Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
2007 Record: 94-68 (.580)
2007 Pythagorean Record: 90-72 (.558)
2008 Record: 67-40 (.626)
2008 Pythagorean Record: 59-48 (.553)
Manager: Mike Scioscia
General Manager: Tony Reagins
Home Ballpark (multi-year Park Factors): Angel Stadium
Who's Replaced Whom:
Mark Teixeira replaces Casey Kotchman
Torii Hunter replaces Orlando Cabrera
Erick Aybar and Maicer Izturis take over most of Reggie Willits' playing time
Juan Rivera (DL) replaces Shea Hillenbrand
Jeff Mathis inherits Jose Molina's playing time
Ryan Budde (minors) is filling in for Mike Napoli (DL)
Jon Garland replaces Kelvim Escobar (DL)
Jose Arredondo replaces Dustin Moseley (minors)
Darren O'Day replaces Chris Bootcheck (minors)
25-man Roster:
1B - Mark Teixeira (S)
2B - Howie Kendrick (R)
SS - Maicer Izturis (S)
3B - Chone Figgins (S)
C - Jeff Mathis (R)
RF - Vladimir Guerraro (R)
CF - Torii Hunter (R)
LF - Garret Anderson (L)
DH - Juan Rivera (R)
Bench:
S - Gary Matthews Jr. (OF)
R - Robb Quinlan (3B/1B)
S - Reggie Willits (OF)
S - Erick Aybar (IF)
R - Ryan Budde (C)
Rotation:
R - John Lackey
L - Joe Saunders
R - Jon Garland
R - Ervin Santana
R - Jered Weaver
Bullpen:
R - Francisco Rodriguez
R - Scot Shields
R - Jose Arredondo
R - Justin Speier
L - Darren Oliver
R - Darren O'Day
15-day DL: R - Michael Napoli (C)
60-day DL: R - Kelvim Escobar
Typical Lineup:
S - Chone Figgins (3B)
S - Maicer Izturis (SS)
S - Mark Teixeira (1B)
R - Vladimir Guerrero (RF)
R - Torii Hunter (CF)
L - Garret Anderson (LF)
R - Howie Kendrick (2B)
R - Juan Rivera (DH)
R - Jeff Mathis (C)
Wait, why is the roster above the fold? Because, believe it or not, this is the first time the Yankees have faced the Angels this year.
The Angels entered the season as the surest thing in baseball, a near lock to win their weak, four-team division, and that's exactly what they're doing. With the A's having tossed in the towel by selling high on Rich Harden, the Angels hold a 11 1/2 game lead over second-place Texas and boast the best record in baseball. Look a little closer, though, and they haven't actually been that dominant. Their Pythagorean record is a dead match for the Yankees' (and the Yankees' actual record), and their offense ranks in the bottom half of the league in runs per game.
That last item was the likely motivation behind their the Angels acquisition of Mark Teixeira on Tuesday. With Vlad Guerrero having a down year (his worst since his rookie season of 1997), the Angels offense had no center prior to Teixeira's arrival. Torii Hunter's been a good edition, repeating the production of his resurgent final season in Minnesota, and second baseman Howie Kendrick is a hitting machine, but one that's often out for repairs and appears to have been programmed to always swing at ball four. Beyond those two and Guerrero, the only Angels who have hit at or above league average this season have been injured catcher Mike Napoli and the man they traded to Atlanta to get Teixeira, 25-year-old first baseman Casey Kotchman. That even Kotchman was having an off year at the plate should tell you how the rest of the lineup has been performing.
The switch-hitting Teixeira is a significant upgrade over Kotchman in the lineup, and may actually be a better fielder despite the high bar Kotchman has set, but he doesn't fill a hole for this team. He merely upgrades one of the positions that was already contributing fairly well.
That leaves things up to the Angels' pitchers. John Lackey returned from an early-season DL stint to reclaim his place as ace, Ervin Santana has been resurgent, Joe Saunders has been one of the biggest surprises of the season, and Francisco Rodriguez is on a record saves pace, but overall, the Angels pitchers have been merely good, and given that the A's can't hit and the Rangers can't pitch, that's been plenty good enough.
Actually, it's been better than that. The Angels have the stingiest road pitching in the league--bad news with them visiting Yankee Stadium for the next four days. Of course, that means that their home pitching has been pretty awful. Only four teams in the AL are allowing more runs at home than the Angels this year. Both of those rankings are helped by the fact that the Angels are an outlier in a season in which teams around the league have had out-sized home field advantages. In fact, the Yankees and Angels are the only two teams in the league that have winning records on the road. The difference between the two being that the Yankees are one game over .500 outside the Bronx, while the Angels are a whopping 17 games over .500 when wearing their road grays. That's all due to the pitching. The Angels are scoring at almost exactly the same rate home and away.
In summary: the Angels are really good, except they're not that good, unless they're playing on the road, which they are this weekend, then they are that good.
Again, bad news for the Yankees, who need to get over their inability to beat this team both in the regular and postseason. I hesitate to mention it, but if the Yankees win the Wild Card, the team they'll face in the ALDS will be these Angels.
Here's the good news: the Yankees score a lot more often at home, and they're kicking off this weekend's four-game set tonight with a favorable pitching matchup. I'm beginning to sound like a broke record here, but Andy Pettitte has been great of late, as he's gone 7-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 52 Ks in 59 2/3 innings over his last nine starts. In his last four starts, his line is 3-1, 1.93, 27 Ks in 28 IP against just four walks and two homers. Facing an unimpressive Angels offense, you have to expect at least a quality start from Andy tonight.
That leaves it up to the offense to get to Jon Garland, who has been the Angels' worst starter on the season. Not that he's been bad, but he's been average at best, and in his last three starts he's assembled an 8.59 ERA due primarily to an opponents average of .365. Most of that damage came against the lowly A's in his last start before the All-Star break. If you stretch things back to give him the same nine-start sample we used for Pettitte, his ERA is a reasonable, but still poor 4.72, opponents are hitting "just" .303 against him, and the Angels have gone a respectable 5-4 in his starts (if you can post a winning record when your fifth start pitches, you're doing okay).
As a White Sock, Garland faced the Yankees three times last year, dominating the weak first-half version of that Yankee team in two early-season starts (15 1/3 IP, 2 ER), then getting destroyed by the powerful second-half version in early August (1.1 IP, 8 ER). The pressure's on the Yankees tonight, not only to beat the Angels, but to win the game that looks most winnable from the outset.
More good news: Ivan Rodriguez will catch and hit eight tonight with Jose Molina riding pine, and Chris Britton has arrived to take Kyle Farnsworth's spot in the pen (with Chad Moeller getting designated for assignment for the second time this season).
Finally, the Yankees made a just one minor trade at today's 4pm deadline by shipping triple-A shortstop Alberto Gonzalez to the Nationals for double-A right-hander Jhonny Nuñez. Nuñez, who will be 23 around Thanksgiving, is a lanky Dominican who was signed by the Dodgers in 2006 and traded to the Nats that August for Marlon Anderson. The Nationals converted him to relief this season where his fastball-and-little-else repertoire is likely to be most effective. Right now he looks like a typical righty fireballing reliever; he'll strike out a ton of batters and walk a bunch in the process. I wouldn't expect much out of him, but Gonzalez is 2 1/2 years older and was hitting .250/.313/.356 for Scranton on top of a career .275/.327/.381 line in the minors, so they didn't give up much either.
Anybody have a guess about what the Dodgers will do with five starting outfielders?
But seriously . . . Manny will start everyday in left field and the other four will battle it out for the other two spots according to Joe Torre's whims. Likely Pierre and Jones splitting center and Kemp and Ethier splitting right, which is the wrong way to do it (Jones and Pierre should be launched into the sun, but nuking the $43.5 million they're owed beyond this year is something the Dodgers are likely reluctant to do). Before adding Manny, Kemp was the only one to play every day this month, and he did so splitting time between right and center, so that confusion just gets compressed into two spots instead of three.
What about a waiver wire trade? Nobody would claim Pierre or Jones. Of course, nobody would trade for them either.
Yankees go from Molina/Moeller + Kyle in the eighth to Pudge/Molina + ? Bruney in th eighth.
Red Sox go from Manny to Jason Bay.
I'd say the Yankees have done better, because even a pouty Manny is really good. Sox at best stayed even while NY improved. Unless the Boston clubhouse was about to explode. But even the Bronx Zoo won back to back.
the past handful of years the angels had the upper hand on the yanks number but the red sox had the angels number.
from 2002-2007
21-30 against bos
29-25 against the yanks
hopefully that has flipped this year.
also, i am hoping the combination of pudge and molina (who i'm sure will be catching moose) will halt the angels running game which always seemed to be an issue for the yanks
10 I read that too.
4 games against the Angels. ugh.
That's really all I have.
Go Yankees
High density of unconventional or orthographically challenged names in this line-up.
Man, it's going to be a long night/series, isn't it?
Andy's pitching like Ponson. Fortunately, he still has that pick-off move. If Ponson had that, he'd be...
He'd suck slightly less.
All right, Team, let's score some runs and give Andy a breather.
No. We are in a hurry to get back onto the field.
Love,
The Yankee Line-Up
The selfish bastard. Glad to be rid of him.
-RSN
Gotta love NE sports fans.
I swear, I thought that was a harmless popfly.
Damn.
And speaking of fast, I thought Chone Figgins could score from second on a single. Is this the first time he failed to advance to third???
I also noted (again, half-jokingly) that the Yankees must lead baseball in pitchers suspended for not hitting batters.
Constant hard-hit balls that find holes, stolen bases, runs.
Every fucking time we see them it's just like this.
;-)
Varsity vs. the JV but....
It's gonna be fun to watch Rasner get lit up on Sunday when I visit the old park for the last time.
with the way andy was throwing i guess we are lucky it didn't happen even sooner.
damn do the yanks and andy just have to suck it up and save giese in case snacks explodes tomorrow?
Not that any of this is in the slightest unexpected, but nevertheless, I feel ill.
Can't we just forfeit against these guys in the future, spare us all a lot of humiliation and grief?
This is why it kills me to see our guys swing and miss so much.
Should be some kind of a clinic they put on.
Because that's basically what's happened with Manny. But it's nothing new for Boston, they've run plenty of great players out of town without any remorse- Boggs, Clemens, Lynn...
Then again, compared with the Yankees' policy of letting star players stay on, to the detriment of the team...
Anaheim Angels have 656 K in 107 games this season.
NY Yankees have 625 K in 107 games this season.
By the way, the Yankees have the second fewest team K in the AL and the second fewest in MLB (only Seattle has fewer Ks).
And the Angels have more team strikeouts (656) than the Yankees (625). So the Yankees put the motherfucker in play a lot more than the Angels do.
So, to summarize, the Angels do not put the ball in play more and therefore that is not why they win.
umm..i just logged in and it's 6-0 already..maybe a good day to follow the Mets game?
Let's lift Andy now and let him have a do-over on Sunday instead of Rasner. Let Snacks pitch the rest of this game and then DFA him and call up IPK for tomorrow night.
The Yanks, btw, hit best in low leverage situations....
a) lower in Ks (13) and
b) lower in runs (7)
than any year this millenium (too lazy to go back further)
Let's see,
Tex OPS+ for his career: 131
Mantle OPS+ for his career: 172
Um, yeah, not so much Ken. Ken might want to get out a reoord book or something.
"Joe Torre always says you can't get it all back at once. Just chip away . A run here. A couple runs there. And you're right back in it. You can't get it all back at once. You just got to chip away." Or is that a Sterlingism?
My ism is that Garland has a no hitter. Feck.
One bright side about getting blown away by the Angels is we wont have to see Krod perform an exorcism on the mound after each save.
I don't really know what to make of that stat. But clearly it means the team isn't as anti-clutch as some people make it...
No matter if it's on the warning track or 60 feet short.
As I grew, though, I noticed that Sterling and Kay didn't really like each other, and soon after Kay left the booth I stopped enjoying the radio broadcasts. Waldman is a fan girl and Steiner was the opposite, barely interested in the game. But I suppose I'm just remembering the good-ole-days.
if you assume "clutch" is meaningful, stands for a single skill, then that pair of facts makes little sense.
"leverage", if you want a single-# clutchiness index, is the best bet. but I don't think the people who came up with it believe it measures an ability.
American League
RISP: .270 .355 .412 .767
RISP, 2 outs: .242 .349 .377 .726
Yankees
RISP: .263 .349 .385 .735
RISP, 2 outs: .270 .369 .388 .757
So, the Yankees seem to hit worse than the league with RISP, but better than the league with RISP/2 outs.
What does this all mean? Probably nothing significant.
Jeter is to... well..., double plays?
For the record, I'm no Pudge fan; I think his 2008 season is a bit fluky and he will return to his 2006/2007 numbers. Still better than Molina, but I don't have to enjoy it...
Of course, as I type this, Vlad frogs up a play and Melky scores. Still, a walk, single, double, triple and HR...and 2 runs.
Dopey attempts to make the last out at 3rd.
Dopey, dopey, dopey.
And yet...
bad andy makes me want to kick puppies.
Cartman: Aw, come on Stan. Maybe that's just because you LOOK like a total choad.
This has got to be KILLING Weepingforbrunhilde!
i fucking hate the fucking angels.
134 me either. it is madenning.
135 and what does snacks make you want to kick?
Similarly, they have scored fewer runs, and that would include speed, at least in part, situational hitting, etc. In any case, they have 10 more SB and the same number of CS as the Yankees. I hardly think that 10 SB is what is making this team win so many more games.
in any case, i can only stand teh suck so long and no longer ... see y'all tomorrow night ...
They are slowly driving me i-n-s-a-n-e.
What's up with Cano?
Before tonight, their run differential was almost identical to the Yankees.
"And the Yankees have CLOSED to 10-3"
Your consistency argument has some merit.
KILL EM'. KILL THE UMPIRE!!
so says Casey at the Bat.
Girardi has to seriously consider moving Jeter out of the #2 slot against right handers.
I'm telling you, they have some kind of voodoo--certainly whenever they play us.
They seem an unstoppable force.
Anything else?
CHOOOAAAADDD.
That's what will happen with instant replay. People are now afraid of the change to the game. But once it's installed, and the game is decided by the plays and not the umps, people will really be grateful.
Like I said, your consistency argument makes some sense--fewer peaks and valleys, where the valleys tend to be sure losses.
http://tinyurl.com/6mjtug
The comments section, in particular, is pretty nasty and amusing, alternating between people attacking Schilling and people attacking Manny. Politics is also thrown in for good measure. Not too many moderators, either, as Theo is cussed out in one comment with the profanity untouched.
As in chipping away at the lead. But that was back when it was a manageable 6-0.
Don't worry, I won't quit my day job. : )
My willingness to give in on the issue is more a statement of how awful the umps are, not how grateful I will be.
We won't see him pitch again until 2062.
I don't watch Futball, so I don't know how the NFL does it. But the technololgy is there to make calls very quickly and with great precision.
Maybe MLB would solve the problem, but really, do you trust the idiots who run MLB to come up with an efficient system?
I'll give him a pass due to all the circumstances involved. But he didn't help his cause much.
Football's problem is that they have too many judgment calls, even on simple "was he down" kinds of plays.
In baseball you probably can't do it on force outs. But YES can consistently get a good angle on whether a tag was made before a runner touches a base. For plays at the plate, I think this is essential. And it can be done in a similar way- manager calls a challenge, it goes to the booth and in the time it takes for managers to argue, it's all over.
IMO, the delay in the game to get a call right is worth it...as long as it's reserved for the really important calls. And it is.
Also, all football stadiums show replays of the previous play, and all teams have an army of coaches in the booth watching replays, so that the head coach gets the info in time before the next play. Even then, in the NFL a coach has 45 seconds or so between each play to make his decision.
Despite its slow pace, baseball does not have that much time elapse before a play is called time in. When would the coach have to challenge by? Before the next pitch? Before the next batter is announced (obviously, the result of a prior play could dictate who might be sent out to bat)?
Instant replay in baseball would be much more complicated it seems on teh surface.
If the IR ump agrees with the call on the field, nothing happens. If the call is wrong, he tells the home plate ump, who has an earpiece, and the homeplate ump overrules the call. That way, everything is the same except wrong calls. It will NEVER take more then 30 seconds for the 5th ump to make the right call.
You can even have additional techs who can 'browse' the play and show still shots that show the play clearly.
It should ALL be completely transparent. The only thing WE SEE on the field, is the home plate ump occasionally overruling calls... even his own.
Seems very counterintuitive, because this year it seems like every time he swings t the first pitch, he makes an out (but he doesn't, actually).
We get the benefit of watching the plays multiple times in slow motion, often overlapping well into the subsequent AB. That delay would have to be factored in for the 5th ump to keep up with the action.
It really would significantly delay the games.
Now, if they cut the time in between innings by 30 seconds, maybe we can talk.
I'm not too excited about instant replay as currently envisioned. It's only for fair and foul calls, and in or out of the park. Those are rarely controversial.
Meanwhile, you spend 200 posts earlier today defending Melky's prolonged suckitude. (That said, Melky did have three hits today, so you win, I guess.)
Again, in the time YES showed the play the first time, the 5th ump would have already seen it from 8 angles and made a call. Of course, you don't always need 8 angles. Sometimes the first or second camera shows conclusive results.
Again, imagine having multiple techs helping on by browsing 'their' camera and freezing the frame that shows the play. The ump would be the official, butthe techs would be doing all the work.
It could be sorta fun and add to the drama to wait for a moment or three after each play for the big scoreboard to flash "out" or "safe."
Your plan would entail setting up numerous fixed cameras throughout all the stadium in the league, and probably a few moving cameras, all operated by an army of league employees.
This is all doable, but highly, highly unlikely.
MLB is a multi-billion dollar institution. You are not going to say this is a bad idea because they might need more camera and a few more personel, are you?
You would need to have cameras operating independent of the networks, and ideally you would want to have the same coverage in every stadium. And you would need a good number of personnel to run the system as seamlessly as you envision.
And the cost of all of this would be born directly by the consumer, unlike the NFL replay system which is outsourced to the networks.
So yeah, I would be hesitant. Frankly, I just don't think it work, at least as you think it would.
Anyway, what were the circumstances that mitigated Britton's suckitude?
http://www.halosheaven.com/2008/6/14/552054/luck-or-the-residue-of-des
Dustin Moseley and Chris Bootcheck, two of the team's relievers most responsible for the large numbers of runs against, were booted to Salt Lake early in the season (one for John Lackey). The other issue is the odd placement of injuries; the team struggled offensively while they had two of their starters suppressing runs at an unreal rate. Much of the rest of it worked for the same reason the Snakes got their weird-e-do pythag differential last year, namely, Scioscia putting Bootcheck and Moseley in games in which the Halos were already well behind.
Condolences.
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