Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The Yanks cruised to a 5-1 win last night behind a dominating complete game by Chien-Ming Wang. Wang needed just 104 pitches and faced just 33 batters, allowing five hits, all of them singles, and a walk while striking out four and getting 16 of the remaining 23 outs on the ground. Two of those 16 groundouts came on a double play. Wang has induced at least one double play and picked up the decision in each of his nine starts this season.
The only Chicago run scored in the third inning on a single, a wild pitch, and a pair of groundouts. The only time the Sox had more than one man reach base in an inning was in the sixth when Jerry Owens got on via an infield single and stole second. Tad Iguchi then hit a hard single to shallow center and third-base coach Razor Shines sent Owens home where he ran right into the second out thanks to a strong throw by Melky Cabrera.
As for the Yanks, they got four of their runs in the third despite the fact that both Alex Rodriguez and Jorge Posada ran into outs at second base. In Rodriguez's case, he hit what looked like a grand slam to left field, but the ball hit off the bottom of the wall for what should have been a two-RBI double, only Rodriguez had merely jogged to first. In Posada's case, he tagged up at first on a Hideki Matsui sac fly to center and was thrown out when Owens' throw home was cut off. Both Rodriguez and Posada appeared to be safe on the replays, however, but, using the NFL standard, neither was clear enough to overturn the call on the field.
Wang's complete game was the Yankees' first of the year, and the first complete game victory by a Yankee starter since Wang himself shut out the Devil Rays last July. The only other complete game of Wang's career was the game in Washington last year that he lost on a walk-off home run by Ryan Zimmerman. Wang has pitched a minimum of eight full innings on ten other occasions.
With that victory the Yankees are just one game behind the White Sox in the Wild Card standings and can pull even with them with a victory tonight.
A-Rod was absolutely safe on his play, and perhaps if he hadn't been watching the ball NOT go over the fence on his way down the line, he may have gotten to second 2 or 3 steps ahead of the ball.
Good to see him not do anything dumb in arguing the call, though. That's all I need to see is an A-Rod ejection on SportsCenter before the Ducks winning the Stanley Cup.
I'm still confused, a starting pitcher can go nine innings?
And yes, Alex should have busted it out of the box, but whatever, I'll give him a pass because I'm in a good mood and he's really hitting the baseball.
(But for the record, there's no excuse for not running hard. Basic little league skill, running. But to be fair, I have heard the argument that if you're really hurting, you have to conserve your exertions, that you simply can't run hard all the time because your body won't allow it. Short of that, though, you have to run.)
There's a term for it, in fact, that I recall having heard. I think it's called a "total game."
Word is Jeter sits tonight for a break (hello, Mr. Basak). Nieves is almost certainly going to catch 'cause Moose is pitching. Jorge's going to sit, because he'll need rest and Damon has DH occupied anyway. Is there any way Torre comes to his senses and let's Phelps play 1B tonight, and not Cairo? A classic 'Torre house money' lineup vs Contreras might be a recipe for disaster.
But we did smack Contreras around last time, so anything's possible I suppose.
I don't think there is a Good Moose anymore, more like, shall we say, Modest Moose.
Jorge and Derek can't both be out of the lineup the same day--that's madness.
I understand that the rest of the guys are finally hitting the baseball, but this is no time to let up. This game is yet another
must-win.
I'm off early tomorrow morning for two weeks of fun in the Carribbean sun. Since the goal is a vacation, all electronic devices are banned. Hopefully when I return the Yanks have passed .520 :)
Enjoy and remember the power of:
Ha!
I agree that this should be a Phelps day. Yesterday was fine for a Cairo day because of Wang's special need for good infield play, but with Jeter and Posada sitting we could really use a better bat than Miggy's.
If there's still a good Moose, the White Sox' line-up ought to conjure him. And if he struggles today against that awful line-up, I'm going to be worried. Or depressed.
I've liked Miggy's dinks and steals too, but let's be honest. When Miggy (6'1", 208 lbs, career .268/.316/.360 "hitter") plays 1B, the Yanks are essentially putting a larger Tony Womack out there (5"9', 160 lbs, career .273/.317/.356). If it was actually Womack . . . that's too scary a scenario to contemplate. Heart of Darkness might be just the beginning.
We shouldn't let any fondness for Miggy cloud our judgment. He is not an acceptable solution at first.
HA!
I went to Mexico for about a week back in '99.
Derek had been hitting .375 for pretty much the whole year, as I recall, yet when I got back, he'd slumped down to the .340s. Maybe you'll have better luck than I did!
Have a fantastic time!
Contreras has good stuff and I think Cairo's approach is more suited to such a pitcher.
Phelps' swing is a bit long, isn't it? (I recall it being a bit long, maybe I'm misremembering.) And while such a swing might yield him more extra base hits than Cairo's, it's not the swing I want to see facing a nasty splitter.
I'm not saying Cairo's a long-term solution, I'm saying for tonight's game I think he's a sensible choice.
Props for Damon.
Let's hope Joe takes it to heart.
I'm a bit concerned aout withdrawl sympotms. My wife agreed if I'm shaking and drooling by day 7, she'll track down a USA today.
But 22 it all started with: Ha!
That's all they needed :)
As for Miggy at first, go to the well until its dry. Sweet game by the Wanger.
His RATE2 was 95 in 2006, and it's 110 this year. Most of his career he was well over 100, but you might think his age brings decline so the past year or so is most relevant.
Jorgie has been my favorite player of this dynasty/post-dynasty Yankees team and I am very happy to see him off to a spectacular start. However, we all know that he's already an old catchaer and is only getting older. Given the Yanks' problems with 1B over the past few years, does anyone think Jorgie could possibly shift over to 1B/DH in the next few years to save his knees and keep his bat in the lineup? Just an idea, I'd appreciate any comments.
I've seen the Yankees get stuck in a wait to see what happens mode too many times this year. They just sit back and wait for the big hit that sometimes doesn't come. You need a player or two to come in a at least try to make things happen.
I realize I will probably get ripped for this. But I'm not adamant about this I'm just trying to look at it differently.
5 Thanks. "total game" You learn something new every day.
13 That sounds like a reasonable explanation.
I was looking at the Cardinals, White Sox and Red Sox and noticed they all had a few regulars that weren't very good by any standard, but those players provided certain services that probably were valuable under certain circumstances. Molina was absolutely pathetic at the plate, but behind it he filled a role. Posednik we all know can't hit a lick, but he was believed to be a spark and created problems on the bases. And Stinky of all people was on that Red Sox team.
Looking at the Yankee teams that won those four WS. There was always at least one position that was significantly below league average. Chad Curtis, Scott Brosius, Joe Girardi, Knoblauch and even Tino stunk in 2000.
You can have a big strong body that is completely healthy, but if your missing some fingers and maybe can't see or hear very well, you are incomplete and will have a hard time performing certain tasks despite having a lot of what is seemingly important.
Cairo also seems confident in the field, which is helpful because the Yankees' defense has often seemed tentative, resulting in numerous errors. Might as well play him until his bat starts to look like a liability.
Hells Bells! Lets draft some pitching!
Don't forget it always pays to play Charlie Hayes.
Funny. He sure does take the whole "pitchers like a routine" thing a bit too far, doesn't he?
I will do my best today to channel the "No! Go sit down" Moose from early last year. We haven't seen him yet in '07. Fingers and toes crossed that today is the day. It sure would feel nice, especially if 38pitches spits the bit again today in Oakland.
"Joe lets me pitch every fifth day" "I'm an excellent pitcher" "Four O'Clock, time for long toss...four o'clock, time for long toss, four o'clock, time for long toss!"
But his ab still looked solid, fighting off pitches.
Oh, and also, now that I think about it, Phelps' swing is actually shorter than it looks like it would be, given his frame. Still not short, maybe, but not so long as I was remembering.
I prefer "shits the bead" but then again, I did grow up Upstate.
They'll give up more runs, too, but the extra runs they score will be more than the extra runs they give up.
I fully understand that to a lot of fans, a lot of this stuff is aesthetic, but it's really Torre's job to give the team the best chance to win, and the large majority of the time that's going to be with Phelps rather than Cairo.
Never thought we would say that after just a year and a half of signing johnny damon.
I did. But we have Beltran, right?
I think Damon is more than athletic enough to play adequate 1B, maybe even pretty good 1B.
I am hoping it will be Jason Giambi. Until then, it should be Josh Phelps.
52 Not Exactly
Since when has Damon been athletic enough in the past month? I still do believe you need your calves to play 1B effectively.
Maybe Cashman's surprise deadline move will be to acquire a good DH. In that case I'd be happy to see Damon try a little 1B.
;-)
Some great Yankee teams with some pretty bad hitters:
'77-Bucky Dent 79 OPS
'61-Bobby Richardson 67 OPS
Clete Boyer (RIP) 79 OPS
'39-Babe Dahlgen 77 OPS
Frank Crosetti 67 OPS
'27-Joe Dugan 79 OPS
In recent years there are plenty of sub 100 OPS players on Yankee WS teams.
Also, Phelps is a righty slugger, so I don't think he'd fair very well against a righty with a great split. Phelps is a better hitter against lefties, and is 0-6 lifetime againt Contreras.
I could see Cairo annoying the hell out of Contreras, so I'd start him once again too. Besides, if Phelps makes an error behind Mussina, he might stomp off the mound in tears.
You think those teams would have been worse teams if they had replaced those very weak players with good players? You think the Yankees will be a better team and win more games with a low OPS guy or two? They'll score fewer runs but somehow win more often?
That seems very, very unrealistic. Maybe I misunderstood.
With current personnel, Damon and a platoon of Phelps and TBA should occupy the DH/1B spot, with the possibility of using Matsui at first once Damon's legs get healthy.
Sure, those teams did win. They won in spite of holes in the line-up, not because of those holes.
70 That sounds like it's worth a try.
In his limited sample, Miguel Cairo has created about as many runs per 27 outs (3.33) as Josh Phelps (3.97). If his level of production continues at this rate, and he plays passable first base, it seems like the best option within the organization. If his production drops, he should not continue to play because of this mythical "diversity" a lineup needs to have. Better players = more runs = more wins. It's really very simple...
I don't know about the "belly full of guts," but I do think that fouling off a lot of pitches is a valuable ingredient to the lineup.
Not only because it gets the pitch-count up, but because it frustrates pitchers. Even if Cairo makes an out, he has the ability to mentally tax the pitcher.
If you listen to former pitchers (e.g., Darling, Leiter) they're always talking about the mental side of the game and how hitters like CAiro really do have the ability to unnerve a pitcher.
It's not the kind of thing that may be statistically quantifiable, but when pitchers tell you about their own experience pitching, I think you should take them seriously.
Same thing about all runs being equal.
Listen to guys like Justice and O'Neill, actual players, and they'll tell you about the psychological toll that a certain run in a certain situation can have on a team, either pumping it up or deflating it.
Yes, it's still just one run, but under certain circumstances, that one run will effect the other team's psyche differently.
I know many of you might think that's voodoo, but these players are human beings and as such susceptible to voodoo (i.e., pyschology).
These sorts of things have an impact on confidence, anxiety, comfort level, which in turn effect performance.
Small ball is a good idea if the situation is such that getting that one extra run, or that first run, or whatever, is going to exasperate the other team.
And I think small ball is valuable according to the bird in the hand theory.
Small ball doesn't "give away outs" as many people like to say, but rather exchanges an out for a greater likelihood of scoring one run. You decrease the chances of a big inning but increase the chances of a productive inning. You do that two or three times a game and you have a consistent offense.
Sure, sometimes it pays to play for a big rally, depending on the opposing pitcher, the other team's bullpen, how well the hitters are hitting, etc., but I don't see why playing for 3 should be a team's default setting.
The specifics of the situation should govern the team's approach, is all, and any decent team should be practiced in the art of small ball because some days, that's your best shot at winning.
Playing for one run: sure, sometimes, obviously, it's just the one run that matters. Bottom of the tenth, score tied, runner on first with nobody out, good bunter/weak hitter at bat... go ahead and bunt. I don't think anybody disputes that. Just don't do it in the second inning!
As for the rest: so, basically, Miguel Cairo's smallball skills will help the team when (a) there's a man on first or second with none out, (b) he's up at bat, and (c) exactly one run will provide a big psychological boost.
Phelps has done absolutely nothing this year (except almost singlehandedly lose the game on Monday).
So runs in the 2nd inning don't count as much as runs in the later innings?
This goes back to what people were saying about Arod last year. Homeruns in the early innings don't mean as much as the ones late in the game.
That is a rediculous arguement.
Miguel Cairo: 28%
Josh Phelps: 25%
Alex Rodriguez: 26%
Derek Jeter: 31%
David Eckstein: 25%
Barry Bonds: 27%
Not a whole lot of difference there. Besides, fouling off pitch after pitch is effective, but if it results in a strikeout or ground out, it does very little, I believe.
What Bobby Abreu and Jason Giambi (when both are playing well) do, working long at bats every time up by recognizing the strike zone... tires the pitcher and has a positive effect on the outcome of the game.
And as to people making mistakes about these things, it's an interesting point: how can a player make a mistake when reporting his own psychological experience?
I guess maybe the mistake could be that that psychological experience actually does effect performance, but I think it's perfectly legitimate to presume a correlation, especially when you're talking about players who seem to be pretty clued in to how aggravation, etc. can effect a team.
Like the pitcher who works slowly and doesn't throw strikes; it's pretty uniformly reported that that sort of thing fouls up the defense whereas a crisply pitched game keeps the defense sharp.
But those situations are very rare.
Obsessing about defense at first is misguided--you can't get an injection of defense at one position that'll fire up the whole team. 1b men have to hit.
75 Small ball can be valuable in certain situations--absolutely!--but it's about making situational decisions--often it seems like people talk about "small ball" as a kind of general quality that can be injected into a team--"we need more small ball!"--like it builds character or something. General statements about needing more small ball, to me, make as much sense as saying "We need more smallpox."
Making an acceptable backup middle infielder into your starting first baseman is absolutely crazy, a pennant-losing decision. But I'm done with the topic, as it'll get dull real fast, and really there's not that much disagreement...
Sometimes it is accurate. Sometimes it isn't.
And I think you're maybe missing my point.
You write: "Besides, fouling off pitch after pitch is effective, but if it results in a strikeout or ground out, it does very little, I believe."
My point is, it may do something, little or otherwise, to help the team win. As I say, pitchers always talk about how frustrating those kinds of at-bats are for them.
Some pitchers are more easily frustrated than others, and for those pitchers, I'd suspect that such an at-bat could well be a lost battle that helps win the war, if it serves to rattle the pitcher for the next batter.
Or if it serves to alter the pitcher's approach throughout the lineup because now he's got to anticipate a long at-bat from that guy his next time up, forcing him to cheat with other guys in order to keep his pitch count down.
Don't you think those are both factors that could help the team win, regardless of the outcome of that specific at-bat?
he's is and has been one of the most hackingest yankees
2007 he sees 3.67 P/PA
that ranks him 11th of 14
ahead of only Jeter, Cano and Nieves
2006 he averaged 3.61 P/PA
that ranked him 17th of 22
ahead of only phillips, crosby, williams, reese and cano
Absolutely. Phelps didn't hit the home run that started the rally against Cleveland on April 19th.
He hasn't driven in 11 runs this year.
He hasn't been on base twenty-four times this year.
He hasn't scored eight runs.
No, he's done nothing.
89 Agreed. Remember, Cairo = a taller Tony Womack. Please tell me that no one here would argue that Tony Womack should play first base, ever.
The Yanks sent Frank Howard and Mike Thurman. I'm trying to figure out if that's the same Mike Thurman who pitched for the Expos for so long, and then threw 30 something innings for the Yanks in '02.
I'd suspect it depends on the pitcher, the situation, etc., but I'd guess it's less frustrating because it's easier to chalk up to a mistake, bad luck, whatever, whereas the guy who's simply pesky, but makes an out, is more liable to draw the pitcher into a something like a test of wills.
Plus, the likelihood of that first-pitch homer is much smaller than the likelihood of of an epic at-bat from the guy who makes it his MO. It would seem to be a more reliable weapon, in other words, more easily repeatable the next couple of at-bats than would the homerun feat.
I would think that a tough at-bat is more frustrating because it's harder for a pitcher to avoid, he has less control in that situation.
The first-pitch homer can be avoided by leaving the ball away from the middle of the plate.
c'mon boras inflated signing bonuses ... daddy needs a shiny new porcello
Sort of a "post hoc ergo propter hoc", I guess...
or in the case of Joe Torre it would be "post hoc ergo Proctor hoc" which is loosely translated "after this, therefore bring in Scott Proctor"
These commericals on MLB.com - are they actual commercials other teams show to get people to buy tickets? They might destroy Simmons's unintentional comedy sale.
And now we get hit with the "steroids shrink your balls" PDA. Whoo-boy.
Ha haha!!
Very nice.
MFD, Official league rules say balls should be spheres ... stitched together by 108 stitches of waxed red cotton thread and should bring the overall weight of each ball to somewhere between 5 to 5 1/4 ounces and the circumference not less than 9 or exceeding 9 1/4 inches.
How can you shrink that with steroids? Sounds painful, no? :-)
103 At least Porcello hasn't gone yet, and as much as I'd like the Yanks to take a college bat, I'd be very happy with Porcello.
As to reports of their own experiences 83, JL 87 explained the point I had in mind.
As for Cairo. In no way am I advocating him deserving playing time. He was just what got this discussion started. But I am on the side of let him play while they are winning.
Would you be better off with a team that routinely scores 4 or 5 runs, but seldom more than that? Of course it depends on the pitching you have, but I just mean that just scoring a lot of runs doesn't necessarily make for a winning baseball team. The runs need to be well-spent.
How do we factor in consistency?
Take a look:
http://mehmattski.blogspot.com/search/label/DYJS
I thought the Yankees would jump at a catcher like Arencibia, but the Jays just took him at 21.
The catcher of the future awaits in the later rounds, I'd imagine.
I agree with you on Brackman, mehmattski. The Yanks don't need a guy with potential injury concerns as a #1 pick.
I'm guessing they take a college catcher with their second round pick.
Same thing with Duncan. I have always believed he was over hyped. He was one of those robotic players that worked on his swing day in and day out since he was 7. But what he lacked was natural ability. I believe when you're dealing with "made" ballplayers there is less room to grow and a lower ceiling.
I personally wouldn't mind a college position player that could help in a year or two. I was hoping for LaPorta, but that was obviously a pipe dream.
I'm hoping the Yanks don't take Julio Borbon either; he might be the best CF in the draft, but I don't see much upside to him.
Maybe that goes out the window when it comes to the last pick in the first round? I don't know.
Yea, with an 87 MPH fastball. God, the AL West is awful.
Jake McGeary ?
Josh Smoker ?
Brackman ?
A: I definitely think Brackman is a candidate to fall. Having a dead arm at this point in the season just isn't good for his draft status, and it doesn't help that he has been largely inconsistent this season. Some games he looks as good as advertised, and some games he looks good, but not great. This is his first season focusing purely on baseball, so a great deal of patience is required, but he isn't as polished as most to all of the top rated college right-handed pitchers that have been available in recent years.
He would be a great pick at #30. Based on pure talent, he's a top 10 overall selection. A wise course of action would be to draft him, allow him to play summer ball on the Cape and then determine whether or not you're prepared to make the usual large investment involved with players advised by Scott Boras.
Who picks first, Mets or Red Sox? I wonder if the Mets will grab Harvey before Boston does.
In fact, I haven't heard anything critical yet about anyone. Hmm.
Okay, RATE2 is hardly perfect, but it's very doubtful, to my mind, that a lousy outfielder could sport such a high RATE2 for even a shortened season. I don't say he's great, only that he isn't bad.
It's only 24 ABs, but Miggy has a .333 OBP. That's not going to kill us. He has made some very nice plays at first also.
At what point does he become a favorite to complete the no-no? Not tiring much yet, I presume.
No, not even Beckett.
Go, Schill, nice job with that NO HITTER!
Maybe you'll get it this time, unlike that time you were pitching a perfect game (a form of NO HITTER) against San Diego and their light-hitting catcher bunted on you for a basehit, breaking up your perfect game (i.e., NO HITTER) and exposing you for the bush motherfucker you are when you bitched and moaned about how it was so UNFAIR that a guy had the audacity to bunt on you for a hit while you were pitching a perfect game (i.e., NO HITTER).
Wah-wah!
He'll do it, you'll see.
Don't worry, baseball, I still love you.
FEEL THE BURN!!!
I guess everyone's worse nightmare occured with drafting Backman. I truely wanted a position player out of college even though I didn't know exactly who.
The throw is a bit high and on the 1st base side, but playable. The guy covering 2nd (the 3rd baseman) is off the bag, reaches for the ball from the pitcher, but can't find the base with his foot. Youk slides in... safe.
Youk sees nobody is near third. Scutero sees Youk take off and starts tailing him. The 3rd baseman sees whats happening, throws a nice leading throw th Scutero, who is hasing Youk. Scutero catches the ball and catches up to Youk, and tags him easily, about 2/3 of the way to 3rd base.
156 They only seemed to go to Law when a player he had written about or projected correctly was taken, which might explain his more positive tone.
They wouldn't always bludgeon you to death, but their offense seemed versatile.
HA!
SHAN-non STEW-art! Ha!
So, if Lugo hadn't made the error, Schill never has to face Stewart the fourth time...
Boras' current stable
Fortunately for Boras, he has a stable full of standouts this year. He calls right-handed pitcher Rick Porcello from Seton Hall Prep (N.J.) "the best high school pitcher since Josh Beckett, third baseman/first baseman Mike Moustakas from Chatsworth (Calif.) High "the best power-hitting infield prospect since A-Rod," right-handed pitcher Andrew Brackman from North Carolina State "the college pitcher with the highest ceiling" and boasts that Georgia Tech switch-hitting catcher Matt Wieters is "way ahead of where Varitek was defensively at signing, with more power."
Boras also has hard-throwing Matt Harvey from Fitch High (Groton, Conn.), power-hitting first baseman Matt LaPorta from the University of Florida, University of Georgia closer Josh Fields, Texas Christian right-hander Jake Arrieta and a pair of speedy outfielders, Julio Borbon from the University of Tennessee and Kantrail Davis from Theodore (Ala.) High.
One major-league scouting director doesn't disagree with Boras on his top three, saying that Porcello, Moustakas and Brackman are special players and ranking Wieters just below that level, adding that he's on the cusp of being major-league ready.
But him too, sure. And the other guy, sort of.
The spirit of what NJYankee41 was saying, I think, kind of precludes strikeout guys who also walk a lot of batters. I don't quite subscribe to Three True Outcomes, but there's more than a grain of truth to it.
tonite's House Money w/ Special Sauce Lineup
Yanks Lineup tonight
Damon dh
Cabrera cf
Abreu rf
A Rod 3b
Matsui lf
Cano 2b
Phelps 1b
Cairo ss
Nieves c
see ... phelps lovers and cairo backers CAN sometimes both get what they want ...
http://i14.tinypic.com/4m2yg3r.jpg
Something for everybody, eh?
;)
Saying: evidently, joe figures 2 of 4 is "good enough"
is really insulting. Torre gets more shit from the press and from his 'Boss' then any manager alive. He's LIVING the Yankees.
so are you a baseball fan or just a yankkes fan?
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