Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The Mariners are a tough team to figure. To begin with, they're the only team in the major leagues with a winning record that has been outscored by its opponents. They're also run extremely hot and cold over the past three weeks, first losing six straight to the Twins and Angels, then taking seven of eight from the Rangers, A's, Royals, and White Sox. The M's also had five of their first twenty games postponed by snow or rain, though they've already made one of those up, falling to the Red Sox in Boston last night on Manny Ramirez's game-winning shot off Chris Reitsma in the eighth.
Thus far, the only thing that's really working for them on offense is catcher Kenji Johnjima (.305/.349/.508). That's not much of a surprise given that their big offseason acquisitions were Joses Vidro and Guillen. More surprising: Richie Sexson is really struggling (.150/.253/.375) and after finishing fifth in the AL in stolen bases last year, the M's are dead last in the majors having gone just 6 for 10 on the bases thus far in 2007. On the other side of the ball, Felix Hernandez looked to be breaking out only to go down with a scary elbow injury. He's expected back next week, but M's fans will likely continue to hold their breath over the health of King Felix for a while longer. Behind Hernandez's scary elbow has been more scary pitching in the form of starters Miguel Bautista (6.30 ERA), Horacio Ramirez (6.64) and old buddy Jeff Weaver (0-4, 18.26 in four starts). If not for the unlikely performance of Jarrod Washburn (2.88 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) and the solid showing by their bullpen (3.35 ERA) the M's would be in a much worse way, which, frankly, I assume they will be before to long.
Tonight, the Yanks draw South Korean-born Cha Seung Baek, who's holding King Felix's spot in the rotation. Baek has started against the two worst teams in the American League and produced one solid start, that coming against the Royals at Safeco. The Yankees last tussled with Baek in Jeff Karstens' major league debut last August. Baek and Karstens matched one another roughly pitch-for-pitch in that contest, with Bobby Abreu homering of Baek and the Yankees pulling ahead against the Mariner bullpen only to see Jaret Wright and Ron Villone blow the game in the final two frames. Tonight, Baek's mound opponent will be Kei Igawa, who salvaged his spot in the Yankee rotation with a fantastic emergency appearance last Saturday after Karstens had his leg broken by a comebacker on the first pitch of the game. Afterwards, Joe Torre speculated that Igawa might have been well served by the lack of warning, which prevented him from overthinking his outing, or building up nerves. It will be interesting to see how he does tonight, having had the last week to think about tonight's start.
Incidentally, Igawa still leads the Yankees in wins, though he's now tied with Luis Vizcaino, who vultured Andy Pettitte's second win in game one yesterday. His five outings can be split into two awful ones:
9 1/3 IP, 16 H, 14 R, 4 HR, 6 BB, 5 K (13.50 ERA, 2.36 WHIP)
And three solid ones:
17 1/3 IP, 10 H, 5 R (4 ER), 1 HR, 7 BB, 14 K (2.08 ERA, 0.98 WHIP)
If the Yankees can find a way to keep Igawa on his game, they could have one of the best fourth starters in baseball.
Seattle Mariners
2006 Record: 78-84 (.481)
2006 Pythagorean Record: 78-84 (.481)
Manager: Mike Hargrove
General Manager: Bill Bavasi
Home Ballpark (2006 Park Factors): Safeco Park (94/95)
Who's Replacing Whom?
Jose Guillen replaces Jeremy Reed (minors)
Jose Vidro replaces Carl Everett
Jamie Burke replaces Rene Rivera (minors)
Jason Ellison replaces Chris Snelling and Adam Jones (minors)
Miguel Batista replaces Gil Meche
Jeff Weaver replaces Jamie Moyer
Horacio Ramirez replaces Joel Pineiro
Cha Seung Baek is holding Felix Hernandez's place while he's on the DL
Chris Reitsma replaces Rafael Soriano
Brandon Morrow replaces Emiliano Fruto and Sean Green (minors)
Eric O'Flaherty inherits playing time from Eddie Guardado, Ryan Feierabend, and Cesar Jimenez (DL)
Sean White replaces Jake Woods (minors)
25-man Roster:
1B Richie Sexson (R)
2B Jose Lopez (R)
SS Yuniesky Betancourt (R)
3B Adrian Beltre (R)
C Kenji Kohjima (R)
RF Jose Guillen (R)
CF Ichiro Suzuki (L)
LF Raul Ibañez (L)
DH Jose Vidro (S)
Bench:
L Ben Broussard (1B)
R Willie Bloomquist (UT)
R Jason Ellison (OF)
R Jamie Burke (C)
Rotation:
L Jarrod Washburn
R Miguel Batista
L Horacio Ramirez
R Jeff Weaver
R Cha Seung Baek
Bullpen:
R J. J. Putz
L George Sherrill
R Julio Mateo
R Chris Reitsma
R Brandon Morrow
L Eric O'Flaherty
R Sean White
15-day DL: R Felix Hernandez, L Arthur Rhodes
60-day DL: R Mark Lowe, L Cesar Jimenez
Typical Lineup
L Ichiro Suzuki (CF)
R Adrian Beltre (3B)
S Jose Vidro (DH)
L Raul Ibañez (LF)
R Richie Sexson (1B)
R Jose Guillen (RF)
R Kenji Johjima (C)
R Yuniesky Betancourt (SS)
R Jose Lopez (2B)
I'm off to see Chase Wright vs. the Mudhens tonight.
How fast things change. Don't worry though... if he has a bad start tonight, Banterers will be demanding he's shipped back to Japan in a box.
He just doesn't make me feel confident, I hope it works out for the best of the team. He's a Yankee so I'll be rooting hard for him.
Nevertheless, I am hoping Cliff is right and he does become the best fourth starter in the AL. We'll see....time will tell.
Still, if Iggy does implode and the Yankees have to employ five or more relievers to clean up, no one will demand he be shipped back in a box. It would be cheaper to bypass the shipping altogether and just float the box into the Pacific Ocean next Friday, and let the current take it to Japan for free.
I kid, of course.
"one of the best fourth starters in baseball" = league average
Damon CF
Jeter SS
Abreu DH
Rodriguez 3B
Matsui LF
Posada C
Cano 2B
Cabrera RF
Mientkiewicz 1B
giambi out with cramps I think. I have said it before and I say it again, free Josh Phelps!
I mean, if anyone needs a day of its Abreu, and the thought that DHing him is the answer is silly. Meanwhile, phelps hasn't played in literally forever and tonight seems like a primo time with Giambi out. buuuuuut noooooo...
More home runs: hot-hitting Jorge Posada or the Yankee first base platoon?
I'm not saying it's significant (in fact, it's a fluke if there ever was one), but it's nonetheless true.
You know, Mgfhsdjg still has an OPS+ of 57 and a RATE2 of 89.
I was just salivating at Helton again today. The road split is still extreme:
Home: .462 .614 .590 (57 PA)
Away: .309 .406 .418 (64 PA)
But his defense is looking tasty with a 114 RATE2.
You bet he's overpriced, but if they could do an Abreu deal, with Giambi off the payroll after next year, and his lefty stroke in Yankee Stadium, he could be a fine solution. Of course, there's no chance I see it happening.
14 I know but when the choice is Mghdjgh, and it's not my money...
Still, that ability to get on base will age well. As will his defense. Of course he'll be overpriced, but if Damon can hit 20 HR's as a lefty on the Yankees, then Helton would do fine.
http://tinyurl.com/2yuysu
:P
When Phleps gets the full-time job?
And, how many games before Tea benches him again?
I'm calling June 5th and 19 games.
It wouldn't surprise me to see a Andy Phillips redux either. He's smoking hot in AAA. That will be a nice interlude before the All-star break.
I think I would be surprised if we saw Andy Phillips before September 1, unless there's an injury to one of our first basemen. Putting Phillips on the roster means dumping another first baseman and I don't think it'll be Minky because Torre loves him and if its Phelps, then we lose him to Baltimore because he's a Rule 5 draft pick.
(End cheesey aside)
Classic.
They could do the same to Mfhjkfvg and it seems they at least believed in Phillips as a LIDR. After all, they carried him on the playoff roster for that purpose.
Great running by ARod. The guys does it all.
Cano!!
Tippy Cano!!
This is fun. I'm enjoying this a lot.
I think one inning is enough for me tonight. I'll be back for the Weaver ass-whupping though. As Alex would say, Let's Go Yan-Kees.
I guess Damon felt he needed extra BP: he took his cuts twice.
JD and Abreu must have cost him 10 RBIs.
GOD!!!!!! I hope we don't lose him.
A 2009 team with no ARod and no Giambi? No thanks.
62 Thanks.
Actually, I was just talking to my wife about this last night. I said now that Gordon's gone Jete stands alone. A bit strange for a NY team. I guess it speaks to the dearth of baseball involvement by young blacks.
Damn Ichiro.
Igawa is taking this Throwing Strikes thing too seriously.
As rich as these guys (players and owners) are what would it take to invest in a few multi-park fields in each city? Maybe make an investment (even just public support) in urban little leagues. It would be a nice way to give back.
Off to eat.
Also, the umps are quick to get in there. That warning is too rash. Man, the Yanks haven't gotten into a brawl in a long time. With Jose Guillen on the other side, you never know...Will Ichiro steal one or two bases?
Also, the umps are quick to get in there. That warning is too rash. Man, the Yanks haven't gotten into a brawl in a long time. With Jose Guillen on the other side, you never know...Will Ichiro steal one or two bases?
I think Igawa just got flustered after that home run. He seems to be back on track now.
Back into the doghouse...
Hoooooo boy. Somebody say something humorous about going to our bullpen again. Otherwise it gets kind of depressing.
I hate this signing.
So very, very much.
I remember reading on sportsline that one of the nicest things the AL executives had to say about him was "he isn't very good"
Colter Bean sucks.
When you're longing for Ted Lilly or Gil Meche, you know things are bad.
He can't be that bad. Seems like whenever he gets a shot, he's awful. Like, more awful than any AAA pitcher should possibly be.
I dunno, maybe the stress gets to him or something.
I think he CAN be that bad. I think there's a reason he's 30 and in AAA. i think there's a reason he's cleared waivers and been returned to us on several occasions.
Leiter calls Ichiro "Itchiro"
An out!
I think if Rasner pitches well Sunday, then Igawa should be the one optioned down.
Remember when they were talking about making Villone a starter last year? Maybe they should consider it this year.
You know, just like yesterday with the Sosa beaning, maybe you should think about what you post sometimes...
Here's hoping Jetes gets his hit tonight, and that we beat the daylights out of them tomorrow.
Shoulda left Igawa in. He's inconsistent, and we have to expect that. But I prefer inconsistent to consistently bad.
And you can't demote Igawa after this start, its just like last time. Hes inconsistant at this point, so is Dice-K, should the Sox demote him too?
Colter Bean is a big fat ass that sucks every time he's brought up. Maybe its time for him to try something new.
Am I imagining it or does Damon look spastic coming in on fly balls?
Unless we have to pitch to them again...
A grand total of 8 major league inning sure is enough to tell how a guy is. Yup, nothing like a small sample size and a feeling about a guy's physical appearance to make your decision.
Is it really that hard to throw strikes with a lead against sub-.200 hitters?
7 major league innings and 17 baserunners. Go, Colter, Go. Clearly I and all 30 teams that wanted no part of you are horribly misguided. After all, you can get AAA hitters out. The has beens and never will bes of baseball.
Which is okay. Better than horrible all the time. Keep him as an innings eater and sometime starter.
The only comfort is that we'll be up against Jeff BP Weaver tomorrow , Wang should be able to go 9 against him.
265 Excluding Mo, the whole Yankees' bullpen should be left on the island to fend for themselves against the Others.
265 Excluding Mo, the whole Yankees' bullpen should be left on the island to fend for themselves against the Others.
Bean's got an ERA of 12 in 3 innings this year. he had an era of 0 coming in. Ergo, today shot is ERA up just a bit. I'd say that one bad inning shouldn't do you in, but what do I know.
I'm off to dinner, looks like a sweep at Texas can't fix all our problems, hopefulyl Jeff Weaver and Wang can...
He doesn't give us length. He doesn't give us quality. He has NO command. Adding up the walks, wild pitches and hit batters, it has to be near twenty. he gives up homers like they're going out of style. he was projected to be a back end starter at best. We paid 45 million dollars for AL EFFING LEITER. And not even Al Leiter 2000. Al Leiter 2005.
I really want to be wrong and find that this guy overcomes his problems and becomes a key part of the rotation. But Zack's comparison to horrid outings by Javy and Weaver and RJ are telling, and not exactly flattering as comparisons.
I'm literally shaking with anticipation.
From Wikipedia:
===
In 2003, the Tigers won the Central League pennant. Igawa made a great contribution with his brilliant performance. He pitched very well and finished with a 20-5 record, a 2.80 ERA, and was third with 179 strikeouts. He was named to the Best Nine, won the MVP in the Central League and also won the Sawamura Award, the Japanese equivalent of the MLB Cy Young Award.
Igawa saw a decline in performance in 2004 and 2005. In 2004, despite leading the league at 228 strikeouts, he went 14-11 with a 3.73 ERA. In 2005, Igawa went 13-9 with a 3.86 ERA, fifth among his team's starters in ERA, and was briefly exiled to the minors. He was only tied for fifth in strikeouts (down significantly to 145) and 10th in ERA, but was still third in the circuit in victories. While still a productive hurler, Igawa became a target of enthusiastic fan criticism due to his inability to perform at his prior level.
===
And speaking of old friends, Mike Stanton just got out of a jam in the 10th in Cincinnati. I think he's becoming the closer there.
Also, I forgot how funny Randy Johnson looks when he bats. Ha! I think he may be growing the mullet back out.
He has been pitching well and in a mop up type of roll all season.
No, he hasn't been doing the LOOGY thing as one may have hoped, but he is certainly pitching effectively and we need him at the moment.
Guy #1: Hey, you see the Mets tonight? They scored 24 runs!
Guy #2: No sh*t! They win?
Now Wang NEEDS to give us about 7 innings tomorrow with Rasner and DeSalvo to follow, neither one of whom is all that economical pitch wise.
Igawa seems to have the "stuff" to be effective, but has to stop pitching up in the zone and needs to be more consistant. But is guidry really the one to fix that? I somehow don't have much confidence with him, so maybe AAA would be best for Igawa at this point, who knows.
It's very possible the Yanks will have to go through a rough year this season and will come out of it better than at any point in the last five. The question is, will Cashman survive that long to see it through? Or will the media and fans demand blood and force the Boss to fire Cashman and hire someone who will start trading minor league talent for immediate improvement? Should be interesting to watch
I agree in part with what you wrote above. However, I am pretty sure Derek Jeter didn't patent the "must win now" philosophy. I don't think its a matter of being fickle neccessarily.
Has someone from our farm system that Cashman traded away become a big success and I missed it?
"Rebuilding" is something that is done in leagues with real salary caps. That isn't to say that trading away young talent and signing high priced free agents is an ongoing path to success. In baseball, if teams have the funds they can keep young players and go out and sign free agents to win now.
Rebuilding is simply a term used to pacify fans when you are attempting to figure out what the hell your staff is up to as an owner. I cannot recall a team that claimed to be rebuilding which ultimately reached its goals, whatever they may have been. Good teams are constantly rebuilding, moving the old out and refusing to trade top talent while signing free agents that fit into the specific team well.
The Yankees may have two pitchers in the minors that will ever start on a consistent basis. When you pick at the bottom of the draft every year, you really have to do your homework. Just look at the talent that the Devil Rays have. If you shipped off Roy Oswalt, Mariano Rivera, and Wang to the Devil Rays, they'd beat all our asses.
I guess my position is that "rebuilding" is an excuse. It is something owners can tell fans to shut them up. I would change my position if I see in my lifetime a team which claimes to be rebuilding actually succeed with the players they claim to be using to "rebuild."
The Yankees simply signed high priced free agents and havent won. Its that simple. Its not a matter of needing to rebiuld, or trading away too much talent. Winning is hard. Those Yankee teams of the late '90's weren't half as talented as this squad, but they had competitiveness and pitching. All the stars have to align at just the right moment. How have those White Sox pitchers and bullpen guys done wince winning the World Series? I always think back to the Seinfeld where Paul O'Neill has to hit two home runs to get Big Stien's birthday card back.
///
KRAMER: Mr. O'Neill?
O'NEILL: Yeah.
KRAMER: Yeah, uh, look, you don't know me.
O'NEILL: I can give you an autograph there, but my pen's kind of screwed up. You'd only like half a "P" or something.
KRAMER: No, it's uh, not that see,. It's about a little boy in a hospital. I was wondering if you could do something to lift his spirits.
O'NEILL: Sure, I could help you there.
KRAMER: Sure, well I promised you would hit him two home runs.
O'NEILL: Say what?
KRAMER: You know, Klick!. A couple of dingers.
O'NEILL: You promised a kid in the hospital that I would hit two home runs?
KRAMER: Yeah, well, no good?
O'NEILL: Yeah. That's no good. It's terrible. You don't hit home runs like that. It's hard to hit home runs. And where the heck did you get two from?
KRAMER: Two is better than one.
O'NEILL: That, that's ridiculous. I'm not a home run hitter.
KRAMER: Well, Babe Ruth did it.
O'NEILL: He did not.
KRAMER: Oh, do you say that Babe Ruth is a liar?
O'NEILL: I'm not calling him a liar but he was not stupid enough to promise two.
KRAMER: Well, maybe I did overextend myself.
O'NEILL: How the heck did you get in here anyway?
///
Yes, winning is hard.
No one that Cashman traded is heading for an MVP, Cy Young or ROY anytime soon. The Yankees dont need to rebuild. They just need to take the salary down a notch, give some young guys a shot, and hope for the best.
That used to be something that drove me nuts about the Yankees. But these days...I kind of understand it. Ordinarily, I would be willing to put up with a "rebuilding year." Or two. But I think there's a feeling now that Steinbrenner might not be around for too many more seasons. These days, there's a very good reason to "win now."
On the bright side, a team with the Yanks' resources can compete and grow the farm at the same time. A strong farm system plus smart spending will make this team a powerhouse for a long while.
396 Agree about the turnabout on Cashman. It comes with the bad start, I guess.
I still think he's on the right track. In fact it's been a good sign that the replacements for the injured players are coming from the farm. No Ponson, no Erickson, no Terrence Long. Thank god.
When I saw the rotation for this season, I knew the Yankees were in trouble. I said so and some one sarcastically commented that I was giving up on the season. Well, guess what folks, there isn't anything wrong with being realistic. The Yankees are missing a couple of solid starters before they can take on this season, but the more they lose, the further they fall behind and anyway that you cut it, that isn't good.
401 if healthy, I think that the rotation is good. Not great but good. And that is considering Pavano as basically a 6th starter that we cannot count on being there. And while I expect Moose and Pettitte to see some time on the DL, what we have seen has been unreal.
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I believe the Yankees, Braves, and Indians could make that claim.
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