Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
From 1997 to 2004, the San Francisco Giants finished first or second in the NL West eight years in a row, thrice winning the division and once making the World Series as the Wild Card team. In 2005, Barry Bonds' knee gave out on him, limiting him to 14 September games. Since then, the Giants have been a sub-.500 also ran. Always an old team, the Giants of the last three years have been downright ancient. When Barry Bonds joined the Giants in 1993 at the age of 28, the average Giants hitter was also 28 years old. Since then, the Giants hitters have steadily aged with Bonds. Last year, the average San Francisco hitter was 33.5 years old. This year they've shaved a few moths off that average age by doing things such as replacing the 41-year-old Steve Finley and the 39-year-old Moises Alou with 35-year-olds Dave Roberts and Rich Aurilia.
The creaky Giants ran off eight-straight wins in late April to slip into a first-place tie in the West, but the geezers ran out of gas there. They've been 18-33 since, are 5-14 in June, and have lost seven in a row coming into this weekend's series against the Yankees. During that slide they've scored an average of 3.14 runs per game and allowed an average of 6.43. Overall, the Gians have one of the four worst offenses in baseball, ahead of only the Pirates, Nationals, and White Sox. Omar Vizquel looks to finally be finished at 40, those 35-year-olds have been nearly as bad (though Roberts can still run, stealing 11 of 12, and Aurilia's on the DL, yielding first base to a resurgent 36-year-old Ryan Klesko). Worst of all, Barry Bonds, who's up to his old tricks, is being protected in the lineup by Bengie Molina. Seriously. No surprise then that Bonds already has 70 walks, 26 of them intentional.
I should say, Bonds was up to his old tricks. This particular geezer's been a bit winded himself, hitting just three homers in his last 36 games, batting .240 and slugging just .385 over that span. For those not keeping track, he's seven homers shy of Hank Aaron's career record. At that pace, he'll barely make it this season.
Things are a bit brighter on the pitching side of the ledger as long as you don't look too closely. Twenty-two-year-old Matt Cain, who starts tonight, leads the team in ERA and is fifth in the NL in least hits allowed per nine innings. He's also second in the league in most walks allowed and is getting a little help from a low BABIP (.257). Matt Morris has rediscovered his 20-game winning form in his second season in San Francisco, or seems to have until you notice that his strike out rate is continuing it's now six-year decline and his K/BB ratio is a dismal 1.55. Barry Zito is proving all his doubters right by echoing Morris's strikeout rate issues. Similar afflictions have struck Noah Lowry, who lost 2 2/3 K/9 last year and has gained more than a walk per nine innings this year. Top prospect Tim Lincecum is another issue altogether, as the existence of major league game film on the rookie and some wildness issues appear to have torpedoed what had been a sensational start to his career. The Yankees won't see him this weekend, which is unfortunate both because he's been ineffective and because his delivery is an exciting thing to watch.
In the bullpen, the Giants cut bait on Armando Benitez, sending him to Florida for Randy Messenger and installing another strikeout-challenged starter, Brad Hennessey, as the closer. Set-up men Vinnie Chulk, who came over in the Shea Hillenbrand trade last year, and Kevin Correia, another converted starter, have been solid, but the pen's trio of lefties have been less reliable. Veteran Steve Kline, for example, has struck out just five men in 19 innings thus far.
What is it about Corporation Ballpark that suppresses strikeouts anyway? The Giants hitters don't really strikeout that much either. Only two NL teams have fewer batter strikeouts and only four have fewer pitcher strikeouts. That's bad news for Kei Igawa, who will be making his return to the rotation tonight. Ks are a big part of Kei's game, as he struck out 21 in his last 20 innings after sorting out his mechanics in Scranton. The good news for the lefty Igawa is that the Giants have only two righties in their everyday lineup and of their three switch hitters, Ray Durham and Randy Winn are much weaker from the right side and Vizquel isn't hitting under any circumstances. Once again, here's Igawa's line over his last three starts in Scranton:
20 IP, 15 H, 4 ER, 6 BB, 21 K, 1.05 WHIP, 1.80 ERA
Let's hope that translates back to the majors. If Igawa can keep the fifth spot in the rotation warm for Phil Hughes, the Yankees will not only have a better shot of climbing into the Wild Card race, but they'll be able to be more cautious with Hughes coming off his severe ankle sprain, which is crucial to protecting his arm from a cascade injury caused by his adjusting his mechanics to protect his ankle.
San Francisco Giants
2006 Record: 76-85 (.469)
2006 Pythagorean Record: 76-85 (.471)
Manager: Bruce Bochy
General Manager: Brian Sabean
Home Ballpark (2006 Park Factors): [Your Name Here] Park (100/100)
Who's Replacing Whom?
Dave Roberts replaces Steve Finley
Rich Aurilia replaces Moises Alou
Ryan Klesko replaces Shea Hillenbrand
Nate Schierholtz replaces Fred Lewis (DL) who replaces Lance Niekro
Bengie Molina replaces Mike Matheny and Todd Greene and some Eliezer Alfonzo
Guillermo Rodriguez replaces the rest of Eliezer Alfonzo (DL)
Luis Figueroa replaces Jose Vizcaino
Barry Zito replaces Jason Schmidt
Tim Lincecum replaces Jamey Wright
Randy Messenger replaces Armando Benitez on the roster while Brad Hennessey replaces him as closer
Vinnie Chulk replaces Jeremy Accardo
Jack Taschner replaces Mike Stanton
25-man Roster:
1B Ryan Klesko (L)
2B Ray Durham (S)
SS Omar Vizquel (S)
3B Pedro Feliz (R)
C Bengie Molina (R)
RF Randy Winn (S)
CF Dave Roberts (L)
LF Barry Bonds (L)
Bench:
L - Mark Sweeney (1B)
R - Kevin Fransden (IF)
L - Nate Schierholtz (OF)
S - Luis Figueroa (IF)
R - Guillermo Rodriguez (C)
Rotation:
L - Barry Zito
R - Matt Cain
R - Matt Morris
L - Noah Lowry
R - Tim Lincecum
Bullpen:
R - Brad Hennessey
R - Kevin Correia
R - Vinnie Chulk
L - Jack Taschner
R - Randy Messenger
L - Steve Kline
L - Jonathan Sanchez
15-day DL: R - Rich Aurilia (UT), L - Fred Lewis (OF), R - Russ Ortiz
60-day DL: R - Eliezer Alfonzo (C)
Typical Lineup:
L - Dave Roberts (CF)
S - Randy Winn (RF)
S - Ray Durham (3B)
L - Barry Bonds (LF)
R - Bengie Molina (C)
L - Ryan Klesko (1B)
R - Pedro Feliz (3B)
S - Omar Vizquel (SS)
I for one kinda have a soft spot for the guy. Here's hoping he rakes for them.
Hey everybody, it's twins!
Well, the Yankees are three and a half months older, by average age.
Here's to Phelps; may his nose show enough grittiness to bat .350 the rest of the way and win the Gold Glove! (sniff)
I don't mean this as shot at Cairo or a panegyric to Phelps, but rather to point out what I see as Pete Abe's laziness at best, downright meanness at worst when it comes to the Yankees firstbase situation.
You can go and wonder how Matt Cain is 2-7 and the Giants are 2-12 when he starts when he is actually pretty good.
You can marvel at Bengie Molina's sloth.
And try to discern the difference between the Giants bad relievers and the Yankees bad relievers.
The Yankees were 21 of 94 (.223) with one homer in three games at Coors Field. Raise your hand if you saw that coming. They drew five walks and struck out 22 times.
When they did get on base, it got worse as they were 1 for 17 with runners in scoring position.
Frankly, I don't think any of us should be allowed to make fun of any team for the rest of the season. Those numbers above should revoke our rights.
If we DO walk Bonds and DONT walk the pitcher, I feel good about this series.
Honestly, I think that's why he posts half the things he posts. He calls Kevin Thompson "future hall of famer Kevin Thompson," he wrote a headline saying Bubba Crosby ripped Torre and the Yanks when he did nothing of the sort (and the author of the article he referenced actually came over the NY blogs to protest), not to mention the whole Phil Hughes thing. He just likes riling people up.
Best damn .238 hitter in baseball! (Which isn't even true, since his OBP and SLG are crap too).
Look, I like Cairo, I like his attitude, I think he's a passable late inning defensive replacement for a middle infield position. But he has got to be the worst starting 1B in the league.
Why?
Provided of course, the opposing pitcher is a mediocre lefty that throws nothing but fastballs. But not good fastballs. And not too slow. 90 mph fastballs with no movement. And it can't be a big spot.
But I'd still try him over the guy who couldn't do it last time.
2005 = 64 OPS+
2006 = 59 OPS+
2007 = 57 OPS+
And I thought it couldn't get any worse. Now he's the starting 1B - un-fucking-believeable...
By the way guys, while Omar Vizquel does indeed look finished at the plate 0, he is still truly a thing of beauty at shortstop... at least, he was when they played the Mets earlier this year. A real treat to watch if you like, as Weeping would put it, the aesthetics of the game.
Now?
I want to light myself on fire while a flesh-eating virus feasts on my innards.
And I'd consider eating innings and giving up three runs to be better than a fifth starter.
"The elder (Cecil) Fielder earned almost $47 million during his career, enough to take care of his family for several generations. But according to a 2004 story by The Detroit News, Cecil Fielder squandered that fortune through gambling and bad business decisions."
Er.. even with taxes, how does one 'squander' 40+ million dollars?
If you're going to write off one of your rotation spots, I'd rather just call someone up and let them try it out then spend tens of millions of dollars on someone so they can fill the role of worst starter on the team.
I have real doubts Igawa can even get that good. I lean more towards the "long reliever" part of the exciting "fifth starter or long reliever" projection we got when we signed him.
and cairo walks! bring up the pitcher, hell ya.
http://www.slate.com/id/2111510/
I think he left out the part about blowing a Yankee fan for a score. That would explain his bitterness - for him at least.
Woo-hoo Melky!!
awe forget it, i'm not going to question a .340 hitter. at least he didn't try a bunt.
Robinson Cano has 1300 AB. He has no real career to base anything off of.
I also think its a stretch to call Abreu a slow starter. He gets better as the year goes on, but his numbers are usually good in April and May.
This game will keep him on the team for the next month.
And yes, by chance (or providence), he was never awake during any of the Colorado games, so he missed them all. =)
Go Yanks!
2. Did you hear Jon Miller, who I like, say that Yankee fans love Sterling?
3. Dave Roberts again!!
K Igawa!
All of Abreu, Cano, and Damon are better than what they've shown. To assume constancy for the rest of the year is to make an ass of u and me.
Melky is a special case based on age. 1 and one-third seasons does not brand one a "below average hitter".
Cairo belongs nowhere in the discussion. He's been Womackian for the last three years. He doesn't deserve a spot in the major leagues let alone starting as the 1B.
squeeze here?
That would be a bold move with two outs.
June 2007 -
Melky - .303 AVG .799 OPS
Cano - .316 AVG .853 OPS
Abreu - .347 AVG 1.041 OPS
Only Damon is still struggling - and we all know that's based on injuries.
This is a big inning for Igawa, obviously.
He really should be trumpeting this.
He really should be trumpeting this.
"The K-Man is dealing. He was accompanied here by Gil Patterson, the minor-league pitching coach who has been working him the last seven weeks. Patterson explained to us before the game that they've been working on Igawa's balance and arm slot. Patterson, in addition to being a very good guy, is an accomplished coach who has been on several major league staffs as a pitching coach. He signed on with he Yankees because he wanted to be close to his family in Tampa."
PeteAbe has really exposed himself as a pretty shitty analyst in the past few months, but this kind of reporting, i think, is just great to have - really neat to have that level of detail.
"Overall, the Gians have one of the four worst offenses in baseball, ahead of only the Pirates, Nationals, and White Sox."
Everything looks good, but it's nothing that Mr. Wolf would get "excited" about.
Reason i'm feeling good about the offense today is that they're taking their walks, and taking their pitches. Cain does struggle with the BB, so, as good as he is, this is the exact right thing to do.
Bobby's last couple ABs have looked kind of bad, this one's looking a bit better... hope i don't jinx it.
194 ok Debbie Downer :)
Wow - Alex has 74 RBI's in the 71st game. Even if the Yanks suck, it will be fun to watch what he can do.
It will be fun to see if he can make a run at 60 HR 180 RBI plus 150 runs.
Oh, and welcome back.
GO YANKS!
Right now, I think I'll have a bowl of Frosted Flakes.
242 Money.
I'm sure that history escaped the Yankee bench. But not Suzyn!
If he starts off well, his next months worth of work could be the drizzling shits and he'd stick around because the team saw potential the first time around
Thanks for the all the welcome backs - I wish i had come home to a twelve game winning streak though.
Melky in June:
.309 AVG .834 OPS
.216 .302 .270 .572
Bitch all you want about Cairo though.
He ran the bases like me.
Do I smell smoke?
The other radio guy is Dave Flemming.
Next year is Manny's last. $20mil off the books. The Sox will offer ARod big money. Revenge for the Babe. They will make him the cornerstone of the team, and rip that 'C' right of Teks jersey if ARod wants it.
Imagine playing the Sox and facing ARod.
I don't even want to think about it.
I might have to move out of NE.
No, I don't believe it either.
So basically all we nee is A-Rod to stay red hot all season long and we are in good shape.
I agree with you. If he was motivated to be the greates SS ever, he would have stayed in Texas and hit a million HRs a year. He wants a ring (which he may figure he can get with the Sox), and whatver position he plays he is going to pile up numbers as long as he wants to play.
a captain wearing a "c" is the most "asinine" thing? maybe its time to consult your dictionary because its very appropriate for a captain to wear a "c". just because jeter doesnt wear one doesnt mean its not okay.
Looks like the Yanks need a sweep this weekend...
Another thoughtful night of discussion at the banter. Such a beautiful thing.
let detroiters suddenly love the tigers. let varitek wear his stupid c. let papelbon look like an idiot when he gets a save. let ollie perez do his weird run and skip over the foul line. and let the yankees come back and embarrass them all on their way to 27.
I never calimed to be non-baised, but to answer your asinine question, no, closing out a 2-1 lead in petco in June in no way warrents fist pumps, screaming, yelling, clapping, etc. I eleive you find the "jeter -style fist pump" to be rather understated and calm.
Intensity is fine, Jeter is intense, Mo is intense, hell, YOukilis is intense, but you don't see him reacting that way.
So, as I said to the other troll, go back to sons of sam horn and fist pump away, but don't expect to come to a Yankees site and pretend you ahve anything to say...
382 I am sure he would do it again too, which, judging by the results, would be a very bad idea...
Theo wouldn't takes his kids out for ice cream because he's saying every penny for ARod.
a. read it - NO substance b. im biased but not a fanbiy like you c. if you dont care then go to bed
"no, closing out a 2-1 lead in petco in June in no way warrents fist pumps"
the padres have the best pitching in baseball. right now. be excited to beat them no matter when.
"go back to sons of sam horn and fist pump away, but don't expect to come to a Yankees site and pretend you ahve anything to say... "
what do you have to say besides papelbon and the red sux are stinky stinkersons that have no class.. please get a life. you are no challenge.
On another level, I agree with Williamnyy23--the play should be outlawed. Frankly, I'm not convinced that it doesn't violate the rules anyway. If the runner has beat the ball to home, then the catcher shouldn't be allowed to obstruct him. If the throw has beat the runner to home, then the runner shouldn't really be alowed to unload on the catcher (he can't at any other base).
Who in hell is his competition?
Name another Canadian first baseman.
I think its fair to call him the best even at this early juncture.
And people wonder why we hate Red Sox fans.
Morneau was slow to rise and eventually walked to the dugout, but he didn't take the field in the bottom of the inning. After the game he was taken from the stadium on a stretcher, sitting upright and wearing an oxygen mask.
Morneau was coughing up blood repeatedly when he was taken from the stadium on a stretcher, Twins manager Ron Gardenhire said. But X-rays taken at the hospital were negative and a CT scan was normal, team spokesman Mike Herman said."
Well... he may have gotten 'lucky' to only suffer a small bruise on his lung. I wonder how this might effect the rest of his life.
You know if someone is eventually crippled or even killed because on Home Plate collisions, then will then change the rules.
I wonder... does MLB really HAVE to wait until that happens?
And as for the C thing, it bothers me b/c people spend so much time building up Varitek into this "dirt dog" image in MA, yet between the c and the "fight," he has shown himself to be, well, rather not so.
But, like I said, I am far more interested in why YOU care so much to defend it all here...
And the Padres may have some of the best pitching, but they also have some of the WORST hitting, so take it with a grain of salt...
Where's our new thread?
Alex?
Alex?
It was a thread a couple days ago about Jorge's HoF chances.
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