Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
On a warmy, muggy evening in the nation's capital, the Yankees appeared poised to lose the opening game of a three-game series against the Nationals. The Bombers would leave thirteen men on base on the night, as Alex Rodriguez struggled again--striking out with two men on in the seventh and then again with the bases loaded in the eighth. But the Yanks were saved by good ol' Bernie Williams. Williams had a sorry arm as a center fielder and now has an almost embarrasingly poor one as a right fielder--the Nationals scored their fourth and fifth runs by testing it. But Williams collected four hits, including a double and a solo home run in the top of the ninth which gave the Yanks the lead for good. Williams traditionally heats up when the weather gets warm and he's now got his average up to a respectable .286.
Mariano Rivera was forced into the game in the eighth inning after Kyle Farnsworth left the game with back spasms (early word has Farnsworth missing the rest of the series in Washington). Rivera retired all five men he faced to earn the save. It was a long, frustrating game to watch, but hey, a win is a win and the Bombers will take it. Final score: Yanks 7, Nats 5, before the largest baseball crowd RFK has seen since baseball re-opened for business in DC last year. Some old friends, Nick Johnson and Alfonso Soriano hit well for the 'Nats in the loss.
Rodriguez offered a blunt assesment of his performance to reporters two nights ago. Last night, he was furious after striking out in the eighth. His reaction reminded me a little bit of when Bob Welch struck out Reggie Jackson early in the 1978 World Serious. Obviously, the situation and the at bat weren't nearly as dramatic, but man, Rodriguez was hot after he whiffed.
[Manager, Joe] Torre was pleased to see that emotion, saying that it showed that Rodriguez was not denying his frustration anymore. After that at-bat, A-Rod said, Mattingly told him that he believed A-Rod was leaning his weight too far forward, keeping him off-balance and rendering his swing weak.(McCarron, N.Y. Daily News)Mattingly likened the mechanical fault to a "car-wreck" in which a player's body is moving forward as the ball is coming at him; ideally, the player should stay back and wait for the ball to come to him. "It's a relief when you have an issue and you can go address it," Rodriguez said. "I can't wait to get in there and contribute more. I want to do special things like I always do."
Last Saturday, Tim McCarver commented that he couldn't ever recall seeing Rodriguez so out-of-whack at the plate, noting that Rodriguez's normally smooth swing was choppy and that he looked unbalanced at the plate.
Rodriguez is shifting forward in the batter's box, Mattingly said, instead of keeping his weight back. It is a common problem for slumping hitters."He's not able to ride his back leg at all," Mattingly said. "We've got to get that back to where he can stay on that back leg and carry that weight. He's got to be gliding, not falling."
..."It's not mental," Rodriguez said. "I was so excited for those last two at-bats. I was probably a little bit too excited. I was aggressive. I really enjoyed the at-bats; I just didn't enjoy the results."
(Kepner, N.Y. Times)
It has been painful to watch Rodriguez struggle. But I have no doubt that the reigning AL MVP will eventually fight his way out of this slump and put up his usual big numbers by the time all said and done. Ramon Ortiz goes for the 'Nats today. Maybe that'll help get Rodriguez cooking. At least Giambi (two doubles last night), Jeter, Cano, Jorge (two hits last night), Damon, Melky, and our boy Bernie will be ready for the barbeque!
This quote is part of the reason why I sometimes find A-Rod so unlikeable.
"I want to do special things like I always do." Way to be humble, dude.
Beam has been called up from Columbus, and Kevin Thompson sent down.
I'm gonna have to agree with the sentimental pick in the outfield. I appreciate the opinion represented by you and by Steven Goldman over at Pinstriped Bible, that you should play the unknown young guy over the known old guy. But I think you continue to assert yourself without really looking at the statistics, as a good SABRmetric new age fan should. And here are the statistics:
Bernie, LF 2006 NYA: 25 G, -1 FRAA .245 EQA
Thompson, CF 2005 AAA: 38 G, -3 FRAA, .233 EQA
Crosby CF 2005 NYA: 16 G, +3 FRAA, .236 EQA
Those are really the choices, assuming Damon and Cabrera are going to play, and I think Melky should play left because its the harder position at Yankee Stadium. That said, look at the raw statistics. None of those three is much better above average at the plate OR in the field. And at this point, our third outfielder IS a replacement player. So the harm in choosing the guy that energizes the team and clubhouse, and especially the fans, is minimal considering that if the alternatives are better, they'd ALSO be going against trends.
Moreso, why don't you look at a bit more at legit sample sizes then get back to me.
Apr 274 1038 .269 .367 .420
May 294 1135 .298 .385 .496
Jun 277 1054 .333 .419 .577
Jul 320 1224 .279 .373 .426
Aug 413 1621 .317 .388 .504
Sep 342 1286 .282 .369 .450
Yup, for some reason he likes the month of June. But look out!
Now 2005:
Apr 24 84 .238 .323 .310
May 17 60 .267 .333 .417
Jun 26 78 .244 .358 .385
Jul 21 72 .236 .317 .389
Aug 27 90 .289 .333 .489
Sep 24 94 .234 .280 .245
The Bernie of today is the crash of tomorrow. He may have his hot streaks, but they're more and more fleeting. And he should only be seeing those as a DH/PH, esp. from the right side of the plate.
Sure, fall back on the sample size excuse. I'm just using the statistics that Baseball Prospectus is providing. There ARE no more stats to go by on Bernie in right field, because he hasn't played there in fifteen years. But in this limited sample, Bernie has NOT driven the team into the ground defensively as some claim. As for Thompson, in three professional seasons he has posted a positive FRAA just once (and that was the outstanding number of +1). Meanwhile Crosby produced HIS only positive FRAA while playing for the Yankees last season. Who's to say THAT was not 'going against trends'?
Offensively, Crosby has given an EQA above .340 just once, playing for the Dodger's AAA team three years ago. Thompson last year had a .302 EQA in AA (342 PA) and a .203 in AAA (242 PA). I don't have stats from this year, I know he has better rate stats.
I bet if you were a Red Sox fan you'd be complaining about the runs Ortiz is giving up at first base in NL parks too...
But I do think Bubba's numbers will likely improve with more playing time. He's never really had a chance to settle in. He's had, what, 200 ABs in the last four seasons?
Even his minor league numbers aren't really representative, IMO. He did have some trouble adjusting to pro baseball. He basically became a completely different kind of player - from a one-dimensional DH-type power hitter to a contact hitter who gets it done with speed and defense. He was just starting to get it all together when he was called up to the majors, and did horribly. Then he was traded to the Yankees, and was shuttled back and forth between the Bronx and Columbus for two years. It did bad things to his swing. He spent most of his time on the bench in NY, then had to start all over once he got back to Columbus. Then he'd get called up again.
I think given regular playing time (and a little job security, so he doesn't feel he has to try for a homer at every AB), he'd hit better than the numbers suggest.
Whatever Bernie will contribute over one game or the next few will be fleeting. We know this already. It's his defense that will be a constant. That won't change. With how many games we've been winning and losing by 1 or 2 runs, I rather have OF defense that won't play flyballs into extrabase hits and won't give up the extra base on SF or singles. That's just me.
Bernie's may ride hot waves. But I'd much rather he do it as a PH/DH. All the benfits, however fleeting, with none of the defense.
Even still, with Gapper going down (nice to see you!), we won't be seeing Bernie at DH. And we may just see a certain someone (puke in mouth) before Long. Gapper can't return for ten days.
They did run on Bernie and made him look bad at least once. Bernie is clearly not the answer in right field but short of Melky I'm not sure we really have the answer on this team right now.
10 Though an arm in right field is traditionally coveted, isn't it also understood that left field in Yankee Stadium is the harder position to play? If we have to play a replacement-level outfielder, I would think it would be worse in left than in right.
The only thing I can think of they're pretty certain they're going to get a cheap corner OF (Wilson, Sanders, etc) and that Melky isn't ready to hit enough. Under that scenario, the cheapy goes to RF and Melky keeps LF warm for Matsui.
I still think it's not going to be good in the long run, but score one for Cashman.
Tough to score to one for the GM until at least year 3.
Youkilis is putting up superior hitting numbers this season to Papi. 319 avg .438 obp .502 slugging vs. 259, 361, 526. And that's not even taking Papi's defense into acct.
The Sawx would be batter off w/ Youk leading off, and Papi pinch-hitting late to hit some of his clutch (tm) game-winning homers.
Johnny Damon CF
Bernie Williams RF
Derek Jeter SS
Jason Giambi 1B
Alex Rodriguez 3B
Jorge Posada C 0
Robinson Cano 2B
Melky Cabrera LF
Look who's in the two-hole...
Of course Bernie isn't comparable as a defender to Crosby. The main questions to my mind are: is Bernie likely to maintain this pace (as with Tino's torrid streak amidst icy expanses in his last season with us, I rather doubt it), and is he likely to be able to make it through the season playing this much (Sep 24 94 .234 .280 .245 - rather doubt it)? Maybe he's fixed something in his swing that was awry for the last several years - maybe he's going to go back to being marginal and absorb playing time better used in deciding who we'd like in the outfield come October.
Oh, my...
Of course, in the end we got the best of them and not just because we would go on to win. The Yanks fans seemed less comfortable in these new digs (RFK) at first, than they have come to feel at the Yard. But, with a few of us screaming and prodding until we were hoarse and sweating the YAnks fans got up and took the house as the players went on to take the game. Of all the games I've been to this season, including the home opener, this game had that incredible dynamic that serves to elevate the game.
And, this non-stathead loved seeing Bernie out there doing his thing. I read the stats, but I'm still a big fan.
It's on Feisand's blog for those that want to read it for themselves.
Small graciously met with the media after getting the bad news and said he apologized to Joe Torre for not getting the job done. "I'm the obvious choice," he said. "I don't blame them for getting rid of me."
*
You'll always have a place at Old-timer's Day Smallie!
What the hell is up with TV scheduling?
THis has got to be Cashman's hand in matters, no? Erickson, Long, Small: all gone. Replaced by: Thompson, Smith, and Beam. Maybe the point of calling those stinky guys up first was to prove to Joe that the Kids are just as good if not better options!
1. Obviously Bernie is having an absurd June. His OPS is over 1.000 for the month (only 43 ABs).
However, since May 1st, he is posting .316/.356/.507. This is good for an OPS of .863. Very acceptable for Bernie.
Obviously, I would like to see him DH more, and only play about 4 or 5 times AT MOST, but right now, I can't question his name in the lineup.
What is funny, is every time he does something good someone says "I'm afraid that this will buy him 2 more weeks in the lineup." Doesn't it feel like we say that quite a bit now? Perhaps he should be buying himself spots in the lineup.
Remy is really good and fair. On Wednesday, when the Sox lost 8-1, they gave up 10 walks. Says Remy:
"anytime you give up 10 walks, you SHOULD be losing 8 to 1".
Guy is pretty cool.
44 That sucks, man. Good luck.
I agree. I'm coming around on the GM if he keeps this up. No stupid trades and even better. He may just make it to above-average.
Pathetic.
49 You are correct... but I'll be there are more Yanks fans in NE then there are Sox fans without cable (like 15% maybe).
The folks on Fox must be on drugs. They did give us (Fair and Balanced) Fox news, didn't they?
69 How do those work? If you have a three run homer than puts you up three, does that count as three game winning RBIs? In other words, could 10 game running RBI conceivably be over three hits, or do they have to be ten?
Is that damning considering our...
Oh wait, nevermind. :P
R U Kidding?
It's a testament to the trust they have in the kid's eye -- which is darn good -- that they let him swing away 3-0.
That cost us a least one run.
I still think it's a bad idea. Bonds, Giambi, whoever. Jetes is on-deck. A walk in that situation is as good as a 1 in 3 chance for a hit.
a Beckett Balk sent Renteria to second...so he scored on a single.
I love the guy. If we would like to see his last year have him appear in the WS, he needs to be used judiciously.
By the way, I just signed on and am leaving for a wedding shortly, I caught a question earlier about Rodriguez's base hit and it was indeed a solid single. A line drive right back up the middle. He hit it square on the nose. It was the clean kind of hit you are always happy to see.
Let's Go Yan-Kees!
Damn...They mention Flood, and even showed a photograph of Frank Robinson and Bill Russell with Flood's childhood coach...Yo Timmy, hook me up with a plug there, bro! Dag. lol!
Andy YAY, A-ROD!
(I hope).
Take that all ya'll haters.
And I forgot Chacon used to be an NL pitcher. He must have a fair amount of experience at the plate.
They left their pitcher in way too long.
Italy is now playing with 10 men. The U.S. has a real shot to win this game now.
Of course, with this 4-spot put up the Yanks might not even win. Damn.
USA! USA! USA!
Bottom of the 5th
Play: Soriano walks. 0 out.
Hit: Vidro hits a single to RF. A Soriano to third. 0 out.
Run scored: 1 run, single by Daryle Ward. Alfonso Soriano scores from 3rd.
Out: Guillen flies out to 2B. D Ward holds on first. J Vidro holds on third. 1 out.
Run scored: 1 run, double by Ryan Zimmerman. Jose Vidro scores from 3rd.
Pitching Change: (P) Chacon replaced by (P) Smith
Run scored: 2 runs, single by Brian Schneider. Daryle Ward scores from 3rd, Ryan Zimmerman scores from 2nd.
Out: Harris hits into double play. 3 outs.
The US announcers were calling it a make up red card. Make up for what, I don't know. US guy got an elbow to the head, while the US red card was simply for a sliding tackle. Total BS call.
He pitched in Columbus last night, and was in Trenton not long ago.
Pretty confident for a kid who was in Trenton last month. I notice he shook off Posada a couple of times.
I saw Carew play (on TV. I am also very old). I don't know if Cano has as good and eye, and Carew would take a walk.... but I have never seen anyone drill line drives like Cano. I hope he does NOT try to swing for more power. He's got a beautiful swing as is.
If he doesn't get cocky, and sticks with that beautiful stroke to left, he will win some batting titles.
Hmm, given the match-fixing scandals in Italy, with refs involved . . . you don't think? . . . nah, couldn't be . . .
I think that ab f'd him up plus he was already geeked because it was his first ML appearance. The kid's gonna be ok. He's got some filthy stuff.
Dunno what we're going to do the next inning, though.
And Bubba's in to pinch-run for Giambi.
Which means Andy's probably coming in.
Unless they're planning to use Bubba. He was quite the ace when he was in high school. And I noticed him practicing a splitter in the dugout last month. ;-)
Is Villone at least up?
Yes, Mo!!!!!!!!!
As it stands, a Czech/Italy tie would mean we'd have to beat Ghana by 4 goals to have a shot.
Unfortunately, I can see a scenario where we're up 1-nil in our match after 75, and the Czechs and Italians are tied, and they just stroke the ball around, cynically, knowing that they'd both go thru -- a la Germany/Austria in a previous W.C.
Chacon is awful, Proctor doesn't belong on a major league team. This bullpen sucks.
What's with Mo? I thought he only had 16 pitches yesterday?
As though Proctor is very much responsible, I feel the loss is on Chacon. He was the one who blew the 7 run lead.
For the Nats, I think this is all Soriano's doing. His speed and base-stealing really seemed to throw Mo off his game.
I'm going to stick my head in the toilet.
I guess he's a better body builder.
And Chacon is driving me out of my mind. Great outing there Shawn. Wonderful.
Proctor is awful. But for lord knows what reason he's "trusted" Another guy that needs to go.
OTOH, you can understand his wanting to spare the bullpen if possible. Wright and Chacon back to back is just not a good thing.
I don't think the substitutions made a difference. Miggy got on base. Bubba and Andy never got to bat. The triple Bubba fielded would have been an inside the park homer if Bernie were out there. It was smoked right into the gap.
Mo was really freaked by having Sori running on him like that. He should have picked Soriano off at 2B. Use the guy's aggression against him.
On the bright side, maybe this will dissuade him from using this lineup again.
It's a nice hot day, go outside and play.
279 Great point. I am gonna join My bro in the pool.`
279 Amen. I've got 3 racks of babyback ribs smoking over a charcoal and hickory fire even as we speak.
Yes he's a little skittish, who the hell isn't? Should Mo have stepped off? Sure, but Jorge has to let him know there's day light. Should Jorge have made better throws? Yes. That's what speed does.
Great sales job by Sori. If the Yankees move a top flight prospect to pick him up you can look back to that run he scored as the billboard ad that sold the product.
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