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Melk the Halls
2006-12-17 17:35
by Alex Belth

The big rumor swirling around the Yanks this weekend involves sending Melky Cabrera away and getting a good left-handed reliever in return. I don't figure that Melky is long for New York. I really enjoyed watching him last year; his enthusiasm is infectious. I hope he becomes a good big league ball player. That said, I'm not sold on him becoming a great player, and if the Yankees can improve their team by trading him, I'd be all for it, in spite of the fact that I like the kid. What do y'all think about this proposed deal? Mike Gonzalez worth moving the Melk Man for?

Meanwhile, when was the last time that Alex Rodriguez said something provocative and was completely ignored?

Comments (287)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2006-12-17 17:57:27
1.   Maniakes
Not the way Torre breaks relievers.
2006-12-17 18:03:16
2.   mikeplugh
Hmmm....A-Rod talks retirement. I could see it, but I don't think he'll hang it up if there are big numbers in front of him still left unaccomplished. When you go through a season like he did last year, where you put up All Star numbers and get booed every night, you talk retirement.

If he's close to 700+ homers, he'll play on. It makes no difference one way or the other to the Yankees. If he's not the same player at 35 as he is today, it will be time to think about replacing him anyway. The team as a whole will be very different after the 2010 season. There will be no:

Mike Mussina
Andy Pettitte
Randy Johnson
Carl Pavano
Mariano Rivera
Johnny Damon
Derek Jeter (?)
Bobby Abreu
Alex Rodriguez (?)
Jason Giambi
Jorge Posada
Hideki Matsui

It's possible that both Jeter and A-Rod will be on the 2011 Yankees, but they will be past their primes and basically filling their positions with above average, but no longer MVP caliber, performance. The pitching staff will be almost unrecognizable from the 2007 team. You may see Wang and Igawa, if they play well. You'll certainly see Hughes, and maybe Cox. The lineup will be drastically different with only Cano as a certain holdover. You'll probably have Tabata there, if all goes well.

The fact is, the A-Rod talk is a non-story. The Sox and Yankees will be 95% different in 2011, so it doesn't merit much comment.

2006-12-17 18:07:21
3.   monkeypants
I've changed my mind. They should trade MElky, go with a 13 or 14 man pitching staff, resign Bernie to play all the OF positions, back-up DH, PH, etc. Resign Cairo to start at 1B and back-up all other positions. Or maybe replace Bernie with Stinnett--the team just wasn't the same after they let him go.
2006-12-17 18:17:47
4.   dianagramr
A-Rod has never had a major injury, and assuming his back holds up from playing 3B for a few more years (can we PLEASE move him to SS?), he should be fine for 38 or 39 as his final year.
2006-12-17 18:20:40
5.   monkeypants
4 With the DH and 1B, if he is still performing at a relatively high level, he'll be able to play until 40 in the AL--especially if he (and whatever team hires him) wants to start breaking counting-stat records.
2006-12-17 18:26:24
6.   joejoejoe
I think the Yanks are crazy to trade Melky. The guy came up and was killed by Torre for his defense as the greenest of green rookies. One year later he's rated the best defensive LF in the American League. Offensively Melky was exactly average in park adjusted OPS in '06 at age 21 as a switch-hitter. He's good now, under a microscope, under pressure at age 21. He has a chance to be very good and very cheap for several years. It's better to shuffle other roster parts to find room for Melky. Having Giambi at DH really causes a logjam for the aging OF (Damon, Abreu, and Matsui) in terms of rest and DH ABs.

Melky is a chip worth $10M/yr on the open market (Gary Matthews Jr.). I can't figure the Mike Gonzalez deal unless Cashman knows something about Rivera retiring in '08. These setup guys are too inconsistent to be using your top value chips to acquire.

2006-12-17 18:26:37
7.   Adam B
I'd prefer that they hold on to Melky for at least one more year. As a fourth outfielder, he has great value, and the kid does have a pretty good eye. Plus his defense is very good, as evidenced by how high he shows up in Pinto's PMR charts, despite him not being a starter the whole season. Having guys like Melky on the bench at the major league minimum is always a good thing. And it's not like Mike Gonzalez has a clean health record either, and he still walks quite a few guys despite last year having been his Age 28 season.
2006-12-17 18:29:01
8.   monkeypants
On other news--do you think the Sox are really concerned about Drew's shoulder, or are they trying to find a way to nix the deal now that they added the $ 100-million starter AND failed to shed Manny's contract?
2006-12-17 18:32:20
9.   yankz
Jeter will be playing in '11. Thus, Jeter will be on the Yankees in '11.

Everyone keeps saying that Tabata will be ready in '09. He's not even 18 and a half yet, a lot can go wrong (though you have to love his potential).

2006-12-17 18:36:29
10.   markp
Gonzales is not a set-up guy. He's a very successful closer who has numbers up there with the best RP in the game. If he's healthy, he worth Melky.
2006-12-17 18:49:15
11.   randym77
A-Rod will be 35 by the time his contract is over. Not exactly a shock if he retires at that age. Tiki Barber retiring this year, at age 31, that's a shock. Especially since he doesn't have a ring yet.

I'm already on the record in favor of trading Melky for pitching. I think the proposed trade would be good for the Yankees, good for Pittsburgh, and good for Melky.

I want to know what Murphy asked in the last thread: how did the White Sox land Toby Hall as their backup catcher?

2006-12-17 18:51:55
12.   Jeteupthemiddle
I'm not opposed to trading Melky.

I'm opposed to trading him for a reliever when we have a bazillion candidates already employed.

2006-12-17 19:08:10
13.   mikeplugh
12 I think Jeteupthemiddle just made the best case so far. I'm ambivalent to the current proposal, although I'd support it if it happened. The main objection to this deal has to be what value is coming back. Not the player in question, but rather the role he plays on the ballclub.

When exchanging parts, you need to consider what hole your trade in is going to fill. The Yankees need another strong left handed reliever. The only way they address that without a trade is betting on Pavano to play the whole year healthy, and Igawa coming out of the pen in his first season with the Yankees. Paying Igawa $11 million a year to come out of the pen seems ridiculous.

Melky would ideally be traded for a starter, maybe in a package, but no one is going to give up a top starter (that's significantly better than what we already have) without the Yankees including something more valuable than Melky. That leaves us in our current position.

2006-12-17 19:21:40
14.   markp
Aside from Rivera, we have nobody that approaches this guy. It doesn't matter how many candidates you have if none of them are close to this guy's ability. Referring him to "just another set-up guy" or a "BP candidate" is pretty far from what he really is.
2006-12-17 19:21:46
15.   Jeteupthemiddle
Actually, I think the Yankees have more use for LaRoche than they would for Gonzalez.

If the Braves are only getting Melky in the 3-way trade and sending out LaRoche, then why even bother with the Pirates at all?

Seems more worth our while to just cut out Pittsburgh and deal Melky for LaRoche straight up.

2006-12-17 19:29:10
16.   randym77
I don't think the three-way trade is going to happen. It sounds like the current deal on the table is Melky for Gonzalez, straight up. Maybe with a lower-level prospect or cash thrown in (by the Yankees).

There was talk of Melky for LaRoche earlier, but that's faded. The other hot rumor of the weekend is that the Yankees want to sign Doug Mientkiewicz. Not the righty bat many hoped for, but if they can't get that, I'd be happy with his good glove.

2006-12-17 19:30:12
17.   monkeypants
14 I'm not sold yet--he has only averaged 45 innings/year the last three, and his peripherals are mixed: lotsa Ks but 1.3+ WHIP the last two years.

15 I agree. Except for the fact that he's LH, and the team seems driven to get a RH. I wonder if Cashman doesn't have a series of trades in mind that yield ultimately a young C or a short term 1B solution.

2006-12-17 19:31:24
18.   monkeypants
16 Yikes. I wouldn't use the words 'happy' and 'Mientkiewicz' in the same paragraph.
2006-12-17 19:48:18
19.   Levy2020
12 I'm with 12. Right now assuming the Yankees keep Pavano and sign Igawa, they already have a 13-man staff. Meanwhile Bernie - who unfortunately can't really field but would be a solid righty DH option in the absence of Giambi - becomes the defensive replacement in the OF?

The only thing that would make adding Gonzalez work would be demoting Beam or Britton or flipping Farnsworth. And would the Yankees be able to flip Farnsworth for something better than Melky?

2006-12-17 19:50:25
20.   Jeteupthemiddle
17 Well, I certainly see the point of having a right handed first baseman.

As they stand right now, if the first baseman is lefty, the entire lineup sans Jeter and Arod will be left handed.

Probably too many. Although, I suppose it could be argued that the lefties in the lineup are too good for a lefty/lefty matchup to really effect them, but still, I would prefer to not be so lopsided.

However, if something comes along where a very good left handed first baseman comes along (LaRoche, Nick Johnson, etc.) then you can't just say no.

Of course, if that is the case, then it would probably be a good idea to fill the bench with righties. (even though, I think Kevin Thompson is the perfect 5th outfielder--still is regardless, I guess).

2006-12-17 19:55:04
21.   randym77
19 I'm hoping Cashman puts his foot down and doesn't re-sign Bernie. I love ya, Bernie, but your musical career is calling.

One of the first roster moves the Yankees made in the post-season was to add Sardinha to the roster. I'm hoping that means he's opened some eyes.

Maybe we could trade Farnsworth for LaRoche. I think they'd take welcome him back.

Or they could send down Beam. I like Bat-Boy, but IMO, he's not ready for prime time.

2006-12-17 20:06:51
22.   StolenMonkey86
A note about Mike Gonzalez:

In 2003, he was traded at the deadline by the Boston Red Sox with Freddy Sanchez and cash to the Pittsburgh Pirates for Brandon Lyon, Jeff Suppan, and Anastacio Martinez.

2006-12-17 20:15:14
23.   randym77
22 Are you sure? I thought Gonzalez was drafted by Pittsburgh and came up in their system.
2006-12-17 20:22:09
24.   gmt
I think another factor in the Yanks interest in Gonzalez is that the sox are also reported to be interested in getting him for their bullpen. It would be great to keep a hard throwing lefty away from the sox with all of the left handers in our lineup.
2006-12-17 20:22:49
25.   yankz
He was drafted by Pittsburgh in 97, was traded to the Sox on 7/22/03, traded back to Pitt on 7/31/03. Weird.
2006-12-17 20:22:54
26.   randym77
22 Wow, you're right. But it was must have been one of the shortest trades in history:

Jul 22,2003 - Traded by Pirates with Scott Sauerbeck to Red Sox for Anastacio Martinez and Brandon Lyon.

Jul 31,2003 - Traded by Red Sox with Freddy Sanchez and Cash to Pirates for Anastacio Martinez, Jeff Suppan and Brandon Lyon.

What was up with that, I wonder?

The Red Sox reportedly want him back now. They are supposedly our main competition, but so far they don't have anyone the Pirates want.

2006-12-17 20:24:32
27.   yankz
His closest match through age 28 is Al Holland, who pitched for the Yanks in 86-87. God, I love Baseball Reference.
2006-12-17 20:35:57
28.   JohnnyC
The reason for Gonzalez being returned to the Pirates was Brandon Lyon...the gimpy pitcher the Red Sox had to trade 3 times before it finally stuck. Typical Red Sox shenanigans. I guess Littlefield wasn't enough of a Sox fan to let them pull that one over on him.
2006-12-17 20:41:43
29.   randym77
28 Interesting. So it had nothing to do with Gonzalez, then.
2006-12-17 20:50:19
30.   OldYanksFan
"There was one game against Boston in Yankee Stadium in June when Rodriguez looked so anguished by the rough treatment from New York fans that Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz, while watching him from the on-deck circle, grew concerned. Ortiz caught Rodriguez's attention and gave him an exaggerated exhale, the way you might when a physician asks you to take a deep breath. Rodriguez would later thank Ortiz. 'It was painful to see his face,' Ortiz said. 'I had to tell him to just breathe and relax.' "

"I don't really see myself playing past this contract," Rodriguez said on "Costas on the Radio"

"He was very matter of fact and there was no anger in his voice. It was a tone of resignation. He said a lot of the joy of the game was gone, and even if had a reasonable shot at breaking records, he would walk away from the game."

Man.... what have the Yankee fans, and media... but especially the fans, done to this guy? We have broken his spirit. Enjoy ARod as a Yankee this year... it will probably be his last.

2006-12-17 20:51:33
31.   JimCobain
Throwing this out there... trade Melky for Mike Gonzalez, then sign Shannon Stewart to be the 4th outfeilder? I think Shannon Stewart puts up the same numbers as Melky does in the same role next year. The point is, Melky is replaceable, not sure Mike Gonzalez's grow on trees...
2006-12-17 20:59:59
32.   Schteeve
Couldn't we make this deal at the deadline, when we know for sure where the holes in the team are?
2006-12-17 21:24:16
33.   mikeplugh
31 Jim...Stewart threw up OPS+ the last two seasons of 88. Why on Earth would we want him? His slugging percentage is under .400, his stolen base rate in 60% or below, he's always hurt, and his defense is barely league average.

If you want all that, you may as well keep Melky or give Kevin Thompson the job outright. You'd save a lot of money in the process and we wouldn't have to watch Shannon Stewart soil the pinstripes....

2006-12-17 21:34:55
34.   manila boy
33 Agreed on Stewart. He's bad and declining, so why bother?

32 Why wait till then when the holes are apparent now? And when the options might have dried up?

2006-12-17 21:35:46
35.   Schteeve
I also think that everyone who says, "I like Melky, but I don't know if he's every going to be anything better than a mediocre hitter" is basing that off of Melky's lack of power in his age 22 season.

Melky is a very young position player with MLB miles on him and a lot of upside. Mike Gonzalez is a reliever. Maybe a really good reliever. I still wouldn't make the deal.

2006-12-17 21:36:55
36.   Schteeve
34 What are the holes? Do we know right now that we need a set up guy?
2006-12-17 21:53:01
37.   yankz
It's also true that power can come out of nowhere. I remember a lot of us were knocking Cano early this year because he didn't have a power stroke. One DL stint later, and you have the kid who finished 2nd on the team in slugging- ahead of Arod- at age 23. If he ups his OBP to about .380, he's a star for the next decade +. Why can't Melky, who already has the good eye, develop the same power stroke?
2006-12-17 21:54:07
38.   mikeplugh
35 "I also think that everyone who says, "I like Melky, but I don't know if he's every going to be anything better than a mediocre hitter" is basing that off of Melky's lack of power in his age 22 season."

I think you're right Schteeve.

In 357 minor league games, Melky has a line of .284/.347/.422 which is pretty good, but shows little power at his young age. The bulk of those games was at A ball and AA, so there is something to be taken from the fact that power will come later.

Bernie Williams hit .281/.395/.428 in 885 minor league games. He was never a power hitter, in the classic sense, but there's no denying what he meant to the Yankees in the 1990s. I can't say Melky will turn into Bernie, but their numbers are the same so far. People doubted Bernie early on, but you'll see his #51 in monument park someday.

I'm still not against the trade if it goes down, but there is an element of risk in dealing Melky. We could use a guy like him in 3 or 4 years. The only problem is that Bernie got the chance to play a lot by staying in the minors. Melky is with the big boys, and I'm afraid he won't play enough...

2006-12-17 21:56:03
39.   joejoejoe
Matsui and Damon will be 35 in '09, Abreu 34 in '08 - I just think it's crazy to trade a 21 year old OF making the league minimum who is league average in OPS and well above average as a fielder. Gonzalez is a nice player but I see three years of nagging injuries to thirtysomething outfielders in the Yankees future and no real solution if Melky is gone.

Let Damon channel Darin Erstad and play some 1B and keep Melky. Cabrera's done everything that has been asked of him in New York. I think it's stupid to let go of players that perform in NY (Lieber, Stanton, Nelson, Tino) for theoretical upgrades. I'd rather Cashman added the best new parts to a working core of players.

2006-12-17 22:07:01
40.   Chyll Will
Warning - The following contains sarcasm, satire and a disclaimer in a lame attempt to protect the writer from rejoinders and snappy comebacks like those found in extremely old issues of MAD Magazine. Reader discretion is advised.

30 Wowzers, speak for yourself. I came on board as an A-Rod (and Andy Phillips) fan, and though I tease, it's mainly out of respect. Of course, no one in the media's gonna let A-Rod see anything his supporters have to say because it doesn't make good copy. But I guarantee they'll be the first ones at the the retirement buffett when it happens. Well, here's a mouthful of spit in the foodtray for all those Max Mercys who deem themselves manna from heaven.

To A-Rod, my generation's answer to Maris: the prayer of St. Jude, and good luck with that mouth problem. The best medicine for such a thing also happens to be the best solution for certain night club indulgences: keep it shut.

(disclaimer, read in an impossibly fast narrative: The rantings from Chyll Will were in no way intended to offend OYF or anyone associated with his point of view, but instead were a series of spank-you-very-muches directed at Max Mecy-type sports writers and their collegues who rationalize their viewpoints by citing the First Amendment and trickle-down economic theory. For more information about constitutional rights, lefts, voodoo and fictional characters who represent a majority of law-abiding citizens and tabloid columnists/byliners, please slap yourself vigorously with a Sunday copy of the NY Daily News soaked in Florida oil and vinegar, then send the resulting vibes to: gollum@lupica.com)

2006-12-17 22:15:57
41.   Chyll Will
Oh, and I like Melky, too. He reminds me of a better Juan Rivera. I have no statistical basis for saying that. Don't leave marks where people can see them, please...
2006-12-17 22:30:11
42.   Peter
Using that neutralize stat feature on Baseball Reference, I put Mike Gonzalez on the 2006 Yankees and got the following:
53.3 IP, 2.19 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 10.64 K/9, 5.40 BB/9, 0.17 HR/9

By ways of comparison,
Farnsworth: 66.0 IP, 4.36 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 10.23 K/9, 3.82 BB/9, 1.09 HR/9
Proctor: 102.3 IP, 3.52 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 7.83 K/9, 2.90 BB/9, 1.06 HR/9

And just for fun,
Mo: 75.0 IP, 1.80 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 6.60 K/9, 1.32 BB/9, 0.36 HR/9

I like him. He's younger than the current setup men and, for the most part, has better numbers. If he was on a different team, he'd probably have a higher profile than he does now, but if the Yankees do get him, I could see him as the successor to Mariano.

I'd hate to see Melky go, for all the same reasons everyone previously cited here. Maybe Cashman could work out a deal for Gonzo and keep Melky at the same time. If any GM could pull that off, he can.

2006-12-17 22:44:15
43.   yankz
Mike Gonzalez's BR page is sponsored by GoofyAuctions.com. Reason enough to get him.
2006-12-18 03:10:43
44.   manila boy
36 Maybe "holes" is too strong a word, but it's not clear that the bullpen will be strong next year. Proctor pitched more than 100 innings, Bruney lost effectiveness, Farnsworth has a trick back, Mo is getting close to 40. Peter's analysis in 42 shows that Gonzo could be a remarkable relief pitcher, someone who might be able to replace Rivera in the near future. Sure, he could flame out; the lack of innings pitched is the scary thing, plus the elbow trouble.

But if the cost is Melky, why not pull the trigger now? I'm with mikeplugh in 38; I'm okay either way, but just as there's a real risk in trading Melky, there's also the real possibility that he won't be the next Bernie after all and that Gonzo might be a lights-out reliever with sustained success.

I just don't like the idea you proposed in 32 of waiting until the trade deadline to address a need when the options will have dwindled considerably by then.

And as for holes: the only big one seems to be catching depth. Which is what I hope Cashman stockpiled pitchers for.

2006-12-18 03:37:08
45.   randym77
35 I'm not. I'm sure he'll develop more power, though I suspect his BA will suffer.

I do think this year could be a fluke. As Cliff pointed out, he hasn't shown this kind of plate discipline in his minor league career. This season could prove to be a fluke.

I'm not convinced he has the range for CF, either. According to RLYW, he was way below replacement level on both offense and defense. Maybe he'll improve, but it's far from guaranteed.

We need pitching. I wish we had a stable of young stud starters, but we don't, and there's no way of getting that any time soon. The next best thing is a killer bullpen. I think this guy will be an upgrade on Farnsworth and Proctor, and maybe even Mo's successor. It's worth trading a fourth outfielder for that.

2006-12-18 04:21:08
46.   randym77
The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette has an article today:

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06352/746984-63.stm

According to them, there was never a three-way trade proposed between NY, Atlanta, and Pittsburgh. The three-way trade was Atlanta, Boston, and Pittsburgh.

Littlefield wants LaRoche, but they think he'll end up going to LA.

They are interested in Melky:

===
The Pirates and Yankees have engaged in feeler-type talks regarding Gonzalez, but there is no firm word from Pittsburgh or Atlanta -- counter to the reports out of New York -- that those have included the Braves or any third party. Rather, they are focused on a deal that would send Gonzalez to New York for outfielder Melky Cabrera and another player, likely a pitching prospect.

It is not the first time the Pirates have inquired about Cabrera, 22, who hit .280 with seven home runs and 50 RBIs in 460 at-bats last season. He was the focus of their July talks with the Yankees that ultimately led to the Craig Wilson-Shawn Chacon trade.

One source in New York yesterday described the Pirates' interest in Cabrera as intense.
===

2006-12-18 04:56:23
47.   mehmattski
I just had an interesting thought.

What if there was a Banter back in the summer of 1996, when Bob Watson traded Gerald Williams and Bob Wickman for Graeme Lloyd? To expand further, the Yankees sent a young outfielder (though not quite as young as Melky) who had ML experience, along with a bullpen arm (comparable to Britton? at least in physique...) for a lefty power reliever, who incidentally became an integral part of two World Series teams.

If there were a Banter back then, would we be doing the same hand-wringing about Gerald "Ice" Williams?

2006-12-18 05:21:08
48.   mikeplugh
It was just announced on the Japanese news that Masumi Kuwata (38) will be joining the Pittsburgh Pirates next season. He had been rumored (quizzically) to be joining the Red Sox next season, but was forced to