Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
note: this post was to be posted before game time, but was held up due to a black out resulting from a sudden thunderstorm.
Normally at the start of a new series I post the roster of the team the Yankees are about to face, but after the last couple of days, I thought it might be helpful to post the Yankees current roster.
New York Yankees
2005 Record: 39-38 (.506)
2005 Pythagorean Record: 41-36 (.532)
Manager: Joe Torre
General Manager: Brian Cashman
Ballpark (2004 park factors): Yankee Stadium (96/97)
Current Roster
1B Jason Giambi
2B Robinson Cano
SS Derek Jeter
3B Alex Rodriguez
C - Jorge Posada
RF Gary Sheffield
CF Tony Womack
LF Hideki Matsui
DH Ruben Sierra
Bench:
S Bernie Williams (OF)
L - Tino Martinez (1B)
R - Russ Johnson (IF)
L Bubba Crosby (OF)
R John Flaherty (C)
Rotation:
L Randy Johnson
R Mike Mussina
R Carl Pavano
R - Chien-Ming Wang
Bullpen:
R Mariano Rivera
R Tom Gordon
R Tanyon Sturtze
L - Buddy Groom
R - Jason Anderson
R - Scott Proctor
L - Wayne Franklin
DL:
R Kevin Brown
R Rey Sanchez (IF)
R Felix Hernandez
R Jaret Wright (60-day)
As for who's replaced whom, by demoting Kevin Reese in favor of righty Jason Anderson on Wednesday, then designating Paul Quantrill and Mike Stanton for assignment yesterday in favor of Bubba Crosby and lefty Wayne Franklin, you get this:
Bubba Crosby replaces Kevin Reese
Jason Anderson replaces Paul Quantrill
Wayne Franklin replaces Mike Stanton
Scott Proctor, meanwhile, replaced Sean Henn, who replaced Kevin Brown, which puts the Yankees a starter short. Earlier this week, Joe Torre had expressed hope that Brown would be able to take the fifth starter's turn against the Orioles on Tuesday, but Brian Cashman has recently quashed that notion. In that linked Star-Ledger article, Dan Graziano speculates as to whom the Yankees might use in Brown's spot on Tuesday.
Brad Voyles, who pitched Wednesday night for Triple-A Columbus, or Aaron Small, who's scheduled to pitch tonight for Columbus, would be the top candidates. Small would be on short rest, but if he only pitches a few innings (or not at all) tonight, he could be ready to go.Lefty Sean Henn, who pitched June 25 against the Mets, is not a candidate, because he will not have been in the minors for 10 full days and therefore cannot yet be recalled. Lefty Alex Graman, who made two starts for the Yankees in 2004, is not a candidate because he was recently converted to a relief pitcher in Columbus.
Toward the end of Mike & the Mad Dog's 24-hour marathon today, Cashman said that Small has been their prefered choice for emergency starts all season, but a groin injury he suffered earlier in the year forced them to go to Henn, who you'll recall started the year in double-A Trenton. That would suggest Small for Tuesday, but another option Graziano doesn't mention is Wayne Franklin.
Despite leading the International League in appearances pitching exclusively out of the bullpen, the 31-year-old Franklin spent all of 2002 and 2003 as a starter (68 starts in 72 appearances between AAA and the majors), and started five more games between Fresno and San Francisco in the Giants' organization last year, despite getting most of his work out of the San Francisco bullpen. So while the promotion of Franklin might be seen as an attempt to have a second lefty in the pen to replace Stanton, it can also been seen as a move to add a long man and spot starter.
Of course none of this really changes the fact that Franklin has proven his inability to get hitters out at the major league level. In 302 2/3 major league innings for the Astros, Brewers and most recently the Giants (who released him during spring training of this year), Franklin has posted a 5.47 ERA (80 ERA+), a 1.54 WHIP, walked 4.58 men per nine innings and surrendered 54 homers, 1.61 for every nine innings pitched.
It's my hope that the Yankees have brought up Franklin with the intention of demoting him in favor of Tuesday's eventual starter, who, assuming he's not Kevin Brown, will then be sent back to Columbus in favor of a more deserving reliever, be it the Godot-like Colter Bean or the newly LOOGY-fied Alex Graman.
As for the moves in general, well, this is only the sort of thing that many of us in the blogging community have been calling for for at least two years. Overstocking the bullpen with high-priced veterans on the downsides of their careers when your minor league system has a handful of youngsters who could do equally poorly or better for one tenth of the salary is exactly the sort of thing that has lead this team to their current state as something of a bloated corpse floating on the surface of respectibility thanks to the air pockets of talent trapped inside.
The Yankees have now designated for assignment three such veterans (remember, Steve Karsay was the man who was dumped to clear roster space for Robinson Cano back in early May). Here are their total salaries for 2005 and beyond that the Yankees have been forced to swallow:
Karsay: $6.5 million*
Stanton: $4 million
Quantrill: $3.4 million*
Total: $13.4 million
*includes buyout of a 2006 option
Don't even get me started on what the Yankees could have done with that money this off-season. Meanwhile, Buddy Groom, a non-roster invitee, is making $800,000 this year and Tanyon Sturtze, who has replaced Quantrill in the Yankees Big Three, is earning just $850,000. As for Anderson, Proctor, Bean et al., they're making the major league minimum of $320,000. At that rate the Yankees could pay Groom, Sturtze and thirty six rookie relievers and still have money left over from the $13.4 million they've wasted on Karsay, Stanton and Quantrill in 2005 and beyond.
As for the call-ups, we've already discussed the fact that Anderson was the right choice, though at this point I'd prefer Reese over Crosby, but the most important thing is that the Yankees may have finally seen the error of their ways. Stay tuned . . .
As for the Tigers, rumor has it that they plan to activate Magglio Ordoñez for tonight's game (with Alexis Gomez or Jason Smith being the most likely to lose their spot), though nothing had happened as of post time. Meanwhile, thanks to Robinson Cano I guess I can't complain about Placido Polanco any more, but when you watch him this series, just remember that the Yankees chose Tony Womack over this guy. As if you needed any more proof that this team is getting what it deserves this year.
Detroit Tigers
2005 Record: 36-39 (.480)
2005 Pythagorean Record: 38-37 (.509)
Manager: Alan Trammell
General Manager: Dave Dombrowski
Ballpark (2004 park factors): Comerica Park (96/97)
Who has replaced whom?
Placido Polanco replaces Ramon Martinez (Phillies)
Chris Spurling replaces Carlos Peña (minors)
Alexis Gomez replaces Marcus Thames (minors)
Troy Percival (DL) replaces Ugueth Urbina (Phillies)
Sean Douglass replaces Wilfredo Ledezma (minors)
Fernando Rodney replaces Matt Ginter (minors)
Current Roster:
1B Chris Shelton
2B Placido Polanco
SS Carlos Guillen
3B Brandon Inge
C Ivan Rodriguez
RF Craig Monroe
CF Nook Logan
LF Rondell White
DH Dmitri Young
Bench:
R - Omar Infante (IF)
L Jason Smith (IF)
L - Alexis Gomez (OF)
R Vance Wilson (C)
Rotation:
R - Jeremy Bonderman
L Nate Robertson
R Jason Johnson
L Mike Maroth
R - Sean Douglass
Bullpen:
R Troy Percival
R Kyle Farnsworth
L Jamie Walker
R Franklyn German
R Chris Spurling
L Doug Creek
R Fernando Rodney
DL:
R Magglio Ordoñez (OF)
L Bobby Higginson (OF)
R Gary Knotts (60-day)
R Colby Lewis (60-day)
L Fernando Viña (IF) (60-day)
Typical Line-up
R Brandon Inge (3B)
R - Placido Polanco (2B)
S Carlos Guillen (SS)
R Rondell White (LF)
R Ivan Rodriguez (C)
S Dmitri Young (DH)
R Craig Monroe (RF)
R Chris Shelton (1B)
S Nook Logan (CF)
I would give my left arm to see, JUST ONCE, a Yankee outfielder HIT THE CUTOFF man. Matsui kills me in the field.
My lineup is finally on the field for maybe the first time this year. Small tweaks would be to switch Bernie/Tino in the order and Matsui/Bernie in the OF.
Looks like we are a .500 team again. It seems impossible that the middle and worst teams in the game kill us. This team has severe emotional problems to add to poor managment and a terrible FO.
I simply don't know how we can be this bad. 4 guys batting over .300, ARod with an MVP year, Matsui getting better... and we still stink.
How is this possible?
HOW is this possible???
Oh Big Unit of yore, where art thou?
To quote Galadriel, "The quest stands upon the edge of a knife." The Yankees have to decide by the All Star break if they are going to make the necessary trades to push this team into the post season or they just ride the season out and make changes in the off season.
How is this possible?
HOW is this possible???"
Easy, the moves to shore up the starting piching didn't work. It doesn't matter how good your offense is, if your pitchers can't dominate other teams with any consistency. Picking up a back up centerfielder when they decided to sign Beltran would have been a good idea.
I wish A-Rod would pad his stats tonight. It would make me feel better.
1. RJ is actually 42.
2. Pavano put together 1 good year in his career. He's always had a low k rate, and that combined with the porous D had led to his results.
3. Mussina is actually 36.
4. Kevin Brown is actually 41.
5. Wang. A young up and comer, he's been solid, no criticism here.
offense: There are so many peaks and valleys in this offense it's absurd. Every day, this line-up sends out 3 of the following 4: Tino, Womack, Sierra and post-tumor Giambi. The onus of this offense is on stars all on the declining side of their career paths.
Combine this with defense that features only 2 plus fielders (A-Rod and Cano) and a .500 team magically appears.
FO: sell.
Unless the pitching drastically improves, which is still possible, this season is basically over. I just hope RJs' problems are some combination of minor injuries and adjusting to NY as opposed to the beginning of a true decline. Will there be any young, decent arms available in the offseason?
I'd like to see them move away from guys that just throw the ball hard. In my opinion, in the long run, a guy who has confusing stuff, good movement and most importantly is smart (in the Maddux mold basically) is a much better bet. Young guys who throw hard are likely to lose that ability, especially if they have elbow problems.
As for the pitching prospects, tommyl, Greg Maddux is a once-in-a-generation guy. The fact is, most guys who survive on guile flame out in the upper levels. I wish I had some sort of tangible statistic or trend to back me up on this claim.
I'm just wondering, I go to bed every night hoping that Tony Womack will be dead in the morning...does that make me a bad person?
I wonder if anyone has done a study of decline of pitchers of various type. I'd bet that on average, power pitchers drop off a lot more drastically with age than control guys. There will be exceptions, like Clemens (but he's got phenomenal control and really understands pitching as well, so he's sort of a power and control guy). It just seems to be that flamethrowers tend to flame out rather quickly and that's my worry with Burnett.
http://tinyurl.com/bd44c
If I'd been assaulted going about my work by a millionaire man-child I'd probably do the same. Good luck to him.
Jeff P, I didn't even remember the Mariners, but I admit they did get really bad, real fast.
Interesting point. I do note though that you have listed only elite power pitchers. I have no problem with the Yankees going after an elite power pitcher (under the age of say 35 or so). I wonder how your point holds up for more second-tier guys. To me, a major question with a power pitcher is can he adjust as he gets older? Pedro is an excellent example of this, he can't through 97 anymore consistently, but his location and other pitches have greatly improved, as has his pitching knowledge. Other players, such as, say...Kevin Brown do not make this adjustment nearly so well. I guess my thinking was that a control guy would be, on average, more apt to make the adjustments as their velocity declines.
Has anyone done an honest statistical study of this?
B. If we do acquire a pitcher, he must be cerebral, humble, and mature enough to make mechanical adjustments on his own. Torre and Stott are both useless in this regard, as we have all been unfortunate enough to witness ad nauseum.
C. It's plausible that RJ is not injured, that he has been faltering due to faulty mechanics (the velocity on his pitches is fine, but the location stinks and the movement on his slider is lacking).
D. Guys that have a proven track record of success playing for the Yanks (Cairo, Lieber, Sheff, Cano, Wang, Pettite), and whom are still productive players, should always be retained. It takes a special player to produce in this environment. Why take a huge chance on someone who might melt under the scrutiny and spotlight of playing for the Yankees when you don't have to?
You make several excellent points, and no I'm not a huge Stottlemyre fan (though I like him very much as a person), its one area that I would agree a coaching change should probably be made, though in the offseason.
I still wonder what an actual statistical analysis shows. You guys might be right, but I'd love to see it in detail.
I was referring more to his travails these past two seasons. When he gets in trouble he tends to rock back and try to fire it by people (with some exceptions). This just doesn't work for him anymore.
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