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Good News/Bad News
2006-09-30 07:09
by Alex Belth

Okay, the bad news first. Randy Johnson has a herniated disk in his back and it is not certain whether or not he'll be able to start Game 3 of the ALDS or any other game in the playoffs. The Yankees won't have any real answers for a few days, but, naturally, losing Johnson would be a blow.

Johnson received an epidural yesterday at Beth Israel Hospital in hopes that the treatment would relieve the discomfort in his back to the point where he would be able to pitch next Friday. An epidural is an injection in the back that is usually a combination of a cortisone-type medication and a local anesthetic that reduces inflammation.

Johnson, 43, was expected to play catch at Yankee Stadium today and was scheduled to throw a bullpen session tomorrow. [Yankee General Manager, Brian] Cashman said no decision would be made concerning Johnson's postseason status until after he threw tomorrow.

"He'll tell us," Cashman said. "It's not something we can see. He'll tell us how much more comfortable he is."
(Kepner, Times)

Hold your breath everybody and hope that the bats and bullpen can carry the team.

Now, for the good news. The Yanks beat the Jays 7-2 last night. Combined with the Tigers stunning loss to the Royals, the Bombers have secured home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Gary Sheffield hit a three-run bomb, Jorge Posada added a two-run shot of his own, and Alex Rodriguez had three hits as Mike Mussina pitched a nice game and notched his 15th victory of the year.

4:05 start today. It's sunny but brisk and chilly in the Bronx. Gametime temp: 64 degrees. We'll see some terrific shadows on the field this evening.

Let's Go Yan-kees.

UPDATE Actually, the sun isn't anywhere to be found. It is cold and breezy at the Stadium. There is a lot buzzing around the park today with the playoffs just a few days away. Pete Abraham has the latest. Also, the Twins lost this afternoon. Unless the Tigers lose today and tomorrow and the Twinkies can pull out a win in the final game of the season, the Yanks will face Minnie in the ALCS. Scary match-up as the Twins have Santana, a great bullpen, the Metrodome, and some unfinished business with the Yanks in the playoffs. They'd love some payback. We already know that Twins' owner wants to face the Yankees. Look like his wish is going to come true.

Comments (155)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2006-09-30 08:08:28
1.   markp
How many expected Johnson to be dominant in the post-season? Going by the comments here and elsewhere, not very many. His season as a whole isn't that much different than the guy who'll be replacing him.
I look at this as good news: if the back problem was making him pitch less effectively, not having nearly as much pain might allow him to pitch effectively. If he can't go at all, the previous paragraph applies. If he can go, it's possible he'll be more effective.
2006-09-30 08:39:27
2.   wsporter
Johnson's news has the potential to be bad I think because it puts the rotation and roster in flux. Mr. Torre had some time to set things up the way he wanted. Now that planning seems to have gone a little amiss. Substantively though is Johnson that much better now even with a sound back than the alternatives available to take his place? I'm not sure that Liddle or Wright won't give us at least what Johnson would have. Sure I guess Unit has the potential to throw a vintage game but it's been a while.

On a bright note, and excuse me if this has already been mentioned, Don Mattingly has started a blog. How cool is that?

http://www.donmattingly.com/blog.php

2006-09-30 08:43:54
3.   C2Coke
Terrific shadows for us to see, not so fun for the players.

To me, it's a toss between RJ and Wright. As unpredictable as RJ has been all season, he has 10+ seasons with very strong PS resume. And Wright seems to be ok lately.
1 markp, you are definitely right about healthy RJ being more effective. On the other hand, I'd take a hurting RJ over Lidle.

Rasner seems like a good long man option for possible not-so-pretty situations. He's had a few quality starts but he is no "Wang-of-last-year".

All in all, I can't express how grateful I am to see both Sheff and Giambi back in time. Well, obviouse, and Mo.

2006-09-30 08:46:42
4.   C2Coke
Wow...I couldn't spell obviously ...
2006-09-30 08:53:19
5.   yankz
2 Do you think the "Milky" was a typo?
2006-09-30 09:06:05
6.   kylepetterson
5 "Since this is my first blog post I wanted you all to know that Shannon, my website guy, is typing all this, but it is coming straight from me."

I'm guessing that means the typos, also.

2006-09-30 09:20:00
7.   Peter
"George has had the best year since I have been back as well."

At first I wondered why he was talking about Steinbrenner. It took a minute before realizing it's actually Jorge.

2006-09-30 09:38:56
8.   Murray
They gave Johnson an epidural? Funny, he didn't look pregnant to me.
2006-09-30 09:43:11
9.   seamus
Johnson will be missed. He has been inconsistent but when he has been on he has been as dominant as anyone. Of course, that is only 50% of the time. He also can go deep ingames. So I'd rather have him there, but I think we can survive without him - assuming Moose and Wang stay healthy throughout the playoffs.
2006-09-30 10:16:43
10.   wsporter
5 No I don't. Clearly Mr. Mattingly is a Linguistic Scholar and he's just having a little fun with some creative word play. Melky, Leche, Milky. Oh what a clever scamp that Donnie B is.

Either that or it is the Web Guy. Damn pitch hitters ;-)

2006-09-30 10:25:41
11.   kylepetterson
Johnson is really good, half of the time.
Wright is half as good, most of the time.
2006-09-30 11:00:33
12.   JeremyM
Twins are down 5-0 in the 7th--it's looking certain that the Yanks will get them in the first round.
2006-09-30 11:06:48
13.   randym77
Jaret Wright's recent starts:

AUG 30: 6.1 IP - 6 H - 2 ER - 1 BB
SEP 10: 6.1 IP - 3 H - 3 ER - 2 BB
SEP 17: 6.0 IP - 4 H - 2 ER - 3 BB
SEP 25: 6.0 IP - 5 H - 1 ER - 4 BB

Randy Johnson's recent starts:

SEP 06: 7.0 IP - 1 H - 0 ER - 2 BB
SEP 11: 6.0 IP - 9 H - 5 ER - 0 BB
SEP 16: 5.2 IP - 8 H - 5 ER - 3 BB
SEP 23: 6.0 IP - 7 H - 5 ER - 1 BB

2006-09-30 11:12:18
14.   rbj
If the Yankees can win the first two against the Twins - probably low scoring contests - then the bats should bust out against Minnesota's #3 starter. That'll keep the rotation intact for the ALCS. But if it goes to 5 games, that means Wang's been burned up in game 5 and the ALCS rotation is Moose and ? and ? and then Wang.

Anyone think Unit would accept a trade back to AZ to finish his career?

2006-09-30 11:21:18
15.   kylepetterson
13 There's just something about Wright that makes him easy to root for.
2006-09-30 11:23:55
16.   randym77
Melky Cabrera CF
Robinson Cano 2B
Derek Jeter SS
Alex Rodriguez 3B
Gary Sheffield 1B
Bobby Abreu RF
Hideki Matsui LF
Bernie Williams DH
Sal Fasano C

Jeff Karstens P

2006-09-30 11:33:20
17.   Eirias
15 Agreed, despite the fact that he looks like a squirrel with the amount of junk he keeps in his cheek, I don't mind Wright. Perhaps it is the fact that he is NOT PAVANO.
2006-09-30 12:04:30
18.   Ravenscar
Chilly? Today?

Alex, I pity you when February gets here. ;-)

2006-09-30 12:05:30
19.   kylepetterson
17 It seems like they got lumped together a lot last year, "Wright and Pavano", "Pavano and Wright". Comparitivly, Jaret Wright is the next Nolan Ryan.
2006-09-30 12:06:45
20.   mehmattski
15 It must be the three pound wad of chaw in his cheek.
2006-09-30 12:24:24
21.   Eirias
rjb, vis-a-vis your question last night, the ditty goes:

First we'll use Spahn, then we'll use Sain,

Then an off day, followed by rain.

Back will come Spahn, followed by Sain,

And followed, we hope, by two days of rain.

2006-09-30 12:24:50
22.   Eirias
21 Just insert Wang and Mussina in there.
2006-09-30 12:35:32
23.   mehmattski
Fun with numbers:

Joe Mauer: 179 for 517 (.34623)
Robinson Cano: 162 for 474 (.34177)
Derek Jeter: 210 for 615 (.34146)

Given that Mauer did not play in today's loss to the White Sox, I'd imagine that he only has, at most, 3 or 4 at bats left, assuming he plays at all tomorrow. If that's the case, then the worst Mauer can do is 179 for 521 (.34357)

I'm assuming that Cano and the Cap will get around 7 at bats between today and tomorrow. If that's the case, Cano will need four hits to eclipse Mauer in this scenario (three hits is .34305, four hits is .34511). If Mauer goes 1 for 4 rather than 0 for 4, he will be at .34549.

Jeter, meanwhile, also needs between four and five hits (in seven at bats) to eclipse Mauer at .34405.

My calculator stands ready if anyone else wants me to examine a specific situation...

2006-09-30 12:38:21
24.   JeremyM
Boy, I'm watching the Cardinals, and they really do stink. So far they've had their starting pitcher get thrown out trying to steal a base (to be fair I missed what exactly happened there), Larussa flashing his "genius" by pitching around the 8th hitter to get a pinch-hitter to bat for the pitcher and remove Sheets from the game; of course the pinch-hitter singles home two runs, and the Cardinals getting 7 hits and one walk but no runs in 7 innings. The Dodgers and Padres should kill themselves to win the division to play this team.
2006-09-30 12:43:27
25.   rbj
24 Yeah. Most telling stat: they are 3-9 lately, and the guy with two of those wins is Jeff Weaver.
When Jeff Weaver is your best pitcher, you're hurting big time.
2006-09-30 12:46:14
26.   randym77
Speaking of numbers...anyone think today's lineup is designed for stats? Robby upfront where he'll get a lot of at-bats, to give him a chance to catch Mauer. Jeter in the three-hole, to give him a chance to get more RBIs.
2006-09-30 12:52:51
27.   JeremyM
26 Makes sense to me. I think Peter Abraham said that Torre really wants Jeter to get 100 RBIs.
2006-09-30 12:54:39
28.   JeremyM
Speaking of Abraham, he has a good report up now. Mussina and Mo are duking it out for pitching coach duties tomorrow--that's a tough choice in my opinion. Guiel didn't make the playoff roster:(
2006-09-30 12:59:05
29.   weeping for brunnhilde
Speaking of Mo, I've been out of it for awhile. I saw his first game back, which was decent (a few crazy high pitches, a hit batsman) but I've not seen anything since.

How's he doing?

2006-09-30 13:00:02
30.   randym77
Andy Phillips made it. Man, I just don't understand why Torre and Cashman are so in love with him. Goldman predicted he'd be DFA'd weeks ago.
2006-09-30 13:00:05
31.   mehmattski
28 I know this has been discussed before, but I have to ask: If Torre had been intending for Phillips to be on the roster all along, why has he had just 11 bats in September? I mean, I understand the reasoning for including him on the PS roster, but the guy has been Gatorade and Sunflower Seed Guy since he got off the DL. What gives?
2006-09-30 13:00:19
32.   Alex Belth
On the low, I'm at the Stadium today working and there is lots of news. RJ played catch with Kerrigan today and it wasn't just merely casual or perfunctory. Apparently, Kerrigan squated down and wore a mask by the end of it. The feeling is that RJ will pitch even if he is in pain. Too proud. Told reporters something to the effect of he could have gone anywhere to win 16, 17 games, he came to the Bronx to win a title.

Torre announced that Sheff will play 1b in the playoffs, Giambi will DH, and Matsui will play left.

Cairo and Phillips will round out the roster.

Busy here today. Lots of activity. You can feel everyone getting prepped for the playoffs, now just days away.

The only ones who seemed relaxed, like they are having fun are the players. Watched them take BP from the field today. Whole team seems really loose. Lots of easy smiles. One reporter said even Alex has been noticably looser the past few weeks. Was talking about just how different this clubhouse is from the 04 version, with dour, "bad guys" like Kevin Brown and Kenny Lofton.

2006-09-30 13:05:59
33.   randym77
31 I assume because they aren't keeping him on the roster for his bat.

Kind of like last year, when Tony Womack made the post-season roster, solely as a pinch-runner...

2006-09-30 13:07:12
34.   weeping for brunnhilde
Memory plays tricks on you, you know.

I just visited Mattingly's site and submitted a question.

He'll forever be a legend to me because I was 12 in 1984 and thus highly susceptible to legendary figures. (Mattingly was succeeded by John Lennon as I turned into a hippie and drifted away from sports, but that's neither here nor there.)

But the point is, whenever I remember Mattingly, I remember a guy who always seemed to come through with the big hit. And yet, even in his best year, he made an out 648 times out of a thousand, so I guess I must be misremembering.

:)

And poor Arod, in my imagination, never seems to come through in the big spot, and yet he does, occasionally.

Hmm.

Big spot, game on the line, though, romanticized as my image may be, I'd take Mattingly over Arod in a heartbeat.

Maybe if I were twelve now, watching Arod, I'd have a totally different impression of his career?

2006-09-30 13:10:46
35.   weeping for brunnhilde
Is it too alarmist of me to quake at the notion of Sheffield starting at first during the playoffs?

Part of me just has the general anxiety about fooling with success, upsetting the alchemy that's gotten us this far.

The other part is a more specific concern about regularly placing an inexperienced fielder at a position where the ball is bound to find him on strange plays like bunts or dribblers or whatever.

I don't know, all I can say is, "I have a bad, bad feeling about this."

Am I overreacting?

2006-09-30 13:13:30
36.   rbj
32 Thanks Alex.
And I just want to give a big shout out to Fox, for keeping the next to the last game of the season off of EI.
F U Fox!
St. Louis comes back and wins.
2006-09-30 13:17:56
37.   yankz
OK Captain, home run time...
2006-09-30 13:18:06
38.   JeremyM
I thought Cano was batting second today?
2006-09-30 13:18:42
39.   yankz
Tied at .343.
2006-09-30 13:19:01
40.   seamus
our batting title contenders off to a good start!
2006-09-30 13:20:31
41.   randym77
38 He is. Melky flied out, Cano hit a single, Jeter hit a single. A-Rod at bat.
2006-09-30 13:22:56
42.   3rd gen yankee fan
Ya know, I just hate Arod batting fourth.
2006-09-30 13:23:06
43.   mehmattski
35 Short answer: Yes.

Long answer: We've had this argument before. I'm a believer in that "chemistry" comes from an atmosphere of winning, and not vice versa. For all we know, the kids on the Devil Rays are the best friends in the world, but it doesn't win them many baseball games. Alchemy, you mentioned... never succeded in making gold out of brass.

Having Gary Sheffield at first base instead of Jason Giambi is another example of known quantity versus unknown quantity, much like the Kevin Thompson vs Bernie Williams argument after Sheff got hurt. The basis of many of the new, more comprehensive statistics, is the principle of "replacement level," that is, if you picked up your run of the mill AAA player, how would he perform. Giambi is an awful defensive first baseman. Sheffield, we hope, can provide that replacement level defense. It is unlikely he will be as bad as Giambi. That's also why I'm fine with Andy Phillips being on the postseason roster: he is clearly the best defensive first baseman on the roster (see the discussion from the other day), so in a worst case scenario (Giambi/Sheff/Matsui gets hurt or Sheff is absolutely awful at first), Phillips can play first. By contrast, I have a very good feeling about our offense in the playoffs.

2006-09-30 13:24:20
44.   randym77
42 So do the fans in the stands, apparently. A-Rod was roundly booed for grounding into the double play.
2006-09-30 13:24:33
45.   JeremyM
Stupid gamecenter has Cairo playing today.
2006-09-30 13:25:42
46.   randym77
Holy crap. Nice play, Melky!
2006-09-30 13:27:02
47.   yankz
46 Can you describe it?
2006-09-30 13:27:53
48.   wsporter
15 pitches 6 outs for Karstens. Nice! I get the sense one group has golf plans.
2006-09-30 13:29:47
49.   randym77
46 It was downright Bubba-like. Ball at the wall in the left-center gap. Ran a long way to get it, jumped up, reached out, caught the ball, and crashed into the wall. You could hardly believe he got to it.
2006-09-30 13:30:21
50.   mehmattski
39 Not quite tied:
Mauer .34623
Cano .34316
Jeter .34253

The Phillies-Marlins game on FOX is preventing me from watching the Yanks on mlb.tv. They're only in the seventh inning. I'm glad I paid $15 to watch the last few weeks of games...

Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2006-09-30 13:37:59
51.   yankz
49 Thanks
2006-09-30 13:38:33
52.   yankz
Karstens on cruise control, only 22 pitches.
2006-09-30 13:43:39
53.   randym77
And the crowd goes wild as Bernie hits an easy groundout. Bernabe can do no wrong.
2006-09-30 13:44:19
54.   wsporter
50 It's very frustrating isn't it? MLB.TV is a great value but these little insults are hard to take.
2006-09-30 13:47:56
55.   mehmattski
Mauer .34623
Jeter .34253
Cano .34243
2006-09-30 13:52:34
56.   randym77
Wow, Jeet's passed Cano. C'mon, Captain!
2006-09-30 13:54:42
57.   yankz
What, are you Mauer's best friend or something, Marcum?!
2006-09-30 13:56:45
58.   Eirias
How dare Sterling bring up the perfect game?
2006-09-30 13:56:53
59.   yankz
Oh HELL yes Arod
2006-09-30 13:57:10
60.   yankz
58 You repeated it.
2006-09-30 13:57:21
61.   randym77
A-Rod with a monster shot.

Thank heaven. If only because it shuts Kay up. He was blathering on about how Mauer winning the batting title will be tarnished if he sits out the last two games.

2006-09-30 13:58:06
62.   yankz
Wow, I love this O.
2006-09-30 13:58:14
63.   Eirias
60 Michael Kay will have my head.
2006-09-30 13:58:30
64.   randym77
Well, I guess Sheff is ready...
2006-09-30 13:58:41
65.   3rd gen yankee fan
54 When is MLB gonna realize they can make MORE money by allowing fans to watch ALL games on the internet???
2006-09-30 13:59:53
66.   wsporter
boo that clowns!
2006-09-30 14:00:02
67.   3rd gen yankee fan
Ok I'm not pissed at Arod anymore.
2006-09-30 14:01:41
68.   mehmattski
I Really wish I could be watching this...
2006-09-30 14:02:02
69.   randym77
He's scarfing down sunflower seeds like there's no tomorrow. Don't they feed that boy?
2006-09-30 14:06:24
70.   LI yankee
68 email me at LIyankee@gmail.com and I'll help you out
2006-09-30 14:09:35
71.   Eirias
68 The key, I've found, is to have a friend who doesn't live in an area that gets YES. We trade MLB.tv subscriptions.
2006-09-30 14:12:01
72.   randym77
The Kay jinx strikes again. As soon as he says Karstens has a perfect game...