
Mon 9/8 @ LAA 10:05 YES
(Pavano v Garland)
Tue 9/9 @ LAA 10:05 YES
(Aceves v Weaver)
Wed 9/10 @ LAA 3:35 YES
(Pettitte v Santana)
Fri 9/12 v TBR 7:05 WWOR
(TBA v Shields)
Sat 9/13 v TBR 1:05 YES
(TBA v Garza)
Sun 9/14 v TBR 1:05 YES
(TBA v Jackson)
Beat Bloggers
The LoHud Yankees Blog
On The Yankees Beat
Blogging the Bombers
Bats
Ledger On Yankees
Bombers Beat
Pinstripe Posts
Yankees Chat
Joel Sherman's Hardball
Sweeny Blog
Minor Leagues
SWB Yankees Blog
Thunder Thoughts
Specialty Sites
NYYFans
Yankee Fan Club Radio
Players
The Phil Hughes Weblog
Beat Blog
Extra Bases
Player Blog
38 Pitches (Schilling)
AL East
Batters Box (Tor)
Camden Chat (Bal)
D-Rays Bay
AL Central
Seth Speaks (Min)
The Detroit Tiger Weblog
Mack Avenue Tigers
South Side Sox (Chi)
Sox Machine (Chi)
Let's Go Tribe (Cle)
Royals Review
AL West
Chronicles of the Lads (LAA)
The Newburg Report (Tex)
The Ranger Rundown
NL East
Mets Blog
The Eddie Kranepool Society (NYM)
Beer Leaguer (PHI)
Talking Chop (ATL)
Home of the Braves
Fish Stripes (FLA)
Fish Chunks (FLA)
Federal Baseball (WSH)
NL Central
CardNilly (StL)
Crawfish Boxes (Hou)
Brew Crew Ball (Mil)
Where Have You Gone Andy Van Slyke? (Pit)
NL West
Ducksnorts (SD)
AZ Snakepit
Diamondhacks (AZ)
General Interest
The Baseball Card Blog
Mudville Magazine
Baseball Desert
Boy of Summer
Blissful Knowledge
William Bragg
Fanalyze
Player Sites
Derek Jeter.com
Mariano Rivera.com
Jorge Posada.com
ARod.com
Johnny Damon.net
Bernie Williams.com
Paul O'Neill 21
Bobby Valentine's Blog
On The Road With Pat Neshek
Retrosheet
Baseball Reference
Baseball Prospectus
Baseball Think Factory
Old School Baseball Newsstand
Baseball Cube
Baseball America Player Find
Minor League Splits
Day by Day Database
FanGraphs
Baseball Library
Hardball Times
Cot's Baseball Contracts
Hardball Dollars
2007-2011 Basic Agreement
MLB Transaction Rules
Hall of Fame
Uniform Database
Yankee Numbers
MLB.com
MiLB.com
New York Yankees
WCBS 880
SI.com Yankee Page
ESPN Baseball
Yahoo! Baseball
Pro-Sports Daily
Important Dates
Alex:
Ray Negron part 1 2 3 4
Dad, Reggie and Me
Slaughterhouse Five
Way Out in Brooklyn
Heat Fave
Passing
Love, Death and Baseball
Cliff:
First-Half Review
2008 Draft Roundup
July Farm Report
On the Offense
2008 Campers
All-Star Game: 1977, 2008
The Holy "Trinity": 1904 1949
Yankees by the Numbers
SportsIllustrated.com archive
Alex:
Strikes and Gutters: A Year with the Coen Brothers: Part 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
My 20 Favorite Hip Hop Albums
Greatest Singles from Hip Hop's Golden Era (1986-1994)
Ten Neglected Hip Hop Classics
Cliff:
Tin Ear
Pazz & Jop ballots: 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 (post), 2002, 2001
Clem Snide
Eminem
Sleater-Kinney
Roger Angell
Allen Barra
Jim Bouton
Howard Bryant: Part 1, Part 2
Ken Burns: Part 1, Part 2
Will Carroll
Ethan Coen
Malcom Gladwell
Bill James
Pat Jordan
Chuck Korr: Part 1 Part 2
Jane Leavy
Michael Lewis
Tim Marchman
Marvin Miller
Rob Neyer: Part 1, Part 2
Buster Olney: April 2003, Sept. 2004
Buck O'Neil
Joe Posnanski
Alan Schwarz
Joel Sherman
Tom Verducci
Juicing the Game by Howard Bryant Part 1 Part 2
Forging Genius by Steven Goldman Part 1 Part 2
How About That! by Stephen Borelli
The Crowd Sounds Happy by Nicholas Dawidoff
The Last Nine Innings by Charles Euchner
Clemente by David Maraniss
The Soul of Baseball by Joe Posnanaski
Glenn Stout and Richard A. Johnson:
Yankee Century: Part 1 Part 2
Red Sox Century: 1 2 3 4
The Dodgers: 120 Years of Dodgers Baseball
25-man Roster:
Infielders:
J. Giambi BR BP E MLB
R. Cano BR BP E MLB
D. Jeter BR BP E MLB
A. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
W. Betemit BR BP E MLB mi
C. Ransom BR BP E MLB mi
Outfielders:
B. Abreu BR BP E MLB
J. Damon BR BP E MLB
X. Nady BR BP E MLB
H. Matsui BR BP E MLB mi
B. Gardner BR E MLB mi
M. Cabrera BR BP E MLB mi
Catchers:
I. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
J. Molina BR BP E MLB
C. Moeller BR BP E MLB mi
Starting Pitchers:
M. Mussina BR BP BC E
A. Pettitte (L) BR BP BC E
S. Ponson BR BP BC E mi
D. Rasner BR BP BC E mi
C. Pavano BR BP BC E mi
Relief Pitchers:
M. Rivera BR BP BC E
J. Chamberlain BR BP BC E
D. Marte (L) BR BP BC E
J. Veras BR BP BC E mi
E. Ramirez BR BP BC E mi
B. Bruney BR BP BC E mi
D. Giese BR BP BC E mi
C. Britton BR BP BC E mi
A. Aceves BR E mi
P. Coke (L) BR BC E mi
15-day DL:
C. Wang BR BP BC E
60-day DL:
J. Posada BR BP E MLB
J. Albaladejo BR BP BC E mi
A. Brackman BC
H. Sanchez BC mi
Coaches:
J. Girardi (Mgr) BR BP BC
R. Thomson (Bench) BC
Kevin Long (Hit) BR
D. Eiland (Pitch) BR BP BC
B. Meacham (3B) BR BP BC
T. Peña (1B) BR BP BC
M. Harkey (Pen) BR BP BC
40-man Roster:
AAA
S. Duncan BR BP E MLB mi
J. Miranda BR BC mi
J. Christian BR BP E MLB mi
P. Hughes BR BP BC E mi
I. Kennedy BR BP BC E mi
C. Wright (L) BR BP BC E mi
D. Robertson BR BC E mi
S. Patterson BR BC mi
AA
F. Cervelli BR BC mi
J. Marquez BR BC mi DL
Designated for Assignment:
B. Traber (L) BR BP BC E mi
Select Minor Leaguers:
AAA Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees:
B. Castro BR mi DL
C. Basak BR BP BC E MLB mi
E. Duncan BC mi
N. Green BR mi
B. Broussard BR mi
M. Carson BC mi
C. Stewart BR BP E MLB mi
J. Brown BC mi DL
K. Igawa (L) BR BP BC E JB mi
M. Melancon BC mi
J.B. Cox BC mi
S. Strickland BR BC mi
S. Jackson BC mi
E. Milton BR BC mi DL
V. Zambrano BR BC mi DL
AA Trenton Thunder:
K. Russo BR mi
R. Peña BC mi DL
C. Malec BC mi
M. Vechionacci BC mi DL
A. Jackson BC mi
C. Curtis BC mi
E. Gonzalez BR mi
P.J. Pilittere BC mi
J. Jones BC mi
G. Kontos BC mi
J. Nuñez BC mi
B. Smith BC mi DL
A. Claggett BC mi
O. Perez BR BC mi
M. Gardner BC mi
K. Whelan BC mi
W. Arias (L) BC mi
A Tampa Yankees:
E. Nuñez BC mi
C.J. Henry BC mi DL
T. Battle BC mi
K. Anson BC mi
J. Gil BC mi
A. Horne BC mi DL
Z. McAllister BC mi
W. De La Rosa (L) BC mi
C. Garcia BC mi
Low-A Charleston RiverDogs:
J. Snyder BC mi
M. Cusick BC mi
B. Suttle BC mi
A. Romine BC mi
J. Montero BC mi
D. Betances BC mi
J. Heredia BC mi
J. Ortiz BC mi
C. Heyer BC mi
Low-A Staten Island Yankees:
D. Adams mi
P. Venditte mi
Rookie Gulf Coast Yankees:
C. Joseph mi
C. Smith mi
K. Higashioka mi
Key:
BR = Baseball-Reference
BP = Baseball Prospectus
BC = Baseball Cube (past mL stats)
mi = MiLB.com (current mL stats)
E = ESPN (current splits, game logs)
MLB = MLB.com hit charts
JB = Japanese Baseball.com
2008 Yankees:
R. Sexson BR BP E MLB
M. Ensberg BR BP E MLB
A. Gonzalez BR BP E MLB mi
K. Farnsworth BR BP BC E
L. Hawkins BR BP BC E
Nady/Marte Trade:
J. Tabata BC mi
R. Ohlendorf BR BP BC E
D. McCutchen BC mi
J. Karstens BR BP BC E mi
2008 Campers/mLers:
C. Woodward BR BP BC E MLB PHI mL
J. Lane BR mi BOS mL
G. Porter BC mi WAS mL
J.D. Closser BR mi SD mL
S. Henn (L) BR BP BC E mi SD
H. Phillips (L) BR BC mi TB mL
S. White BR BC mi
2007 Yankees:
J. Torre (Mgr) BR BP BC LAD
D. Mientkiewicz BR BP BC E MLB PIT mL
A. Phillips BR BP BC E MLB mi CIN mL
J. Phelps BR BP BC E MLB STL mL
M. Cairo BR BP BC E MLB SEA
K. Thompson BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT
B. Sardinha BC mi SEA mL
W. Nieves BR BP BC E MLB WAS mL
R. Clemens BR BP BC E mi
T. Clippard BR BP BC E mi WAS
L. Vizcaino BR BP BC E COL $7.5m/2yrs
M. DeSalvo BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
M. Myers (L) BR BP BC E LAD mL
R. Villone (L) BR BP BC E mi STL mL
S. Proctor BR BP BC E LAD
J. Brower BR BP BC E mi CIN mL
C. Bean BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
2007 Campers and mLers:
E. Durazo BR BP BC E MLB mi
A. Cannizaro BR BP BC E MLB mi TB mL
A. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi LAD mL
K. Reese BR BP BC E MLB mi
R. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT mL
O. Santos BC mi BAL mL
T. Pratt BR BP BC E MLB
T.J. Beam BR BP BC E mi PIT mL
B. Kozlowski (L) BR BP BC E mi Japan
Molina Trade:
J. Kennard BC mi
Abreu Trade
M. Smith (L) BR BP BC E mi PHI
C. Monasterios BC mi PHI
J. Sanchez mi PHI
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
This past Friday, the Yankees avoided an arbitration hearing with Shawn Chacon by signing the right-hander to a $3.6 million contract that split the difference between the offers made by the player and the club. With that, they cleaned their offseason slate. With pitchers and catchers due to report on Thursday and my slate similarly clean (a couple of book projects, a foray into homeownership, the resulting move, and some key wedding planning having conspired with a slow offseason to keep me away from this space far more that I would have liked since the end of the ALDS), I thought this would be a good opportunity to review the Yankees' offseason moves. I'll follow this up on Thursday by projecting the team's opening day roster and taking a look at the various and sundry players the Yankees will have in camp this spring.
The Yankees were at a crossroads last October. Thanks to the remnants of a dynasty that came to an end a half-decade ago and the financial wherewithal to supplement those pieces (Jeter, Rivera, Posada) with an all-star squad of veterans (Mussina, Giambi, Sheffield, Rodriguez, Johnson), the Yankees had reached the postseason for a staggering eleventh consecutive season. But due in part to the lack of harmony and foresight in the front office, the team had gone home without a Championship in each of the last five of those seasons. On the heels of the absolutely abysmal offseason that followed the 2004 campaignhighlighted by the commitment of a combined $57.95 million to Carl Pavano, Jared Wright and Tony WomackYankee General Manager Brian Cashman, with less than a week left on his contract, gave the team an ultimatum. If the Yankees refused to run all baseball operations decisions through him, he'd sign with another team that would.
To their credit, the Yankees relented, re-signing Cashman to a three-year, $5.5 million deal and giving him authority over all player transactions. As Cashman's in-season infusion of talented youngsters via the promotions of second baseman Robinson Cano and pitcher Chien-Ming Wang suggested, it was exactly what the team needed.
At long last freed from the foolish and impulsive moves made by the team's vilified Tampa contingent, Cashman took a good look at his team and properly recognized that, while the infield was solid-to-excellent and the starting rotation was, if loaded with question marks, at least well-populated, the outfield, bullpen and bench needed to be completely restocked.
The first order of business was the outfield. With Bernie Williams' 2006 option declined, Hideki Matsui's contract set to expire, and Jason Giambi installed at first baseas well he should be by anyone who's ever seen his splitsthe Yankees had nothing more than Gary Sheffield and Bubba Crosby to populate the three outfield spots and designated hitter.
Because of a clause in Matsui's contract that would have forced the Yankees to release him on November 16, thus preventing them from re-signing him before May 15 due to baseball's transaction rules (see bottom), Cashman's first job was to sign Matsui.
Given the available alternatives, inking Matsui was a no-brainer, though the price and length of his contract could easily have turned a move Cashman had to make into one he shouldn't have. Matsui will be 32-years old in June and his production was all over the map in 2005. When he's locked in, as he was for the majority of the 2004 season (.298/.390/.522), Matsui can be one of the most productive hitters in the league. But when he's off balance, as he was for most of 2003 (.287/.353/.435) and long stretches of 2006, including the ALDS (.200/.273/.400), he's an absolute out machine. Committing to such a player past his 35th birthday should only be done in the most extreme of circumstances.
Fortunately for Cashman, he was able to keep Matsui's deal to four years, $52 million. The four years will keep Matsui in pinstripes just four months past his 35th birthday, and the $52 million is offset by the revenue Matsui generates for the club through merchandising and television licensing in his home country of Japan as well as increased the revenue brought in by Japanese fans in the States. A three-year deal would have been preferable, but to Cashman's credit, he used nearly every minute of his negotiating time to get as close to the ideal contract as he could, finally signing Matsui on the evening of the 15th.
With Matsui tied up, Cashman turned his attention to two players I strongly advocated in this space: free agent Brian Giles and Phillies center fielder Jason Michaels. Unfortunately, he was unable to land either. Giles resigned with San Diego for three years, $30 million, clearly having used the Yankees, as is so often the case, to improve the offer from the only team he ever honestly considered. As for Michaels, with the Yankees clearly desperate for a center fielder, the Phillies insisted on Chien-Ming Wang in return, a demand which Cashman wisely refused to meet.
With the outfield situation having stalled, Cashman turned his attention to cleaning house. Having earlier declined the option of the now 38-year-old Tino Martinezwho, outside of a thrilling power surge in May, was of little use at the plate or in the field in 2005Cashman denied arbitration offers to a laundry list of liabilities from the previous season (Brown, Sierra, Flaherty, Embree, Lawton, Sanchez) and dumped the catastrophic and positionless Tony Womack on the lame duck front office of the Reds for a pair of potentially useful youngsters.
Having improved his club by five wins simply by deleting this sub-replacement level dreck, Cashmen held the line at replacement level by replacing Flaherty with catcher Kelly Stinnett, who has just one negative WARP total in his twelve-year career (that coming in a 14-game stint a decade ago). Stinnett, in addition to being something other than a production vacuum, also has previous experience catching the Big Diva, Randy Johnson (more on that potential pairing on Thursday).
The Stinnett signing was a solid move in and of itself. With Dioner Navarro set to assume the starting job in the real Los Angeles, the Yankee system is positively barren when it comes to catchers not named Posada. A reliable career back-up type such as Stinnett who could bounce between Columbus and the majors as injury and flexibility demand is exactly the sort of player the Yankees needed. Unfortunately, Cashman considered the Stinnett signing the final, rather than first, step in fixing his catching situation. Despite repeated overtures from Mike Piazza's agents, Cashman refused to ink the aging Hall of Famer to take the DH-half of an 80/20 catcher/DH split with the 34-year-old Posada. Piazza wound up joining Giles in San Diego for a one-year deal worth $2 million with an $8 million mutual option for 2007 ($750,000 buyout), while the atrocious Wil Nieves (.289/.312/.395 in Columbus in 2005) remains the Yankees third-string catcher.
Out in the bullpen, Tom Gordon decided he wanted to return to closing and signed with Philadelphia for $18 million over three years. Having been rebuffed by their sore-armed, 38-year-old set-up ace and refusing to enter the ludicrous bidding for the services of free agent closers Billy Wagner ($43 million/4 years from the Mets) and B.J. Ryan ($47 million/5 years from Toronto), the Yankees gave Gordon's money to Kyle Farnsworth, a potentially dominant reliever nearly a decade Gordon's junior.
Questions abound about Farnsworth's mental make-up. Can he handle New York? Will he implode in the postseason? My impression is that his brash demeanor and ten-cent head won't be bothered by the big bad city one bit. As for his potential to melt down in key spots (career 7.36 postseason ERA), one must consider Tom Gordon's postseason legacy, which includes a 7.32 career ERA, a key role in surrendering the 2004 ALCS to the Red Sox, and rumors of him vomiting from nervousness in the bullpen during that series (rumors, I should point out, he's since denied).
With Rivera and Farnsworth forming the head, Cashman built the body of his bullpen by signing lefty submariner Mike Myers, trading double-A lefty Ben Julianel for 36-year-old lefty swing man and New Jersey native Ron Villone, and picking up the $1.5 million option on sore-armed Torre pet (which, come to think of it, is redundant) Tanyon Sturtze. I found the picking up of Sturtze's option to be extremely puzzling given his shoulder woes and still unimpressive track record (despite moments of dominance, he's only had two monthly ERAs below 4.00 while with the Yankees). It's only slightly more difficult to believe that he'd have demanded $1.5 million on the open market than it is to believe that he'll be of much use out of the pen in 2006.
I'm less bothered by the other two moves, though I'm far from enthusiastic about either. Myers is a classic LOOGY: killer against lefties, killed by righties. He'll have his uses, especially against his former Red Sox teammates David Ortiz and Trot Nixon, but they'll be brief and far between. Villone, meanwhile, gives Torre another lefty in the pen to keep him from being too precious about deploying Myers and also serves as a long man and emergency starter. That said, it's telling that the Julianel-for-Villone trade undoes the age advantage gained by swapping Gordon out for Farnsworth.
Despite what Steven Goldman might tell you, Julianel was not a prospect (a good interview, yes, a prospect, no). Julianel walked 5.13 men per nine innings as a 25 year old in double-A last year. Given the organization's low tolerance for pitching walks and reluctance to deploy their home-grown relievers at the big league level, the Marlins might just as well have handed Villone to the Yanks for free. The problem is that Villone is not necessarily worth much more than that. He has some walk issues of his own (4.77 BB/9 career), just turned 36, and is very rarely above average.
Sadly, the Villone acquisition is merely another example of the Yankees' reluctance to fill their bullpen from within. In recent years, both Colter Bean and Jason Anderson have turned in remarkable relief seasons for the Clippers, but have combined for less than eight big league innings for the Yankees in the past two seasons. I'll take a closer look at some of the Yankees' minor league relievers on Thursday, but, regardless of Julianel's poor projection, it's discouraging to see the Yankees block potentially useful minor leaguers with a never-was innings eater such as Villone, especially after having already re-upped Sturtze, a pitcher who meets the same description but throws with the other hand.
The presence of Sturtze, Villone and Myers will likely do little beyond increasing the degree to which Farnsworth's right shoulder is Torre-ized in 2006. That said, between Christmas and New Years, Cashman pulled off a stealth move of sorts that could prove to be the key to the Yankee pen in the coming season. On December 28, Cashman inked injured set-up ace Octavio Dotel to an incentive-laden one-year deal at a base salary of $2 million.
As a member of the A's, Dotel shut himself down in mid-May 2005 due to extreme pain in his pitching elbow, then underwent elective Tommy John surgery on June 6. According to Baseball Prospectus injury guru and fellow Toastmaster Will Carroll, Dotel's elbow ligament was not completely torn (which is why he had to elect to have the surgery against his doctors' advice). Thus, instead of replacing a torn ligament, he simply had an overlay surgery. According to Will, the rehab time for overlay Tommy John is significantly shorter than for proper ligament-replacement surgery (the latter being about twelve months).
Dotel is said to be aiming for a return on opening day, but is expected to start the season on the disabled list. Still, his DL stint could simply be part of an extended spring training that could have him back in action early in the season. If the 32-year-old Dotel is indeed able to return to the dominating form he showed for four and a half seasons in Houston, he alone could give the Yankee pen the depth it would need to allow Myers and company to drop down into appropriate levels of disuse (or better yet, give the Yankees the opportunity to dump Sturtze or Villone in favor of someone out of Columbus).
With the pen full, Cashman returned to the outfield, where his delay and the approaching dealine for players who had rejected their teams' arbitration offers greatly reduced the demands of former rival Johnny Damon and his agent Scott Boras. Damon and Boras began the offseason seeking a seven-year deal which would have taken Damon through his age-38 season. They were met with silence. Having failed to show much interest in Damon to that point, Cashman swept in just before Christmas and inked Damon to a four-year deal worth $52 million.
Damon's contract adds up to the same combination of dollars and years that Cashman had given to Hideki Matsui to begin the offseason, but it will likely prove to have been better spent on the returning left fielder than on the new center fielder. To begin with, while Damon is only seven months Matsui's senior, he plays a position much more dependent on youth and speed. What's more, it's not actually his natural position. Having spent significant time in the corner pastures in Kansas City and Oakland, Damon spent just one season as a full-time center fielder prior to signing with Boston before the 2002 season. He emerged as an excellent defender in center in 2003 and 2004, but experienced a disconcerting drop-off in 2005, falling below average with a 97 Rate. A fact made all the more distressing given the approach of his mid-30s and his famously weak throwing arm.
Even more distressing is the degree to which Damon's success over the past four seasons has been a product of his home park. As a member of the Red Sox, Damon hit .310/.383/.442 in Fenway and .281/.342/.440 everywhere else. The biggest cause for concern there is the forty-point drop in on-base percentage (due in large part to a 30 point drop in batting average). Not that .342 is terrible, but it's not worth $13 million a year for a player who could easily replicate Bernie Williams drastic decline over the life of his contract (Bernie's big fall came at age 34, the age Damon will be in the third year of his four-year deal). Note that even in Matsui's disappointing 2003 season, he posted an OBP of .353.
For the immediate future, Damon should be a staggering improvement over what the Yankees had in center last year (which was some combination of the ghost of Bernie.249/.321/.367and various Womack-like substances), though it's almost a sure thing that the Yankees, despite playing possum, still overpaid and overcommitted, and very well may find that they've failed to improve their outfield defense much at all.
To make matters worse, Cashman preceded the Damon deal by resigning Williams himself to a one-year, $1.5 million deal. In this case it's not the length or size of the contract, but the mere fact that it exists. Outside of the odd walk, the dulcet tones of his smooth-jazz guitar, and his winning personality, Williams has absolutely nothing left to offer a major league baseball club, let alone a perennial pennant contender such as the Yankees.
Worst of all, Williams could very easily be given the bulk of the team's DH at-bats at the expense of the perpetually overlooked Andy Phillips, who will turn 29 soon after the season starts (so that's what Cashman and Torre meant by "the Ruben Sierra role"). Similarly, Williams and the wildly overrated (at least by net-savvy Yankee fans) Bubba Crosby are the only back-ups expected to make the opening day roster behind the trio of thirty-somethings that make up the Yankee outfield.
To that underwhelming bench (which also includes the afore mentioned Stinnett), Cashman added Yankee retread Miguel Cairo, who revealed his solid 2004 season to be a fluke with an abysmal season as a Met in 2005 (.251/.296/.324) that tellingly bore greater resemblance to his career numbers (.270/.318/.364) than to his stint in pinstripes (.292/.346/.417).
Amid those moves were various smaller transactions, the effects of which upon the Yankees' projected opening day roster remain to be seen. I'll take a look at those moves on Thursday via player comments on the fifteen least familiar members of the Yankees 40-man roster and the 23 non-roster invitees to spring training.
It should be stated (again) that the last 4 years of poor decision making have left the Yankees will very little trade bait. I also believe that other teams expect the Yankees to overpay (as they have a history of doing), and many teams just don't want to deal fairly with the Yanks.
While Piazza is old, poor on D, a shadow of his former self, etc, etc.... the difference between him and Stinnett is huge. For how easy Piazza would have been to get, and his very small salary, this was the biggest screwup of the offseason.
ONE year. CHEAP. A stop-gap move that would have been smart.
Cashman did NOT jump on Molina (as nobody did), which again, was smart. He is the proto-typical example of buy high (after a career year) and get low.
With who was on the market and who is in our farm, we knew this would be a low-impact offseason. In terms of promoting from within, remember... we still have these youngsters. Like Wang and Cano, they may still see the light of day in '06, so I'm not concerned about this aspect of our offseason.
Damon IS overpaid and a bad contract at 4 years, but our back was againt the wall. I believe he was a fall-back position, and when we couldn't get someone younger/faster
(as we had no one to trade), Cashman pulled off this deal in virtually a day.
Many 'true' Yankee fans hate having 'the face of the Sox' as a Yankee, but we are (for a year or 2) a better team with him.
We lowered our payroll by over 15mil. Moose's 19mil goes away after this year. Wright, it he still doesn't perform, has a 3mil 'see ya later'. While he has really been great for us, Shef's 13(+?)mil is off the books at the end of the year.
Basically, this offseason was a finalcial success. Next year, we should be in better shape to build 'young and fast', and still not raise our payroll.
All in all considered, when not an exciting winter, it was a smart and prudent one. I just hope the Yanks are already planning for '07. In '07 and '08, a lot of $$$ comes off the books, and these 2 years will be very important in reversing some of the bad trends of the last 5.
I think Man-of-Cash is up to it.
while i know you're mostly a stats guy, i was hoping you might address (or at least we'll get some feisty debate over it) the johnny caveman persona/reputation that comes with the package and how it might either:
a) help and OVERLY "professional" team lighten up while at the same time taking some of the spotlight off the people who don't seem to enjoy it (ARod, for example).
or
b) rub yankee brass and perennial do-gooders the wrong way so he either changes HIS ways or manages a rather tenuous stay in the bronx.
boomer he is not, but there is a world of difference between damon and jeter; and i wonder how that may play out over the season/length of his contract.
However, I'm not as down on the return of Bernie as DH and Cairo as backup infielder.
In 85 at-bats as DH last season Bernie hit .294. Clearly, a little rest does him good. I agree Torre will probably overuse him, but I think Bernie will be more productive than you project. He can still draw a crucial walk, and deliver a big hit. Not a bad veteran switch-hitter to have on the bench for a buck-and-a-half if used sparingly, say 10 at-bats per week TOPS (2 starts at DH, and the occasional pinch hit situation).
As you pointed out, Cairo greatly outperformed his career stats as a Yankee. So did Scott Brosius, in a huge way.
I'm not projecting Cairo to be the MVP of the 2006 World Series, but sometimes, for some reason, good things happen to players in Yankee pinstripes, and vice versa.
Going into '06, I'm comfortable with Bernie and Cairo in their projected roles.
Looking forward to your upcoming analysis of the lesser-known role players.
I'll say it forever. I felt really good about his last month, when he finally got regular playing time. He was cheap, younger than Pierre, Damon, etc.
Better than Beltran who the Mets judged by one series.
The Yanks are an old team; we all know it. We all know what that means - guys get tired faster, and are more likely to get hurt. So, the bench ought to be filled with depth. Its not. Who on the bench is a likely threat to do anything meaningful late in a game, or if a regular gets hurt? (I presume Andy Phillips will not be on the bench, or he'd be my answer to this question.)
You can say all the same things about the bullpen. At least there is some depth there, but its in the minors - so more than a few guys have to get hurt before any of that depth can be brought into play.
They say everyone has one tragic flaw, and this is Cashman's - he doesn't fill the end of the 25-man roster with guys who are likely to help out when his aged team suffers normal wear and tear, forget injuries.
That said, if Bernie gets the bulk of the starts at DH, Phillips will indeed be on the bench. Andy's defensive versitility and live bat make him an ideal bench player, but with Bernie as the only other option, he'd be better utilized as the every-day DH. Of course if Andy's in the starting line-up, I'll be back to pining for Russ Johnson, which is no way to behave.
Are you being serious here or there is some sarcasm there? What am I missing here?
How does one month of .748 OPS (September for Crosby in 53 ABs) trump a career .829 OPS and 109 OPS+? I mean, the latter one being Beltran.
I think, if the Yankees ever try to attempt at having a productive bench and bullpen, the ones to get rid of should be Bernie, Sturtze, Crosby, Stinnett and Cairo, in that order.
Did anyone else see this quote from Torre in today's NY Times?
'"We've replaced Flash with more than one body, so that sort of gives us a little bit more of a security net," Torre said last week. "The one thing we've needed is to not rely on the one guy, only because we don't want to overuse someone. So if you have a couple of guys that can do the job and have the understanding that's what we're going to do, I think we can keep everybody strong. That's the plan going in."'
http://tinyurl.com/cjyl2
Now let's see if he lives up to it!
Why doesn't Bernie's .294 as DH last season give you more faith in him in that role for 2006?
I don't want to see him in the outfield, but will it kill the team to give him 10 at-bats per week?
Any way you slice it though jumping over the Black Sox will be tough and I think that's going to be true for a while.
They're not too scary to me they had a lot of career years last year and I'm not sure that I see that happening again. The team that will be giving the Yanks a run in the Al this year is (in my mind, of course) Oakland. Their pitchers are underated (Harden, Haren & Blanton are one hell of a trio and you throw Zito in there and that foursome can pitch with anyone) and they've solidified their lineup with smart additions and players coming back from injury. And did I mention that starting staff? Angels are up there too - I'd put them before the W. Sox as well.
Problem is they had career years by young guys who may be establishing norms, I'm thinking staff and pen especially. They scare me right down to my socks; they play loose, they can pitch, they can hit and they have just enough red ass in them to keep everyone a little uncomfortable. Until someone proves otherwise they're the world champs for a reason.
Oakland should be good that's true and that staff should emerge. But that group hasn't won anything yet, the Black Sox have. Given a choice, first round opponent, I'll take ... the Royals.
But I agree with you re: the Black Sox. That's a damn good team all around. Ozzie will make sure his players maintain that Oct. '05 swagger.
The '06 A's will be tough. The Blue Jays can take 2-of-3 from anybody. The Indians are back and restless. The Angels always seem to have wings, and that team from the city that rhymes with Austin is perpetually pretty good, too.
Life on the road's going to be a bitch for the Yanks.
For a clearer picture- ARod looks like this:
HR: 1 (most in majors)
BA: 18 (18th best in majors)
R: 2 (2nd most runs in majors)
SB: 71 (etc)
RBI: 3
OPS: 6
The average of these 6 is 16.8, making him the best batter, ahead of Pujols. The problem lies however in guys like Ortiz, who don't steal, and Andruw Jones, who doesn't hit for a high BA. So what I'ma do is get the avg of a player's best X categories. But I'm having a hard time deciding how many to use? My gut says toss the worst one and use 5, but I don't know if 4 might be more valid?
Thoughts and opinions more than welcome...
Or maybe it was someone on offense. Uh . . . Konerko? Jermaine Dye? I think the acquisitions of Vazquez & Thome will keep the White Sox from falling off a cliff, but I also think there are two teams in each of the costal divisions, and one in their own, who are better.
Also, if I'd throw out 3 (or more) categories, I try to avoid drafting those guys, unless I'm desparate at whatever position they play.
I've had pretty good success with this method (1st, 3rd, and 3rd the 3 years I've used it).
(Aside: Michaels/Martinez/Sizemore/Hafner is costing the Indians a little north of $2 mil this year. Jeez.)
The starting pitching took a hit, but the bullpen looks pretty good even though it has been maligned in the offseason.
I guess I'm suggesting you do your rankings with a position specificity. Good luck.
This left me with the impression that Cash-as-GM is exactly what the Yanks needed. And while you're saying in the comments that there should have been a more analytic ending, I needed exactly that to encapsulate the CASH-man dilemma.
On the one hand, Cash as continuity is good (i.e. a new GM every two years is bad). On the other, if we count only this off-season, his choices leaves oh so much to be desired (like an above average GM).
Thanks Shaun for specifying the problems with the bench. But otherwise, the critical look at this off-season shows only OPP (Overpriced Past Prime among other meanings) with a lack of trading young players.
Matsui I can deal with, esp since he does bring more revenue than the average 13mil/year player. After that though, the CASH-man's choices, and your overview, show how truly unimaginative and downright average he is.
Basically three holes - some much bigger than others:
1) CF - OPP
2) Back-up C - OPP
3) Bullpen - OPP
True, Farns is not old. And Stinnett is not over-priced. But the point is the same:
1) CF: Look, I'm all for keeping youngsters. But if there's no clear spot in the organization for them, and their price is high, move them! Perfect example - Eric Duncan (where's he gonna get 500 AB's in NY?) - he had a huge AFL - perfect chance to spin him for a CF - Rowand, MIL-ton, Crisp - all could have been had this off-season. Michaels would have worked but he wasn't the only non-OPP available to patrol CF and I'm not buying that everyone wants to fleece the Yanks. That's convenient spin.
2) Back-up C: Cliff, you sort of leave this hanging what a bad move this was. This is the epitome of Cash - there's no planning, or risk assessment, involved. Where's even a AA prospect from another organization? Someone that could break through? Something? (And frankly, no matter how much others say otherwise, I just can't believe Tampa said "Trade Navarro, dammit!" - No, they said "Get Unit!" there's a big difference there and it is the CASH-man at fault.)
3) Bullpen: Right now, there's no room for anyone in the organization to break into the bullpen. And even if there are two or three injuries, we know Torre's not going to use them. So why not stock the bullpen with youngsters and let Darwinian performance determine usage. You know we're headed that way with Villone and Myers anyways (one release by May, the other barely used by August). Why not start now?
So, Cliff, what grade do you give you give Cash? He passes my class at a D+, but that leaves plenty to be desired.
Thanks!