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Alex:
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Dad, Reggie and Me
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Alex:
Strikes and Gutters: A Year with the Coen Brothers: Part 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
My 20 Favorite Hip Hop Albums
Greatest Singles from Hip Hop's Golden Era (1986-1994)
Ten Neglected Hip Hop Classics
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Tin Ear
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Yankee Century: Part 1 Part 2
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25-man Roster:
Infielders:
J. Giambi BR BP E MLB
R. Cano BR BP E MLB
D. Jeter BR BP E MLB
A. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
W. Betemit BR BP E MLB mi
C. Ransom BR BP E MLB mi
Outfielders:
B. Abreu BR BP E MLB
J. Damon BR BP E MLB
X. Nady BR BP E MLB
H. Matsui BR BP E MLB mi
B. Gardner BR E MLB mi
Catchers:
I. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
J. Molina BR BP E MLB
C. Moeller BR BP E MLB mi
Starting Pitchers:
M. Mussina BR BP BC E
A. Pettitte (L) BR BP BC E
S. Ponson BR BP BC E mi
D. Rasner BR BP BC E mi
C. Pavano BR BP BC E mi
Relief Pitchers:
M. Rivera BR BP BC E
J. Chamberlain BR BP BC E
D. Marte (L) BR BP BC E
J. Veras BR BP BC E mi
E. Ramirez BR BP BC E mi
B. Bruney BR BP BC E mi
D. Giese BR BP BC E mi
C. Britton BR BP BC E mi
A. Aceves BR E mi
P. Coke (L) BR BC E mi
15-day DL:
C. Wang BR BP BC E
60-day DL:
J. Posada BR BP E MLB
J. Albaladejo BR BP BC E mi
A. Brackman BC
H. Sanchez BC mi
Coaches:
J. Girardi (Mgr) BR BP BC
R. Thomson (Bench) BC
Kevin Long (Hit) BR
D. Eiland (Pitch) BR BP BC
B. Meacham (3B) BR BP BC
T. Peña (1B) BR BP BC
M. Harkey (Pen) BR BP BC
40-man Roster:
AAA
S. Duncan BR BP E MLB mi
J. Miranda BR BC mi
M. Cabrera BR BP E MLB
J. Christian BR BP E MLB mi
P. Hughes BR BP BC E mi
I. Kennedy BR BP BC E mi
C. Wright (L) BR BP BC E mi
D. Robertson BR BC E mi
S. Patterson BR BC mi
AA
F. Cervelli BR BC mi
J. Marquez BR BC mi DL
Designated for Assignment:
B. Traber (L) BR BP BC E mi
Select Minor Leaguers:
AAA Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees:
B. Castro BR mi DL
C. Basak BR BP BC E MLB mi
E. Duncan BC mi
N. Green BR mi
B. Broussard BR mi
M. Carson BC mi
C. Stewart BR BP E MLB mi
J. Brown BC mi DL
K. Igawa (L) BR BP BC E JB mi
M. Melancon BC mi
J.B. Cox BC mi
S. Strickland BR BC mi
S. Jackson BC mi
E. Milton BR BC mi DL
V. Zambrano BR BC mi DL
AA Trenton Thunder:
K. Russo BR mi
R. Peña BC mi DL
C. Malec BC mi
M. Vechionacci BC mi DL
A. Jackson BC mi
C. Curtis BC mi
E. Gonzalez BR mi
P.J. Pilittere BC mi
J. Jones BC mi
G. Kontos BC mi
J. Nuñez BC mi
B. Smith BC mi DL
A. Claggett BC mi
O. Perez BR BC mi
M. Gardner BC mi
K. Whelan BC mi
W. Arias (L) BC mi
A Tampa Yankees:
E. Nuñez BC mi
C.J. Henry BC mi DL
T. Battle BC mi
K. Anson BC mi
J. Gil BC mi
A. Horne BC mi DL
Z. McAllister BC mi
W. De La Rosa (L) BC mi
C. Garcia BC mi
Low-A Charleston RiverDogs:
J. Snyder BC mi
M. Cusick BC mi
B. Suttle BC mi
A. Romine BC mi
J. Montero BC mi
D. Betances BC mi
J. Heredia BC mi
J. Ortiz BC mi
C. Heyer BC mi
Low-A Staten Island Yankees:
D. Adams mi
P. Venditte mi
Rookie Gulf Coast Yankees:
C. Joseph mi
C. Smith mi
K. Higashioka mi
Key:
BR = Baseball-Reference
BP = Baseball Prospectus
BC = Baseball Cube (past mL stats)
mi = MiLB.com (current mL stats)
E = ESPN (current splits, game logs)
MLB = MLB.com hit charts
JB = Japanese Baseball.com
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R. Sexson BR BP E MLB
M. Ensberg BR BP E MLB
A. Gonzalez BR BP E MLB mi
K. Farnsworth BR BP BC E
L. Hawkins BR BP BC E
Nady/Marte Trade:
J. Tabata BC mi
R. Ohlendorf BR BP BC E
D. McCutchen BC mi
J. Karstens BR BP BC E mi
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C. Woodward BR BP BC E MLB PHI mL
J. Lane BR mi BOS mL
G. Porter BC mi WAS mL
J.D. Closser BR mi SD mL
S. Henn (L) BR BP BC E mi SD
H. Phillips (L) BR BC mi TB mL
S. White BR BC mi
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J. Torre (Mgr) BR BP BC LAD
D. Mientkiewicz BR BP BC E MLB PIT mL
A. Phillips BR BP BC E MLB mi CIN mL
J. Phelps BR BP BC E MLB STL mL
M. Cairo BR BP BC E MLB SEA
K. Thompson BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT
B. Sardinha BC mi SEA mL
W. Nieves BR BP BC E MLB WAS mL
R. Clemens BR BP BC E mi
T. Clippard BR BP BC E mi WAS
L. Vizcaino BR BP BC E COL $7.5m/2yrs
M. DeSalvo BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
M. Myers (L) BR BP BC E LAD mL
R. Villone (L) BR BP BC E mi STL mL
S. Proctor BR BP BC E LAD
J. Brower BR BP BC E mi CIN mL
C. Bean BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
2007 Campers and mLers:
E. Durazo BR BP BC E MLB mi
A. Cannizaro BR BP BC E MLB mi TB mL
A. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi LAD mL
K. Reese BR BP BC E MLB mi
R. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT mL
O. Santos BC mi BAL mL
T. Pratt BR BP BC E MLB
T.J. Beam BR BP BC E mi PIT mL
B. Kozlowski (L) BR BP BC E mi Japan
Molina Trade:
J. Kennard BC mi
Abreu Trade
M. Smith (L) BR BP BC E mi PHI
C. Monasterios BC mi PHI
J. Sanchez mi PHI
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
The Yankees recovered nicely after dropping the first game of the weekend series, taking a sloppy affair on Saturday afternoon, and then dominating the Mets on Sunday night to the tune of 8-2. Chien-Ming Wang was impressive for the third straight outing. He came within just one out of a complete game and struck out a career-high ten batters. Alex Rodriguez and Jorge Posada both hit home runs and the Yankees kept pace with the Red Sox who swept the hapless Giants at Fenway Park.
Jose Reyes was a terror on the bases against the Yankees--he stole five bases in the first two games before being gunned-down by Posada last night--but Derek Jeter had a terrific weekend as well. Take your pick as far as who the best shortstop in New York is, at least you've got an argument. They have different styles but both Jeter and Reyes look like they are having an awful lot of fun out there.
Reyes is a treat to watch; his speed and grace on the field and the basepaths, his strong arm and his development as a hitter have been special. Given the same luck of avoiding major injury, Reyes stands a good chance to be better than Jeter. For now though, even Reyes would not question who's the superior shortstop of the two in the big picture.
Another interesting fact from last night's game: the Yankee batters who led off each inning hit for the cycle: Matsui and Cano singled, Rodriguez doubled, Abreu tripled, and Damon homered.
1 Jeter is gotta be the better one now. In a few years, we can think this over again and the answer could be different.
All in all, the past two weeks were greeeeeeaaaat!
Last Sunday it was David Chase's abrupt cut to black at the end of "The Sopranos."
Last night, it was Joe "Don't Stop Believin'" Torre yanking Wang (heh) 1 exit short of his destination.
It took me about 24 hours to appreciate Chase's creative decision to leave the ending up to the fans.
By that math, it will another 12 hours before I will be at peace with Joe robbing Wang of his complete game closure.
Wang didn't seem too bothered about it, and that's the most important thing.
re: the Jeter v Reyes thing.
I was at the game on Saturday, enjoying primo seats courtesy of my Mets fan brother-in-law's business connections -- and Reyes's speed was something to see in person. He's cartoon fast.
He was the Road Runner to Jorgie's Wile E. Coyote this weekend, and even as I was desperately rooting for Posada to catch him it was fun to watch Reyes in action.
No question Reyes does some things better than Jeter, but you can't compare their careers.
Bottomline, even after all these years, the first position player I'd pick to go into battle with is Jeter.
And hey, it's going to be two full days off for Proctor. I wonder what his arm is feeling.
Ha haa ha!!
Nice.
Reyes is a special player, no doubt about it.
The fact that he's improved his game to dramatically in so short a time (plate discipline, mainly) is extraordinary.
And his body has yet to fill out, so when it does, he should provide even more power, though I'd hate to see more bulk hamper his agility in the field and his quickness on the bases.
It's sad to watch him go to his left and see him make plays Derek couldn't dream about making.
(In fairness, though, Derek did make a nice play to his left last night, a play I was surprised he made.)
I felt sorry for the guy because it was just yet another small humiliation the likes of which the Mets and their fans most certainly do not need these days.
Having not so long ago suffered through such agonies ourselves, I really feel for them.
"Of course I wanted to finish the game, but I already lost one point to the previous left hand hitter. Since my arm was tired, I think it was better for the team if I rest."
(Obviously, English is not this commenter's first language -- I assume the interview was in Chinese.)
The guy has a couple of other interesting quotes, too. Check it out:
http://tinyurl.com/2zrmdw
On another topic, here is a fantastic post about Jorgie:
http://baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=412
The ending is the most interesting part.
What's really odd about this season is that the first four starters are all going deep into games (assuming Clemens continues to do so) and the BP may end up under-worked before too long. This after a lot of people were saying they'd all be worn out by August.
I think Igawa's going to be an important asset as a solid 5th starter. Of course when Hughes returns, that could be a bit more up in the air.
I'm planning to take two of my kids to Cooperstown this summer (very soon if possible). What's a good place to stay? I don't want one of the fancy resorts -- too expensive and mainly wasted on my sons anyway. They'd want a pool, that's probably the only non-negotiable requirement. I've been poking around on-line, hadn't realized how expensive it is (almost nothing < $200/night).
Any advice appreciated.
I got to see Reyes for a year in A ball (SA League). Even then you could tell that he was much better than most of the guys. IIRC, his team won the SAL championship that year.
http://tinyurl.com/3bl8jk
The odd coincidence is that Sam got fired primarily for the things we criticize Joe for AND for doing something Joe just did; apparently Sam did not enjoy nearly the same amount of support from his crew. But what if Girardi does tackle the job? Does that mean Mattingly is The Chosen One? (or Michael Corleone as the case may be...)
Interesting...
On the other hand, in the ninth inning of Saturday's game, Jeter barely waved at a grounder about three feet to his right.
I was mightily impressed with Reyes, and I think there's a strong case to be made that, right now, he's a better player than Jeter. For starters, any comparison of their defense is laughable. Jeter's a much more consistent hitter, but he doesn't hit for much power, either - Jeter's only got 2 more homers this year, but Reyes makes up for it with triples. And the youngster's got 30 more stolen bases already...
I love Jeter, so I can't be dispassionate. But offer me an even-up trade, and that love is the only thing that would hold me back.
If Reyes can still 50 bags a year and hit .300 and keep up his defense, he's an elite shortstop, even if he hits 5 homers a year, which I suspect he won't, but even if he did, he's looking pretty elite to me.
If he continues to learn to steal bases then basically you walk him and you're looking at a double, maybe even a triple, and the chances of pitchers throwing mistakes to the numbers two three and four guys has to go up, except for the most elite of veteran pitchers.
Again, not trying to be combative, but I'm not quite sure how you can overlook all that.
At this point, I wish there were a face-saving way to get he and Alex to switch, for the good of the team.
An elite shortstop, yes he is or will be. I like that he's turned out to be the real star on that team. But in my opinion, he has a ways to go before he's regarded as an all-time elite player.
there are currently two baseball tournament camps running, each with 15-20 teams or so, plus the usual HOF tourists, plus the local Belgian brewery has been doing a lot of promotional events. there are a lot of little bed and breakfast type places that charge from $50-100 a night, plus the Super 8 in Oneonta. I can give you a lot more info if you want, email me at michael.popek AT gmail.com. i don't want to threadjack too much.
But as of today, VORP for Jetes is 30.1 while Reyes is 32.1. So case closed -- Reyes is better!
Oh wait. But VORP is a counting stat so that includes playing time. If you want to look at rate. Jeter's rate VORPr is .431 while Reyes' is .443. So still Reyes is better!
But what about EQA? It turns out that BP has Reyes ranked right over Jeter:
Name Team(s) Pos Out PA EQA EQR RAR RAP RARP
JOSE REYES NY_-N SS 198. 315. 0.306 51.5 26.3 18.4 27.2
DEREK JETER NY_-A SS 186. 309. 0.301 46.1 22.5 14.9 23.2
Then what about defense? Mets currently rank #1 in team defensive efficiency. The Yanks are #7. Someone else can figure out who is a better defensive player. My belly full of guts says Reyes.
Obviously, the long term answer is Reyes since he is so young and has a belly full of guts to match Jeter's.
Overall as of RIGHT NOW, Reyes is the better player. Will it stay that way? My belly full of guts says that for this year, the answer is no.
Jeter is coming off a year where his VORP was 80.5 -- the next closest was around 65 and it wasn't Reyes. So I expect Jeter to play better offensively. Even if he doesn't match last year's performance, a VORP is 65 is reasonable. Especially if Abreu continues to be hot and hit behind him.
28 Our typical difference of opinion, weeping. =)
Consider this. Jeter tends to hit .300, and plays defense well enough (I have no idea what advanced metrics think of Reyes) - so let's say they're even with the glove. What are the differences?
Derek averages a little more than 20 SBs a season, which gives Reyes a 30 SB or so advantage. (We'll also presume they steal at an equally proficient rate, but I believe Jeter is a little more efficient.)
But Jeter averages around 15 HRs a year - a 10 HR advantage over your hypothetical Reyes stats.
So what's worth more, 10 extra HRs or 30 extra SBs?
I'm no advanced statistical guy, but let's look at how many runs each score on average. I know runs are a contextual stat, but if there is one thing you'd think SBs would help, it would be runs scored. The steal almost entirely eliminates the DP and puts Reyes in position to score on a single.
But . . .
Jeter averages about 120 runs/season, while Reyes (so far) averages about 95 runs/season.
So it seems like the extra HRs are worth more.
Remember too, that Jeter's power makes pitchers more afraid to pitch him, especially with runners on base, because he could hit one out. If Reyes comes up with runners on, a pitcher is going to be less worried, because Reyes can't steal if the base ahead of him is occupied. And while Reyes' is certainly pesky on the basepaths, there is strong evidence that having a pesky runner on doesn't affect pitchers enough to make a difference.
Without lots of power, I think Reyes is, and will be, a very good shortstop. But not an elite (say Hall of Fame) one.
I guess it's about the definition of the word "elite," but I guess my only point is that I don't believe someone needs to hit with power to be considered an elite player if they make other offensive contributions.
Semantics, maybe.
I guess to me, the very last thing I think about as far as Derek goes is power. His homeruns just don't factor in much to my assessment of him. He hit 24 or whatever it was in 1999, and that was great, but last year he hit 13 or whatever it was, and frankly, I didn't miss those extra homers. I never thought that his value had depreciated because of that, though perhaps statistically it had.
I'm not sure how afraid pitchers are of Derek hitting one out. That was Alex's big dig, remember? About pitchers not being afraid of him, but rather of Bernie and Tino and Paulie?
As to the value of 10 extra homeruns or 30 extra stolen bases, it's hard to say.
The thing about the stolen bases is that they're reliable, a great weapon even if the pitcher brings his A-game, even if the hitter's slumping. You can count on speed more than you can the long ball.
And as I say, I don't know how you measure the impact of speed on rattling the pitcher and driving up his mistakes to the next batters, but every player always mentions that, which leads me to believe there's something to it.
And the threat of the steal also makes it hard to walk Reyes, which means his speed could get him more extra-base hits just because no one wants to walk him so they throw him a meatball which he could hit hard and end up on second or even third anyway.
I know the stuff I'm talking about probably isn't measurable, but I'm not sure it's voodoo either.
And as to defense, just from watching Reyes, I don't think there's any comparison to Derek.
In general, one of the things about the stats is that they don't necessarily reveal how one individual performance affects the performances of the rest of the team, which should be taken into account.
When do the personal feats of the athletes make their teammates better?--it's still a team sport, afterall.
As for the power, Reyes had 19 homers and 17 triples last year. His isolated power was 40 points higher - in fact, his slugging average was higher, despite the disparity in batting average. The homers may have been a fluke, but the triples certainly weren't - and in any case, Reyes is no 5-HR hitter.
Jeter's power is definitely not what separates him. His power isn't really that big a deal. It's his consistency, his ability to churn out hits game by game. Not a lot of walks, not a lot fo power, but an extremely consistent average hitter.
Especially with the glove; it's clear that Reyes is superior on that count.
His hands are surer, his range is greater, his arm is stronger.
The one thing I'm not sure about is if Reyes is as good on those outfield popups, though I seem to recall him being pretty smooth on those as well.
Also, I'm not sure about how Reyes handles pressure, because that's a big thing about Derek, the fact that he rarely makes errors in big spots.
That one he made in Game 6 against Florida was huge, as it allowed the second run to score late in the game, but otherwise, his strength is his consistency and the unflagging focus that accounts for it.
I also wondered about Reyes on popups, because that's the one thing Jeter does exceptionally well on defense. It still doesn't make up for all those ground balls Reyes gets to.
As for pressure, it's hard to say, but this weekend helped Reyes's case a little. Unless something really surprising happens, we should get more of an idea come October.
No question that pressure rolls off Jeter's back. I'm not convinced that he performs better under pressure, just that he doesn't let it affect him at all.
With other guys, it's clear pressure gets to them because they'll give away ab, lunging, swinging at pitches they should take, taking pitches they should swing at, etc.
This is what Alex seems to do when he's not right and it certainly has seemed in the past that pressure (or who knows what) has effected his game, because his swing is always true, but his balance is the first thing to go when he's off.
Derek is caught off-balance his fair share, but I've never really noticed that when he's not getting hits it's because he's off-balance more or because he's fooled more.
I pretty much always know what I'm going to get with him.
But again, I put it out to everyone, how do we account for Derek's falling from the .350s to the .320s in a space of a about 3 weeks?
Anyone notice any change at all in his at-bats, because I sure didn't. He just didn't seem to be hitting as many line drives, but mechanically, he looked the same to my eyes.
Funny thing with him as well, he'll go through a seemingly long dry spell, then come back in hit or reach base forty-five games in a row. He always has a way of contributing when other things don't work, which is remarkable in this day and age. I wouldn't worry, Weeping, he'll be all right...
I'm not quite sure how to respond...