Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Okay, the bad news first. Randy Johnson has a herniated disk in his back and it is not certain whether or not he'll be able to start Game 3 of the ALDS or any other game in the playoffs. The Yankees won't have any real answers for a few days, but, naturally, losing Johnson would be a blow.
Johnson received an epidural yesterday at Beth Israel Hospital in hopes that the treatment would relieve the discomfort in his back to the point where he would be able to pitch next Friday. An epidural is an injection in the back that is usually a combination of a cortisone-type medication and a local anesthetic that reduces inflammation.Johnson, 43, was expected to play catch at Yankee Stadium today and was scheduled to throw a bullpen session tomorrow. [Yankee General Manager, Brian] Cashman said no decision would be made concerning Johnson's postseason status until after he threw tomorrow.
"He'll tell us," Cashman said. "It's not something we can see. He'll tell us how much more comfortable he is."
(Kepner, Times)
Hold your breath everybody and hope that the bats and bullpen can carry the team.
Now, for the good news. The Yanks beat the Jays 7-2 last night. Combined with the Tigers stunning loss to the Royals, the Bombers have secured home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Gary Sheffield hit a three-run bomb, Jorge Posada added a two-run shot of his own, and Alex Rodriguez had three hits as Mike Mussina pitched a nice game and notched his 15th victory of the year.
4:05 start today. It's sunny but brisk and chilly in the Bronx. Gametime temp: 64 degrees. We'll see some terrific shadows on the field this evening.
Let's Go Yan-kees.
UPDATE Actually, the sun isn't anywhere to be found. It is cold and breezy at the Stadium. There is a lot buzzing around the park today with the playoffs just a few days away. Pete Abraham has the latest. Also, the Twins lost this afternoon. Unless the Tigers lose today and tomorrow and the Twinkies can pull out a win in the final game of the season, the Yanks will face Minnie in the ALCS. Scary match-up as the Twins have Santana, a great bullpen, the Metrodome, and some unfinished business with the Yanks in the playoffs. They'd love some payback. We already know that Twins' owner wants to face the Yankees. Look like his wish is going to come true.
I look at this as good news: if the back problem was making him pitch less effectively, not having nearly as much pain might allow him to pitch effectively. If he can't go at all, the previous paragraph applies. If he can go, it's possible he'll be more effective.
On a bright note, and excuse me if this has already been mentioned, Don Mattingly has started a blog. How cool is that?
http://www.donmattingly.com/blog.php
To me, it's a toss between RJ and Wright. As unpredictable as RJ has been all season, he has 10+ seasons with very strong PS resume. And Wright seems to be ok lately.
1 markp, you are definitely right about healthy RJ being more effective. On the other hand, I'd take a hurting RJ over Lidle.
Rasner seems like a good long man option for possible not-so-pretty situations. He's had a few quality starts but he is no "Wang-of-last-year".
All in all, I can't express how grateful I am to see both Sheff and Giambi back in time. Well, obviouse, and Mo.
I'm guessing that means the typos, also.
At first I wondered why he was talking about Steinbrenner. It took a minute before realizing it's actually Jorge.
Either that or it is the Web Guy. Damn pitch hitters ;-)
Wright is half as good, most of the time.
AUG 30: 6.1 IP - 6 H - 2 ER - 1 BB
SEP 10: 6.1 IP - 3 H - 3 ER - 2 BB
SEP 17: 6.0 IP - 4 H - 2 ER - 3 BB
SEP 25: 6.0 IP - 5 H - 1 ER - 4 BB
Randy Johnson's recent starts:
SEP 06: 7.0 IP - 1 H - 0 ER - 2 BB
SEP 11: 6.0 IP - 9 H - 5 ER - 0 BB
SEP 16: 5.2 IP - 8 H - 5 ER - 3 BB
SEP 23: 6.0 IP - 7 H - 5 ER - 1 BB
Anyone think Unit would accept a trade back to AZ to finish his career?
Robinson Cano 2B
Derek Jeter SS
Alex Rodriguez 3B
Gary Sheffield 1B
Bobby Abreu RF
Hideki Matsui LF
Bernie Williams DH
Sal Fasano C
Jeff Karstens P
Alex, I pity you when February gets here. ;-)
First we'll use Spahn, then we'll use Sain,
Then an off day, followed by rain.
Back will come Spahn, followed by Sain,
And followed, we hope, by two days of rain.
Joe Mauer: 179 for 517 (.34623)
Robinson Cano: 162 for 474 (.34177)
Derek Jeter: 210 for 615 (.34146)
Given that Mauer did not play in today's loss to the White Sox, I'd imagine that he only has, at most, 3 or 4 at bats left, assuming he plays at all tomorrow. If that's the case, then the worst Mauer can do is 179 for 521 (.34357)
I'm assuming that Cano and the Cap will get around 7 at bats between today and tomorrow. If that's the case, Cano will need four hits to eclipse Mauer in this scenario (three hits is .34305, four hits is .34511). If Mauer goes 1 for 4 rather than 0 for 4, he will be at .34549.
Jeter, meanwhile, also needs between four and five hits (in seven at bats) to eclipse Mauer at .34405.
My calculator stands ready if anyone else wants me to examine a specific situation...
When Jeff Weaver is your best pitcher, you're hurting big time.
How's he doing?
Torre announced that Sheff will play 1b in the playoffs, Giambi will DH, and Matsui will play left.
Cairo and Phillips will round out the roster.
Busy here today. Lots of activity. You can feel everyone getting prepped for the playoffs, now just days away.
The only ones who seemed relaxed, like they are having fun are the players. Watched them take BP from the field today. Whole team seems really loose. Lots of easy smiles. One reporter said even Alex has been noticably looser the past few weeks. Was talking about just how different this clubhouse is from the 04 version, with dour, "bad guys" like Kevin Brown and Kenny Lofton.
Kind of like last year, when Tony Womack made the post-season roster, solely as a pinch-runner...
I just visited Mattingly's site and submitted a question.
He'll forever be a legend to me because I was 12 in 1984 and thus highly susceptible to legendary figures. (Mattingly was succeeded by John Lennon as I turned into a hippie and drifted away from sports, but that's neither here nor there.)
But the point is, whenever I remember Mattingly, I remember a guy who always seemed to come through with the big hit. And yet, even in his best year, he made an out 648 times out of a thousand, so I guess I must be misremembering.
:)
And poor Arod, in my imagination, never seems to come through in the big spot, and yet he does, occasionally.
Hmm.
Big spot, game on the line, though, romanticized as my image may be, I'd take Mattingly over Arod in a heartbeat.
Maybe if I were twelve now, watching Arod, I'd have a totally different impression of his career?
Part of me just has the general anxiety about fooling with success, upsetting the alchemy that's gotten us this far.
The other part is a more specific concern about regularly placing an inexperienced fielder at a position where the ball is bound to find him on strange plays like bunts or dribblers or whatever.
I don't know, all I can say is, "I have a bad, bad feeling about this."
Am I overreacting?
And I just want to give a big shout out to Fox, for keeping the next to the last game of the season off of EI.
F U Fox!
St. Louis comes back and wins.
Long answer: We've had this argument before. I'm a believer in that "chemistry" comes from an atmosphere of winning, and not vice versa. For all we know, the kids on the Devil Rays are the best friends in the world, but it doesn't win them many baseball games. Alchemy, you mentioned... never succeded in making gold out of brass.
Having Gary Sheffield at first base instead of Jason Giambi is another example of known quantity versus unknown quantity, much like the Kevin Thompson vs Bernie Williams argument after Sheff got hurt. The basis of many of the new, more comprehensive statistics, is the principle of "replacement level," that is, if you picked up your run of the mill AAA player, how would he perform. Giambi is an awful defensive first baseman. Sheffield, we hope, can provide that replacement level defense. It is unlikely he will be as bad as Giambi. That's also why I'm fine with Andy Phillips being on the postseason roster: he is clearly the best defensive first baseman on the roster (see the discussion from the other day), so in a worst case scenario (Giambi/Sheff/Matsui gets hurt or Sheff is absolutely awful at first), Phillips can play first. By contrast, I have a very good feeling about our offense in the playoffs.
Mauer .34623
Cano .34316
Jeter .34253
The Phillies-Marlins game on FOX is preventing me from watching the Yanks on mlb.tv. They're only in the seventh inning. I'm glad I paid $15 to watch the last few weeks of games...
Jeter .34253
Cano .34243
Thank heaven. If only because it shuts Kay up. He was blathering on about how Mauer winning the batting title will be tarnished if he sits out the last two games.
I don't know why they even sent him. He's not very fast any more.
Jeter .3436
Cano .34172
80 How bad is it?
Then they really compounded the problem last year by trading him away. With how close the 2004 and 2005 post-seasons ended, a legit CF could have made a huge difference.
43 You're going a bit over board on the Phillips as "clearly" the best defensive 1B. The discussion from the other day showed that Phillips has maybe made four outs more than Wilson. Further, that assessment is based less than half a year of data (for Phillips). If I had to choose those extra four outs or the extrta few years of experience, I'd choose the latter. That's why it was Wilson tutoring Shef while Phillips watched from the bench. Even still, both are average at best.
That said, it's weird. They've known for a while that they'd need a defensive 1B. With how cheaply an offensively challenged, but defensively sound, 1B could be had, why not go out and get one before August 30th?
The Phillips case gets me because it's not like the guy is good, yet folks have been bending over backwards to "clearly" support his roster space. It's like the guy's the team mascot in the Bubba mold. We all know how that turned out last year.
So yeah, I have a giant stick lodged in me, and I'm not sure why. Maybe nervousness about a tough upcoming opponent where the storyline by the national media will be David against Goliath. Worst of all, the worst trade they made of the last few years has given us Kevin Brown part 2. If we can beat Santana in game 1 I'll probably go back to feeling good for the rest of the post-season.
Unit WANTs to pitch in the PS because he wants a ring. Rah, rah.... but is this better for the team? If he is shit, he takes up a spot that might be better with Karstens it in.
It might be best to sit him for the ALDS and then give him a novicain enema for the ALCS... where his spot will come up twice.
As I said in 43, Phillips playing first is an extreme worst case scenario, and it's more likely that he pinch runs for Giambi or Posada late in a close game. Fretting over the 25th man on the roster seems a little weird, but I understand that's what we fans do :-)
I promise to remain the optimist poster even if we (gasp!) lose to Santana in game 1; 2004 should have taught us that no series is ever over.
Is there any part of Pedro that isn't torn?
http://abcnews.go.com/Sports/wireStory?id=2511927
>>The New York Mets will be missing ace Pedro Martinez for more than just the postseason. The Mets right-hander will have rotator cuff surgery next week and be out eight months. The injury is expected to sideline him until at least June.<<
91 I doubt Karstens would ever get the nod over Lidle.
89 Lofton is a borderline HoF'er?
BA by month:
April .398
May .292
June .322
July .412 (!)
August .295
September .350
As to Lofton. we can agree to disagree about him. I think he's a piece of crap. Everything I read indicates he was club house poison in NY. I'm glad he's gone. Would he have avoided that collision with Shef? Maybe. Would he have made the difference? I can't see it.
I wasn't crazy about the Damon signing. A lot of us here weren't when it went down. I've come around on it. He's not Grady Sizemore but he may be the next best thing right now. I love Melky but he can't give us what Damon does at this point.
As to the roster; if we can't win with this group, this year, it's just not in the cards. We're going up against the Twinkies who can throw Santana twice. Am I nervous? Sure, we all are but I don't think it's as bad or as dire as you paint it. Can we loose this thing? Sure we can, but I like our chances as well as I like anyone's if not better.
vs Righties: 48 AB, .208/.333/.271
vs Lefties: 70 AB, .257/.297/.443
Perhaps its Sample Size, but it certainly doesn't seem like Righties are murdering him as in the past (2003-2005):
vs Lefties: .208/.278/.318
vs Righties: .331/.450/.509
95 I didn't say Kenny IS a HOF'er just a borderline one. I wouldn't make the former case.
Why?
Well, if Bernie is borderline HOF'er then so is Lofton (career G AVG OBP SLG SB ZR):
KL: 1965 .299 .372 .423 .795 597 .900
BW: 2074 .294 .381 .477 .858 147 .878
Pretty good match there. That big difference In SLG looks alot smaller if you give Lofton "credit" for all those extra stolen bases. And Lofton has consistently played the better OF is you use your own preferred defensive metric.
IMO, both miss out on the HOF - borderline but on the outside.
And I really hope Phillips sees no playing time, because a good 1B makes that play.
If all I'm complaining about is Andy Phillips then things are good, indeed. Past decisions I could complain about for a long time though. I hope Cashman has turned a corner but the lack of a true defensive 1B is a bit surprising.
124 Uhm that should be "....did't have that mustache." oh well.
Jeter .34360
Cano .34100
Compare Bernie's numbers to HOF CFer Kirby Pucket.
Jeter .34466
Cano .34100
If Mauer sits tomorrow, Jeter will need to go at least 3 for 4 to surpass Mauer. 2 for 2 would also do it. 2 for 3 would give Mauer the victory by .00002.
Kay and a lot of Yankee fans are muttering about Mauer sitting out today, but he's a catcher. They've been playing him every other day anyway, in order to rest him. It has nothing to do with the batting title and everything to do with the post-season.
125 Right back 'atcha!
Grimsley Named Names
Kudos to the Los Angeles Times -- which, like Newsday, is a Tribune-owned newspaper -- for finding out the names of players Jason Grimsley reportedly mentioned to federal authorities as users of performance-enhancing drugs.
Here are the names Grimsley reportedly mentioned:
Roger Clemens
Andy Pettitte
Miguel Tejada
Brian Roberts
Jay Gibbons
David Segui also told ESPN a while ago he was on the list.
I guess that explains how you go from hitting 4 homers a year to suddenly hitting 20. :-/
Wilson: 220/257/380 in 100 ABs with the Yankees
Phillips: 241/283/398 in 241 ABs this year
If Phillips comes up to bat in extra innings after a blown save, Bernie and Melky are available to pinch-hit, and Cairo is available to play first. Or Fasano can come it to catch and Posada can play first. Or an outfielder can play first.
It may not be the optimal decision, but it isn't likely to cost us any games. Not the way Wilson has been hitting (a Womackian
There better be equal opportunity outrage from fans and media about Clemens as there is about Bonds. I expect ranting and crusading (Whitlock's word) columns from Gollum aka Lupica, etc. against Clemens. They better be calls for him to retire, people saying that asterisks should be on his records and that he perpetrated a fraud. After all, the fans and media were all hyped over Clemens' record breaking events.
Tejada was implicated by Canseco, Palmeiro and the didacted Grimsely documents released previously and Roberts was his teammate so again I'm suprised.
And yeesh, the weather looks awful today. I hope the last game of the season isn't rained out. I want to see Bernie manage the game! I want Jeet to get his chance to catch Mauer.
More important, though--why no Gueil? Even if we assume that Wilson, Phillips, and Gueil are essentially the same (which they are not), Guiel has shown all year that he can smoke lefties. Who is going to PH against a tough leftey reliever, Bernie??
But I must remind myself that Torre has a whole organization's worth of information behind him, including coaches and face-to-face knowledge of the players. While Torre appears to make bad moves, I think often we don't have the whole picture (obviously), and that Torre REALLY wants to win.
I trust the guy. He ain't perfect and some moves seem really stupid... but I do believe there is a method to his madness.
I trust him to put the best team on the field.
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