Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
The Yanks lost their final game of the season 7-5 to the Jays (thank you very much, Kyle Farnsworth). They finish the year 97-65 tied for the best record in baseball with...the Mets. Go figure that. The Tigers lost today while the Twins won, meaning that Detroit will play the Bombers starting Tuesday night at the Stadium. This is a match-up that many Yankee fans wanted, especially with the Tigers limping into the post season. But careful what you wish for, right? They still have a lot of pop in their lineup and a nasty bullpen.
Derek Jeter went 1-5 and lost out on the batting title to Joe Mauer who had two hits today. Mauer .347, Jeter .343, Robbie Cano,.342. Congrats to Mauer, who becomes the first catcher to ever lead the American League in batting. A truly remarkable season for Mauer, who is one of three MVP candidates on his team (Santana and, the favorite, Justin Morneau, are the other two). What a wonderful year for out boy Jeter, the future Hall of Famer, who was a beast.
So, the match-ups are all set. Yanks vs. Tigers. A's vs. Twins.
Let's Go Baseball!
Why didn't he pinch-hit A-Rod for Andy, though?
UN-FUCKIN-BELIEVABLE!!!!!
Lets just hope Santana isn't slated to pitch 3 games in the ALCS.
The Tigers lost 5 in a row.. including a 3 game swee AT HOME by KC. The 2004 Yankees will forever be known as the #1 chockers because of the ALDS to the Sox. But losing FIVE in a row, ALL at home, and three against KC is a far, far worse offense.
I'm surprised Leyland didn't have a heart attack. It might cost him Manager of the Year.
I feel really good about the PS now.
Chris Shleton from May on has really been lousy: 703, 642, 730, 549. He's another guy who was still in the minors into his mid-20s.
Game 1: Wang-Robertson
Game 2: Mussina-Verlander
Game 3: Johnson-Rogers
Game 4: Lidle/Wright-Bonderman
Probably Wright for Game 4...
I'm guessing Andy stayed in because he needed to get at-bats. He hasn't really played in a while.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers will be coming to NY along with the Tigers. ;-) Good luck!
Will FOX be showing the Yankees/Tigers game?
Wednesday it's ESPN.
Broadcast schedule here:
http://tinyurl.com/nbf8m
OK: here's definitive proof. Of the Baseball Tonight crowd, only Steve Philips thinks Morneau is the MVP...my God, Philips is a moron...
Just like most years since 2000 we've heard about all of the SS that are "better than Jeter" (Tejada, Young, Vizquel every so often, even Guzman for part of a year) and remember how there were so many "reasons" Arod wasn't the MVP last year, they need somebody to be the "better than Jeter" or "better than any Yankee" guy.
This year, since Ortiz and the Bosox fell off a cliff, it's a pedestrian corner OF having an above average year who has a stat they can use as "evidence" he's more valuable.
(As far as RBIs being enough to result in a travesty, don't forget the absurd Sosa over McGuire vote.)
I am wearing my Wang shirt tomorrow as a celebration...for a great finish...and big cheers to a best start of the real journey!
1978
Ron Guidry 25-3, 248K, 1.74 ERA
Led AL in Wins, Win%, K, WHIP, Shutouts, Ace of Pennant winner
Jim Rice .315/.370/.600, 121R, 139BI, 46HR
Led AL in Hits, HR, RBI on 2nd Place team
MVP Jim Rice
1986
Roger Clemens 24-4, 238K, 2.48 ERA
Led AL in Wins, Whip, 2nd Win%, 2nd K, Ace of Pennant winner
Don Mattingly .352/.394/.573, 117R, 113BI, 31HR
Led AL in Hits, SLG%, OPS, 2B, Runs created, Gold Glove 1B, on 2nd Place team
MVP Roger Clemens
In '78 the writers said Guidry couldn't get the award because he wasn't an everyday player and discounted the fact that he was on a pennant winner. In '85 the same writers said Mattingly wasn't on a pennant winner and Clemens had an all-time great season. Nevermind that 9 '86 Mattinglys would have generated 111 more runs than 9 '78 Rices over a season or that the '78 Guidry was better pitcher than '86 Clemens by nearly every measure. One year the criteria was winner, one year it was stats. There is no rhyme or reason to who gets the votes in the MVP race.
Ever since Mattingly got robbed of that '86 MVP I've never cared who won. I'm with Jeter, it's about winning games, not awards.
Game just underway over here in Japan. Wang allowed a lead off single to Placido Polanco, but induced Craig Monroe into a 5-4-3 double play, and retired Sean Casey on a ground out to Jeter.
The Yankees got a leadoff homer by Johnny Damon, followed by a sneaky little bunt single by Jeter, a walk by Abreu and a 3-run bomb by A-Rod. Leyland has been ejected and Jason Giambi is coming to the plate with nobody out and a 4-0 lead.
I'll keep you posted.
H.G."David" Wells
Great way to follow baseball. Thanks to Cliff and Alex and to all the rest of you.
The MVP is a subjective award, intwined in politics and bias.
A World Series title however is a concrete fact.
That is why intelligent, competitive men like Jeter dowm play the MVP. Not only is it an individual award but it is out of the players hands. HE cannot 'win' the MVP, but rather it is given to him. Jeter however can 'win' another ring.
Bring on 27.
On the flip side, Jeter winning the MVP and the Yanks winning the Serious will only make life that much harder for ARod. For example, imagine the compare-and-contrast that will go on. 2005 MVP ARod, BUT no Serious. 2006 MVP Derek Jeter AND Yanks win the championship.
That could potentially be the last piece of the puzzle that drives ARod away.
I know a lot of fans are down on Farns going into the playoffs, as evidenced by Alex's "thank you very much, Kyle Farnsworth" line above.
Despite his discouraging postseason resume, I maintain unjustified confidence in Farnswacker. He had a decent September. 11 innings pitched, 11 hits (including 2 yesterday), 6 runs (including 2 yesterday), 15 k's, 1 walk. When his back isn't locked up, he hits 100mph. That's more of a weapon than a liability.
The game-losing home run he surrendered in yesterday's meaningless game came on a 1-2 pitch, against a kid who was hitting .367 in September. I think he and Posada should have wasted a pitch on that count, but instead tried a fastball in. Farns served it straight up, and it went straight out. End of meaningless game. Learn from your burns.
Going forward, the Stadium crowd has to help Farns. It tends to fall silent when he falls behind in a count. He's a power pitcher who feeds off the positive energy of the home crowd. If you go to the games, support your Farnswacker!
Joe will keep the junkyard dog on a tight leash the rest of the way, and Mo will be called on for mostly 5 and 6 out saves, just as he was required to do with Flush Gordon.
The Yankees pitchers who make me most nervous are Villone and Lidle. These are the guys who can kill us.
Villone's September: 6 innings, 14 hits , 18 runs, 27.00 ERA, 3.83 WHIP
Lidle's September 13 innings, 22 hits, 9.45 ERA.
If Unit was healthy, you could argue that Villone and Lidle don't even belong on the postseason roster.
Unit is not healthy. Watch out for Villone and Lidle.
Also watch out for the Tigers hot hitters.
Magglio in Sept: .354/.418/.576 6 HR, 19 RBI
Guillen in Sept: .395/.477/.592
Pudge in Sept.: .319/.375/.500 14 RBI
Polanco in Sept: .308/.379/.462 in 26 at-bats
Nate Robertson in Sept: 2.76 ERA 1.38 WHIP
This might not be as easy as you think.
If the HAA was on the exact level of the MVP, and was always mentioned along with MVP, then we would have clearer deliniations of these awards. One would simply be best offensive season, one would be based on total contributions (offense, defense, running, throwing, value on the field, leadership, intangibles).
Secondly, this needing to be on a winner is absolute bullshit. If the last 3 days had gone differently, and Houston had edged out the Cardinals, should our feelings about how valuable Pujols was be different? Winning is a TEAM stat. What other award is based on what team wins?
And we never know when to consider a pitcher or not (as 32 points out). I would like to see another award; 'Greatest Valued Pitcher' (GVP). Cy young is very WINS oriented. The 'GVP' award could give equal considerations to Relievers. Last year, Santana was clearly Cy Young. But Mariano was most clearly GVP.
To me (and remember I do hate the Sox) Ortiz had an outstanding (AL) year. 10 more HRs then anyone else, RBI leader, 3rd in RS (only 3 behind Jetes), 3rd in OPS. All this, while the Sox were in total collapse for almost a month. And he certainly was VERY valuable to his team.
He should be in consideration for the MVP, but he is a one dimensional ballplayer. How do you compare Ortiz to Jeter? This is Apples and Oranges. We should hear commentators say: "Ortis looks like the HAA and Jeter looks like the MVP".
We should NOT have to choose between overall 'value' and a great 'offensive' contribution.
Really... how many of YOU even consider the HAA? How many times a season do you hear it mentioned? ESPN does pre-season 'predictions' on ALL the other individual awards, but NOT the HAA.
Its quite clear. For example:
AL MVP - Jeter
AL HAA - Ortiz
AL CyY - Santana
AL GVP - Papelbon
However, these awards NEED to have EQUAL prestige.
That said, I don't think the MVP should ever be awarded to a starting pitcher, but IMO a solid closer should be under careful consideration - any time someone comes in 3-4 times a week and pretty much determines the outcome of a game, you have to throw him in the mix.
Anything can happen in the baseball postseason, but this has got to be the best matchup the Yanks have had since they played Texas in 1999. This is a huge break for the Yanks and hopefully they take advantage with a dominant series while the A's and Twins play an epic.
I've said it before about the Yankees' bullpen. Outside of Mo, when was the last time Yankees fans felt safe in the 7th and 8th innings during the postseason? It probably goes back to the Stanton/Nelson/Lloyd years, and even they were quite vulnerable by 99/00. Still, the Yankees' bullpen ranks a solid fourth out of the four AL playoff teams, and this may be a problem. I'd put our starting pitching third, ahead of Minnesota, and our defense second ahead of the Twins and A's. That's not very encouraging, but then you look at the offense: none of the other three teams can boast more than one position where they are definitively stronger than the Yankees. And that's why the other teams are more scared of us than we are of them.
The Tigers being very cold doesn't matter at all now. Remember 2000? We were terrible going into the playoffs, yet still won it all. I'm sure that has already been rehashed, but the point is, what got the Tigers here, good pitching, better bullpen, and a potent lineup is still there, slump or not. And in a short series, well, two good starts and a slugfest can get you far.
That being said, I sure am glad we got the Tigers, on the one hand becuase I am oh so sick of the Twins, their owners, those stupid hankies, and all of the small market stuff that seems to go with them. A change is nice.
Here's hoping for a Padres-Yankees WS so I can get tickets!
But anything can happen, one solid win at Yankee Stadium and the Tigers are in business. Can't be overconfident, but this is set up as well as it can be for the Yanks.
once the 2000 yanks started the playoffs, they had a resevoir of confidence available to them that the tigers do not.
all in all, the tigers are a dangerous opponent, as any team capable of winning 95 games would be, but a team the Yanks should handle.
Congrats, guys - tomorrow the real fun begins!
And mike your 33 had me laughing out loud - well done! I only hope it really goes that way.
A week ago or so I went through all the box scores to investigate if the 9/22/06 game against Tampa was indeed the shortest game of the season, and by how much. This gave me a mostly useless database of the Yankees' game times, and I pass some facts on to you:
The average Yankee game in 2006 took 3 hours, 8 minutes. Or as Michael Kay used to say on the radio "a... manageable 3 hours, 8 minutes." This works out to a grand total of 504 hours, 54 minutes for all 162 games. And if you watched every minute of every game, that would account for 11.6% of the 4,368 hours that have passed since April 3 (opening day). The longest game was of course the 4:45 marathon against the Red Sox on August 18, and the shortest was the game against the Rays on September 22 (2:17).
... less than 32 hours until first pitch!
52 Hear, hear! I took a moment and sat back to had some good thoughts. And I realized that this is quite amazing...both NY teams with the best record in baseball. At this point, I feel more excitement than worries about tomorrow.
Predictions:
"American League
Yankees over the Tigers in 3 games: Too much offense for staggered Tigers.
Twins over the Athletics in 5 games: Excellent series decided by Johan Santana.
Yankees over the Twins in 6 games: Well-rested Yankees too strong."
And I think he's serious...
"World Series
Yankees over the Padres in 5 games. Chien-Ming Wang wins twice and holds shortest ever postgame interview on Fox after being named MVP. Joe Torre cries. Brian Cashman breathes a sigh of relief and George Steinbrenner issues a statement praising his team and announcing his intent to compete in the Ironman Triathlon. "I'm a heck of a swimmer," he tells spokesman Howard Rubenstein."
I think we are lucky to have bloggers like Alex, Cliff, P.Abrham, mikeplugh, and etc. for making baseball even more fun.
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
Shef
Giambi
A-Rod
Matsui
Poseda
Cano
Interesting that they dropped A-Rod to 6th in the order. Is this a slap at A-Rod? Certain talk radio personalities,seem to think so. I also think it is. I am surprised that Torre would do this.
I don't think it matters who hits where in that lineup, as long as the lefties aren't all in a row, which they won't be.
Certain talk radio personalities also need a story to fill the off-day. "Yanks will crush Tigers" - which all of NY expects to happen - is a non-story. "Mets may be in trouble vs Dodgers" - which all of NY believes to be true - is also a non-story. So where could a story possibly come from . . . hmmmmm . . .
A-Rod had an OPS of .977 vs LHP this year; lefties are due to start Games 1 and 3 for the Tigers. Who cares where the guy bats? Just so long as he's playing!
Hopefully, they can stick to that plan throughout the series.
The lineup is sick no matter how they stack 'em.
2006:
4th: 437 .286 .388 .494 .883
5th: 118 .339 .436 .686 1.122
Career:
3rd: 2731 .304 .398 .604 1.002
4th: 1273 .291 .378 .531 .909
5th: 398 .334 .422 .641 1.062
And those splits are worse for his time in NY. If anything was the problem this year, it was that he left A-Rod at 4th for too long. He just doesn't seem to hit as well in the run producing slots. Since Joe wants to maintain his LRL lineup, A-Rod goes to sixth. A-Rod will still get his RBI opportunities but maybe with some of the "pressure" off.
Dropping A-Rod also balances the speed across the lineup a bit which has it's benefits.
I'm shocked ESPN hasn't picked up on this. By now I'd expect a cover article psychoanalyzing A-Rod hitting 6th and how this effects the rotation of the Earth.
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
A-Rod
Matsui
Sheffield
Giambi
Poseda
Cano
Now it is perfect. Alex, please pass this on to Joe. Thanks.
As long as they get the ring in the end, I don't think the players care where they are batting at all.
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
ARod
Giambi
Sheff
Cano
Posada
Matsui
Abreu
Jeter
Giambi
ARod
Cano
Sheff
Matsui
Posada
Damon
I want our best on-base guys up top; Giambi batting third for his slugging, of course, and Jeter after Abreu because you want walks before hits. Robbie is on fire, so I have him much higher. And let's face it, Damon is lately the weakest hitter in the line-up.
I'm ignoring all psychological considerations, but I did attend to L/R alternation.
It seems strange that Joe would wait until Game 1 ALDS to move him to 6th, (perhaps he could have done it last week, when the lineup became whole again) but I think it makes a lot of sense. I hope A-Rod's cool with it, and I imagine he is.
Unfortunately, it gives the carpet-pissing poodles in the media something to chew about for the next 24 hours, and chew they will.
Also check out David Pinto's Baseball Musings, this entry:
http://tinyurl.com/f4xaz
where the always-reasonable Pinto runs through the Win Shares leaders and their deservingness for MVP. (BB readers will like Pinto's verdict.)
Or go straight to Hardball Times' Win Shares ranking:
http://tinyurl.com/kfm3b
Torre will not be second-guessed, I can guarantee that. If ARod goes 0-for-5, it's because he can't handle playoff pressure. If ARod hits 2 homeruns, it's because he was allieved of the pressure of batting cleanup.
[i]It seems strange that Joe would wait until Game 1 ALDS to move him to 6th, (perhaps he could have done it last week, when the lineup became whole again) but I think it makes a lot of sense. I hope A-Rod's cool with it, and I imagine he is.[/i]
Moving him down in the order now means it's not a story if A-Rod goes 0-4 in game 1 and people start calling for Joe to drop him in the order then.
It's brilliant, if that's really the lineup.
I agree it's a good move. Let's see how it works.
Damon
Jeter
Abreu
Giambi
Sheffield
Matsui
Cano
A-Rod
Posada
Crazy? Thoughts? Obviously A-rod in the 8-hole is a little odd, but does overall batting order really matter beyond the first time through?
I don't think Alex will have too many problems adapting to hitting 6th. He seems to be in a fairly relaxed state these days (hopefully that will carry over as he seems to do better when he's relaxed). Even when he grounded into a dp on Saturday and got booed he came back and crushed a home run next ab.
I do find it a little strange that he got moved right after coming off his best month of the season but yeah maybe Joe knows a few things I don't.
In any case the batting line up doesn't always make that much of a difference especially in this line up (after all Cano is batting 9th!!). Anyone can end up with the bases loaded, final at bat, man on third no outs etc.. I think Alex and the Yankees will be just fine.
Imagine for a moment if Torre hit Matsui leadoff, Posada second, Damon third, Jeter fourth, Cano fifth, A-Rod sixth, Giambi seventh, Sheff eighth, and Abreu ninth - in a playoff game.
The reaction of most of the world would be priceless. I would pay to see it, and laugh as the Yanks still won.
Great discussion on lineups... the lineup that produces the most runs is generally one organized in descending order of OBP. But it's never a huge increase, compared to a lineup constructed in the traditional speed-contact-power order. The Yankees' lineup is going to score runs regardless of who is batting near whom. I agree with Shaun P 90 that Joe should mix it up just for the heck of it.
On a related note: I hope I see zero sacrifice bunts for the Yankees in the playoffs. Unless it's a tie game in the bottom of the 9th with a runner on second and no outs. And even then, we'd probably be better off swinging away.
Cano
Sheff
Jeter
Posada
Giambi
Matsui
A-Rod
Abreu
Damon
I think we can win with this. This is sick. Note lowest OBA in 9 hole. Oh my.
Minn (7)
Yanks (6)
A's (2)
Mets (1)
LA (1)
Basically the consensus is this is a 2 horse race.
WS MVP to:
Rivera (3)
Mauer (3)
Santana (4)
Nick Swisher (1)... but that's Steve Phillips
I think this could pay huge dividends. It's probably more likely that it won't really make much difference at all, but the potential upside is way better than the predictable downside.
Torre it seems is being proactive in building this lineup. It will be interesting to see if he stays with it.
ALDS
Yanks over Tigers 16-0
Twins over A's 12-4
ALCS
Twins win ALCS 9
Yanks win ALCS 5
A's win ALCS 2
WS
Twins win Series 7
Yanks 5
A's 2
Dodgers 1
Mets 1
Main thing that stood out to me is that 11 experts picked the Twins and Yanks to play each other in the ALCS. 9/11 picked the Twins to win that series.
Bring it.
On the football side, I've always admired that TMQ (Tuesday Morning QB Gregg Easterbrook for those that don't know) always reviews his each of his predictions at the end of the football season.
The 3 ESPN guys I trust the most voted like this:
Alleged Boston-lover Peter Gammons: Yanks win Serious over Mets in 7
Keith Law: Yanks win Serious over Mets in 6
Rob Neyer: Dodgers over Twins in 7, but to his credit, that was his preseason pick and he's stuck to it all year
Can we play the games already?
mikeplugh should be waking up soon to give us another update on the future, I bet. Another option would be to post-reference the future:
530 the Yankees jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first.
LETS GO YANKS!!!!! BRING THE FANS NUMBER 27!!!
25 hours, 20 minutes, 10 sec...
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