Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
While the Randy Johnson story plods alongs, the Bombers are reportedly close to signing a first baseman. According to Anthony McCarron in today's Daily News:
The Yankees and Doug Mientkiewicz are so close to completing a one-year contract that the first baseman was on his way to New York yesterday to take a physical, according to a source. The lefty-hitting former Met likely will play first against righties in a platoon with Josh Phelps or Andy Phillips as Jason Giambi serves as the full-time DH.
This news is certain not to be received well by those sabermetrically-inclined Yankee fans, but it appears as if Alex Rodriguez's high school teammate will be playing in the Bronx this year. Mienkiewicz is a glove man who does not hit much.
I'm going to go throw up now.
Maybe the Yankees just figured that, with the trade of RJ, they needed to fill their "creaky back" quota.
It will be nice to have Tony Womack's bat back in the lineup. Along with Danny Tartabul's speed. And he'll get more playing time as the lefty-hitter in a platoon. Ugh.
Drives me nuts when a player continues to trade on a reputation that's no longer valid (Minky= good defense).
I'd also hoped for the RJ deal to return 2 young starters- can this Vizcaino guy really push someone out of the pen? Seems awfully crowded back there, and if Cash is stockpiling in order to deal from strength, he'd get a better return on young SP, even if it means coughing up more of the Unit's salary.
Why would Cashman waste Bob Sheppard's breath on Mientkiewicz?
No kidding at all, I'd rather see Giambi or Mattingly or Bernie playing 1B for the Yanks in '07.
Doug Needs-a-breath-mintkayvitch? Woof.
I think SG over at RLYW said it best "If Doug Mientkiewicz is the answer, then you're asking the wrong question."
the filled roster spot might just push bernie into the retirement home.
thanks for the memories, bern. can't wait to see your plaque in the new stadium.
Oh well. If the Yankees physical requires Dougie Not-So-Fresh to bend at the waist and touch his knees, perhaps he will fail, and return to Mt. Mediocrity.
time will tell how this works out.
http://tinyurl.com/w2ppw
Centerplate Plans to Eliminate Trans Fats in 2007
Vomit.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2719795
okay. now i am beginning to question ca$hman. if he could have signed loretta instead of doogie, i hope he would have spent there instead.
however, i will wait this out before i form an opinion... he IS ca$hman, and i will try to trust him...
I really had hoped Ca$hman had something in mind with Texas and this mounting supply of young arms. There is a guy down there whose name rhymes with Texeria that would look good over there. Oh well. Any chance we signed Alphabets as a backup?
Why would Minky not be the primary 1B starter vs RHP? I looked up Minky's stats, and he's shown a slight reverse platoon split in his career. That is, he hits lefties (.269/.360/.420) a little better than he does righties (.271/.359/.400).
This may all be moot if Phillips (who's shown reverse platoon splits himself in his limited MLB at-bats) or Phelps, or both, crush the ball in Spring Training, and Minky doesn't.
I'm not a huge fan of signing Minky, but I'm still hopeful.
I think the Yanks will survive with a platoon at 1b.
Didnt Eckstein just win the World Series MVP???
But I guess hes still not loved by the stat geeks.
according to http://tinyurl.com/y8elpf , doog's range was two thousandths of a point better than league average last year. so he's average. that is better than giambi. who is far less than average.
he isn't the defensive wizard that he once was, but hopefully he can relax, knowing that all that will be expected of him is to field.
also, perhaps hitting in the yankee lineup will benefit his numbers more than the mighty KC juggernaut?
(these are glass-half-full suggestions, i know, but i have to think that ca$hman knows what he is doing. if not, the very foundation of my understanding of the universe shall crumble.)
Giambi (AB AVG OBP SLG OPS)
Career:
1B: 4448 .311 .434 .577 1.011
DH: 1349 .246 .388 .483 .871
2006:
1B: 268 .289 .459 .592 1.051
DH: 306 .224 .373 .531 .904
What do they need Mhfc9udsvh for? The ten close and late games they'll play all year? Giambi should be playing 1B half-time, at least - he makes up for his defense with his bat. And I don't buy the - he gets hurt more argument. The guy ravages his body - of course he'll get hurt.
I'm going to throw up again.
you need to mention that, too. seriously. you need to mention it and show footage of him pacing and whirling his bat around in the circle as often as possible.
not just if you are broadcasting a game, but in your own life in as many situations as possible as well.
http://tinyurl.com/y8h3l2
Here's the gist. Going by MORP projections, Zito's next seven years are worth an expected $100 million in present dollars, which is almost exactly what he got. But going by PECOTA projections, those years are worth $43 million in present value. The discrepency is mainly explained by the difference between ERA (which MORP uses) and peripheral statistics (which PECOTA uses, largely ignoring ERA). So if you think ERA is not very robust (even after it's adjusted for parks and stuff like that), you should expect PECOTA to be more accurate, in which case the Giants overpaid for Zito grotesquely.
What's next - Cairo?
While Mientkiewicz is not an ideal option, there isn't much else available. What's more, by signing him to a one-year deal, the Yankees can pretty much dispose of him if he flops. In the meantime, they are getting a slightly below league average bat with a slightly above average glove. Signing Mientkiewicz is simply a stop-gap move and does not preclude more creative measures should they present themselves.
19 Finally, as for Loretta, both he and Mientkiewicz are pretty much the same exact offensive player. The difference between the two is Mientkiewicz is a lefty (and can platoon with Phelps/Phillips) and a much more experienced first baseman. As much as Mientkiewicz leaves something to be desired, Loretta would have been more of an ill fit as a first baseman.
Now, Cash is on a coke-fiendish "Get More pitching" kick, scratching his nose and offering overpriced 6'10" blowjobs to get more of his fix. Why?
Congrats Cash! You've learned something in ten years. How about a fucking bench worth having? How many years before you learn that's important?
Looking forward to the Spring controversy - who wins the 1B fucktard contest? Why, so Joe can play Cairo there?
1) Mfweuidvhhjk is average, at best, and coming off of back surgery. His best days are far behind him.
2) Giambi hits significantly better when he plays the field, and he's going to get hurt regardless of where he plays. The man has abused his body for years - there's no preventing injuries with him.
3) A platoon at 1B means a few things:
a) Three 1B's on your roster (wretch..)
b) Little playing time for Melky, their best defensive OF and a better bat than any of the platoon 1B's IMHO (hurl...)
c) What, you sit Giambi in interleague games and the Serious? (there's my lunch!)
First, Ca$hmoney has only had total and complete control for 14+ months (since November '05). It is very hard to evaluate what happened from Feb. '98 'til Nov. '05 given that none of us knows who was responsible for what moves.
Second, the season hasn't started yet. Come opening day, the Yanks bench may include a decent backup catcher (not Nieves), a decent backup MI (not Cairo), Melky, and Phelps/Phillips. That is, all things considered, the Yanks' best bench in years.
1) If you read my post, you'd see that I described Mientkiewicz as a slightly below league average bat with a slightly above average glove.
2) Giambi may hit better when he plays the field (although comparing his career stats is misleading because Giambi played mostly 1B in his best seasons), but he is brutal in the field. What's more, his 2006 splits have narrowed to the point that the Yankees would be better with Giambi as a full-time DH.
3) I don't think the Yankees need to worry about carrying three 1B. It's not like they have stronger bench players being edged out. While it would great if the Yankees could play Melky more (if he is even on the team), the current alignment just doesn't allow for it. Still, I'm sure he will get his fair share of ABs as the Yankees aging team could benefit from a few extra days offs. The W.S. and interleague also shouldn't be a factor as the Yankees can adjust their strategy for these short-term events.
Obviously this is mostly because Melky is on it, but he is a good player on our bench, there is credit for that somewhere.
Also, I'm assuming Kevin Thompson will be the 5th outfielder. Mostly, his job will be to pinch run for Giambi and Posada late in close games. Awesome.
The other bench spots go to a back up catcher and a middle infielder.
The season didn't start yet.
Cashman has had a very good offseason so far, it seems pointless to complain about the bench when it has improved between last year and the season didn't start yet.
Phillips and Phelps are still in the mix.
Abreu, Damon, and Matsui play every game no matter what, so only one backup OF is needed and Melky fits the bill. That leaves 4 bench spots to fill - surely no third catcher is needed and I would guess they don't fill up with all three of Manichevitz, Phillips, and Phelps as 1B/DH/PH.
All three will be in a Spring competition for 1 (or possibly 2) spots, as Cairo will be with someone for the reserve INF spot. That leaves 1-2 spots for either a young player like one of the Kevins (Reese or Thompson) or a washed up old guy like Dougy Fresh.
Remember that we had signed a bunch of washed up 1B/Dh types last year too (Carlos Pena, Durazo). If Manichevitz can't play during the Spring, he'll be cut loose.
What I'd like to see is Melky in LF fulltime and Matsui or Abreu playing 1B. Neither are good outfielders any longer but both are good enough ballplayers to convert to 1B (at least as well as Sheff did for the playoffs).
Maybe if the league is AA, I guess.
Cash "control" = Stinnett, Cairo, Long, Erickson, Ponson, Fasano = far from one of the best GM's.
40 I did.
1) Mofhvjxfhg is an average glove and a far, very far, below average bat for 1B's. And he just had back surgery.
2) Narrowed? That's normal variance - he hit better overall last year. The difference between 1B and DH was still .150 OPS - that makes up for his defense,and if anything the difference actually increased, see 29. What's more - his 2006 splits show the exact same pattern, see again 29.
3) Melky is the stronger bench player being edged out. He's the only saving grace on the bench right now. He'll hit better than the 1B platoon and field better than any of the OF's. And if they trade him they re-sign Bernie for another year, who's a platoon DH at this point.
As for the interleague and Serious, I'd rather not having Giambi relearning 1B for those 15 games a year - esp. not the last three or four - and esp. not for Mfhgghfk.
But hey, that's just me!
1) A platoon 1B = No 5th OF.
2) Nieves or Chavez - who amazingly are a step down from John Kelly Fasano.
3) Cairo? - who's still Cairo
4) Melky = thank god. IMHO he should be playing everyday until he proves he shouldn't be.
"... With the caveat that ZR doesn't measure all aspects of a first baseman's job, the glove still appears to be sound.
Mientkiewicz's not good, but he's not awful. He'll probably be about average or slightly below."
http://yankeefan.blogspot.com/2007/01/ny-post-yanks-doug-reach-tentative-deal.html
Yeah, Doug isn't that good, but I don't see the problem with a one-year signing here. Who is he blocking? Andy and Phelps (one of which he will most likely platoon with)? People are concerned about that? We are going to still score a ton of runs, and his defense is MUCH better than Giambi's. Who would we sign that was better (I would have prefered Wilson, but the Yanks apparently didn't). We have no minor leaguers ready to step in and play 1B.
People are also laughing about him being friends with Arod. That is no reason to sign him, but ARod could use some friends in that clubhouse with Shef gone, so it COULD have some unmeasurable value.
Also, the one-year deal means if he stinks or his back doesn't hold up, I don't think they will have a problem eating his salary and getting rid of him.
I agree with others on here. Minky might not even make the team out of spring training, its a cheap 1-year deal and he can be easily discarded. So long as this doesn't prevent more creative moves down the road I'm fine with it.
I'm much more concerned with the backup catcher situation. There's a huge dropoff if Jorge has to miss any significant time.
AAA is brimming with talent that we don't have space for.
Wouldn't it be shocking to anyone if a lesser starter (Karstens/White) was traded for a guy capable of being a bench player or a back up catcher.
I'm not sure we can judge the roster until it is complete. Right now, it is clearly not complete.
1) Considering that current metrics place him just above average, and he has generally been an above average first baseman for most of his career, I think it is fair to label Mientkiewicz as a slightly above average glove.
As for his bat, I said he was a slightly below average hitter and made no qualification for his position.
2) Considering that it is probably likely that Giambi has played nearly every game when he was less than 100% as a DH, I think that element would necessarily deflate his numbers. Without seeing a more in depth analysis, I am not ready to accept as truth that being DH has a direct impact on Giambi's offense. Having said that, I think the following from Goldman's Blog says it best on Giambi's defense:
http://www.yesnetwork.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20061219&content_id=1416183&oid=36019&vkey=5
3) As mentioned, Melky should get his fair share of ABs. Of course, that isn't necessarily a good thing. After all, Melky's 2006 OPS+ of 100 is just a tad above Mientkiewicz' career total of 99 (which itself is miles ahead of Phillips 77 from last season).
The fact that Cashman has not overreacted and made a stupid trade for a Richie Sexson type is a good thing. I'd much rather live with Mientkiewicz than trade good prospects for a 1B at this point. Who knows, if 1B continues to be a black hole, Cashman can always pick up Adam Dunn on the cheap, just like he did with Abreu.
47 Mgfjkgjhgh blocks Melky by way of Giambi at DH. This isn't Melk-love. He's a better hitter than any of the 1B's and fields better than any of the OFs. Melky improves the team's chances of winning when he plays.
Giambi's bad defensively but he makes up for it by hitting better at 1B. And the notion that he just has to get used to DHing was what everyone said last year. It didn't happen. He's a 1B who gets hurt because he pumped PEDs into his system for years and still parties like he's 25.
If our biggest concerns are back up I.F. and catcher I feel pretty good about things.
If that is the reality, I don't see how having Doug M on a one year deal to platoon with Andy/Phelps is a terrible move for the team.
Giambi as a DH when he's hurt is a hypothesis we had last year. 2006 disproved that hypothesis. Torre put him in the DH slot to start the year, and took him in and out of the field based on matchups. The conclusion is clear: Giambi is a worse hitter when he DH's - a much worse hitter.
As for his defense I don't disagree with Goldman. But his offense makes up for it, and they can get way with his defense for half the season. Plus, if that means Melky's bat and glove get into the game, then you've improved your offense even further while also improving your defense. The point of the game is to score more runs than you allow.
If everyone's healthy and they go with with a platoon at 1B, Melky doesn't play. It's that simple. And why compare Melky's career OPS+ with Mgefjdkgfh when the former is clearly on the upsurge of his trajectory while the latter is clearly on the downslope. Further, Melky was far, very far, above average in the field. He should be playing long before Meieofhvdjk, and also before the RH 1B. If that means a step down in 1B defense, but an huge upsurge in 1B offense, then so be it.
It behooves them from a pitching stand point to keep Giambi as far away from the bag as possible.
It may outweigh his offensive production....which appeared to be nearly even in 2006.
52 You are right of course, but Torre seems to hate him. Signing him and having him never, ever play doesn't do us any good either.
http://tinyurl.com/yyokhl
We're pleased to unveil our first Premiere video of 2007, "Bodega."
The first video in a new series about life in the Bronx, "Bodega" is a humorous yet searing commentary about the choices confronting people who live in "the poorest urban county in the country." Casimir Nozkowski and the creative team of Dallas Penn and Rafi Kam, who most recently collaborated on the video "Ghetto Big Mac", which was picked by the The Daily Reel as one of the Top 10 Online Videos of 2006, created the video. "Bodega" is live today at The Daily Reel.
As for the catcher - Jorge tore a knee ligament last year. Luckily it was behind the knee. If it was in front of the knee he would have been lost for much longer. I'd rather they have some options back there that aren't worse than John Kelly Fasano.
either way, he just won some points with me.
http://tinyurl.com/yfwtep
(someone fill in the number ... I'm just curious)
64 i bet that if you spell out whatever number that goes in that spot, the letters will be found in his last name. (50/50 chance anyway.)
http://tinyurl.com/y26egd
Anonymous writes: Peter, you are really a (bad word) idiot. Trading Johnson makes no (bad word) sense. The Yankees will miss him.
Answer: I honestly had no idea my Mom read the blog. Or liked Randy so much.
http://tinyurl.com/y7bkyc
We do?
...but with ca$hman, you never know.
Anyone know anything about the other prospects in the deal?
Anyone know anything about the other prospects in the deal?
Is Vizcaino better than Bruney? or Britton? Because last I checked they didn't have room in the bullpen for a RHP.
And Ohlendorf - is he even better than Rasner or Karstens? If not, then what? He pitches another year in AA? At age 25?
The rest = scraps.
[wretch]
Johnson
Yankees get:
Vizcaino--RP
Ohlendorf--SP
Jackson--SP
Gonzalez--SS
Not bad. Jackson is interesting to me.
No money has been mentioned.
it's all going to be fine.
15 wild pitches though...which is just strange. lol.
Viz: 70G, 65.1 IP, 8 HR, 29 BB, 72 K, 1.19 GO/AO, 1.22 WHIP, .397 SLG, .311 OBA, .215 AVG, 2.48 K/BB, 3.99 BB/9, 9.92 K/9, 7.03 H/9
Remarkably similar, with Vizcaino holding the edge in preventing hits and inducing ground balls. League differences probably mean less for a reliever, since he probably faced very few pitchers.
For a minute there is looked like the best defensive shortstop in the Diamondbacks system might be getting buried. Stephen Drew is still the SS of the future (and before too long the present), but Gonzalez, and his incredible defense (he started last season with a 30+ game errorless streak at Lo-A South Bend), started hitting last season, and his continued development will be something to watch, as he could play every infield position, and do it with better defense than almost anyone else in the system.
Last year he hit: .290/.356/.392 at AA
#18 Alberto Gonzalez, SS, C+ (good glove)
#19 Steven Jackson, RHP, C+ (excellent season in Double-A following mechanical rebuild)
#20 Ross Ohlendorf, RHP, C+ (sleeper who throws strikes)
- So the Yanks get the bottom of the prospect barrel and a reliever who may not make the bullpen out of camp, Or he bumps Bruney. And don't forget Vizcaino is due close to 2 million this year.
If that was the best they could do, they should have waited until April or May IMHO.
As for what's next...my guess is the Melky for Gonzo trade heats up again. Maybe with some Farnsy for Cain action after that.
Clemens...I dunno. He doesn't seem to be all that serious about baseball any more, and I can't see the Yanks going along with that.
#18 Alberto Gonzalez, SS, C+ (good glove)
#19 Steven Jackson, RHP, C+ (excellent season in Double-A following mechanical rebuild)
#20 Ross Ohlendorf, RHP, C+ (sleeper who throws strikes)
http://tinyurl.com/yhxu5v
Owings was rated at #6 ("B (solid all-around pitching prospect)") and Nippert at #9 ("B- (seems nervous in the majors)").
I see Vizcaino as insurance in case Briton needs a little more seasoning at AAA, or in case Bruney implodes (again). His numbers (when adjusting for the NL in '06) look very good.
That's what happens when I take too much time to look up Vizcaino's translated numbers (and his splits versus lefties, very good last year FWIW).
Mo
Farnswacker
Proctor
Meyers
Bruney
Britton
Viscaino
Unless Torre goes with a 12-man staff, it means that Britton is now expendable. And since he probably won't be included in any future trades, suddenly the Wright trade doesn't look so good.
Vizcaino is arb-eligible, and I think a free agent after '07. I bet the Yanks can get him to sign for $2M-3M (he signed for $1.775M last year to avoid arb).
105 Why wouldn't the Yanks go with a 12-man staff? I don't think it makes Britton expendable, I think it gives the Yanks good options. And good bullpen options, as any Red Sox fan will tell you, are a great thing to have.
Let me be overly critical for a moment. Britton is only 24 and has never seen any AAA time. Bruney pitched well in limited action last year for the Yanks . . . after imploding while with Arizona. And Scott Proctor could go back to being, well, Scott Proctor.
We all talk about these guys as if they are guaranteed gold. Their track records are good, they are young, they throw hard, and they throw strikes. The best way to build a bullpen seems to be to gather as many hard-throwing young arms as possible and see what sticks. And there's the rub - with the fluctuation in how almost all relievers perform from year to year, odds are at least one of those 3 won't do as well in '07 as he did in '06. In fact, one of them might implode altogether. Or get hurt.
So I think adding Vizcaino is a good idea.
And, if the Yanks want to try to turn Farnsworth, or Proctor (sell high!), into something else, there's plenty of room for Britton, Bruney, and Vizcaino.
I've heard some suggest that acquiring Vizcaino could make it possible for them to trade Proctor and Melky for Gonzo, but I can't see that happening. They seem to really like Proctor. Could they maybe trade Vizcaino instead of Proctor?
The Wright trade doesnt look good? Britton gives Torre options. He can now have arms in the minors ready to go in case he needs them. He gives options to Cashman in regards to deals.
Love what Cash is doing in stockpiling power arms.
He's traded a 4th starter, a 6th starter and a RF without a spot to play for high ceiling prospects and power arms.
Otherwise, they get prospects at the bottom of their system?
Great, I'm glad they saved 16 million.
See, all Unit has to do is win another 17 - 20 games next year with an ERA in the 3's and it's a bad trade in my mind. I don't care who the Yanks get as a fifth starter - they're not topping that.
Sure, if the Yanks win the Serious with Clemens, then all is forgotten. If not, I think the Unit trade looks bad, esp since Vizcaino got rocked the last time he was in the AL and the prospects aren't even on the big club this time next year.
The moved a HOF they didn't have to, and for peanuts just to dump his salary.
The inital trade was awful and should have never been made. But this was all about the cash. If they don't land Clemens then it was pointless.
He would have given them solid innings this year - the man at least always had professional pride.
They now have three givens in the rotation and two question marks. This trade made the team weaker with no obvious upgrade. Sorry - that's just my opinion. Sure they'll probably get the innings elsewhere. But to move him for that package? No thanks, and I accept I'm in the minority.
An old rumor is raising its head again today: that Ian Kennedy will be traded with Melky for Gonzalez. Supposedly, that's why the deal's on the backburner for now: as a 2006 draftee, Kennedy can't be traded until the end of January.
If it's true, I dunno. Kennedy is only a prospect, and a very green one, but he's a very highly-regarded prospect.
Seriously though, I agree... with so many arms potentially coming in the RJ trade that it isn't only the bullpen that will be crowded, it's also the AAA and AA rotations: Karstens, Rasner, Hughes, Clippard, Sanchez, White... I think there's another deal to be done before April 2. Or July 31. In fact, I'm gonna go ahead and start a rumor:
Carl Pavano, one of the non-Hughes guys listed above, and cash for Johan Santana or Carlos Zambrano. You heard it here first :-)
Another typical Yankee trade!
An over-the-hill, high priced, used up big name for youth with potential.
Jeezus H Creest!
wait.....
WE'RE dumping the old guy!
WE'RE getting the fresh blood!
Bless you Brian Cashman. We are on the path to righteousness!
Open your eyes guys.
Cashman has fleeced again!
Though I wouldn't say Cashman fleeced anyone. They wanted RJ - that was what was surprising. And it was reportedly RJ who asked for the trade to begin with. Presumably, everyone thinks they came out ahead in this deal.
Overall, it's getting something in return, but not an Abreu-like steal. Like I said in 119, I believe this is not the complete puzzle, just the pieces. Or sausage parts, depending on your favorite analogy.
All I know is:
Unit had a place on this team (whereas Shef and Wright didn't). None of the acquired pieces do. That's a net loss in my book. They don't make the 2007 Yankees better (I want to see Vizcaino be effective in the AL Beast).
As for the negativity, I've praised Cashman where appropriate. But as others have said, if they go into the 2007 with Raul Nieves and Cairo on the bench, and Melky and Ian gone for Gonzo and Bernie, then he still has a lot of work to do in my book.
For what its worth, I was in the same gym where he does therapy. Take the comment with a huge boulder of salt because I'm certainly not trained to make medical assessments, but he seems to be moving well in his rehab. However, he was favoring the right shoulder the other day. Not sure if any of the therapy will help him hit more than 6 HR's.
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