Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The Yankees have to decide today if they will pick up Jaret Wright's option for 2007. Given the state of the Yankees' rotation at the moment (the old and injured, the young and unproven, and Chien-Ming Wang), it seems well worth the extra $3 million to keep Wright around as insurance (the buyout on his $7 million option is $4 million). But the latest rumor is that the Yankees will do with Wright what they did with Gary Sheffield, pick up his option then flip him for prospects.
The rumored destination for Wright has been Baltimore, where he'd be reunited with Leo Mazzone much like Sheffield was reunited with Jim Leyland in Detroit. I wasn't aware that Baltimore had any prospects (other than Nick Markakis, and the Yanks ain't gettin' him), but this is Jaret Wright we're talking about after all. Credit Brian Cashman for a fantastic strategy here. With Sheffield he turned a player they were likely going to let walk away for nothing into three impressive young arms. If they do deal Wright, they'll either have taken his $4 million buyout off the books and gotten live bodies in return for the favor, or, if they wind up sending cash with Wright, will likely wind up turning an oft-injured 30-year-old pitcher with a bad contract who averaged just a hair more than five innings per start in the third best season of his career last year into some young talent for no more than the $4 million that as of the moment is essentially a sunk cost.
In other news, the deadline for eligible players to file for free agency was yesterday, which means those players who have filed are free to negotiate with all thirty teams starting today. The Yankees who have filed are Miguel Cairo, Octavio Dotel, Tanyon Sturtze, Ron Villone, Bernie Williams, and Craig Wilson, as well as Wright and Mike Mussina, who's $17 million option the Yankees will likely buyout for $1.5 million by Wednesday's deadline. In addition to that group, Nick Green and Sal Fasano both elected to become free agents after being outrighted to triple-A last month. The Yankees also have a long list of six-year minor league free agents. You can find that list on the side-bar under "players." Among the players listed are Aaron Small, Terrence Long, Ramiro Mendoza, Kris Wilson, Jorge DePaula, Ben Davis, Russ Johnson, Felix Escalona, Jesus Colome and Frank Menechino. Bubba Crosby, who was also on that list, signed a one-year major league deal with the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday. Several other sites have included Wil Nieves on that list as well, but as far as I can tell he's still on the Yankees' 40-man roster, and is thus ineligible for six-year minor league free agency.
Meanwhile, despite the rumors that circulated on Thursday that either the Rangers or Red Sox had come in with the top bid on Daisuke Matsuzaka, the actual results remain unannounced, as the Seibu Lions have until Tuesday to make their decision. (I feel like I should post that sentence on the sidebar until the decision is final.)
It might not look great on paper but as long as the Yankees are +/- 3 games on the wild card by mid-summer they will have the chips to pull off some awesome deals (Jake Westbrook, Doug Davis, Livan Hernandez, Jason Jennings, Carlos Zambrano, etc). If the kid pitchers step in and perform like Cano and Melky it's even better in the long run.
Note: R. Johnson has 280 wins and is a free agent in '07. He'll be back strong if healthy.
http://tinyurl.com/yj3gx9
It does include Nieves as a minor league free agent.
And who'd have thunk Bubba Crosby would be the first free agent signed off that list?
Jaret Wright...he has his moments, but he's just too hard on the bullpen. OTOH, who are they going to put in the mound in his place?
I hate to say it, but I'd rather have Wright than Bernie at this point.
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What we find is that being overweight tends to improve a pitcher's projection for the next season, by a little over .02 runs for every ten pounds. If we look at the same spread as for height, that is the range that encompasses 95% of all pitchers, we find that the difference between a thin and fat pitcher's projection will be a little over .11 runs per nine, given that they performed equally in the previous season.
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http://tinyurl.com/ynbcv2
He's a good young arm who adds more pitching depth so I'm starting to agree with the people who smell a big trade in the offing. Maybe that D-Train or Zambrano stuff isn't as far fetched as I thought it was.
Unless...
Omigod, I've figured it out. Here's the rotation.
1. Moose
2. Proctor for three innings, Bruney for two, Dotel for two.
3. Wang
4. Sanchez, Sturtz, Whelan
5. Unit, but only every ten days; otherwise Karstens, Rasner, Proctor
In the late innings it will be Farns and Mo one day, and of course Proctor the next (to make sure he gets enough work).
12 i suppose, but i don't see enough chips here to make it happen, if we go for D-train, we would need Melky to start for sure, and then throw in Sanchez or Hughes, if it's Sanchez we need one more guy at least. possibly a Bruney or Britton.
Is this trade plausible and possible? maybe, is it likely? not really, I don't see why the Marlins would like to trade D-train for a CF of Melky's caliber (Melky might be a good CF... but i'd sure want a more surefired prospect if i was trading my franchise player)
Do I assume the O's wanted a starter instead of a reliever? Since OUR starting staff is very questionable, I'm not sure if we benefit that much. We got a younger, cheaper guy, who in a very small sample size, has better numbers then Wright.
What do the O's get out of this? Does Leo think he can do more MazMagic with Wright? I'm not questioning the move, as much as the motivation, from both sides.
I fear it would take Melky and A-Rod to get Willis. They have tons of young pitching talent. They want a big name, who can get buns in the seats, and a big bat, for the middle of their order.
Although we are all assuming Moose will be one of the SPs, I also wonder why they have yet to announce what will happen with Moose.
Another question, and I am not asking it to mock him or just to have fun but I ask with a serious attitude...
Even if Pavano is healthy next year(HUGE if, trust me, I know),is he really going to stay with the Yankees? The vibe I got from the Yankees (all of them including the Boss, Cash, Torre, and the players...) is that they all got so fed up with him and would trade trouble away as soon as they see a chance. Pavano doesn't have a no-trade clause, does he? Obviously, I am also aware that no team would show interest in him at this point.
...I'm going to rock the boat once again and propose that Ca$hman make THE necessary move and trade a certain corner infielder this offseason.
So here's the deal: Mr. Unnamed Corner Infielder to the 'Stros for Lidge, Ensberg and a minor league chip. Lidge would step right in to compete with Farnsworth for the 8th inning setup role. Resign Dotel and give him a chance for either the 8th or 7th inning reliever role as well.
Plug Ensberg right in at 3B and let him be the second-coming of Brosius.
Lastly, take the chip gotten from the 'Stros, this Britton guy from the Os' and another Yankee farm system chip and trade them for either Dontrell Willis or Zambrano.
Oh, and move Proctor into the rotation as a starter -- which was the Yankees' plans all along last year before he began to shine as a reliever.
That would then give the Yanks this rotation:
1. Zambrano/Willis
2. Wang
3. Moose
4. RJ
5. Proctor/Pavano
I apologize in advance is I have stirred up a debate once again about trading that certain he-who-shall-remain-nameless corner infielder.
Willis is the face of the franchise for them. Something like five times as many people show up when he pitches. Their Triple-A club sells more tickets than they do, so they'll miss those sales. If they give up Willis, they'll want a star in return. Mr. Unnamed Corner IFer could be the guy. He's a local boy, after all.
We'd probably have to pay a chunk of his salary, because the Marlins don't have a lot of cash, but we can afford it.
Britton will be 24 next month and his minor league track record is excellent. He jumped to the majors from AA last year after topping out in the Carolina League (high-A) in 2005 and posted a 3.35 ERA and allowed less than a hit per inning in 52 games. The Yankees did wind up sending the buyout cost ($4 million) to Baltimore, but since that was a sunk cost to begin with, this is still a solid deal. Cashman is my hero.
278 is another level of huge. I'd be concerned the guy was going to drop dead of cardiac arrest before he's 27 than whether or not he can throw strikes.
27 I do not see the 3 pitching prospects for Sheffield as good fortune at this point though I can understand why you and others feel that way. IMO, unless one or all turn into something of value either through performance on field or as trade bait, they are merely $13 million worth of nothing much.
As things stand, I am just hopeful that the Yankees still have a shot at Matsuzaka
It's a good day; think I'll have waffles for lunch.
I'm not quite sure I understand your point. Do you think we could have received better prospects or is it the class of prospect we received generally that you are not impressed with.
What are some names of prospects that we could have reasonably expected to obtain that you would have rather received than those we got?
If it's the class of prospect you're not pleased with then perhaps you could answer this: would you rather the Yankees had paid Sheff and Wright their buyouts and gotten nothing for them? That is: would you have rather they actually had paid more money than they did and receive nothing for them in return? Whould you rather they kept Sheff without having a role they envisioned that he wanted to fill? Do you really want Wright in the Rotation for $7 million?
In exercising their option on Sheff they ended up paying nothing on his 2007 contract and paid nothing on a buyout. They received 2 prospects ranked highly by both Baseball America and Scout.com as well as another young arm. They only paid Wright's buy-out price sent to the O's which is what they would have paid anyway to buy him out and received a young power arm in the bargain.
Forgive me and sorry but it sounds like you're reaching for something to complain about.
How much is a few months of Jake Westbrook or Carlos Zambrano worth? I'd say two decent prospects or one very good prospect and a throw in player.
1. Backup Catcher
2. Utility Infielder
3. Two Starting Pitchers
4. RH 1B
How he fill those will further cement my opinion. Remember, this is the same guy that signed Kelly Stinnett and Miguel Cairo last year and brought Terrence Long before Melky and Scott Erickson before Karstens or Rasner.
Cashman still has a way to go in my book. But he's on the right path.
Meanwhile, I misspoke about visited links. They're not purple, they're black just like the text. Apologies to Randym about that. That said, they are still underlined.
I have some suggestions for 1, 2 and 4 (3 depends on the Matsuzaka results), which I hope to post about soon.
For #1, maybe Greg Zaun?
#2 = DeRosa?
At #4, I got nothing from the free agent list - maybe Hillenbrand or Mientkiewicz?
I'd prefer a prospect for the backup catcher, but they've had that chance for the last three three to four years, and I'm not holding my breath. Even a prospect to mature in AAA, and in case of emergency, would be nice.
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