Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
By Rich Lederer (Guest Columnist)
Winter has turned to spring - well, at least when it comes to the baseball calendar - and, for the first time in more than 20 years, Bernie Williams is not in Tampa or Fort Lauderdale, taking batting practice and shagging down fly balls.
Signed as an undrafted free agent by the Yankees on September 13, 1985, Williams has spent 21 of his 38 years roaming the outfields in Florida, Oneonta, Prince William, Albany, Columbus, New York, and dozens of other minor and major league cities. He has been one of those rare one-team players, who re-upped with the Yanks on two occasions. Sure, he almost left the Bronx for the greener pastures of, gasp, Boston in 1998. But he took it upon himself to meet with the Boss and the two sides worked out a seven-year, $87.5 million contract that was virtually identical to the offer made by the Red Sox.
After Bernie's multi-year deal ran out, he agreed to return in 2006 for $1.5 million. Expected to be the fourth outfielder, Williams was thrust into a starting role when Hideki Matsui and Gary Sheffield landed on the DL for an extended period. He started 104 games, playing mostly in RF but also in CF, LF, and as a DH.
Melky Cabrera also benefited from the injuries and emerged as a viable fourth outfielder for 2007, rendering Williams nothing more than a pinch hitter who could also serve as a fifth outfielder and an occasional designated hitter. Bernie filed for free agency at the end of October and the Yankees opted not to offer him salary arbitration. Not wanting to guarantee the 16-year veteran a roster spot, the Yankees offered him a non-roster invitation to spring training in late January.
Nearly four weeks have passed and Williams sits home in Westchester County, N.Y., waiting to see if a guaranteed job opens up for him. Earlier this month, Bernie told the the New York Daily News, "I'm working out, but I think the way it looks right now, it doesn't seem like I'm going to be playing with that team this year." That team? Yikes. I can sense the anger all the way out here in Southern California.
What's going on here? Who's at fault for allowing the situation to get to this point? Is Bernie an asset or a liability at this stage in his career? Let me see if I can offer a non-partisan viewpoint on this hotly debated subject.
OK, let's take these questions one at a time. "What's going on here?" Well, a Yankees great is nearing the end of the road and the club no longer has a guaranteed roster spot for him. Look, these things happen. It happened last year with Tim Salmon and the Angels. Salmon, like Williams, had played his entire career with the team that originally signed him. Unlike Bernie, the all-time Angels great missed the previous season due to an injury. Salmon did not file for free agency and the Halos, unsure of his health status, offered him a minor league contract and an invitation to camp. With a good spring, Tim earned a spot on the roster and was a productive force as a PH and part-time DH, playing only four games in the field all season.
"Who's at fault for allowing the situation to get to this point?" Without being privy to all the conversations that took place, this one is a difficult question to answer fairly. I believe Brian Cashman should have sat down with Bernie during the off-season to explain the situation to him. "You have been a great Yankee. We appreciate everything you have contributed over the years. Going forward, we would like you to remain with the organization in some capacity but, to be candid, we're just not sure if there will be a spot for you on the roster this season. It all depends on whether we trade Melky as well as some other moves we may or may not make. You're a free agent and you can do as you please, but I'd like to invite you to spring training and give you an opportunity to make the club. I can't promise you anything, but I know Joe would like to have you on the team, if at all possible. If this works for you, great. If not, I can understand that, too. Either way, I just wanted to extend you the courtesy of letting you know what was on our minds." Unfortunately, I don't believe this meeting ever took place. If it had, I would say it was up to Bernie to accept Cashman's offer, sign with another team (which really wasn't an option he wanted to pursue due to his goal of retiring as a Yankee), or retire.
"Is Bernie an asset or a liability at this stage in his career?" Well, let's take a look at the numbers.
Bernie's last great season was in 2002 when he hit to the tune of .333/.415/.493. You might even say it was his last good season. Yankee fans know all too well that Williams slumped in 2003-2005, yet he was far from horrendous - at least at the plate - in '03 and '04 when he slugged 37 HR and drew 156 BB while putting up an OPS+ of 110. He had a poor year in '05 but bounced back last season and hit .281/.332/.436. Not too bad, especially when compared to several other players on the team, including someone who could earn a spot on this year's roster.
AVG OBP SLG OPS Crosby .207 .258 .299 .557 Phillips .240 .281 .394 .675 Wilson .212 .248 .365 .613
Bernie crushed lefthanded pitchers (.323/.387/.549). Are you going to tell me that there's no room on the team for a player who put up a .936 OPS vs. LHP? Last year was not a fluke either. He has always pounded lefties. Let's take a look at his career spits.
AVG OBP SLG OPS vs. LHP .308 .397 .503 .900 vs. RHP .292 .373 .465 .838
In limited playing time, Phillips has had reverse splits.
AVG OBP SLG OPS vs. LHP .195 .233 .244 .477 vs. RHP .262 .305 .470 .775
Josh Phelps, who is also competing for one of the 25 jobs this spring, didn't even play in the majors last year but has hit lefties well when given the opportunity.
AVG OBP SLG OPS vs. LHP .292 .357 .500 .857 vs. RHP .257 .325 .460 .785
The problem with Phelps is that he strikes out over 25% of the time and is a liability on the bases and in the field. Yes, he is younger than Williams, but it's not like Bernie faded down the stretch either.
AVG OBP SLG OPS 1st Half .282 .323 .416 .739 2nd Half .278 .347 .468 .815
It looks to me like Williams still has some fuel left in his tank. Just in the last five years, the Yankees have given more than 100 AB in a season to such veterans as Ron Coomer, Karim Garica, Ruben Sierra, Shane Spencer, John Vander Wal, Craig Wilson, and Todd Zeile. I would submit that a 38-year-old Williams is better than each and every one of these players - all of whom were nothing more than corner OF/1B/DH/PH types. Not a one was on the team for his glove.
OK, I realize yesterday was yesterday but is the makeup of this year's club all that different? If you want to keep Doug Mientkiewicz for his glove and lefthanded bat, fine. But let's not kid ourselves here. Minky will turn 33 in June and has never been much of a hitter. He doesn't hit RHP any better than than LHP so it's not like he is going to make sense as a platoon partner with Phillips or Phelps. I never cared for Jason Giambi as a first baseman, but isn't it possible that the Yankees could be better off running him out there vs. southpaws while inserting Williams in the lineup as the DH? And why couldn't Bernie have learned to play 1B if the Yanks were petrified at the thought of seeing Giambi with a glove in his left hand?
As Rob Neyer so keenly noted in a recent column (Insider subscription required), Bernie Williams has been treated well financially by the Yankees over the years. How well? $103 million well. However, as far as I can tell, this matter has little or nothing to do with money. But, if this is the end, you would think that both sides could have shown each other a bit more respect after a successful partnership that has lasted nearly 22 years.
Rich Lederer, a native of Long Beach, California, is a longtime friend of Bronx Banter. Rich and I collaborated on a profile of Bernie Williams and Derek Jeter three years ago, almost to the day. His site, The Baseball Analysts, is essential reading for baseball fans.
1) The three 1B's
- If the Yanks were to carry only Minky and Giambi, and forget about Phelps/Phillips, then there's a place on the team for another legit RH bat. And Bernie fits that need. However:
2) Bernie's not a PH
- Bernie isn't and has never been a PH and I don't think we can assume that he'll learn in the limited number of AB's he'd get in that role this year.
Career: 50 PA .205 .360 .282 .642
2006: 20 PA .125 .300 .125 .425
So Bernie has never been a PH and there's reason to suggest he's not suited to that role.ANd if he doesn't have have that skill already, how many at-bats would he get to improve it? Is there a chance for him to pinch in more than 30 games?
3) Torre logic
This in the most damning reason IMHO to not have Bernie on the team. All defensive metrics suggest he's not an OF anymore (as least Sierra could prevent a runner like Papi from advancing to second on a ground ball to RF).
At best, Bernie is a right-handed DH. I would agree there's still room for that role on this team especially with the all-lefty OF and Giambi. But of the few legit left-handed starters, how many at-bats is that in the year for a right-handed DH? 50? 75?
The greater problem though is that if Bernie is on the team, Joe feels the need to get him more at-bats in the OF, sitting Melky instead of playing him and DH'ing one of the OF's, or sitting Giambi so Bernie can DH against the southpaws.
The Torre factor is I think the prime reason to not find a place for Bernie. It's not that Bernie couldn't be helpful in limited action. It's that anything more than that and he's probably hurtful to the rest of the team.
4) Bernie doesn't seem to be a DH.
Career: 530 PA .270 .351 .416 .767
2006: 116 PA .267 .336 .317 .653
The problem in there is that's both LH and RH (I don't know where to find the double splits). And that fits with #3 above. Even in 2006 when Bernie was showing the extreme splits, Torre still DH'ed him against RH pitching.
If there was any reason for Bernie to get to camp and prove something, to me it was to show that he could be productive against both LHP and RHP, but only as a right-handed hitter. Indeed, if he showed he could hit RHP as well from the rightside then he could have a bit more value. But it still might not be as a DH.
And with no discernable arm or legs, I'm afraid he makes a poor choice as for a roster spot.
Thanks for the memories Bernie.
I wish the parting had been sweeter. I does leave a bit of a bitter taste in my mouth, both for the Yankees and for Bernie. But I suspect I'd be much angrier at Bernie striking out in the bottom of the 9th with two men on in a one run game.
Sorry to see you go Bernie, but it was time. I hope you are not too angry to come back to the Stadium for Bernie Williams day if/when that happens.
Bernie had his farewell tour last year. Bow down gracefully and take an exit. Seeing him wearing another uniform would BREAK my heart and I truly hope he does NOT go that route.
More than that, though, I want to see him go out with dignity. It seems that both he and the Yankees are not going to let that happen.
http://tinyurl.com/25dsea
Bernie=Tim Salmon is a great comparison.
How exactly does 1:
Career: 50 PA .205 .360 .282 .642
2006: 20 PA .125 .300 .125 .425
show that "Bernie is a MLB hitter off the bench"?
By contrast, here's Cairo (who I'm not a fan of):
Career: 166 PA .268 .329 .373 .702
2006 4 PA .500 .667 .500 1.167
So, if anything Cairo's a better MLB hitter off the bench. That's saying something.
Note to all: The stats do lie - but only when joecubed is citing them.
How can someone can mentioned all of the PT he got in RF last year (with a far superior arm stuck in LF) and conclude that Bernie should be back?
Rich, you brought some very interesting points to the table, but I think you miss that it isn't "Bernie instead of a 1B", its "Bernie instead of Melky". Like Jim says in 1, Joe Torre just won't be able to resist using Bernie as the 4th OF, a role for which Bernie is, I'm sure you'd agree, ill-suited.
He went down, as per the AP.
Bernies a terrible fielder with a terrible arm. He's not especially good as a runner (even when he was younger/healthier). So, as a RH batter, he MIGHT post close to league average OPS (with no other redeeming qualities)?
2 years ago, there were people who wanted Bernie off the field. Most of us Banterers stuck up for Bernie. Last year, it was closer to 50/50. Still, many admitted we still wanted him on the team. But this year? Everyone here loves Bernie, but from my estimation (from reading Yankee blogs) is that 80% or more want Bernie to retire. And we ALL love the guy.
Here's the issue. He got an invite to Spring training, which is a chance to play. Due to injury, or Josh/Andy being a total bomb and being cut, or its decided that Myers is taking up space, for the 2 innings a week he pitches... Bernie might have made the team. There are a number of scenerios where Bernie MIGHT make the team. Who knows?
But Bernie's ego is insulted. I love the guy, but age and injury humbles players. I really can't believe he wants to play that badly. His behavior doesn't back that up.
By the by... does anyone know IF Bernie got any legitimate offers from other teams????
However, since Bernie hasn't been "good" since 2002, I'm not sure that is applicable.
I think his .936 OPS against lefties in 2006 could, somewhat be explained by a sample size folley.
In 2005, Bernie had 50 more ABs against lefties than he had in 2006, and he provided a .591 OPS against such pitchers.
Could he provide a .936 OPS against lefties? I suppose. Could he provide a .591 OPS against lefties? I believe it is just as likely.
"And Humberto Sanchez's pain in his right forearm reappeared last night, sending up a red flag to he and the organization. He also is having an MRI today."
That's from Newsday.
http://tinyurl.com/37mgtr
No word on whether Pavanomas was envious of Abreu.
Lo and behold, he's the only pitcher to take a liner off his leg...it's getting a little ridiculous.
If he can't play the field and he can only hit from one side of the plate, why do the Yankees need him? Respect? I think we all knew these things prior to the start of LAST season, hence Cashman's generous one year deal. That one year deal was a thank you, and was a kind of pat on the back saying, "Thanks for everything. Here's your farewell tour. Enjoy it." That's far more respect that many guys get. Bernie had to know that.
This is all on Bernie. Cashman has been very cold blooded recently, but Bernie and Boras have been playing games. In the end #51 will be in monument park and Bernie will get his day, but he may take some time to stop steaming, wherever he is, and get his head together.
It's regrettable that it's come to this, but the Yankees don't owe Bernie anything more than the proper retirement of his number and a plaque in Monument Park.
Actually, I do have to add that whether or not Cashman was responsible for the hard feelings that have surfaced in this, he seems to be doing his own version of Bernie, PR-wise. Not good...
I guess it really is over. Sad it had to end this way.
It really is time to let this one go I think.
So the appropriate analysis here is 50 PH PA's over a 16 year career, or 20 last season. That defines Bernie Williams huh?
Let me ask you this? Given his admittedly weak arm and the presence of a faster, younger, stronger armed alternative (Melky) filling in at the same time, why did Mr Torre, paid $7 mil to make these decisions on a daily basis in the interest of putting the best club on the field, and with the soonest position opening available to said young prospect being right field so having him play there also made good strategic / development sense, choose to go the opposite way? He's paid a fortune to make this decision, but you typists all know better? I think not. And you think he'll let his emotions get the better of him rather than the good of the team? While I don't think Torre is the greatest of managers, I don't think he's the idiot you're making him out to be. Make sure you don't let your ever so important opinions turn into fact.
Carefully chosen statistics can be used in many ways. Bernie's role has never been that of PH. He only stopped being the starting CF last season. That's not likely to be his role now - there's only 1 guy it makes any sense to PH for - Mientky - and that's likely to occur about 15 times a year. We play in the AL remember! And pinching for him means putting an inferior defender on the field late in a close game. Is that a good strategy?
You're all tap dancing on Bernie and loving Melky - I do too - but I don't think Melky should start ahead of any of the 3 OF's. These guys aren't old, and each has averaged near to well over 150 games played a season. Hopefully they'll do the same this year, leaving about 25-30 games to play for a 4th OF. These 3 All-Stars are each supposed to sit once a week so a .280 hitting second year player with less power and lower OBP can get AB's? That somehow makes the team better? And they aren't so poor defensively that a replacement is required. So it's that plus the occasional DH day. I don't really see that as the right job for a developing 22 year old prospect - virtually every org in baseball would stash the kid in AAA to get more AB's and PT at the position they were likely to have a shot at but weren't quite ready for yet, and have a veteran 4th OF who could fill in at all the spots, maybe hit .270 with a little power, gee a switch hitter would be nice... Sure if someone gets hurt, goes DL, Melky steps right in. And pretty clearly Bernie is a step up from Phillips or Phelps as a bench bat (notwithstanding that statistically imposing & largely irrelevant PH sample) if that's the alternative.
The right solution would have been a major league deal so Bernie isn't put in the position he's in. Then if he's not cutting it or the 1B platoon just makes more sense, you tell him so he can gracefully retire or ingraciously try to hook up elsewhere, and we pay him termination pay rather than the full contract. Hell, call it a tip for 16 years of exemplary service. Are we too cheap to toss $300k to a Yankee icon as a severance package? Bernie's not going to go to Scranton and wait for an opening - that's the insult implied in a minor league deal.
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