Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The Yankees are such a giving ballclub. The Giants had lost seven in a row entering last weekend's series with the Yankees. "Don't be glum, chums," said the benevolent Yanks, "have two of three from us, please." The Giants gladly accepted.
The Orioles had won three of five prior to last night, but had been in a freefall before that, going 2-14 with their big, mean owner firing their poor, defenseless manager. "Do not dispair, friends," said the compassionate Yankees, "if you're not ahead come your final at bat, we'll find a way to get you a walkoff win that will lift your spirits." The Orioles soon found that the Yankees were men of their word.
Tonight the Yankees look to continue their philanthropic tour of the gloomy gusses of baseball. Roger Clemens will make his fourth start of the season coming off an inefficient dud of an outing in Colorado (4 1/3 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 HR, 90 pitches) and a dispiriting relief outing in San Francisco (allowing an seventh-inning insurance run in what had been a 3-1 game).
There's reason for hope, however. Clemens has thus far posted a career-best strikeout rate (11.21 K/9) and near-best K/BB ratio (4.40), but has been undone by a staggering .370 opponents' batting average on balls in play. His distribution of singles and extra base hits has actually been very good (15 of his 20 hits allowed have been singles, that's 75 percent compared to roughly 72 percent for both Andy Pettitte and Chien-Ming Wang, the team's two best starters, who also happen to be groundballers). That means Clemens is not getting hit hard, he's just been unlucky. His luck should even out as his performance is buoyed further by the fact that he's still rounding into midseason form. The only real concern is that Roger has been remarkably inefficient, throwing a career-high 4.19 pitches per plate appearance, which means he's pitching like a man facing an endless string of Jason Giambis and Bobby Abreus, just without all those pesky walks. Something has to give here somewhere.
Complicating matters is Clemens' opponent tonight, 28-year-old lefty Erik Bedard. Bedard, the Oriole ace, hasn't allowed more than three runs in a game since April, has failed to go six full innings just once since April 23, and hasn't been knocked out before the fifth yet this year. In May and June combined, Bedard has a 2.32 ERA and has struck out 79 in 66 innings and has struck out seven or more men in eight of his last ten games. That strikeout rate, which he's extended over the full season, marks a significant improvement in Bedard's game. He's always been a solid strikeout pitcher, K-ing about 7.9 men per nine innings in each of the last three seasons, but his rate is a staggering 10.89 K/9 this year, while his walk rate continues to decrease. More bad news: Bedard beat the Yanks in April, holding them to three runs on five hits and no walks over seven innings. Last year he posted a 2.25 ERA against the Bombers, striking out 14 of them in 12 innings while allowing just nine hits. None of this is encouraging for a team that has scored three or fewer runs in five of it's last seven games.
Cliff, your lead sure is a downer, and yet, pretty much taps right into the mood du jour
YANKEES
Damon DH
Jeter SS
Matsui LF
Rodriguez 3B
Posada C
Abreu RF
Cabrera CF
Cano 2B
Cairo 1B
anyway, a new, ongoing service, daily updates on our favorite little firstbase gnome
Lil Miggy has come to the plate 43 times with runners on, with a total of 63 runners on base. 29 of those runners were on 1st, 23 on 2nd and 11 on 3rd.
He's driven in 5 of those runners. 5! 3 from 2nd and 2 from 3rd.
That's 7.9%.
That's currently the worst on the Yankees.
No one else is below 10%.
That's right, Miguel Cairo is worse than Wil Nieves, who's driven in 11.8%.
Josh Phelps was at 14.9%
Of the 172 players in the AL with at least 75 PA, Lil Miggy ranked 165th out of 172 in OBI%, ahead of only Nick Punto, Marco Scutaro, Paul Bako, Luis Rodriguez, Dioner Navarro and Pablo Ozuna.
He's 344 out of 361 amongst all ML'ers with at least 75 PA.
I sure wish I had him on my Hacking Mass team ...
CAIRO MUST BE DESTROYED!
Does that make me sound a but too much like Bush and Baghdad? Sorry, had to say it...
Cairo delendo est.
(Latin is an inflected and gendered language.)
1. Miggy got a couple of hits last night, so he deserves to start today.
2. When he doesn't get a hit, it doesn't matter because we don't expect much from him.
3. It's not his fault; it's really everyone else in lineup for not 'carrying' him like they are supposed to.
4. It's not Torre's fault for starting him, because he has won 11 straight penants.
5. You can't possibly think that Torre has made a mistake, because he has won 11 straight penants.
6. You can't complain about Miggy in the lineup, because that means you are giving everyone else on the team a free pass.
Anyway - stat of the night: Yanks are 8-16 against the AL EAST.
It will be interesting to see who's head explodes first from lack of run support - Pettitte or Clemens.
When things are going bad, even the typos fuck with us.
I guess if there's an upside to this descent, it's that we all get to buy tickets at the box office on the day of the game again.
Still, I'm think of heading to the Yard tomorrow. Buying the cheapest seat then sneaking behind homeplate. I just want to start the:
Fi-re Tor-re. (clap clap clap-clap-clap)
Fi-re Tor-re. (clap clap clap-clap-clap)
Fi-re Tor-re. (clap clap clap-clap-clap)
Fi-re Tor-re. (clap clap clap-clap-clap)
Boy, that would be cathartic, especially if I was close enough so he could hear me.
of course, you're far more likely to make yourself heard with all the no shows in camden yards
Bedard 47 pitches
after 3 innings
Meanwhile -- how could Ichiro not score from 2nd on a single?
Matsui: .783
Damon: .756
Aberu: .667
Cairo: .556
Cano_: .532
Melky: .496
3 When did RBIs become a valid stat?
So... is Miggy THE problem, or the smallest of MANY problems?
Miggy is a no-impact benchplayer who was hired to fill in when someone is injured or needs a late innings rest.
Matsui, Damon, Aberu, Cano and Melky are 5 starters, 55% of our offensive output.
Who should WE EXPECT more from?
How many ABs does Miggy have this year?
How many ABs do the 5 guys above total.
Divide Miggys ABs by total Yankee ABs. What the %age?
Now divide the 5 guys ABs by total Yankee ABs. What the %age?
So you want Phillips at first? OK. Take his numbers divided by Miggys numbers.. that the %age improvement. How many games more will we win?
Is this the answer? Fire Joe and put Phillips, or S. Duncan at first? This is why we are under .500?
I'm convinced!
I would absolutely love to grill Torre on the Jeff Weaver Syndrome (I'd even call it that) and his need to start Cairo. Then I'd tell him he needs to retire even as he's still a HOFer.
BTW: If you're ever at a Camden game, I'm told it's pretty easy to meet the players. Most of them walk back to the team hotel. You just have to be willing to wait around after the game. Players entrance is right around the corner from the box office. Bernie, being the fastest to dress, proved the point!
That's crazy talk!
Is Cairo THE REASON for this season?
Obviously, not.
But when your big guys are struggling, every little bit helps. And Torre's continued insistence on wasting at-bats on Cairo speak volumes ...
Torre hasn't given Phillips a chance. Isn't going to give Phillips a chance, because everything he does says he thinks Cairo is good enough, that the fact that he likes "Cairo's approach" means he doesn't consider Cairo a problem needing solving, which is just wrong.
A team that starts miguel cairo at 1st base deserves every loss it has coming ...
Sad that Bernie could have started tonight and eould have batted sixth. Probably would have started in CF too.
34 Believe it or not Jim, there are 1 or 2 players who start for a team because they offer above average D even though they offer avg. to below avg offense. Coco Crisp? But I guess his below average offense has de-railed his team.
However, had I known that Matsui, Damon, Abreu, Cano and Melky would average between the 5 of them, a RISP OPS of .647 (Crisp is .644), I would have gotten Dunn or someone of that ilk.
I was not happy about the DougOut signing. I did and do like good D at first. I loved watching Mattingly in the field. It's nice to see a few errors )more then a few actually, over a season) turned into outs. I simply felt the negative impact of DougOut compared to who else seemed available would not cost us that much.
2002 (109 RATE).
Since?
2003 - 101
2004 - 100 (MIN)
2004 - 96 (BOS)
2005 - 94
2006 - 93
2007 - 95
"Joe Torre's really had to manage."
Re: 30 I told you, I wouldn't change anything, because it's not worth fixing the 'little problems.' I've come around.
Cano leads the Yankees in RBI opportunities. His RISP BA is .207 and OPS is .532. Melky's RISP OPS is UNDER .500.
Where's the hate? The snide comments? Gee, can't you guys 'rank' on Cano/Melky?
My reaction is to the amount of hate Cairo gets. He has at least been a positive on D and on the bases. Joe shouldn't be starting him at first. He's a low paid, low production BUIF.
But this 'Hate Fest' is WAY over the top.
Inappropriate. Fast approaching infantile. How about some critical thinking about the OTHER 24 guys.
Has this site been reduced to making fun of Miguel Cairo?
"However, had I known that Matsui, Damon, Abreu, Cano and Melky would average between the 5 of them, a RISP OPS of .647"
The thing is that all of those players have, and can again, hit well. I never expected much from Damon, that was a poor signing. But Cairo has shown no past ability to be anything better than a replacement level player.
I fully expect Cano to rebound, Melky is having a fine June since getting consistent starts in CF, and Abreu is recovering from a god awful May.
Can I reasonably expect Cairo to perform at a level consistent with league average first basemen? No.
Cairo isn't.
Cano and Melky offer well above average defense at their positions.
Cairo doesn't.
Cano and Melky, even with their struggles, are probably right around league average in hitting for their positions.
Cairo is the worst 1B, by far, in the league.
Cano and Melky can't be easily replaced, through trades or through the farm.
The Yanks have had at least four guys (Pena, Phillips, Phelps, S.Duncan) in their system in the last year that would contribute more than Cairo.
Cairo is a HUGE problem becuase of how horrible he is relative to all other 1B's and how easily he could be replaced. I don't understand why this is so difficult to understand.
Getting a replacement for Cano, Melky, or Abreu is lot more tricky than penciling in Andy Phillips name for a couple of weeks and giving him a better opportunity than 3 ABs and a seat on the bench (same for Phelps).
But I'm not speaking for myself--I'm convinced now.
Good thing Cashman saved so much money this off-season!
70 million between Igawa and Clemens alone.
I thought the signing was pointless, but I was hoping he might be able to help out Phil with vet-to-rookie advice.
Mean Gene looks like he hasn't seen his toes since '85.
2) No Ks for Clemens = eventual big inning.
I guess they made the right choice...
This just sucks. I hope the Yanks prove me wrong. I hope they make the playoffs. I don't count on it.
I just hope that, if the Yanks don't make the playoffs, that George doesn't shred the farm system by signing every washed up veteran out there.
I think I'll cry myself to sleep now.
Joe Girar-di clap clap clap clap clap
Joe Girar-di clap clap clap clap clap
Joe Girar-di clap clap clap clap clap
"Could help be on the way? The Angels told Shea Hillenbrand tonight that he will be DFA'd on Friday. He could be a Yankee by the weekend."
When Shea Hillenbrand means "help", you know your season is in trouble.
And I'm actually not being sarcastic here.
Damon can't play RF because he has no arm. Matsui can't play RF because his power has seemingly evaporated. Melky has to play CF, because no one else can (including Damon).
90 This is a family-friendly site, so I won't type what just came out of my mouth when I read that.
If Shea Hillenbrand is the answer, someone better change the question, fast.
if Mr. Greentea brings out Mo to "get some work in" for the bottom of the 8th I'm going to lose it.
The Yanks weren't going to sign him to an extension before the year started (maybe at all). So he'd bitch all year about that. Imagine how bad things would be now with that on top of the rest. (After all, Sheff can't pitch, isn't in charge of the bullpen, and can't - won't - play 1B.)
And then he'd leave as a free agent, and the Yanks would get nothing.
Or maybe the Yanks could have signed him to the 3 year extension he wanted, at $14M/per. Then we would have watched Sheffield and Giambi battle for time at DH next year - and watched Sheff deteriorate at DH until he was 41.
No, trading Sheff was the right move. The Yanks need another big bat, a right-handed big bat, but I have no problems with the Sheff trade.
It's stuff like this that makes me hate the Cairo/Nieves/DFA Phelps moves all the more. If they can't get the little roster things right, what makes anyone think they can get the big ones right?
I think trading RJ was a great idea, however.
200 ABs AVG .254 HR 3 RBI 22 OBP .275 SLG .325.
When did he become so bad?
I remember watching him on the Red Sox.
He was a can't miss .300 hitter with pop.
Wow. I'll take Miggy.
Hey, who's this Rivera kid on the mound? did they just call him up?
Joe is insane.
Fi-re Tor-re (clap clap clap-clap-clap).
I really just can't watch this. Not onyl do we suck, but now we are just being mocked with Mo pitching now...
I'm a believer...
He's old, and they did get arms. They didn't get a superstar, but no one was gonna give the Yanks one.
I hope George doesn't push for A. Jones.
Who, at 1st, is available next year?
An OF of Damon/Matsui, Ichiro and Melky would be pretty decent on D.
I am speechless. He's got to go.
108 Great point about Hillenbrand.
116 You're a little off, Jim. Unit would be #4 in innings pitched and #4 in games started.
I think he'd be #3 in terms of days missed on the DL by a starting pitcher though.
(I will now shut my mouth.)
Mo for player-manager.
He'd have to manage the pen correctly, no?; he wouldn't stand for losing; and he'd probably be willing to give non-belly-full-of-guts guys a shot, especially in the pen.
I'm beyond frustrated now. I'm beyond angry now. I'm just sad.
Torii Hunter, Adam Dunn, Dimitri Young ....
Is this our immediate future?
Rooting for Derek?
Seriously, I want to sit him down and explain the concept of leverage to him. He seems to have no idea.
And I'm sick and tired of hearing how Joe is the greatest manager Jeter or anyone else has played for. Know what, you're losing, too bad. He loses his job.
124 Just until tomorrow. And he's already thrown 53 innings (128 ERA+). That's better pitching than Moose (65 IP, 85 ERA+), Roger (22 IP, 80 ERA+), or Igawa (35 IP, 60 ERA+).
125 Take a look at Vizcaino, Jackson, Ohlendorf, and Alberto. They all suck - big time.
Postives: few base clogging walks; little evidence that hitters were going for HRs
However, you can convince me that DFA-ing everyone and starting over could be a good idea.
Why am I not surprised?
http://www.mlb4u.com/freeagency.php
143 Don't forget about Hughes! And I imagine we'll enjoy watching A-Rod hit #500 (and beyond).
The difference between now and the mid-to-late-60s is that I think the Yanks will be back in contention soon. They are at least drafting well - and developing many pitchers. Those late 60s teams didn't do anything in terms of player development.
I have hope for the future. But unless Joe has a revelation, I don't have much hope for the present.
"I don't know how much longer I can pitch with it," Johnson said. "So I'm going in with a positive frame of mind. I'll go as hard as I can as long as I can. When I was in New York, I pitched through a lot of discomfort."
It's just like last year with the Yanks.
1b and RF
I wouldn't be surprised if Jorge and Mo left, after Joe gets fired.
Times are a ch-changin'
I am serene.
But I'm starting to agree that Cashman could have made a better trade.
I'm still in the angry stage. Very angry.
But RJ and his attittude, injuries, and two years in a row of mid to high 4 era? Yeah, sign me up...
But hey, if you say all those guys suck big time, its got to be true, sample size be damned! track records be damned! 7 starts shall dictate his suckatude forever!!!
Instead he got parts that even the Tampa Yankees didn't need.
Maybe the Yanks' plan is to sign Fukudome and play him in RF? 'Cause I don't really see any other options.
Vizcaino is a crappy reliever that stands in the way of Chrs Britton and young Edwar.
Jackson and Ohlendorf will never throw one pitch for the NY Yankees, seeing as there are 9 or 10 starters ahead of them on the mL depth chart.
179 They're not trading him this season, and then he can opt out whenever he wants after he refuses to get traded.
They'll get to RF in 2010.
On the other hand, 500+ means he's hittng too many HRs and not bunting enough; probably giving away too many ABs at he same time.
Vizcaino is not standing in the way of Britton and Edwar (who they are keeping in AAA to improve his fastball command, if you read up on him), Villone and Farnsworth and Myers and Joe Torre are standing in the way.
I still love the "I would have loved x y and z for Randy." Thats good stuff. Because, of course, Arizona just gave us a copy of their organizational roster and said, "have your pick Brian, whoever you want, their yours!"
180 et al.
Give me a break. Isn't watching the Yanks lose and lose bad enough? Do we have to dredge up "the Yanks should have gotten more for Unit"? Like Torre would actually play anyone who's under the age of 30. Like Montero and Snyder are actually hitting. Like Tony Clark (.234/.288/.319 and 1 HR away from the hitter's paradise of Chase Field) wouldn't have been benched for Cairo by now.
I'm outta here.
So no, I'm not buying the quality of the competition argument, especially since the Yanks just lost 5 of 6 to the Giants and Rox.
And I'm not defending Cashman, I have no problem with him leaving IF, and only IF, he is replaced by a Stick man as opposed to a Tampa man (a big IF).
Rather, what I am doing is simply pointing out that it just aint as easy as saying "we should have done x y and z."
Meanwhile, Clippard was the fourth best pitching prospect in the organization.
And they're telling Edwar that cuase they aren't going to tell him he needs to work on his belly full of guts. You know, cause his 17 BB in 40 IP tells me he has control problems (against 74 K's)
My mistake.
And he didn't earn his 1 million.
I want Torre gone but I can't decide if I want Cash gone with him.
Torre should go cuasse it ain't working anymore, and Cash should probably go b/c it also ain't working, but God help us if George/Harold allow Tampa to take back over...
Of course, this is my speculation, and I am a bit of a Cashman apologist.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.