williamnyy23.
For a little while I was getting my baseball pleasure watching the Red Sox lose. But that means I've become what I most loathe: a Sox fan whose main thrills comes from the Yankees' losing! Argh! Shoot me now!
Instead I'll watch like, I dunno, a Marlins fan. (Are there any?) Baseball is great, and I can still enjoy a Posada double and think about Phil Hughes and wonder whether Cano will be a star.
Did Apple pay him to write it? Does it have anything to do with baseball in any way shape or form? What a bunch of nonsense.
Its pretty sad that Peter Gammons, creator of the Sunday Diamond Notes column, is writing about baseball players getting the latest name tech gadget on a Sunday, instead of, you know, baseball news.
Check out some of these numbers for the relief pitchers:
Mike Myers: Right-handed hitters are 10 of 59 (.169) against him with four walks. Left-handed hitters are 17 of 53 (.321) with eight walks. Makes no sense whatsoever.
Scott Proctor: Sparky has not struck out any of the last 32 batters he has faced. He has allowed 10 hits and three walks in his last 5.2 innings.
Brian Bruney: Has put 27 batters on via walk or HBP in 34 innings.
Luis Vizcaino: 24 earned runs in 39 innings.
Kyle Farnsworth: Where do you start? Opponents are hitting .281 against him and he has only 21 K in 31.1 innings. 16 walks (1 intentional). Three 1-2-3 innings in 34 appearances, which is shocking.
So Roger better go eight tonight. Either that or we get a look at Edwar Ramirez.
wow, what a douche. after being called out by posters about not having a clue who ramirez was after yesterday's entries, all-you-can-eat pete continues his longstanding tradition of taking cheap shots at players who aren't "his guys".
christ, the possible appearance of edwar ramirez may be the only reason to be excited about this game ...
http://johnsterling.blogspot.com/
On his way in from the bullpen to face a lefty Mike should just save us all some time by placing a ball on the warning track under the 399 sign in left-center because that's where the ball usually ends up...
;-)
I haven't so much noticed Flaherty in the past, but I did like him last night. Has he been pretty good, for those who are regular YES followers?
She makes a compelling point, but my misplaced loyalty has won over.
Scarier words have never been spoken.
My bad.
I knew A-Rod was good for nothing. Hitting monster HR is so not the right way.
Anyway, he REALLY wants to stay in Minn. He really loves Minn. Loves the team, the management, his teammates.
But someone will overpay him as a .900 OPS guy, even though he's an .800 OPS guy.
So like many players, he will get his heart broken and go to another team. I mean the Twins would probably only offer $66m/5 years. That wont cut the mustard.
I know these ESPN announcers feel really badly for him.
Again.
Mike, I doubt YES has much of a turn over from game to game.
60 The BP folks did a study in "Baseball Between the Numbers" and, if I'm remembering right, didn't find a clear correlation. Though it does SEEM like there is one sometimes.
Non stat based translation: players do have more "valuable" seasons in their walk years in part because they also tend to play more games during those years.
Yep, it's all fun and games until somebody loses an i.
(so sorry, I couldn't let that one go by... >;)
arod's fine.
As opposed to now?
89 The Yankees have definitely put themselves in a tough situation here - they'll have to work harder to pull out the loss. But I have confidence in the bullpen.
Thanks, tommyl.
You're in Canada, right? Whats it like being able to have a Labatt's anytime you want? In upstate NY, you can get Labatt's anywhere. In MA, not so much.
This does not bode well.
Anyone know the patron saint of first-ballot hall of famers, so I can start praying and lighting candles for A-rod?
Aw fuck it. We're done.
Except what 124 said is far far more likely...
This is why I'm not worried. If A-Rod goes down, we've still got Miggy.
But of course, Pete Abe reported today that Torre claims to have "heard about" Duncan, but that he would only be considered a DH at the ML level. And we all know DH is occupied for the foreseeable future.
Who says we all can't be happy?
116 Ah, no need to explain - my wife teaches French, and has taken a few class trips to Quebec, so I understand. Beautiful place.
138 I feel bad for Edwar if that's so.
This is BIZARRO WORLD.
Start spreading the news....
It's time to finally quit on the season. Thanks, Luis Castillo.
pete says it's high up on the hammy, where the muscles are thicker, and that's more serious. more tests tomorrow, including, most likely an MRI.
good lord, what next? let's collectively hold our breath and hope that alex can get healed in the next coupla weeks and have a monster 2nd half...
the baseball gods hate us this year...
Just when you think ESPN cannot sink any lower, they bring you "Who's Now?"
Is Keyshawn going to play the expletive laden answering machine message threatening to fucking kill his ex girlfriend and her new boyfriend? I'm only half surprised Lawrence Phillips isn't hosting the show.
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