The Joe Cuba 45 is a little warbly-sounding, still, it reminds me of Amerstam Avenue back in the day. Fits right in up on Dyckman, at least with the old-timers, where Heckle and Jeckle (Cano and Melk) often hang, doing their thing, chasing skirts, being ballplayers, etc.
Not sure which is the game thread, but here is the update on Jorgie, via PeteAbe:
JORGE POSADA UPDATE, 11:26 a.m.
Jorge Posada stepped up with the information. The MRI showed that his labrum is worse and that he has capsule damage. He will need surgery and a six-month rehab. However he will try rehabbing for the next two weeks and consider trying to return as a DH and first baseman.
Posada said the Yankees are willing to have him play again this season even if it means missing part of next season. But if he comes back this season, he won't catch.
"Catching is out of the question," he said.
It seems curious to me that they would not want Posada ready to start next season, especially given how ineffective he was as a hitter. Obviously the injury has hampered his ability at the plate. But we'll see what happens in a few weeks.
End Quote
So what the hell is he doing trying to rehab? That way we can have another so so hitting DH? Jorgie, please just get the surgery, you can't help this team right now.
2 I think it tells us that the Yankees are serious about making the PS this year. Even if we, and Posada, play in October, 6 months out is May 1. So Posada might miss 2 months of 2009 if he has surgery immediately after the PS. If we don't make the PS, hopefully he misses very little of 2009.
Might it also mean that it's very hard for Cashman to find another bat for this year? Any bat can DH and any available bat will be a DH, 1B or OF.
So now, getting 'Harry Honds' also mean getting Posada an extra 2 months of recovery time. I'll bet in 3 weeks, Bonds would be more productive (as a DH) then Posada will be.
I sincerely hope that that is misinformation given to the media in order to try to fool other teams into thinking the Yanks don't need a bat as badly as they really do.
If the dealine comes and goes and Posada's surgery is still being delayed, I'm gonna be mighty pissed off.
4 Well, its stupid. He's admitted that the shoulder has bothered him when swinging the bat. He's shown no power at all since coming off the DL. At best, he'd be a popless DH, there's just no point at all. He can't help this year, and we need him for next. Get the surgery.
Seriously... mess with the healthy of your 36-year old all-star catcher you just signed to a 4-year deal so you can (maybe) get some (potentially injury-reduced) plate appearances from him as a DH or 1B (replacing PAs by Giambi, Betemit and/or Sexson?)...
... instead of signing HE WHO SHALL NOT BE SIGNED.
The timing is perfect for the announcement to be a negotiating (with other teams) move. And a two week delay in surgery will be unimportant. If they delay into September, that would be bad.
24 agreed oyf. i think it is about the rh bat as well. i read somewhere - and i apologize that i forgot where so don't have a link - that it is his lh hitting that is more affected by the injury - so he could still hit rh.
i would love a good young (preferably corner of) rh bat as much as the next person and have been advocating for it all year - but i think girardi and cashman are overdoing it with this rh bat thing. if all posada can do is dh or play 1b - that probably means time taken away from giambi, which is largely a mistake (he does need to get rest every so often) - giambi's splits really aren't that big an issue, but maybe they are just zeroing in on the 235 ave against lhp
rhp: 265/399/541 sOPS+ 144 tOPS+ 101
lhp: 235/398/518 sOPS+ 166 tOPS+ 97
12 Yeah, I know. Which is why I hope, but don't believe.
13 My main concern is that Po could make things worse by rehabbing/playing instead of getting the surgery. Plus, I think the upside of the risk is low, because he hasn't really hit since coming back the last time - it seems to be affecting his swing. So you get a meh DH/1B option at the possible cost of more serious injury to your awesome starting catcher.
16 Yes, agreed fully (I'm starting to repeat myself via the two threads). That line that 15 posted is a below average DH, actually well below aside from the OBP. In addition, if he does come back you now have Giambi, Posada, Sexson, and to a lesser extent Betemit and Damon all competing for DH and/or 1B time. That's a damn unflexible bench right there.
18 I have abandoned the last thread and moved here full-time!
Posada as pinch hitter, career:
.223/.339/.330, 124 PA
I have no idea when those appearances have come.
Posada as a DH, career:
.205/.320/.337, 197 PA
I am not as hopeful as you, o' Sunny Sliced. Even with the usual caveats (maybe he only DHs when he's hurting? DOH!) these numbers inspire no hope for me.
So we're hoping he can PH and occasionally DH? How many ABs is that for the rest of the season? You wouldn't play him over Giambi or Damon in that spot the way he's hitting. So we're talking a few platoon DH starts and some PH. Without running the numbers I'm willing to bet that adds up to less than a single win over the rest of the season. Now factor in that any delay adds on to any time he might miss next season. It just doesn't add up to me. If they can't find a guy who can PH at that level I'd be shocked.
Good stats, Shaun, but they're from a time when Posada was a starting catcher. Maybe he wasn't successful because he wasn't comfortable in the PH/DH role. In fact, we know he never liked not catching.
Maybe, again BIG IF Posada wants to be a pinch hitter, and his body allows him to do it he'll have more success in the role.
I know it's a longshot, but look at the bottom of the order. If Posada can swing a bat he's not a better option at the plate in a late inning situation?
Let's see. Sparing him the knife right now is not such a terrible thing as I see it.
22 That's an awful lot of ifs. IF the rest helps, and IF the rest doesn't go too long, and IF he can get used to PH/DH with a very little bit of time left in the season.
My fear is with the others: Posada, by trying to hit, makes the shoulder worse. Which makes the recovery period longer - which maybe knocks him out for all of 2009. Which means 2009 includes the "Jose Molina, full time starter!" show EVERY DAY. Which means that, the earliest Posada could maybe become the quasi-regular catcher again is 2010, at 38. Which will never happen.
The downside of my whiches >>> the upside of your ifs. =)
23 As long as Ed Wade and Jim Bowden are around, there is still hope. Not that either of them has anything of value to deal . . . no way the Astros would give up Berkman, not even for 6 relievers.
Ed Wade loves him some relievers, after all.
I shouldn't knock Ed Wade. After all, he was kind enough to sign Tom Gordon, netting the Yanks the picks that turned into IPK and Joba - and he traded Abreu to the Yanks in exchange for pocket lint. We owe him a great deal of gratitude.
Wasn't this supposed to be a "transition" year? That sure, you try to win this year, but not at the expense of next year?
It seems to me that that should apply to the veterans as well as the kids. Losing Posada for the first two months of next season seems to me like a very big deal. And considering how low the upside is - a few PH at-bats - I can't see any justification.
21 yeah, maybe it doesn't add up, and maybe Posada can't hit at all, but the Yanks have invested a lot in that bat this season, and runs have been hard to come by (not so much this week).
Regardless of his previous struggles as a PH/DH, and how many win-shares he might contribute down the stretch, if there's a chance that Posada's bat can still help this team, I'm all for waiting a few weeks to see.
26 the question of whether he should hit, or if it will exacerbate his injuries, I'll leave that to the doctors and trainers. If they say he can do further damage by swinging, surgery it is then, no questions asked.
sliced - i think one of my main objections is there is a good chance is this won't be two weeks - it will continue to drag on - while they see how his shoulder improves - and then he is not ready for next year.
so let's say he rehabs and they think he can give playing a shot - worst case scenario is posada will be hurt worse; ineffective is a poor scenario; and the best case is he hits great, but he is doing that as dh or 1bman, so he is taking abs away from someone (probably mostly giambi)who is his equivalent - and the yanks still have the same weaknesse in the lineup.
29 good points all around, but I don't think he should play 1b. Best case I think is PH.
He still might be able to produce in that role better than anybody else on the roster, but I wouldnt wait more than a few weeks to see if that's possible.
A few things. In general, I 96.471% agree it's time to cut Po (with a knife, I mean). But in order to reach 100%, I need to know the following.
1) Forget 1st base. We have Jason, Sexy and Bittermint. At best, Po is a pure DH. NEVER throws a ball.
2) Will batting further injure his shoulder?
3) If JD is our LFer, who's our DH? Sexy is in against LHP, but what about the other 70% of the time. Betemit? Is he our best?
The bottom line is we should sign Bonds yesterday. We really should get a real OFer. But IF Po can swing without further damage, and if he can post a .800 OPS or better, I can see keeping him UNTIL we get another bat. We can NOT replace Po's bat inhouse and make the PS.
We need to stop with the Washburns and Vidros and get some talent. TB will slide. The have many more road games them home games. We should be able to get the WC. But if Po is out, we NEED TO GET ANOTHER BAT!
Jeebus, have the damn surgery already Jorge. It's easier to find a replacement level bat for the rest of this season than it is to find an all-star caliber switch hitting catcher to start next season.
If teams are going to lose these guys anyway, then to get them now vai trade, should NOT cost too much in terms of players. Is that a fair assumption. If so, WHY DON'T WE HAVE ONE YET? An OFer is both an immediate and future need. We have kids oin the farm to trade. This need is legitimate enough to let go of some kids.
My short list
Matt Hilliday (29) (2010)
Milton Bradley (31)
Jason Bay (29) (2010)
Adam Dunn (29)
Juan Rivera (30)
Brian Giles (38)
Vladimir Guerrero (33)
24Giambi, batting .235/.398/.518 against lefties, is benched. Justin Christian makes his first start in two weeks.
This is a somewhat misleading juxtaposition. Christian is starting because Gardner has sucked (and because it's a LHP). This has nothing to do with Giambi, and even if the Big 'Stache were in the lineup, Christian would still likely get the start in LF.
Frankly, the way Gardner is hitting, I don't see this as a bad move. Heck, Gardner may be most valuable now as a late inning PR.
On the other hand, Giambi is sitting primarily (it is assumed) because they are facing a LHP. If so, then this is indeed a silly decision.
40 Bradley's going to be worth a ton on the free market, so maybe it would be worth seeing if he can be pried from the Rangers via trade... and boy do they need pitching.
Unfortunately, are we certain that in the next week the Rangers will decide they can't make the playoffs? They're 6.5 back in the wild card race.
42 Christian is also starting because Damon has not been cleared to play in the field just yet. Which is why it's curious to choose one left-handed hitter over another, particularly in choosing the hitter who is worse against lefties...
36 Seems to me Girardi is resting Jason about 1 out if every 5 games. I don't think it has anything to do with his splits. So now when Jason rests, Sexy plays 1st instead of Betemit.
After all, who thought Jason would NOT be injured by he ASB, not to mention having an OPS of .900+. I can't fault Girardi for going easy on Giambi.
40 To add: Guerrero isn't going anywhere as a FA, the Angels have an option on him. Texas has cooled on trading Bradley; if he leaves as a FA, he'll definitely be a type A. Juan Rivera is getting playing time and the Angels like him. Bay probably isn't going anywhere. The Pads have said they're keeping Giles.
Dunn is the most likely, IMO, to be in pinstripes next year - unless the Yankees reach a deal with Abreu.
40 i love folks (and i'm not picking on you shaun) who make statements like ... so and so's a home field mirage, he's never hit away from X park so he never will!
remember when soriano was traded from the rangers to the nats? remember how everyone (and i'm in the everyone here) thought that that was a terrible deal and that soriano wouldn't hit at all in washington?
how about when the mariners picked up ibanez? another case of a player with extreme home/away splits going to a much tougher hitting environment. another case of the existing splits not being meaningful at all.
home/away splits are just not thought of as being very predictive when assessing a players future performance anymore ...
40 So what.... there's nobody to be had? As more teams lock up quality players early, the number of impact FAs is shrinking and therefore the price is going up. We know what we will get from the farm in the next 2 years (position wise, AJax is about it). There are some positions we will have to go out-of-house for.
If teams are going to lose these guys anyway, isn't their choice:
1) Lose them and get a draft pick or 2
2) Trade them and get 3 or 4 Yankee farm hands.
Am I missing something? If Milton is going to cost a forture and Texas can't keep him, isn't trading him better then holding him?
51 It must have killed you to lose Miggy Cairo, who always seemed to make contact.
Or is the direction that you want to move in to acquire players who hit for high average and hit the ball a long way and drive in runs and never strike out? I thinkk every GM wants to do that. The trick is finding 9 or 10 Joe DiMaggios.
57 depends on whether you think the 3-4 yankee farm hands will be worth more than the 2 picks (probably 1x1st round and 1x supplemental round) that Bradley will net you if he signs somewhere else ...
52 Its a fair point, cult, but, in this case, Holliday would be coming from the weaker league, to the stronger one (not vice versa, as Sori did, or staying in league, like Ibanez), and Holliday (unlike Sori and Ibanez) had never before played his home games in a moderate environment.
Also note that Soriano did hit better on the road (.912 OPS) than at home (.909 OPS) in 2006; its just that he hit so well overall.
"UPDATE, 1:07 p.m.: The decision to delay surgery for Jorge Posada is being driven, at least partly, by team president Randy Levine according to several people close to the situation. He thinks the Yankees need to get some return on the money they spent on Posada."
Words fail me, and any action would most likely be illegal.
57 I'm not at all convinced that teams are liking up quality players more or that the number of impact FAs are fewer--ie, there has been no structural change, these things always go through cycles.
Two things HAVE changed however. First, the WC keeps more teams in it longer, or at least convinced more times that they should not be "sellers." Thus, there are fewer opportunities to pick up good players midseason. Without the WC, teams like Texas or Toronto would have started to dump already.
Second, it seems that more players have NTC, which significantly complicates trade scenarios.
61 Nothing can stop Robbie "I'm up to .265!" Cano.
52 And another thing. We agree Holliday will not hit in YS like he does in Coors (career: .365/.428/.663), right? So why pay premium price for him, which is what the Rockies will want?
52 I do agree with you. A bigger park may mean less HRs but more gappers. However, Coors may be an exception. It does inflate numbers. It is not about park dimentions but about the unique 'atmospheric environment'.
So if Holliday is 1.112 at home and .859 on the road, mathimatically his OPS is 1.004 but I would call him a .900-.950 guy on another team.
70 It's just another example of business myopia. In lots of different industries, leaders manage for the next quarter or couple of years at best. There are perfectly understandable reasons for doing that, but it is still infuriating.
71 Doesn't OPS+ more or less solve this problem, by regularizing hitting stats to include park factors? In theory, a player hitting 1.000 OPS for the Rockies should have a lower OPS+ than a player hitting 1.000 OPS for the Yankees. Or do I misunderstand?
66 Why the fuck is Randy Levine making baseball decisions? If that's true Cashman and Hank/Hal need to sit down with him and tell him to stick to accounting or whatever the hell it is he does. I had assumed this was an issue of Posada and maybe Girardi being overly optimistic and having pride. That I could at least understand, but that?! That's fucking absurd.
68 who said anything about blindly agreeing to the unreasonable price that the rockies have reportedly set for him?
what i said is that the statement that holliday "won't hit out of Coors" isn't supported by studies that have been done.
your further qualifications make your position more tenable (though i discount any meaningful effect to league switching) but your original statement is, at the very least, guilty of terrible hyperbole ...
And if you're getting your OPS+ stats from baseball-reference.com, then you should be aware that, this season, Coors is an extreme Pitchers Park. It's true:
I simply refuse to get worked up over a story whose only evidence is the infamous unnamed "sources close to the situation."
And in any case, Posada is a free man, no? Whatever Levine or whoever says, if he decides to have surgery no one can stop him (or compel him to do so if he doesn't want to).
82 Guilty of hyperbole, as charged. Holliday will probably hit OK out of Coors in a different uniform, ~.900 OPS.
But I'm not convinced that, based on two examples - Soriano in 2006 and Ibanez since he left KC - that one should throw park effects completely out the window when looking at a hitter. Especially when that hitter plays for the Rockies.
87 Actually I don't think so on the last point. Wasn't this precisely the issue that came up with Schilling where he wanted the surgery and the team forced him to rehab. I think the team actually gets final say unless the condition is life threatening or off the field health related, but I'm not sure. Anyone know?
848586 Baseball-reference sems to incorporate park factor into OPS+:
My method is slightly more complicated, but I think it is more correct. The BPF is set up for runs and the way it is implemented in PRO+ applies it to something other than runs.
My method
1. Compute the runs created for the league with pitchers removed (basic form) RC = (H + BB + HBP)*(TB)/(AB + BB + HBP + SF)
2. Adjust this by the park factor RC' = RC*BPF
3. Assume that if hits increase in a park, that BB, HBP, TB increase at the some proportion.
4. Assume that Outs = AB - H (more or less) do not change at all as outs are finite.
5. Compute the number of H, BB, HBP, TB needed to produce RC', involves the quadratic formula. The idea for this came from the Willie Davis player comment in the Bill James New Historical Baseball Abstract. I think some others, including Clay Davenport have done some similar things.
6.Using these adjusted values compute what the league average player would have hit lgOBP*, lgSLG* in a park.
7. Take OPS+ = 100 (OBP/lgOBP + SLG/lgSLG* - 1)
8. Note, in my database, I don't store lgSLG, but store lgTB and similarly for lgOBP and lg(Times on Base), this makes calculation of career OPS+ much easier
88 I would also worry that Holliday never again hits like he did in 2007 (his age-27 season, BTW). That's more a worry for signing him long-term than trading for his year plus.
96 Incidentally I think that #3 may be a big flaw in OPS+ calculations. What reason is there to expect an increase in walks and especially HBP with a smaller ballpark? I don't have conclusive evidence either way, but you can play with the park-factors on ESPN.com's page and the rankings are different if you select HR, 2B, and walks.
98 Maybe Mussina should put a pillow under his jersey so that the team thinks that Ponson is pitching...
104 Command, command, command. You heard about the pFx studies, aside from the inside fastball it tends to be much more about where you throw, how accurately you get it there and mixing pitches. Moose does all those things well.
88 This year, Holliday has a .860 OPS on the road, where most players hit worse on the road. So my guess is he's a legit .900 OPS guy or better. Also, as far as I know, Park Factors which apply to OPS, are based on RUNS SCORED, not OBP and SLG. So I don't give much weight to OPS+ being a true equalizer.
Did you notice the HR to RIGHT field Holliday hit in the ASG? Well back into the seats. The guy can hit. (And I think he is Eckstein gritty).
109 The Yankees don't hit enough, and the Yankees don't hit enough home runs. Sacrificing power (of which we really don't have much) would be an incredibly bad idea.
113 I disagree, but that's ok. Frankly, I think that relying on Giambi and Alex for power with bit parts by everyone else is more than adequate to win games if you have solid hitters elsewhere in the lineup.
I hate not having Giambi in the lineup, especially against a lefty (Giambi's OPS against lefties is over .900 this season). If getting Sexson means Giambi sits against lefties, it was a horrible pick up.
109 Perception is everything, at least sometimes. You fear that the team strikes out too much and you want them to move in a different direction ("just say no to Dunn"). Consider the following:
So, this year, the Yankees are NOT striking out very much at all. Yet sadly, they can't score. Moreover, except for 2002-2003, they have consistently been in the lower half of MLB teams for team K and around average or a tick better for AL teams.
Really, strike outs are not the problem. Sacrificing power is kooky talk.
IMHO, Park Factors should NOT be calc'ed on a yearly basis. Parks don't change (unless there are walls moved in/out, changes to the stands, etc). But short of physical changes to the ballpark, the PF of any one park should be FIXED.
But because PFs are calc'ed yearly, they vary greatly, because the PFs are based are the random performance and composition of players that year.
I would cummulated PFs from each year, and divide by the number of years, so a PF would be more of a historical Stat instead of a purely annual one.
If PF sayd Coors field is a pitchers park, that tells you all you need to know about PF.
96 Your calcs are based on OBP and SLG (not runs scored) which I like. Does BR do the same? ESPNs numbers are garbage.
123 Oh! I thought the term was akin to 'hotdog,' referring to a player's ostentation and a little to laziness due to the player's feeling above it all.
124 You know, the 1998 Yankees had two players with 100+ strikeouts. And Brosius (97), Posada (92), and Straw (90) were not far behind. In total, they struck out 1030 times, This year's team is on pace for 930 strikeouts.
The team also hit 207 home runs. This team is on pace for 157. That's a huge difference.
There is indisputable evidence that teams that score more runs also strike out more. If you want to watch a good offense, you're going to have to get used to watching strikeouts.
131 "There is indisputable evidence that teams that score more runs also strike out more. If you want to watch a good offense, you're going to have to get used to watching strikeouts. "
Ah so that's why we got Sexson. For all them strikeouts.
I would take a team full of Adam Dunn over a team full of Don Mattingly. Given similar pitching staffs, my team would beat your team at least 6 out of every 10 times.
129If PF sayd Coors field is a pitchers park, that tells you all you need to know about PF.
You need to catch up, man! That was a mistake--Coors has an extreme hitters PF this season. See 86 .
But short of physical changes to the ballpark, the PF of any one park should be FIXED.
Wrong! PF measures the parks hitterness/pitcherness relative to the league. So, changes in OTHER parks in the league wil have an impact on a given field's PF regardless of changes to that field.
In general, though, your point has merit. It's beter to look at three-year or five-year PF. Baseball-reference has three-year PFs, IIRC.
133 Which Donnie BAseball do you want? The 1985-1986 version who hit 35 HRs and didn't strike out is fine. But then again, no one disputes that--those seasons represent a rare combination of high power, high average, high contact, low strike out. So yes, 10 vintage Mattingly's would be about as good as 10 vintage DiMAggios
However, the 1990-1991 version of Mattingly was very, very stinky, no matter how rarely he K'd.
124 Who's more valuable?
Player A: .300 .400 .500 - 180 Ks
Player B: .300 .400 .500 - 60 Ks
What is the REAL difference between the 2?
Here's what I get.
Player B has more 'productive outs' and maybe a few more DPs. So maybe Player B is a tiny, little bit more valuable.
124 Who's more valuable?
Player A: .250 .380 .520 - 180 Ks
Player B: .300 .370 .460 - 60 Ks
138 Depends on which Don Mattingly you are talking about. The pre-injury one is a better hitter than Adam Dunn and a much better player when you include defense.
Or, for that matter, the '84 Dave Winfield with 19 homers.
I'm really just talking about looking for that Mattingly as the ideal. If you have to settle for Dunn, fine, but I guess I'm saying I'd really make an effort to construct a team according to that ideal rather than according to a high homerun ideal.
Obviously, it's an imperfect world, but Dunn's K totals, as I recall, are really, really high. Not just high, but really high.
I just can't stand to see a guy K with RISP in a tight game.
157 The 1984 Mattingly was an awesome ballplayer. He led the AL in OPS+ that season and then finished 3rd in 1985 and 1st again in 1986 before plummeting to 6th in 1987. When you throw in truly gold glove defense, the Mattingly over that span was truly a great player.
157 Guys like Dunn help you put runs on the scoreboard so you have fewer tight games.
I get that you love Donnie Baseball (who here doesn't?), but it's not there are a ton of players out like him just waiting to picked up. In fact, there probably aren't any. To expect the Yankees to try to build a club of Mattingly's just isn't realistic.
With the exception of maybe Pujols, all hitters have some flaw. But strikeouts are not a major one if a player can get on base and slug.
157 Mattingly 19984 had an OPS+ of 156 and slugged over .500.
Again, I am not disputing that Mattingly 1984/1985/1986 is a sort of gold standard. And of course teams try to build teams according to an ideal. But how many Good Vintage Matinglys are there? How many DiMaggios?
It seems to me unrealistic to avoid an Adam Dunn, especially with this season's dismal offense, because he's not Mattingly 1985.
One last thought, then I grow weary with this. I too get frustrated when a batter Ks with RISP. But I get just as frustrated by weak ground balls and pop ups and double plays. I alo get frustrated with a team that collects endless singles but can't scor because they never get long hits.
What you really want is a player who never fails to drive in runs. Don't we all.
157 "Obviously, it's an imperfect world, but Dunn's K totals, as I recall, are really, really high. Not just high, but really high."
OK, one more comment. As I like to point out, Babe Ruth was in the top 10 in Ks every year of his career from 1918 to 1935; he was first or second in the league 12 times.
161 Donnie's 1985 season got all the press, because of the MVP and his traditional counting stats (145 RBI!), but his 1986 season was his best. When he followed up 1985, I thought for sure I was watching a HOF heading into his prime. Pro sports and human (physical) frailty are a cruel pair.
Weeping... just for you Bubalah
http://tinyurl.com/6yph5k
Top 15 Strikeout years.
2004 Adam Dunn, Reds
1970 Bobby Bonds, Giants
2002 Jose Hernandez, Brewers
1969 Bobby Bonds, Giants
2000 Preston Wilson, Marlins
1987 Rob Deer, Brewers
1986 Pete Incaviglia, Rangers
2001 Jose Hernandez, Brewers
2001 Jim Thome, Indians
1990 Cecil Fielder, Tigers
2003 Jim Thome, Phillies
2000 Mo Vaughn, Angels
1975 Mike Schmidt, Phillies
1986 Rob Deer, Brewers
2001 Richie Sexson, Brewers
215 Yeah, but unfortunately back then, no one knew just how valuable all those K's were, so Balboni spent too much time on the C-bus shuttle to amass 200 punchouts in a season.
That list is as of 2004. For recent years, add Ryan Howard 2007 (1st), Adam Dunn 2006 (3rd), and Ryan Howard 2006 (tied for 14th). Howard's on pace to break the record this year.
- 95mph+ fastball, wiffed on
- 95mph+ fastball on outer half of plate, looked at
- 80mph changeup/curve, looked at
- 80mph chanegup/curve, badly missed
I used to think I loved seeing the Joba-type strikeout where the batter's swinging above his head, but the older I get, I think I'm deriving more satisfaction from the ones that Moose has been dealing out lately...
I don't know if Moose will get a CG, but I would like to see Girardi try to get him in the 8th and have Moose tell him to 'get the hell back in the dugout'.
That Moose/Torre moment was really one of the great moments of the decade.
You have to hand it to Mussina. His fastball is topping out at 85mph and he's one of the best pitchers in baseball still. Man I hope he ends up as a pitching coach or guru in our system at some point. Maybe he'll start throwing a knuckleball next, or just invent a new pitch.
258 but don't forget, this is the same Moose who up until about start 3 this year, refused to make any changes to his approach. Not sure he would be the best coach...
253 Depends on the set up. In the case of Mooses last SO, he had been going away, away, away, and then plopped that thing inside under the hands. That is a thing of beauty to me.
261 Yeah, the Gardner-Christian death match is ultimately irrelevant, I think. Johnny will re-occupy LF, and either Christian or GArdner will serve adequately as an extra OF/PR. More critical in that case will be how Girardi handles 1B/DH.
267 I can see Moose either becoming the best pitching coach in the history of the world, or leaving baseball entirely, surfacing a few years later with a new way of valuing injury risk in professional sports and parlaying that into a Hedge Fund/ Sports Agent firm that turns baseball on its head.
Rays win, but they should beat the A's at home. If anything, the Yankees should have taken 2 of 3 from the Twins and the Rays should have swepts, so the Yankees are one up.
Looking at the schedules, the Sox have to be the favorites to win the division, but TB could struggle.
Well, I happily submit that I was wrong. 100%, unequivocally wrong. If we'd traded Moose 1/4, 1/3, 1/2 way into the season, as I insisted we should (before he reverted to the mean of a below ARP) we'd be 10+ games out and (gulp) sellers at this point.
I've never been so happy to be wrong in my entire life!
Looks like its Hawkins. With Bruney to pitch two days in a row tonight, he may get a call-up on Friday. Perhaps this is the last appearance for LaTroy?
324 I winder. I have a sneaking suspicion that unless he is traded, they keep Hawkins for a bit longer--maybe going with 13 pitchers and sending down Gardner/Christian, or sending donw someone with options (Geise?).
I had to leave the office and was stuck with Sterling and Waldman. At ~2:29PM, Sterling almost got me killed. As I was driving, he said, and I quote, "Now, I don't want to be a cliche master here, but . . . " at which point I began laughing so hard I almost drove off the road.
He also later mentioned how great a defender Sexson was, and completely changed his voice to say "leather" - which made me think of 76 and, again, almost caused me to drive off the road. Comedy gold.
328 Yes, I liked the game threads a whole lot better when everyone said they "hated this team" and "couldn't bear to watch," and said "this season is over." Let's go back to that!
Mo didn't pitch the past couple of days and tomorrow's an off day. So obviously Joe put LaTroy in to create a save situation so that Mo will get his work in in a proper save situation and not just mop up work as he doesn't do as well there.
349 That's not how it works. Yankees would only get a draft pick if Hawkins is offered arbitration after the season (which they definitely won't) AND Hawkins is rated in the top 15% of all relief pitchers (which he's not), and THEN he signs with another team.
If Hawkins is DFA'd and then released, any team picks him up pays him the prorated league minimum, but the Yankees also pay him what they owe him the rest of this season.
344 Really, Mo hasn't been used in a couple of games and there's an off-day tomorrow. You have to be able to put in your last reliever with a five run lead.
I don't see how having Mo throw to one batter is wasting him.
351 No...besides, Hawkins didn't even rate a draft pick when the Yankees signed him this offseason. That's what made that switch from Vizcaino to Hawkins palatable.
362 Be honest. The only reason you go to Mo here is because of the save. If you want to get him work, have him start the inning and give him an innings worth. Otherwise, call on Robertson or another reliever, no?
The contrast between everyone else in the pen and Hawkins is really drastic right now. I have faith in almost our entire pen. The only faith I have in the Hawk is that he'll enter and give up hits and most likely a run or three. He needs to go, the second Bruney can pitch. If not Bruney I'd rather have Cox, Patterson or Strickland up here. If someone is going to stink, might as well get a kid some experience.
370 Nope, a team that claims another off waivers is responsible for the entire contract of that player. The team that loses a player due to waivers is SOL.
The wikipedia page is pretty accurate and a good source:
373 Me too, but I figure the old guy would be cranky about seeing all his lovely goose eggs get replaced by a "1". Even if it doesn't affect his stat sheet at all.
372 I agree, but that is not mutually exclusive with the idea that going to Mo for one batter is not a waste. And, it may even make more sense to send Mo in the game rather than Edwar (for example) who had pitched in two consecutive games, IIRC.
Frankly, if it were me, once Hawkins got to two outs I would have let him pitch to another couple of batters. Then, if things got dire, I would have gone to Mo.
371 Eh... one out doesn't add much to Mo's mileage. And, he is very sensitive to taking too much time off. If he didn't pitch tonight he'd go into Friday's game with 4 days rest. Not a bad idea to bring him in to loosen up a bit.
378 Yet one could argue that a save like that is more like what the firemen of old did: come into a tight game with men on base and put out the threat. It's more "honorable" then coming in to start the ninth with a three run lead and mow down the 7-8-9 hitters.
Also, for those not swayed by ERA+, Rivera's 1000 innings pitched gets him on the raw ERA leaderboard too. Depending on how many earned runs he allows in those final 2.33 innings (hopefully none!) Rivera will go on the all-time leaderboard somewhere between 14th (tied with Babe Ruth at 2.28 ERA) or 18th (Tommy Bond, 2.31 ERA).
406 It seems like there should be a way of getting some kind of fungible, useful thing in exchange for a guy who isn't actually worth a useful player.
Like a draft pick, say. Why aren't there more baseball trades involving draft picks?
From PeteAbe:
'Posada also revealed that he called Joe Torre to ask for advice. Obviously he wants the opinion of somebody outside the organization. Posada is not the kind of guy who would mindlessly do what the team asks. He'll try and do what is right.'
I LOVE that guys still call Joe T. Front office or not, Joe is still aprt of the family.
'Just spoke to Brian Cashman, who said the decision on Posada involves everybody from the trainers on up to ownership. He feels that Posada would fill a need the team has now "better than anything I can get in a trade" so he wants to see whether rehab is possible.'
422 Still, that means he stopped pitching with the 14th best career ERA to that day, which is not too shabby. He finished in the top 10 ERA three times, and had the league's best ERA in 1916.
431 If he's fine today in the Portland Sea Dogs game, he plays against us Friday, yep. Ortiz, I mean.
As for Manny, I was looking forward to seeing his antics, and not very scared of his bat, so, too bad. (On the other hand the BoSox bench is pretty thin, so whoever fills in will be worse than even 75% of Manny.)
425 Oh, he was a great pitcher. But, that 2.28 ERA was only good for an ERA+ of 122. Coincidentally, that's Mike Mussina's ERA+.
What was it they were saying on Fox a couple weeks ago... every pitcher with 100 more wins than loses is in the Hall of Fame and Mussina has 113 more wins than loses.
So, being on par with Mussina is not too shabby, yes.
The peril of being the hunter and not the hunted down the stretch is most of the other teams really suck. Imagine what Rays and Sox fans were thinking as Casillas jogged off the field with only two outs.
JORGE POSADA UPDATE, 11:26 a.m.
Jorge Posada stepped up with the information. The MRI showed that his labrum is worse and that he has capsule damage. He will need surgery and a six-month rehab. However he will try rehabbing for the next two weeks and consider trying to return as a DH and first baseman.
Posada said the Yankees are willing to have him play again this season even if it means missing part of next season. But if he comes back this season, he won't catch.
"Catching is out of the question," he said.
It seems curious to me that they would not want Posada ready to start next season, especially given how ineffective he was as a hitter. Obviously the injury has hampered his ability at the plate. But we'll see what happens in a few weeks.
End Quote
So what the hell is he doing trying to rehab? That way we can have another so so hitting DH? Jorgie, please just get the surgery, you can't help this team right now.
Might it also mean that it's very hard for Cashman to find another bat for this year? Any bat can DH and any available bat will be a DH, 1B or OF.
So now, getting 'Harry Honds' also mean getting Posada an extra 2 months of recovery time. I'll bet in 3 weeks, Bonds would be more productive (as a DH) then Posada will be.
If the dealine comes and goes and Posada's surgery is still being delayed, I'm gonna be mighty pissed off.
boppin' in the cuba-cle, as we speak.
... instead of signing HE WHO SHALL NOT BE SIGNED.
This is nuts.
What if Po can swing in two weeks? that's not worth waiting to see?
i would love a good young (preferably corner of) rh bat as much as the next person and have been advocating for it all year - but i think girardi and cashman are overdoing it with this rh bat thing. if all posada can do is dh or play 1b - that probably means time taken away from giambi, which is largely a mistake (he does need to get rest every so often) - giambi's splits really aren't that big an issue, but maybe they are just zeroing in on the 235 ave against lhp
rhp: 265/399/541 sOPS+ 144 tOPS+ 101
lhp: 235/398/518 sOPS+ 166 tOPS+ 97
Posada already took SIX weeks off to rest his shoulder. The result?
.248/.380/.371, 2 HR in 105 AB
and most of that came the first two weeks back, against awful competition (KC, SD, HOU). He's hit .205/.314/.288, 0 HR since 6/20/08.
I just fail to see how two more weeks of rest is going to do anything.
13 My main concern is that Po could make things worse by rehabbing/playing instead of getting the surgery. Plus, I think the upside of the risk is low, because he hasn't really hit since coming back the last time - it seems to be affecting his swing. So you get a meh DH/1B option at the possible cost of more serious injury to your awesome starting catcher.
No deal.
16 I agree he shouldn't throw. 1b is a bad idea. Best case, he's a pinch hitter. Let's wait and see if best case is an option is all I'm saying.
Posada as pinch hitter, career:
.223/.339/.330, 124 PA
I have no idea when those appearances have come.
Posada as a DH, career:
.205/.320/.337, 197 PA
I am not as hopeful as you, o' Sunny Sliced. Even with the usual caveats (maybe he only DHs when he's hurting? DOH!) these numbers inspire no hope for me.
So we're hoping he can PH and occasionally DH? How many ABs is that for the rest of the season? You wouldn't play him over Giambi or Damon in that spot the way he's hitting. So we're talking a few platoon DH starts and some PH. Without running the numbers I'm willing to bet that adds up to less than a single win over the rest of the season. Now factor in that any delay adds on to any time he might miss next season. It just doesn't add up to me. If they can't find a guy who can PH at that level I'd be shocked.
37 . Shaun P
32 Posada as pinch hitter, career:
.223/.339/.330, 124 PA
I have no idea when those appearances have come.
Posada as a DH, career:
.205/.320/.337, 197 PA
I am not as hopeful as you, o' Sunny Sliced.
Good stats, Shaun, but they're from a time when Posada was a starting catcher. Maybe he wasn't successful because he wasn't comfortable in the PH/DH role. In fact, we know he never liked not catching.
Maybe, again BIG IF Posada wants to be a pinch hitter, and his body allows him to do it he'll have more success in the role.
I know it's a longshot, but look at the bottom of the order. If Posada can swing a bat he's not a better option at the plate in a late inning situation?
Let's see. Sparing him the knife right now is not such a terrible thing as I see it.
Span, RF
Casilla, 2B
Redmond, C
Morneau, DH
Young, LF
Lamb, 1B
Harris, 3B
Punto, SS
Gomez, CF
(Perkins, P)
Damon, DH
Jeter, SS
Abreu, RF
Rodriguez, 3B
Sexson, 1B
Cano, 2B
Cabrera, CF
Molina, C
Christian, LF
(Mussina, P)
Giambi, batting .235/.398/.518 against lefties, is benched. Justin Christian makes his first start in two weeks.
On the other side, the Twins continue to bat the catcher 3rd, regardless of who the catcher is.
My fear is with the others: Posada, by trying to hit, makes the shoulder worse. Which makes the recovery period longer - which maybe knocks him out for all of 2009. Which means 2009 includes the "Jose Molina, full time starter!" show EVERY DAY. Which means that, the earliest Posada could maybe become the quasi-regular catcher again is 2010, at 38. Which will never happen.
The downside of my whiches >>> the upside of your ifs. =)
23 As long as Ed Wade and Jim Bowden are around, there is still hope. Not that either of them has anything of value to deal . . . no way the Astros would give up Berkman, not even for 6 relievers.
Ed Wade loves him some relievers, after all.
I shouldn't knock Ed Wade. After all, he was kind enough to sign Tom Gordon, netting the Yanks the picks that turned into IPK and Joba - and he traded Abreu to the Yanks in exchange for pocket lint. We owe him a great deal of gratitude.
It seems to me that that should apply to the veterans as well as the kids. Losing Posada for the first two months of next season seems to me like a very big deal. And considering how low the upside is - a few PH at-bats - I can't see any justification.
Regardless of his previous struggles as a PH/DH, and how many win-shares he might contribute down the stretch, if there's a chance that Posada's bat can still help this team, I'm all for waiting a few weeks to see.
26 the question of whether he should hit, or if it will exacerbate his injuries, I'll leave that to the doctors and trainers. If they say he can do further damage by swinging, surgery it is then, no questions asked.
so let's say he rehabs and they think he can give playing a shot - worst case scenario is posada will be hurt worse; ineffective is a poor scenario; and the best case is he hits great, but he is doing that as dh or 1bman, so he is taking abs away from someone (probably mostly giambi)who is his equivalent - and the yanks still have the same weaknesse in the lineup.
He still might be able to produce in that role better than anybody else on the roster, but I wouldnt wait more than a few weeks to see if that's possible.
1) Forget 1st base. We have Jason, Sexy and Bittermint. At best, Po is a pure DH. NEVER throws a ball.
2) Will batting further injure his shoulder?
3) If JD is our LFer, who's our DH? Sexy is in against LHP, but what about the other 70% of the time. Betemit? Is he our best?
The bottom line is we should sign Bonds yesterday. We really should get a real OFer. But IF Po can swing without further damage, and if he can post a .800 OPS or better, I can see keeping him UNTIL we get another bat. We can NOT replace Po's bat inhouse and make the PS.
We need to stop with the Washburns and Vidros and get some talent. TB will slide. The have many more road games them home games. We should be able to get the WC. But if Po is out, we NEED TO GET ANOTHER BAT!
Damon: 112 PA, .278/.369/.402
Giambi: 108 PA, .235/.398/.518
Why is the Stache sitting?
If teams are going to lose these guys anyway, then to get them now vai trade, should NOT cost too much in terms of players. Is that a fair assumption. If so, WHY DON'T WE HAVE ONE YET? An OFer is both an immediate and future need. We have kids oin the farm to trade. This need is legitimate enough to let go of some kids.
My short list
Matt Hilliday (29) (2010)
Milton Bradley (31)
Jason Bay (29) (2010)
Adam Dunn (29)
Juan Rivera (30)
Brian Giles (38)
Vladimir Guerrero (33)
It's a Good Moose Day.
Milton Bradley (31) - I've got nothing here
Jason Bay (29) (2010) - they are asking the world him because he's cheap next year
Adam Dunn (29) - has limited no trade
Juan Rivera (30) - I'm not sure this is a solution
Brian Giles (38) - team option for next year that's certain to be exercised
Vladimir Guerrero (33) - uh, OYF, the Angels aren't about to trade their best hitter
This is a somewhat misleading juxtaposition. Christian is starting because Gardner has sucked (and because it's a LHP). This has nothing to do with Giambi, and even if the Big 'Stache were in the lineup, Christian would still likely get the start in LF.
Frankly, the way Gardner is hitting, I don't see this as a bad move. Heck, Gardner may be most valuable now as a late inning PR.
On the other hand, Giambi is sitting primarily (it is assumed) because they are facing a LHP. If so, then this is indeed a silly decision.
Unfortunately, are we certain that in the next week the Rangers will decide they can't make the playoffs? They're 6.5 back in the wild card race.
After all, who thought Jason would NOT be injured by he ASB, not to mention having an OPS of .900+. I can't fault Girardi for going easy on Giambi.
Dunn is the most likely, IMO, to be in pinstripes next year - unless the Yankees reach a deal with Abreu.
Read that however you wish.
I would really hope we go in another direction
I'm tired of swings and misses.
remember when soriano was traded from the rangers to the nats? remember how everyone (and i'm in the everyone here) thought that that was a terrible deal and that soriano wouldn't hit at all in washington?
how about when the mariners picked up ibanez? another case of a player with extreme home/away splits going to a much tougher hitting environment. another case of the existing splits not being meaningful at all.
home/away splits are just not thought of as being very predictive when assessing a players future performance anymore ...
If teams are going to lose these guys anyway, isn't their choice:
1) Lose them and get a draft pick or 2
2) Trade them and get 3 or 4 Yankee farm hands.
Am I missing something? If Milton is going to cost a forture and Texas can't keep him, isn't trading him better then holding him?
Or is the direction that you want to move in to acquire players who hit for high average and hit the ball a long way and drive in runs and never strike out? I thinkk every GM wants to do that. The trick is finding 9 or 10 Joe DiMaggios.
Cano... refuses to swing at first pitch dirtball... drives next pitch to left for single.
Cano is very right.
Also note that Soriano did hit better on the road (.912 OPS) than at home (.909 OPS) in 2006; its just that he hit so well overall.
Nothin' doin.
"UPDATE, 1:07 p.m.: The decision to delay surgery for Jorge Posada is being driven, at least partly, by team president Randy Levine according to several people close to the situation. He thinks the Yankees need to get some return on the money they spent on Posada."
Words fail me, and any action would most likely be illegal.
Two things HAVE changed however. First, the WC keeps more teams in it longer, or at least convinced more times that they should not be "sellers." Thus, there are fewer opportunities to pick up good players midseason. Without the WC, teams like Texas or Toronto would have started to dump already.
Second, it seems that more players have NTC, which significantly complicates trade scenarios.
52 And another thing. We agree Holliday will not hit in YS like he does in Coors (career: .365/.428/.663), right? So why pay premium price for him, which is what the Rockies will want?
So if Holliday is 1.112 at home and .859 on the road, mathimatically his OPS is 1.004 but I would call him a .900-.950 guy on another team.
Everything I've ever heard about Randy Levine has been bad.
Our RFer is currently rockin' a .792 and playing terrible D.
Hmm, I'm warming to Holliday some.
An observation.
Not the title of the last movie I saw.
dary returns oyf.
76 Is that the one starring A-Rod & Madonna?
what i said is that the statement that holliday "won't hit out of Coors" isn't supported by studies that have been done.
your further qualifications make your position more tenable (though i discount any meaningful effect to league switching) but your original statement is, at the very least, guilty of terrible hyperbole ...
http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/COL/2008.shtml
I simply refuse to get worked up over a story whose only evidence is the infamous unnamed "sources close to the situation."
And in any case, Posada is a free man, no? Whatever Levine or whoever says, if he decides to have surgery no one can stop him (or compel him to do so if he doesn't want to).
But I'm not convinced that, based on two examples - Soriano in 2006 and Ibanez since he left KC - that one should throw park effects completely out the window when looking at a hitter. Especially when that hitter plays for the Rockies.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/about/bat_glossary.shtml
under Adjusted OPS+. Park factor is definitely included.
My method is slightly more complicated, but I think it is more correct. The BPF is set up for runs and the way it is implemented in PRO+ applies it to something other than runs.
My method
1. Compute the runs created for the league with pitchers removed (basic form) RC = (H + BB + HBP)*(TB)/(AB + BB + HBP + SF)
2. Adjust this by the park factor RC' = RC*BPF
3. Assume that if hits increase in a park, that BB, HBP, TB increase at the some proportion.
4. Assume that Outs = AB - H (more or less) do not change at all as outs are finite.
5. Compute the number of H, BB, HBP, TB needed to produce RC', involves the quadratic formula. The idea for this came from the Willie Davis player comment in the Bill James New Historical Baseball Abstract. I think some others, including Clay Davenport have done some similar things.
6.Using these adjusted values compute what the league average player would have hit lgOBP*, lgSLG* in a park.
7. Take OPS+ = 100 (OBP/lgOBP + SLG/lgSLG* - 1)
8. Note, in my database, I don't store lgSLG, but store lgTB and similarly for lgOBP and lg(Times on Base), this makes calculation of career OPS+ much easier
In any case . . . hey, is there a game going on?
Run support, please.
Jesus, why not demand a cadillac, while you're at it.
98 Maybe Mussina should put a pillow under his jersey so that the team thinks that Ponson is pitching...
Rockies on the road: 173 runs scored, 270 allowed in 50 games.
It's kind of bizarre that they give up fewer runs at home than on the road.
Did you notice the HR to RIGHT field Holliday hit in the ASG? Well back into the seats. The guy can hit. (And I think he is Eckstein gritty).
Ten DiMaggio's would suit me fine, but seriously, I'm just talking about sacrificing power for contact/average.
I'd be happier with a 15-20 HR guy who makes consistent hard contact.
2008: .926 (1st)
2007: .892 (3rd)
2006: .871 (8th)
Here's Alex.
That's very funny, only, I don't quite see him as cadillacing around, unless you're referring to his fear of walls?
Now let's talk pricetag. What would you give up for him?
Smooth. Quiet. Comfortable.
I love Bobby at the plate.
Good throw.
Yankees Team Strikeouts
Year: MLB Rank (out of 30), AL Rank (out of 14)
2008: 29, 13
2007: 22, 10
2006: 18, 6
2005: 19, 8
2004: 23, 11
2003: 12, 5
2002: 3, 1
2001: 22, 7
2000: 22, 9
So, this year, the Yankees are NOT striking out very much at all. Yet sadly, they can't score. Moreover, except for 2002-2003, they have consistently been in the lower half of MLB teams for team K and around average or a tick better for AL teams.
Really, strike outs are not the problem. Sacrificing power is kooky talk.
But because PFs are calc'ed yearly, they vary greatly, because the PFs are based are the random performance and composition of players that year.
I would cummulated PFs from each year, and divide by the number of years, so a PF would be more of a historical Stat instead of a purely annual one.
If PF sayd Coors field is a pitchers park, that tells you all you need to know about PF.
96 Your calcs are based on OBP and SLG (not runs scored) which I like. Does BR do the same? ESPNs numbers are garbage.
The team also hit 207 home runs. This team is on pace for 157. That's a huge difference.
There is indisputable evidence that teams that score more runs also strike out more. If you want to watch a good offense, you're going to have to get used to watching strikeouts.
Well, it certainly may be kookytalk; someone's gotta be willing to be kooky around here.
He's my gold standard.
Ah so that's why we got Sexson. For all them strikeouts.
Shit, Cano can't be stopped.
He would have grounded that pitch to second earlier in the season.
I'll take a team full of this kind of hitter any day. Mattingly, Cano.
It just does my heart good.
I would take a team full of Adam Dunn over a team full of Don Mattingly. Given similar pitching staffs, my team would beat your team at least 6 out of every 10 times.
You need to catch up, man! That was a mistake--Coors has an extreme hitters PF this season. See 86 .
But short of physical changes to the ballpark, the PF of any one park should be FIXED.
Wrong! PF measures the parks hitterness/pitcherness relative to the league. So, changes in OTHER parks in the league wil have an impact on a given field's PF regardless of changes to that field.
In general, though, your point has merit. It's beter to look at three-year or five-year PF. Baseball-reference has three-year PFs, IIRC.
I know I shouldn't be that surprised, but...
holy shit! is this a rally, Jose?
I'm pretty sure 86 was a mistake. Coors Field has never played as anything other than a hitter's park, though the humidor has eliminated some offense.
However, the 1990-1991 version of Mattingly was very, very stinky, no matter how rarely he K'd.
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/projection-roundtable-part-2/
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/we-blew-it/
Player A: .300 .400 .500 - 180 Ks
Player B: .300 .400 .500 - 60 Ks
What is the REAL difference between the 2?
Here's what I get.
Player B has more 'productive outs' and maybe a few more DPs. So maybe Player B is a tiny, little bit more valuable.
124 Who's more valuable?
Player A: .250 .380 .520 - 180 Ks
Player B: .300 .370 .460 - 60 Ks
And Dunn is better then Player A.
JC >>> Brett Gardner?
Or, for that matter, the '84 Dave Winfield with 19 homers.
I'm really just talking about looking for that Mattingly as the ideal. If you have to settle for Dunn, fine, but I guess I'm saying I'd really make an effort to construct a team according to that ideal rather than according to a high homerun ideal.
Obviously, it's an imperfect world, but Dunn's K totals, as I recall, are really, really high. Not just high, but really high.
I just can't stand to see a guy K with RISP in a tight game.
You shitfuck assholes! Wake the god damn fucking up you stupid bastards and god damn fucking play some jesus fucking baseball
If one wants to worry about Adam Dunn, isn't his career performance w/RISP the thing to worry about?
I get that you love Donnie Baseball (who here doesn't?), but it's not there are a ton of players out like him just waiting to picked up. In fact, there probably aren't any. To expect the Yankees to try to build a club of Mattingly's just isn't realistic.
With the exception of maybe Pujols, all hitters have some flaw. But strikeouts are not a major one if a player can get on base and slug.
Dunn seems to have the same OPS regardless of game situation throughout his career:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=dunnad01
The thing to worry about with Dunn, from the stats, is that he's been an awful second-half player most of his career, especially in August/September.
Again, I am not disputing that Mattingly 1984/1985/1986 is a sort of gold standard. And of course teams try to build teams according to an ideal. But how many Good Vintage Matinglys are there? How many DiMaggios?
It seems to me unrealistic to avoid an Adam Dunn, especially with this season's dismal offense, because he's not Mattingly 1985.
One last thought, then I grow weary with this. I too get frustrated when a batter Ks with RISP. But I get just as frustrated by weak ground balls and pop ups and double plays. I alo get frustrated with a team that collects endless singles but can't scor because they never get long hits.
What you really want is a player who never fails to drive in runs. Don't we all.
Fuck yeah, Moose! Way to hold down the fort.
Moose looks at Moose with the evil eye.
I thought I'd read that his stats w/RISP were - for his career - bad. I guess not.
The 2nd half thing... yeah, we don't want to trade for April-June Robbie Cano. This team kinda needs 2nd-half 2006 Bobby Abreu.
Over/under anyone for Moose wearing Pinstripes in 2009?
OK, one more comment. As I like to point out, Babe Ruth was in the top 10 in Ks every year of his career from 1918 to 1935; he was first or second in the league 12 times.
if you've never read firejoemorgan.com, you're missing out. also, they are constantly defending mr. dunn.
here is an example:
http://tinyurl.com/5of7vo
Moose could implode down the stretch and we're all back in favor of wiping his salary off the payroll as we were in ST...
Come on, Alex!
Beautiful!
;)
Whooooo! Adam Dunn!
(Do I have to like it, too?)
In Soviet Russia, outs strike you.
http://tinyurl.com/6yph5k
Top 15 Strikeout years.
2004 Adam Dunn, Reds
1970 Bobby Bonds, Giants
2002 Jose Hernandez, Brewers
1969 Bobby Bonds, Giants
2000 Preston Wilson, Marlins
1987 Rob Deer, Brewers
1986 Pete Incaviglia, Rangers
2001 Jose Hernandez, Brewers
2001 Jim Thome, Indians
1990 Cecil Fielder, Tigers
2003 Jim Thome, Phillies
2000 Mo Vaughn, Angels
1975 Mike Schmidt, Phillies
1986 Rob Deer, Brewers
2001 Richie Sexson, Brewers
i just spit my water all over the place.
I must say I'm disappointed my old pal Steve Balboni's not on the list.
Boston
Minn
Oakland
Yankees
After a 3 game sweep of Oakland
Boston
Minn
Yankees
After a 3 game sweep of Minn
Boston
Yankees
Next? Boston. BRING IT ON!!!!!
That barely makes any sense, I realize.
(Bows in awe)
http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/SO_season.shtml
Goddamn.
Adam Dunn today: 2-4, 1HR, 2R, 5 RBI, 1K!!!!!!!!!!!!
Oddly, he's had only 10 PAs with the Yanks and 7 of them have been with RISP.
after all, the dark one works in powers of deception!
I'll take Gritty McSlapstein anyday!
Word 'em up y'all
So Moose is now 8th in the AL in ERA. Not bad for a ol' junk baller. Who knew he'd be this good this year?
Which is more fun to see on a strikeout?
- 95mph+ fastball, wiffed on
- 95mph+ fastball on outer half of plate, looked at
- 80mph changeup/curve, looked at
- 80mph chanegup/curve, badly missed
I used to think I loved seeing the Joba-type strikeout where the batter's swinging above his head, but the older I get, I think I'm deriving more satisfaction from the ones that Moose has been dealing out lately...
Thoughts?
This is how you do it.
Your buddy,
Justin
That Moose/Torre moment was really one of the great moments of the decade.
In those dark times to come, there will be no beauty or joy or intangibles.
Does Moose go 8? Or...
LaTroy and then Giese?
No question. I love it when they look foolish hacking helplessly.
My God.
Bravo, Mike Mussina.
Bravo.
Moose ain't done yet.
OK, that was just mean...
moose hates winning. always has.
289 Just Google 'Michael Kay' and 'Mussina', you'll figure it out from the results...
Looking at the schedules, the Sox have to be the favorites to win the division, but TB could struggle.
Yankees/Sox on national TV Saturday and Sunday, so don't make any plans guys.
What's his pitch count?
I've never been so happy to be wrong in my entire life!
I kinda feel bad for LaTroy, he's the only one in the bullpen that hasn't been dusted by the bullpen fairy's magic pixie dust.
Then again, I'm sure he cries himself to sleep at night on his giant pile of money.
I had to leave the office and was stuck with Sterling and Waldman. At ~2:29PM, Sterling almost got me killed. As I was driving, he said, and I quote, "Now, I don't want to be a cliche master here, but . . . " at which point I began laughing so hard I almost drove off the road.
He also later mentioned how great a defender Sexson was, and completely changed his voice to say "leather" - which made me think of 76 and, again, almost caused me to drive off the road. Comedy gold.
LaTroy is not long for this team, so why even throw him out there anymore?
Brilliant strategy.
This is the stupidity of the save rule in effect. The only reason to turn to Mo here is because of the "save situation"
If Hawkins is DFA'd and then released, any team picks him up pays him the prorated league minimum, but the Yankees also pay him what they owe him the rest of this season.
Here he comes.
I don't see how having Mo throw to one batter is wasting him.
Start spreading the news...
I'm leaving today...
San Francisco here I come.
Mariano Rivera, ladies and gentlemen.
Mariano Rivera.
Beautiful.
::new yoooooorkkkkkkk::
Glory be to Mo. And Moose.
The wikipedia page is pretty accurate and a good source:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Major_League_Baseball_transactions
Frankly, if it were me, once Hawkins got to two outs I would have let him pitch to another couple of batters. Then, if things got dire, I would have gone to Mo.
His pitching is a revelation; were there no such stat as the save, his pitching would still be drop-dead gorgeous.
Goose should just worry about Goose.
391 I can't wait to check it out the morning after! Hopefully he gets there by Monday morning.
391 I can't wait to check it out the morning after! Hopefully he gets there by Monday morning.
A good combination.
Fabulous.
Never shall we see another.
Can we just bask in the glory while we can, without getting (too) hung up on terms of usage?
Or at least that's the way I would argue it...
Wow.
Like a draft pick, say. Why aren't there more baseball trades involving draft picks?
399 Can't we pretend its not true?
Umm, for those who like baseball in general, you should go take a look at some of the other box scores from the games going on.
I will say nothing more.
'Posada also revealed that he called Joe Torre to ask for advice. Obviously he wants the opinion of somebody outside the organization. Posada is not the kind of guy who would mindlessly do what the team asks. He'll try and do what is right.'
I LOVE that guys still call Joe T. Front office or not, Joe is still aprt of the family.
'Just spoke to Brian Cashman, who said the decision on Posada involves everybody from the trainers on up to ownership. He feels that Posada would fill a need the team has now "better than anything I can get in a trade" so he wants to see whether rehab is possible.'
I may have called that one right.
Why isn't it allowed?
Not to say that he wasn't very good. Just some perspective.
The big galut.
I think Ortiz is back though.
As for Manny, I was looking forward to seeing his antics, and not very scared of his bat, so, too bad. (On the other hand the BoSox bench is pretty thin, so whoever fills in will be worse than even 75% of Manny.)
"Up next is a trip to Boston, with the Yankees taking their mediocre 23-23 road record into Fenway Park for three games starting Friday."
Umm, 'mediocre'..? Try second best road record in the American League!
(sadly enough)
What was it they were saying on Fox a couple weeks ago... every pitcher with 100 more wins than loses is in the Hall of Fame and Mussina has 113 more wins than loses.
So, being on par with Mussina is not too shabby, yes.
I just saw them take on the...the...the Rock Cats a couple of weeks ago, but that was, I believe, AA. Gardenhire's son was on Portland.
those hopes of diminished power due to the wrist injury i was clinging to seem to have vanished.
Those are the road records, respectively, of the Rays and the Red Sox.
In fact, only the Yanks and the Angels are .500 or better on the road in the AL.
Mediocre. Bah!
Here's the report on today's game with the Defenders:
www.seadogs.com/2008scores/por7220.html
Ortiz didn't get a hit. But as YFinB says, he did just fine in his rehab stint overall.
2008: .444/.571/.852
2007: .392/.475/.686
2006: .556/.667/1.111
I suppose you could say that he's been in decline against NYY since 2006, but it's still pretty scary.
it's the RIPPER vs the RAPPER!
i'm so SMRT, smart!
Sox about to go to extra innings.
Seriously, why didn't the M's use a pinch runner last inning? A stolen base or a sac bunt would have won them the game in the 11th.
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