
World Series
All games on FOX at 8pm EST
Sun 10/26 G4 TBR @ PHI
(Blanton v Sonnanstine)
Mon 10/27 G5 TBR @ PHI*
(Hamels v Kazmir)
Wed 10/29 G6 PHI @ TBR*
(Myers v Shields)
Thu 10/30 G7 PHI @ TBR*
(Moyer v Garza)
PHI 2, TBR 1
League Championship Series
TBR 4, BOS 3
PHI 4, LAD 1
Division Series
BOS 3, LAA 1
TBR 3, CHW 1
PHI 3, MIL 1
LAD 3, CHI 0
*if necessary
45 Steven Goldman
44 Chris DeRosa
43 Jacob Luft
42 Dick Lally
41 Neil deMause
40 Jeff Pearlman
39 Mark Feinsand
38 Hank Waddles
37 Tyler Kepner
36 Jonah Keri
35 Bruce Markusen
34 Maggie Barra
33 Kat O'Brien
32 Marty Appel
31 Joe Sheehan
30 Emma Span
29 Bob Klapisch
28 Jon Weisman
27 Will Weiss: The Personalities
26 Cecilia Tan
25 Perry Barber
24 Bob Timmermann
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22 Will Weiss: The Games
21 Pete Caldera
20 Will Carroll
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18 Tim Marchman
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10 Allen Barra
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5 Dave Kaplan
4 Ed Randall
3 Steve Lombardi
2 Dayn Perry
1 Anthony McCarron
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Important Dates
Alex:
Ray Negron part 1 2 3 4
Dad, Reggie and Me
Slaughterhouse Five
Way Out in Brooklyn
Heat Fave
Passing
Love, Death and Baseball
Cliff:
The Ugly Truth About the New Yankee Stadium
First-Half Review
2008 Draft Roundup
July Farm Report
2008 Campers
All-Star Game: 1977, 2008
The Holy "Trinity": 1904 1949
Yankees by the Numbers
SportsIllustrated.com archive
Alex:
Strikes and Gutters: A Year with the Coen Brothers: Part 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
My 20 Favorite Hip Hop Albums
Greatest Singles from Hip Hop's Golden Era (1986-1994)
Ten Neglected Hip Hop Classics
Cliff:
Tin Ear
Pazz & Jop ballots: 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003 (post), 2002, 2001
Clem Snide
Eminem
Sleater-Kinney
Roger Angell
Allen Barra
Jim Bouton
Howard Bryant: Part 1, Part 2
Ken Burns: Part 1, Part 2
Will Carroll
Ethan Coen
Harvey Frommer
Malcom Gladwell
Bill James
Pat Jordan
Chuck Korr: Part 1 Part 2
Jane Leavy
Michael Lewis
Tim Marchman
Marvin Miller
Rob Neyer: Part 1, Part 2
Buster Olney: April 2003, Sept. 2004
Buck O'Neil
Joe Posnanski
Alan Schwarz
Joel Sherman
Tom Verducci
Juicing the Game by Howard Bryant Part 1 Part 2
Forging Genius by Steven Goldman Part 1 Part 2
How About That! by Stephen Borelli
The Crowd Sounds Happy by Nicholas Dawidoff
The Last Nine Innings by Charles Euchner
Clemente by David Maraniss
The Soul of Baseball by Joe Posnanaski
Glenn Stout and Richard A. Johnson:
Yankee Century: Part 1 Part 2
Red Sox Century: 1 2 3 4
The Dodgers: 120 Years of Dodgers Baseball
Major Leauge Roster:
Infielders:
J. Giambi BR BP E MLB
R. Cano BR BP E MLB
D. Jeter BR BP E MLB
A. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
W. Betemit BR BP E MLB mi
C. Ransom BR BP E MLB mi
J. Miranda BR BC mi
Outfielders:
B. Abreu BR BP E MLB
J. Damon BR BP E MLB
X. Nady BR BP E MLB
H. Matsui BR BP E MLB mi
B. Gardner BR E MLB mi
M. Cabrera BR BP E MLB mi
Catchers:
I. Rodriguez BR BP E MLB
J. Molina BR BP E MLB
C. Moeller BR BP E MLB mi
F. Cervelli BR BC mi
Starting Pitchers:
M. Mussina BR BP BC E
A. Pettitte (L) BR BP BC E
P. Hughes BR BP BC E mi
C. Pavano BR BP BC E mi
A. Aceves BR E mi
Relief Pitchers:
M. Rivera BR BP BC E
J. Chamberlain BR BP BC E
D. Marte (L) BR BP BC E
J. Veras BR BP BC E mi
E. Ramirez BR BP BC E mi
B. Bruney BR BP BC E mi
D. Giese BR BP BC E mi
C. Britton BR BP BC E mi
P. Coke (L) BR BC E mi
D. Rasner BR BP BC E mi
S. Ponson BR BP BC E mi
D. Robertson BR BC E mi
H. Sanchez BC mi
15-day DL:
C. Wang BR BP BC E
60-day DL:
J. Posada BR BP E MLB
J. Albaladejo BR BP BC E mi
A. Brackman BC
Coaches:
J. Girardi (Mgr) BR BP BC
R. Thomson (Bench) BC
Kevin Long (Hit) BR
D. Eiland (Pitch) BR BP BC
B. Meacham (3B) BR BP BC
T. Peña (1B) BR BP BC
M. Harkey (Pen) BR BP BC
40-man Roster:
AAA
S. Duncan BR BP E MLB mi
J. Christian BR BP E MLB mi
I. Kennedy BR BP BC E mi
C. Wright (L) BR BP BC E mi
J. Marquez BR BC mi
Designated for Assignment:
B. Traber (L) BR BP BC E mi
Select Minor Leaguers:
AAA Scranton Wilkes-Barre Yankees:
B. Castro BR mi DL
C. Basak BR BP BC E MLB mi
E. Duncan BC mi
N. Green BR mi
B. Broussard BR mi
M. Carson BC mi
C. Stewart BR BP E MLB mi
J. Brown BC mi DL
K. Igawa (L) BR BP BC E JB mi
M. Melancon BC mi
J.B. Cox BC mi
S. Strickland BR BC mi
S. Jackson BC mi
E. Milton BR BC mi DL
V. Zambrano BR BC mi DL
AA Trenton Thunder:
K. Russo BR mi
R. Peña BC mi DL
C. Malec BC mi
M. Vechionacci BC mi DL
A. Jackson BC mi
C. Curtis BC mi
E. Gonzalez BR mi
P.J. Pilittere BC mi
J. Jones BC mi
G. Kontos BC mi
J. Nuñez BC mi
B. Smith BC mi DL
A. Claggett BC mi
O. Perez BR BC mi
M. Gardner BC mi
K. Whelan BC mi
W. Arias (L) BC mi
A Tampa Yankees:
E. Nuñez BC mi
C.J. Henry BC mi DL
T. Battle BC mi
K. Anson BC mi
J. Gil BC mi
A. Horne BC mi DL
Z. McAllister BC mi
W. De La Rosa (L) BC mi
C. Garcia BC mi
Low-A Charleston RiverDogs:
J. Snyder BC mi
M. Cusick BC mi
B. Suttle BC mi
A. Romine BC mi
J. Montero BC mi
D. Betances BC mi
J. Heredia BC mi
J. Ortiz BC mi
C. Heyer BC mi
Low-A Staten Island Yankees:
D. Adams mi
P. Venditte mi
Rookie Gulf Coast Yankees:
C. Joseph mi
C. Smith mi
K. Higashioka mi
Key:
BR = Baseball-Reference
BP = Baseball Prospectus
BC = Baseball Cube (past mL stats)
mi = MiLB.com (current mL stats)
E = ESPN (current splits, game logs)
MLB = MLB.com hit charts
JB = Japanese Baseball.com
2008 Yankees:
R. Sexson BR BP E MLB
M. Ensberg BR BP E MLB CLE mL
A. Gonzalez BR BP E MLB mi WAS
K. Farnsworth BR BP BC E DET
L. Hawkins BR BP BC E HOU
S. Patterson BR BC mi SD
Nady/Marte Trade:
J. Tabata BC mi
J. Karstens BR BP BC E mi
R. Ohlendorf BR BP BC E
D. McCutchen BC mi
2008 Campers/mLers:
C. Woodward BR BP BC E MLB PHI mL
J. Lane BR mi BOS mL
G. Porter BC mi WAS mL
J.D. Closser BR mi SD mL
S. Henn (L) BR BP BC E mi SD
H. Phillips (L) BR BC mi TB mL
S. White BR BC mi
2007 Yankees:
J. Torre (Mgr) BR BP BC LAD
D. Mientkiewicz BR BP BC E MLB PIT
A. Phillips BR BP BC E MLB mi CIN
J. Phelps BR BP BC E MLB STL
M. Cairo BR BP BC E MLB SEA
K. Thompson BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT
B. Sardinha BC mi SEA mL
W. Nieves BR BP BC E MLB WAS
R. Clemens BR BP BC E mi
T. Clippard BR BP BC E mi WAS
L. Vizcaino BR BP BC E COL $7.5m/2yrs
M. DeSalvo BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
M. Myers (L) BR BP BC E LAD mL
R. Villone (L) BR BP BC E mi STL
S. Proctor BR BP BC E LAD
J. Brower BR BP BC E mi CIN mL
C. Bean BR BP BC E mi ATL mL
2007 Campers and mLers:
E. Durazo BR BP BC E MLB mi
A. Cannizaro BR BP BC E MLB mi TB mL
A. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi LAD mL
K. Reese BR BP BC E MLB mi
R. Chavez BR BP BC E MLB mi PIT mL
O. Santos BC mi BAL mL
T. Pratt BR BP BC E MLB
T.J. Beam BR BP BC E mi PIT mL
B. Kozlowski (L) BR BP BC E mi Japan
Molina Trade:
J. Kennard BC mi
Abreu Trade
M. Smith (L) BR BP BC E mi PHI
C. Monasterios BC mi PHI
J. Sanchez mi PHI
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
Baseball is a fickle game. On any given day, the worst team in the major leagues can beat the best team. On any given day the worst hitter in the game can go 4 for 4 and the best 0 for 5, while the best pitcher can take the mound without his stuff and get rocked as the worst finds an unfamiliar feel and pitches a complete game shutout. A large part of this is that baseball, more than any other sport, is a game dependent to a large degree on luck. It's the line-drive right at a fielder versus the weak grounder that finds a hole, the hanging curve that's taken for a high strike versus the one with a sharp break and great placement that gets deposited in the seats.
These are all reasons that the two tremendous losses the Yankees suffered at the hands of the Red Sox this weekend (total score, 24-3) don't really bother me all that much. It was clear that Pavano and Mussina simply didn't have it and that Clement and Wells (who found that famous curve after the first inning on Sunday) did. In and of itself, that doesn't really reveal any essential flaws in this Yankee team other than the fact that they were simply off their game two days in a row. Consider the following:
Tuesday through Thursday the Tigers are swept by the Yankees. Friday through Sunday the Orioles are swept by the Tigers. Saturday and Sunday the Red Sox humiliate the Yankees. Monday night, the Red Sox get crushed by the Orioles (8-1).
There's no logic to that. As of this afternoon, the Orioles are the best of those four teams (.620 winning percentage), the Tigers the worst (.479) and the Red Sox and Yankees are tied, four games behind the O's in second place in the AL East with .540 winning percentages. One or two, or even three-game sample sizes are simply not enough to determine the relative quality of two or more teams. Heck, take the seven days since Tuesday:
Orioles 5-2
Yankees 4-2
Tigers 3-3
Red Sox 2-5
Then there are these guys:
Royals 0-6
Yeah, they're that bad. But given the nature of the game, even the Royals, who are indeed the worst team in baseball (.260 winning percentage, even worse than the Colorado Springs Sky So . . . er, Rockies at .286), win a game every now and then (once every four days or so, to be precise). Having been without an official manager since Tony Peña resigned exactly three weeks ago today, the Royals have just hired Buddy Bell, who will manage his first game for Kansas City tonight. With a new skipper in the dugout and their best pitcher on the mound, the exciting young phenom Zach Greinke, it wouldn't surprise me to see the Royals stop that six-game losing streak tonight despite being clearly overmatched by the invading Yankees. That's just how this game works.
That said, the Yankees should feast on the Royals over the next three days, which would be a nice way to kick off the year's longest road trip (12 games in four cities).
More on the Royals themselves below the fold.
Kansas City Royals
2004 Record: 58-104 (.358)
2004 Pythagorean Record: 64-98 (.395)
Manager: Buddy Bell
General Manager: Allard Baird
Ballpark (2004 park factors): Kauffman Stadium (95/96)
Who's replacing whom?
Mark Teahan replaces Joe Randa
Terrence Long replaces Dee Brown, Abraham Nunez and Aaron Guiel
Ruben Gotay inherits Desi Relaford's playing time
David DeJesus inherits Carlos Beltran's playing time
Alberto Castilla replaces Benito Santiago
Eli Marrero replaces Juan Gonzalez
Matt Diaz replaces Calvin Pickering (minors)
Joe McEwing replaces spare parts
Jose Lima replaces Darrell May
Runelvys Hernandez (DL) replaces Jimmy Gobble (minors)
Denny Bautista replaces Dennys Reyes
Mike Wood and D.J. Carrasco switch rolls
Andy Sisco replaces Jaime Cerda (minors)
Ambiorix Burgos replaces Scott Sullivan (60-day DL, back)
Leo Nunez replaces Nate Field (minors)
Steve Stemle replaces Shawn Camp (minors)
Current Roster:
1B Mike Sweeney
2B Ruben Gotay
SS Angel Berroa
3B Mark Teahen
C John Buck
RF Emil Brown
CF David DeJesus
LF Terrence Long
DH Matt Stairs
Bench:
R Tony Graffanino (IF)
R Eli Marrero (OF)
R Alberto Castillo (C)
R Joe McEwing (UT)
R Matt Diaz (OF)
Rotation:
R Zack Greinke
R Jose Lima
R D.J. Carrasco
R Ryan Jensen
R Runelvys Hernandez
Bullpen:
R Mike MacDougal
R Mike Wood
L Andy Scisco
R Ambiorix Burgos
R Leo Nunez
R Steve Stemle
Typical Line-up
R Angel Berroa (SS)
L David DeJesus (CF)
R Mike Sweeney (1B)
L Matt Stairs (DH)
R Emil Brown (RF)
L Terrence Long (LF)
L Mark Teahen (3B)
R John Buck (C)
S Ruben Gotay (2B)
DL:
R Ken Harvey (1B/DH)
L Brian Anderson
R Denny Bautista
L Jeremy Affeldt
L Kyle Snyder
R Scott Sullivan (60-day)
Outside of Sweeney, Stairs and Greinke there's not much to see here. Yes, Matt Stairs is one of the three best players on this team. 'Nuff said? Perhaps, but why stop there? The Royals are 25th in the majors in runs scored and above only the Angels (!) in on-base percentage (.304). Their team ERA is the worst in baseball (non-Colorado division), thanks in large part to a devastating 6.01 starters mark.
In the bullpen, Rule-5 lefty Andrew Sisco has been a great pick-up (2.83 ERA, 10.99 K/9) and Mikes Wood and MacDougal have managed to stay better than average at the back end, but that "Big" Three is about all that's worth mentioning there.
The rest of the team is comprised of familiar journeyman veterans or youngsters that Kansas City actually hopes will stick (Buck, Teahan, Gotay, Hernandez, Wood). But there are five current Royals whose identity just might stump even the most committed fans. For those who might find themselves asking, "who are these guys?" . . .
Current right fielder Emil Brown is a journeyman speedster with a career .334 slugging who last played in the majors in 2001 for the Pirates and Padres and is with his seventh organization in five years.
Matt Diaz is a 27-year-old rookie outfielder who was unable to break through with the Devil Rays.
Ambiorix Burgos and Leo Nunez are a 21-year-old Dominicans who pitched in A-ball last year (Burgos in the Royals' system, Nunez in the Pirates').
Steve Stemle is a 28-year-old rookie who was converted to relief in the Cardinals organization last year.
Greinke takes on Kevin Brown tonight in the central time zone. Game time 8:10.
On the subject of innumeracy - are there bad teams that do better than their Pythagorean record, and v.v? Somehow I've got the impression that over-0.500 teams do better than predicted and sub-.500 do worse, but maybe I'm just misremembering or maybe it's the obvious selection effect.
I wonder if Giambi will be in the line up. Hopefully, the Yankee O gets rolling before they head to Minnie over the weekend. Anyone know if/when Santana is scheduled to pitch?
We just manage to miss Santana but we do get Lohse, Radke, and Silva. I wish I could view the two terrible, terrible losses with as much equanimity as Cliff but it was another instance of the team coming up real small in a big series. But what do you expect when you start a right side of the infield of Rey Sanchez and Russ Johnson in the rubber match? And 3 straight single-digit pitch innings against Wells was unconscionable. Isn't anyone on the Yankee bench in control? Cliff, I hope you're right that it's just two bad games, but oh the foreshadowing sure looks bad.
Yanks miss both Santana and Radke in Minny, which is a nice trick.
Meanwhile, rilkefan, both bad and good teams both exceed and fall short of their Pythagorean expectations. Finishing above or below Pythagorus actually has little to nothing to do with the quality of a team (from what I've seen). And thanks for catching the precise comment, that was intentional.
Al, Cliff,
I have a question for you. My brother-in-law, who is a big ChiSox fan(irrelevant in this case), is going to be in NY for the July 4th game against Baltimore. He didn't want to pay $40+ for an upper deck seat. Do you know the best way for him to get 1 or 2 decent seats for a reasonable price? Would it be best for him to just walk up to the stadium? Any pointers would be helpful.
Thanks,
Rob
Yeah, I knew the "precise" joke was too subtle to be random.
Beyond that, he should bear in mind that Tier Box seats (front upper deck) are excellent seats in Yankee Stadium, at least if they're in foul territory.
Marcus... Best arm in RF?
I went to Fenway tonight, and Wade Miller was excellent. Double ouch.
Now, with regard to Womack's gettin picked off, enough is bloody enough already. You're right of course, Cliff, about the spectral influence of luck, but it's only legit to invoke luck when the team is otherwise playing tight baseball, mastering everything they actually do have control over.
Time and time again this team has played slop ball (and not just in the field, but on the basepaths, which is just utterly inexcusable), even as they were tearing through the lesser teams. Honestly, I find it alarming and though your points are well-taken, they fail to mollify.
Brown was garbage.
The lineup was garbage.
I'm too peeved to write complex sentences.
Anybody old enough to remember Munson coming up? (raise your hand). He was fairly highly touted and won ROY his first year with a .302 average. He was not a prototypical catcher, and had a weird throw to 2nd (however with an extremely quick release). His 'sophmore' year, he batted .251, and was still funny looking (with 16 hrs total over 2 years). Wonder if he would have made it to his third year if he was on this Yankee team.
Dandy Don was a good looking, but somewhat average player. Good D, solid guy, but not much pop. In his first 100 games, Mattingly managed 4 hrs and .280/.330/.405. Not bad for a Yankee team that was not good. Wonder if he would have made it to his next year if he was on this Yankee team.
Bernie was a skinny kid, fast on his feet, but not very imposing. In his first 3 years he averaged .261 with 20 hrs combined, and about a .720 OPS. Not bad for a Yankee team that was not good. Wonder if he would have made it to his next year if he was on this Yankee team.
There are some guys who come up dripping with talent, who will obviously be good. Others, under the right tutalage, take time to develope. If you want instant gradification, you are gonna miss out on a lot of potentially good/great players.
It's nice to have RJ around, and I think he will do better. But he cost us:
J. Vazquez, Brad Halsey, D. Navarro and 9 mil. Add that 9 mil to the difference in JV and RJ's salary, and poof, you have Carlos Beltran.
So why did we take RJ over J. Vazquez, Brad Halsey, D. Navarro and Carlos Beltran? Basically to punish JV for losing the 7th game of the LCS and pitching poorly for 1/2 season. JV and Brown (part of a staff that won 101 games) lost that 7th game, but a WHOLE BUNCH of Yankees batted .200 over THREE games... and that's why we lost.
And if you hate paying Brown 15 mil for this year, RJ will be making a lot more in 2007.
For lack of ONE timely hit in game 4 OR 5 OR 6, we could have been looking at a young team of Vazquez, Halsey, Navarro, Beltran, Jetes, ARod, (re-sign) Matsui, Wang, Cano for years to come.
Last night, once again, we saw the lackluster 'Womackian Yankees'.
As shitty as Giambi is this year, he has hit a HR every 30 abs. Womack hits a HR every 135 abs. Giambi's OPS is .120 higher. Giambi can have a bad year and still post an OPS +150 over Womack. Bernies OPS is .080 higher then Womack's.
Yup.... putting Womack in LF certainly shook up this team. I don't know if I can stand an entire season of this.
Our season tickets are in the tier seats, section 32 row H and you get a fantastic view of the entire stadium, including bullpen and big screen etc. I think the tickets are $19 each for individual games, a little extra will get you tier boxes. You can get stuck with crappy loge seats for that 40 bucks. The bleachers are a fun way to see the game without being ripped off too.
I will pass on the information.
Rob
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